Evan Truitt — OGILVIE

Evan Truitt P Everett AquaSox

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 187 lbs A+ peak 0.6 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION109 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 135

ERA6.21

FIP6.21

K%11.1%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%-3.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	10	0	10	44	6	8	2	0%	1.0	13.6%	18.2%	-4.5%	4.5%	7.45	6.75	—
2024	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	10	0	10	44	6	8	2	0%	1.0	13.6%	18.2%	-4.5%	4.5%	7.45	6.75	—
2024	21	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	10	0	10	44	6	8	2	0%	1.0	13.6%	18.2%	-4.5%	4.5%	7.45	7.03	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	22	19	98	433	72	46	16	86%	4.5	12.8%	12.2%	0.6%	4.5%	4.58	6.01	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	22	19	98	433	72	46	16	86%	4.5	12.8%	12.2%	0.6%	4.5%	4.58	6.01	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	22	19	98	433	72	46	16	86%	4.5	16.6%	10.6%	6.0%	3.7%	4.58	5.15	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	23	23	109	490	98	27	24	100%	4.7	15.4%	6.3%	9.1%	6.1%	5.12	5.96	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	23	23	109	490	98	27	24	100%	4.7	15.4%	6.3%	9.1%	6.1%	5.12	5.96	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	SEA	23	23	109	490	98	27	24	100%	4.7	20.0%	5.5%	14.5%	4.9%	5.12	4.80	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	SEA	1	1	6	24	3	3	1	100%	5.8	11.1%	14.2%	-3.1%	3.4%	6.21	6.21	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	115	514	101	30	25	—	—	19.6%	5.9%	13.7%	4.8%	5.17	5.98	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SEA	20	20	109	462	64	60	15	100%	5.5	13.8%	13.0%	0.8%	3.3%	5.87	5.78	-1.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	19	19	111	468	72	57	15	100%	5.8	15.4%	12.2%	3.2%	3.3%	5.62	5.53	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	18	18	111	468	76	56	15	100%	6.2	16.4%	12.0%	4.4%	3.3%	5.47	5.41	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	SEA	18	18	109	461	76	55	15	100%	6.1	16.5%	11.9%	4.5%	3.3%	5.43	5.42	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	SEA	18	18	106	447	73	54	15	100%	5.9	16.4%	12.1%	4.3%	3.4%	5.47	5.50	-0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	SEA	17	17	101	426	69	52	15	100%	5.9	16.1%	12.3%	3.8%	3.6%	5.57	5.64	-0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	SEA	16	16	95	401	63	51	15	100%	5.9	15.8%	12.6%	3.2%	3.8%	5.72	5.81	-1.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	SEA	8	8	47	198	27	26	7	100%	5.9	13.8%	13.0%	0.8%	3.3%	5.87	5.78	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	13	13	74	312	48	38	10	100%	5.7	15.4%	12.2%	3.2%	3.3%	5.62	5.53	-0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	15	15	88	372	61	44	12	100%	5.9	16.4%	12.0%	4.4%	3.3%	5.47	5.41	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	SEA	16	16	93	393	65	47	13	100%	5.8	16.5%	11.9%	4.5%	3.3%	5.43	5.42	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	SEA	16	16	94	397	65	48	14	100%	5.9	16.4%	12.1%	4.3%	3.4%	5.47	5.50	-0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	SEA	15	15	92	388	63	48	14	100%	6.1	16.1%	12.3%	3.8%	3.6%	5.57	5.64	-0.8
2033	30	MLB CTX	SEA	14	14	87	367	58	46	14	100%	6.2	15.8%	12.6%	3.2%	3.8%	5.72	5.81	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		97	97	575	2428	386	297	83	100%	5.9	15.9%	12.3%	3.7%	3.4%	5.57	5.19	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	134	103	29	100%	5.9	15.9%	12.3%	3.7%	3.4%	5.57	5.19	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		55	42	217	967	137	92	51	76%	3.9	14.2%	9.5%	4.6%	5.3%	4.98	6.02	-5.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	39	200	891	126	85	47	76%	3.9	14.2%	9.5%	4.6%	5.3%	4.98	6.02	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Truitt (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.21	11.1%	14.2%	3.4%	—	5.57	15.2%	2.8%	331	-0.64	—	—	—
Troy Miller R 2019 · 5.09 FIP	22	SP	5.09	12.0%	12.7%	2.5%	.299	5.30	18.3%	8.3%	45	+0.21	5.09	168	84
Mason Pelio R 2023 · 6.38 FIP	23	SP-	6.38	13.3%	17.4%	4.0%	.255	5.88	9.0%	-12.8%	26	-0.50	5.88	122	82
Yoan López R 2016 · 5.84 FIP	23	SP	5.84	10.4%	12.6%	3.7%	.282	3.67	25.5%	17.4%	153	-2.17	2.21	377	82
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.41	25.9%	11.8%	106	-0.76	3.84	202	81
Jake Madden R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	21	SP	5.46	15.9%	15.2%	3.2%	.299	4.57	14.1%	-1.1%	44	-0.89	4.57	123	80
Sam Wolff R 2016 · 5.72 FIP	25	SP	5.72	13.9%	15.0%	3.5%	.278	3.15	25.1%	15.5%	106	-2.57	2.66	178	80
Baron Stuart R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	24	SP	5.24	14.5%	12.2%	3.3%	.266	4.23	17.6%	4.1%	205	-1.01	3.57	306	79
Kevin Biondic R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	8.6%	11.0%	3.2%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	5.52	100	79
Jaison Vilera R 2019 · 5.62 FIP	22	SP-	5.62	11.2%	12.8%	3.4%	.311	7.05	13.8%	5.5%	87	+1.43	3.67	256	79
Drew Gagnon R 2015 · 5.56 FIP	25	SP-	5.56	11.6%	12.6%	3.4%	.313	4.02	20.4%	12.2%	311	-1.54	3.71	534	79
Reid Schaller R 2019 · 5.18 FIP	22	SP	5.18	16.3%	13.8%	3.1%	.241	4.40	19.9%	7.9%	87	-0.78	3.61	186	79
Osman Gutierrez R 2017 · 5.88 FIP	22	SP	5.88	13.9%	16.2%	3.5%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.23	189	78
Aaron Davenport R 2023 · 6.16 FIP	23	SP-	6.16	14.3%	14.7%	4.4%	.272	4.44	17.7%	7.9%	276	-1.72	4.04	498	78
Tommy Mace R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	23	SP	5.47	16.0%	12.1%	4.0%	.261	5.04	14.6%	2.7%	376	-0.43	4.86	501	78
Henry Williams R 2023 · 5.59 FIP	21	SP	5.59	16.5%	14.2%	3.8%	.271	4.67	16.8%	7.0%	338	-0.92	4.16	404	78
Jurgen Jimenez R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	22	SP-	5.25	11.5%	13.3%	2.6%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	158	78
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	78
Stiven Cruz R 2023 · 6.36 FIP	21	SP-	6.36	13.6%	14.8%	4.6%	.312	4.91	17.3%	6.4%	192	-1.45	2.84	426	77
Donal Montas R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	21	SP	5.66	8.4%	13.3%	2.9%	.268	4.87	10.2%	-4.0%	78	-0.79	4.10	156	77
Matt Solter R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	23	SP	5.26	14.3%	11.4%	3.5%	.374	4.20	16.4%	4.7%	155	-1.06	3.82	224	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.1	101	15.3%	12.5%	1.32	5.64
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48