Joscar Hernandez

OF DSL Arizona Black

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Arizona B…	188	.283/.468/.449	3	31	80	—	.189/.355/.291
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBARI	298	.216/.306/.309	3	12	78	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBARI	83	.228/.318/.338	1	3	83	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBARI	180	.232/.322/.350	2	7	87	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed98

wOBA89

wRC+86

ISO72

Whiff%72

Chase%71

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · Eguy Rosario (age 18) · Victor Robles (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 158 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .304 / .306

PA158

HR1

SB6

K%25

BB%9

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	138	39	8	3	3	32	34	16	31	6	283	468	449	917	167	353	18	17	415	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	148	28	5	2	2	22	42	16	31	6	189	355	291	645	101	239	22	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	148	28	5	2	2	22	42	16	31	6	189	355	291	645	101	248	22	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	138	39	8	3	3	32	34	16	31	6	283	468	449	917	167	353	18	17	415	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	148	28	5	2	2	22	42	16	31	6	189	355	291	645	101	239	22	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	188	148	28	5	2	2	22	42	16	31	6	189	355	291	645	101	239	22	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	298	262	57	10	3	3	26	74	8	12	1	216	306	309	615	92	288	25	9	283	78	-8	+2	+0	-2	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	243	213	47	8	2	3	21	60	7	10	1	221	312	322	634	102	290	25	9	291	83	-5	+2	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	371	325	73	13	4	5	32	90	11	15	2	225	316	335	650	110	292	24	9	297	87	-6	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	467	410	93	16	4	8	41	113	13	19	3	228	318	345	664	117	293	24	9	302	90	-5	+3	+0	-3	+10	0.5
2031	22	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	535	468	109	19	5	10	47	128	15	22	4	231	320	354	674	123	294	24	9	306	93	-4	+3	+0	-3	+12	0.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	ARI	58%	581	509	118	21	5	11	51	138	16	24	4	233	322	361	683	128	294	24	9	309	95	-3	+3	+0	-3	+13	0.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	611	535	126	22	6	12	54	145	17	25	4	234	323	365	689	131	295	24	9	311	97	-2	+3	+0	-4	+13	1.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	625	548	129	22	6	13	55	148	17	26	4	235	324	368	692	133	295	24	9	312	98	-2	+4	+0	-4	+14	1.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	633	555	131	23	6	13	56	150	17	26	4	235	324	370	694	134	295	24	9	313	98	-2	+4	+0	-4	+14	1.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	633	555	129	22	6	13	56	151	17	26	4	234	323	367	690	133	295	24	9	312	97	-2	+4	+0	-4	+14	1.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	629	552	129	22	6	13	55	151	17	25	4	232	321	362	683	130	294	24	9	309	95	-4	+3	-1	-4	+14	0.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	619	544	124	21	5	12	54	151	16	24	4	229	318	355	673	126	292	24	9	305	93	-5	+3	-1	-4	+13	0.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	608	534	121	21	5	11	53	150	16	23	4	226	314	347	662	121	290	25	9	300	89	-8	+3	-2	-4	+13	0.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	594	523	116	20	5	10	51	149	15	22	4	222	309	337	646	115	287	25	9	294	85	-10	+3	-3	-4	+13	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	83	74	17	3	1	1	7	20	2	3	0	228	318	338	657	110	301	24	8	299	83	-2	+1	+0	-0	+2	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	180	157	36	7	2	2	16	44	5	7	1	232	322	350	672	118	303	24	9	305	87	-3	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	253	222	52	10	3	4	22	61	7	10	2	235	325	360	685	124	304	24	9	310	90	-3	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	303	264	63	12	4	5	27	72	9	13	2	238	327	368	695	130	305	24	9	314	93	-2	+2	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	ARI	58%	335	294	70	13	4	6	29	80	9	14	2	240	328	375	703	135	306	24	9	317	95	-2	+2	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	348	305	74	14	4	7	31	83	9	14	2	242	330	379	708	137	307	24	9	319	97	-1	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	354	310	75	14	4	7	31	84	10	15	2	242	330	381	711	