Luis Aguilera — OGILVIE

Luis AguileraSS FCL Tigers

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 145 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 70 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .300 / .344

PA70

HR1

K%21

BB%7

BABIP292

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$7M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$17M		$38M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	95	23	0	1	1	12	22	1	5	3	242	333	295	628	53	306	20	11	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	89	26	0	1	1	18	15	1	5	3	292	417	348	765	56	342	14	17	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	87	18	2	2	0	6	15	0	5	2	207	258	276	534	69	243	16	6	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	83	21	3	2	0	10	10	0	5	2	253	333	337	671	84	280	11	11	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	DET	—	105	97	21	1	1	0	6	16	2	2	1	216	276	247	524	31	259	15	6	240	42	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
YTD	19	ROK	DET	—	105	93	26	1	2	0	10	11	2	2	1	280	362	333	695	54	317	10	10	322	104	+1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.5
ROS	19	ROK	DET	0%	70	64	15	2	1	1	5	15	1	1	0	234	300	344	644	109	284	21	7	270	65	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	259	56	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	DET	—	105	98	21	1	1	0	6	16	2	2	1	214	276	245	521	31	256	15	6	240	42	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
TOT	19	ROK	DET	—	175	161	36	3	2	1	11	31	3	3	1	224	286	286	571	62	271	18	6	252	51	-10	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	DET	34%	219	199	47	6	2	3	16	47	2	4	1	236	300	332	631	95	288	21	7	282	74	-6	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.2
2028	21	MLB	DET	48%	347	314	74	10	3	5	26	74	4	7	2	236	302	334	637	99	289	21	7	289	79	-8	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.5
2029	22	MLB	DET	54%	438	397	94	13	4	7	33	92	5	9	3	237	303	343	646	106	290	21	8	294	83	-8	+1	-2	+5	+12	0.8
2030	23	MLB	DET	57%	498	451	109	15	5	9	38	105	6	11	3	242	309	357	666	115	291	21	8	297	86	-8	+1	-2	+5	+14	1.1
2031	24	MLB	DET	57%	537	485	117	16	5	10	41	112	6	12	3	241	308	357	665	115	292	21	8	299	87	-8	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.3
2032	25	MLB	DET	57%	560	505	122	16	5	11	43	117	7	12	4	242	310	358	668	117	292	21	8	300	88	-8	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.3
2033	26	MLB	DET	56%	571	515	125	17	5	11	44	119	7	12	4	243	311	359	670	117	292	21	8	300	88	-8	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.4
2034	27	MLB	DET	55%	574	517	125	17	5	11	45	120	7	13	4	242	311	358	669	116	292	21	8	300	88	-8	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.4
2035	28	MLB	DET	55%	571	514	124	17	5	11	45	120	7	12	4	241	311	358	669	117	291	21	8	300	87	-8	+1	-3	+6	+16	1.2
2036	29	MLB	DET	53%	562	506	121	16	5	10	44	120	7	12	3	239	309	350	659	111	291	21	8	298	86	-9	+1	-3	+6	+16	1.1
2037	30	MLB	DET	53%	552	496	119	16	5	10	44	119	7	11	3	240	311	353	664	113	290	22	8	295	84	-10	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.9
2038	31	MLB	DET	52%	539	485	114	15	5	9	43	118	6	10	3	235	305	342	648	107	288	22	8	291	81	-11	+1	-5	+6	+15	0.6
2039	32	MLB	DET	52%	521	469	108	14	4	8	41	116	6	10	3	230	300	328	629	98	286	22	8	286	77	-13	+1	-5	+6	+15	0.2
2040	33	MLB	DET	52%	491	445	99	12	4	7	38	112	5	9	3	222	291	315	606	92	283	23	8	280	73	-15	+1	-6	+5	+14	-0.1
2041	34	MLB	DET	47%	444	401	88	10	4	6	35	104	5	7	2	219	290	309	599	90	278	23	8	273	67	-17	+1	-6	+5	+13	-0.5
2027	20	MLB	DET	34%	75	69	16	2	1	1	5	16	1	1	0	232	293	333	627	101	284	21	7	270	65	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	DET	48%	168	152	36	5	2	2	12	36	2	3	1	237	301	336	637	99	285	21	7	277	70	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
2029	22	MLB	DET	54%	238	215	51	7	2	4	18	50	3	5	1	237	305	344	649	107	286	21	8	281	73	-7	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2030	23	MLB	DET	57%	282	256	61	8	3	5	21	59	3	6	2	238	304	352	655	113	287	21	7	284	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB	DET	57%	304	274	65	9	3	5	23	64	4	7	2	237	306	347	652	109	288	21	8	286	77	-8	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2032	25	MLB	DET	57%	316	285	68	9	3	6	24	66	4	7	2	239	307	354	661	116	288	21	8	287	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2033	26	MLB	DET	56%	323	291	69	9	3	6	25	67	4	7	2	237	306	351	657	113	287	21	8	287	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2034	27	MLB	DET	55%	318	286	68	9	3	6	25	67	4	7	2	238	308	353	661	115	287	21	8	287	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2035	28	MLB	DET	55%	313	281	67	9	3	6	25	66	4	7	2	238	310	356	666	117	287	21	8	286	77	-8	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2036	29	MLB	DET	53%	300	269	63	8	3	5	24	64	4	6	2	234	306	342	648	108	287	21	8	285	76	-8	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.2
2037	30	MLB	DET	53%	291	263	62	8	3	5	23	63	3	6	2	236	304	346	651	110	286	22	8	282	74	-8	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.1
2038	31	MLB	DET	52%	281	254	59	8	2	5	22	61	3	5	2	232	301	339	640	106	284	22	8	279	72	-9	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.0
2039	32	MLB	DET	52%	270	244	55	7	2	4	21	60	3	5	2	225	295	320	614	94	282	22	8	274	68	-10	+0	-3	+3	+8	-0.2
2040	33	MLB	DET	52%	254	229	51	6	2	4	20	58	3	4	1	223	294	319	612	96	279	23	8	268	64	-10	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.3
2041	34	MLB	DET	47%	210	190	42	5	2	3	16	49	2	3	1	221	288	316	604	95	274	23	8	261	58	-10	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3943	3559	833	109	37	67	304	846	47	79	24	234	303	342	645	108	287	21	8	281	73	-119	+6	-24	+42	+112	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	137	18	6	11	50	139	8	13	4	233	302	341	643	107	286	21	8	281	73	-20	+1	-4	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	7697	6945	1642	214	70	130	599	1647	89	162	50	236	305	344	649	107	290	21	8	292	82	-158	+12	-46	+82	+218	11.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	139	18	6	11	51	139	8	14	4	237	307	345	652	108	292	21	8	292	82	-13	+1	-4	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	89	26	0	1	1	18	15	1	5	3	292	417	348	765	56	342	14	17	358	132	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	83	21	3	2	0	10	10	0	5	2	253	333	337	671	84	280	11	11	300	88	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#2Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,048	70	82	238	303	347	+42	+0	7.9	6.8
	/162	664	12	13	238	303	347	+6.9	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Aguilera (OGILVIE)	19	25→55	30→40	55	50	224/286/286	62	271	1	3	18%	6%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→56	40→50	54→45	44	222/273/324	102	287	6	6	24%	6%	64	-0.8	243/281/378	135	290	15	6	21%	5%	82	+0.5	255/295/391	136	297	16	4	20%	5%	91	+0.7
●Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	56	-1.3	245/295/352	107	322	5	15	24%	6%	81	+0.4	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	62	-0.9	252/298/346	94	308	6	11	19%	6%	80	+0.4	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→51	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	68	-0.5	241/294/369	128	325	10	10	27%	6%	85	+0.7	241/298/385	144	307	13	11	25%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	60	-1.0	234/282/320	86	276	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	263/317/347	84	301	3	3	13%	7%	86	+0.6
●Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	66	-0.6	248/321/370	122	279	11	7	15%	7%	98	+1.6	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Tucker Barnhart 2010 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→40	43	204/257/275	71	277	4	6	27%	6%	45	-2.1	222/282/297	75	300	3	5	25%	7%	61	-1.0	242/327/368	126	287	12	2	19%	11%	89	+0.7
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	52→55	47	210/291/312	102	321	7	14	34%	10%	70	-0.3	212/314/339	127	299	15	12	31%	12%	88	+0.9	207/304/326	119	281	14	14	29%	11%	78	+0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→51	38→50	52→40	41	203/259/295	92	291	4	6	30%	6%	50	-1.7	225/289/342	117	294	9	5	25%	8%	76	+0.0	236/304/339	103	303	8	2	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
●Jordany Valdespin 2008 · A	20	43→53	37→50	49→55	48	202/278/277	75	266	4	10	24%	8%	56	-1.3	223/264/322	99	273	7	13	20%	5%	59	-1.1	256/296/403	147	298	17	28	20%	4%	92	+0.7