Luis Aguilera — OGILVIE

Luis AguileraSS DSL Tigers 2

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.3 · 2033

wRC+74

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .288 / .333

PA83

HR2

K%27

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25↗55

PWR

30↗40

SPD

55→55

FLD

40↗50

EYE

51↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.5peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.1	$30M	+$29M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.3	$32M	+$32M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.3	$33M	+$32M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.2	$33M	+$27M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+3.0	$32M	+$22M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.8	$31M	+$17M
Totals		$33M		$192M	+$159M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	108	95	23	0	1	1	12	22	1	5	3	.242	.333	.295	.628	.053	.306	20	11	.272	66	-4	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	95	87	18	2	2	0	6	15	0	5	2	.207	.258	.276	.534	.069	.243	16	6	.245	46	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	—	83	75	18	3	1	2	7	23	1	2	0	.240	.313	.387	.700	.147	.292	28	8	.282	74	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	—	174	155	36	6	1	4	15	44	2	4	1	.232	.308	.361	.669	.129	.300	25	9	.305	91	-2	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.5
2028	21	MLB 28%	—	312	276	66	11	2	8	29	76	4	7	2	.239	.320	.380	.701	.141	.302	24	9	.315	100	-0	+1	-1	+3	+9	1.2
2029	22	MLB 48%	—	414	366	89	15	3	11	40	99	5	10	2	.243	.326	.391	.717	.148	.302	24	10	.323	105	+2	+1	-1	+4	+12	1.9
2030	23	MLB 65%	—	481	424	105	18	3	14	48	112	6	11	2	.248	.333	.403	.736	.156	.303	23	10	.329	110	+5	+1	-2	+5	+14	2.4
2031	24	MLB 82%	—	526	461	116	19	4	16	54	120	6	12	3	.252	.338	.414	.752	.163	.303	23	10	.333	113	+8	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.8
2032	25	MLB	—	552	482	122	20	4	17	58	125	7	12	3	.253	.342	.417	.759	.164	.304	23	11	.336	116	+10	+1	-2	+6	+16	3.1
2033	26	MLB	—	566	494	126	21	4	18	60	128	7	12	2	.255	.344	.423	.767	.168	.305	23	11	.338	117	+11	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.3
2034	27	MLB	—	571	498	126	21	4	18	61	130	7	12	2	.253	.343	.420	.762	.167	.305	23	11	.338	117	+11	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.3
2035	28	MLB	—	569	495	125	21	4	17	62	131	7	12	2	.253	.344	.414	.758	.162	.305	23	11	.337	116	+10	+2	-3	+6	+16	3.2
2036	29	MLB	—	561	488	122	20	4	17	61	131	7	11	2	.250	.342	.412	.754	.162	.304	23	11	.335	115	+9	+1	-3	+6	+16	3.0
2037	30	MLB	—	552	481	119	20	3	16	60	130	6	11	1	.247	.338	.401	.739	.154	.303	24	11	.332	112	+8	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.8
2038	31	MLB	—	538	469	114	19	3	15	58	129	6	10	0	.243	.334	.392	.726	.149	.302	24	11	.329	110	+6	+2	-5	+6	+15	2.5
2039	32	MLB	—	520	453	109	18	3	14	56	128	6	9	0	.241	.332	.386	.718	.146	.301	25	11	.324	106	+4	+2	-5	+6	+15	2.1
2040	33	MLB	—	491	430	101	16	3	13	53	124	5	9	0	.235	.326	.377	.703	.142	.300	25	11	.319	102	+1	+2	-6	+5	+14	1.6
2041	34	MLB	—	444	388	90	14	3	11	48	116	5	8	0	.232	.324	.369	.693	.137	.299	26	11	.312	97	-1	+2	-6	+5	+13	1.1
2042	35	MLB	—	390	342	77	12	2	9	41	106	4	7	0	.225	.315	.351	.666	.126	.297	27	11	.305	92	-4	+1	-7	+4	+11	0.6
2043	36	MLB	—	330	289	64	10	2	7	35	93	3	6	0	.221	.312	.343	.654	.121	.295	28	11	.296	85	-6	+1	-7	+4	+9	0.1
2044	37	MLB	—	266	234	50	7	2	5	27	77	3	5	0	.214	.303	.325	.628	.111	.292	29	10	.287	78	-7	+1	-8	+3	+8	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	—	197	173	35	5	1	3	20	59	2	4	0	.202	.292	.295	.587	.092	.288	30	10	.277	70	-7	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8740	7655	1851	298	59	236	911	2118	100	184	27	.242	.330	.389	.719	.147	.302	24	10	.322	105	+46	+26	-77	+94	+248	34.4
/ 162G	—			650	569	138	22	4	18	68	158	7	14	2	.243	.330	.390	.720	.148	.303	24	10	.322	105	+3	+2	-6	+7	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	108	89	26	0	1	1	18	15	1	5	3	.292	.417	.348	.765	.056	.342	14	17	.358	132	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	95	83	21	3	2	0	10	10	0	5	2	.253	.333	.337	.671	.084	.280	11	11	.300	88	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Aguilera (OGILVIE)	19	25→55	30→40	55	50	.219/.288/.333	.113	.292	2	2	27%	8%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	49→58	37→45	50	48	.231/.293/.308	.076	.300	4	13	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.243/.308/.337	.094	.291	8	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	51	.218/.295/.314	.096	.275	8	8	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.288/.359	.134	.280	15	4	24%	8%	80	+0.4	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→52	43→50	52→55	54	.219/.321/.336	.117	.295	9	17	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.230/.314/.374	.144	.298	13	20	25%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.316/.381	.152	.296	15	21	26%	10%	95	+0.9
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→55	52→55	41	.212/.263/.298	.086	.291	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.258/.304/.406	.148	.329	14	21	25%	5%	99	+1.7	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A	20	49→59	42→50	54→50	37	.235/.276/.347	.112	.314	8	11	27%	4%	72	-0.2	.221/.280/.325	.104	.331	8	12	33%	7%	68	-0.5	.262/.344/.424	.163	.366	16	16	30%	11%	115	+2.2
●Justin Crawford 2023 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	41	.213/.274/.288	.076	.314	5	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	.272/.317/.374	.102	.360	6	33	25%	6%	95	+1.4	.294/.339/.402	.108	.380	7	41	23%	6%	107	+1.7
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	50→60	39→50	48→55	48	.235/.303/.327	.092	.279	6	11	18%	6%	78	+0.2	.235/.290/.342	.107	.303	7	22	24%	5%	77	+0.1	.262/.326/.420	.159	.312	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.1
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	.209/.268/.279	.070	.271	5	6	24%	7%	50	-1.7	.224/.289/.327	.103	.275	7	5	20%	8%	72	-0.2	.253/.306/.321	.068	.288	2	0	12%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	47→56	41→45	56→70	47	.226/.290/.328	.102	.300	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.218/.270/.316	.098	.284	7	16	24%	6%	60	-1.0	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→50	41→45	52→50	47	.214/.293/.319	.105	.323	8	13	34%	10%	72	-0.2	.209/.310/.338	.129	.295	15	12	31%	12%	85	+0.7	.208/.302/.326	.118	.280	14	14	29%	11%	76	+0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	40	40→45	46→45	47	.186/.285/.282	.096	.298	8	6	36%	11%	61	-1.0	.184/.262/.261	.077	.294	6	6	36%	9%	44	-2.1	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→56	42→45	49→50	46	.224/.285/.337	.113	.288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	.233/.299/.337	.104	.295	6	12	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→55	40→50	54→45	44	.221/.273/.322	.101	.288	6	7	25%	6%	63	-0.8	.241/.281/.377	.136	.286	15	6	21%	5%	82	+0.5	.248/.300/.378	.130	.288	14	2	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	.224/.276/.310	.086	.292	6	13	24%	6%	62	-0.9	.246/.290/.340	.094	.299	7	12	19%	6%	75	-0.0	.269/.318/.358	.090	.312	5	8	15%	6%	90	+0.9
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→60	48	.216/.286/.284	.068	.296	4	14	27%	9%	59	-1.1	.213/.287/.280	.067	.286	4	16	24%	9%	59	-1.1	.273/.346/.393	.120	.333	12	35	20%	10%	107	+1.7
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→55	40	50→40	46	.221/.288/.315	.094	.293	7	7	26%	8%	69	-0.4	.238/.304/.326	.088	.303	7	5	22%	8%	79	+0.3	.246/.316/.311	.065	.316	4	2	22%	9%	75	+0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)