139	307	24	9	320	98	-1	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	358	313	75	14	4	7	32	85	10	15	2	242	330	383	713	141	306	24	9	321	98	-1	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	351	308	74	14	4	7	31	84	9	14	2	241	329	380	709	139	306	24	9	319	97	-1	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	345	303	73	14	4	7	30	83	9	14	2	239	327	375	702	136	305	24	9	316	95	-2	+2	-0	-2	+7	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	331	290	69	13	4	6	29	81	9	13	2	236	324	368	692	132	303	24	9	312	93	-3	+2	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	320	281	65	12	3	6	28	79	8	12	2	233	320	360	680	127	301	25	9	308	89	-4	+2	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2040	31	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	310	272	63	12	3	5	27	78	8	11	2	228	315	350	665	121	297	25	9	301	85	-5	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3871	3393	806	152	44	70	340	934	104	155	23	238	326	370	696	133	305	24	9	314	92	-31	+22	-4	-23	+84	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	136	26	7	12	57	157	17	26	4	239	326	372	698	133	306	24	9	314	92	-5	+4	-1	-4	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7495	6558	1503	260	69	137	662	1805	214	324	53	229	320	353	673	123	294	24	9	305	92	-63	+40	-7	-44	+158	8.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	131	23	6	12	57	157	19	28	5	230	321	355	676	125	295	24	9	305	92	-6	+4	-1	-4	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jim Rivera'52-'61 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,008 PA	6.0	4,008	83	160	251*	315*	426*	-23	-0	9.1	9.5
/162	664	14	27	-3.8	-0.0	1.5	pk7: 10
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.1	4,030	75	162	231	316	356	-24	+0	7.4	6.5
/162	664	12	27	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 6
#4Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Johnny Barrett'42-'46 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,108 PA	3.2	2,108	23	69	244*	341*	419*	-12	-7	5.8	5.8
/162	664	7	22	-3.9	-2.3	1.8	pk7: 6
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joscar Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	214/304/306	92	288	1	6	25%	9%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	48→54	41→50	55→60	46	230/305/334	104	275	7	21	18%	6%	84	+0.1	249/317/371	122	312	8	23	22%	5%	97	+1.1	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	46→56	42→50	57→70	39	220/265/344	123	298	7	19	28%	5%	70	-0.9	203/255/308	105	317	9	27	36%	5%	58	-1.7	268/342/400	133	331	12	74	21%	6%	111	+1.5
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	43→53	40→50	57→55	43	207/267/301	93	294	6	22	30%	7%	61	-1.5	237/294/369	132	297	12	21	23%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/388	143	293	14	19	20%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Eury Pérez 2009 · A	19	44→54	36→40	54→65	51	204/286/265	61	255	3	20	20%	8%	61	-1.5	257/302/327	70	316	4	28	19%	5%	79	-0.2	300/333/376	75	363	4	37	18%	3%	96	+0.8
●Jahmai Jones 2017 · A	19	47→51	39→50	52→50	43	225/278/309	84	286	6	17	23%	6%	67	-1.1	225/283/333	108	294	9	15	25%	7%	74	-0.5	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	43→48	40→50	59→65	47	205/283/296	91	289	7	26	30%	9%	66	-1.1	211/287/356	145	315	14	39	35%	9%	82	-0.0	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Charlie Culberson 2008 · A	19	45→54	38→45	60→50	41	212/274/296	84	304	4	18	30%	6%	63	-1.4	218/263/298	80	292	5	11	26%	5%	58	-1.7	253/299/420	167	321	18	9	26%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Monte Harrison 2015 · A	19	46→45	36→50	59→60	45	208/296/275	67	310	3	25	31%	8%	68	-1.0	186/255/278	92	313	8	16	40%	6%	53	-2.1	201/270/324	123	349	15	41	43%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2011 · A	18	44→49	37→50	59→55	52	205/277/291	86	252	3	23	19%	9%	63	-1.4	224/277/314	90	328	6	17	31%	7%	67	-1.1	226/267/359	133	345	15	15	38%	5%	72	-0.4
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	220/277/308	88	280	7	24	24%	6%	67	-1.1	257/319/376	119	305	9	29	18%	7%	97	+1.1	264/336/406	142	313	11	37	18%	8%	108	+1.9
●Abraham Almonte 2007 · A	18	39→49	41→55	54→55	59	189/290/290	101	234	8	26	22%	12%	68	-1.0	208/270/305	97	275	7	19	25%	8%	63	-1.4	259/316/379	120	330	8	25	22%	7%	94	+0.8

Joscar Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps