Luis Aguilera — OGILVIE

Luis AguileraSS FCL Tigers

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 145 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP280

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	89	26	0	1	1	18	15	1	5	3	292	417	348	765	56	342	14	17	358	129	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	83	21	3	2	0	10	10	0	5	2	253	333	337	671	84	280	11	11	300	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	96	23	0	1	1	11	22	1	5	3	240	324	292	616	52	293	20	10	271	70	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	87	18	2	2	0	6	15	0	5	2	207	258	276	534	69	236	16	6	239	48	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	96	23	0	1	1	11	22	1	5	3	240	324	292	616	52	301	20	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	89	26	0	1	1	18	15	1	5	3	292	417	348	765	56	342	14	17	358	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	87	18	2	2	0	6	15	0	5	2	207	258	276	534	69	243	16	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	83	21	3	2	0	10	10	0	5	2	253	333	337	671	84	280	11	11	300	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	95	23	0	1	1	11	22	1	5	3	242	324	295	619	53	293	20	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	89	18	2	2	0	6	15	0	5	2	202	258	270	528	67	236	16	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	108	95	23	0	1	1	11	22	1	5	3	242	324	295	619	53	293	20	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	95	89	18	2	2	0	6	15	0	5	2	202	258	270	528	67	236	16	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	DET	—	118	109	23	1	1	0	7	20	2	4	1	211	271	239	510	28	258	17	6	234	45	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	DET	—	118	105	29	1	2	0	11	14	2	4	1	276	356	324	680	48	319	12	9	315	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	DET	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		283	25	8	267	67	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	DET	—	130	120	25	1	1	0	8	23	2	4	1	208	269	233	503	25	258	18	6	237	47	-8	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	DET	34%	193	175	40	5	2	2	14	42	2	4	1	229	293	314	607	86	287	22	7	280	75	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	DET	48%	327	296	70	9	3	5	24	70	4	7	2	236	302	338	640	101	289	21	7	287	81	-8	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	DET	54%	424	385	91	12	4	7	31	90	5	9	2	236	302	343	645	106	290	21	7	292	84	-8	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	DET	57%	488	443	105	14	4	9	36	103	6	10	3	237	303	348	651	111	291	21	7	295	86	-8	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	DET	57%	530	479	115	15	5	10	40	112	6	11	3	240	307	355	662	115	291	21	8	297	87	-8	+1	-2	+6	+11	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	DET	57%	555	502	121	16	5	11	42	117	6	12	3	241	307	359	666	118	291	21	8	298	88	-8	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	568	513	125	17	5	11	43	119	7	12	3	244	311	361	671	117	291	21	8	299	88	-8	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	572	516	125	17	5	11	44	121	7	12	3	242	310	359	669	116	291	21	8	299	88	-8	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	DET	55%	570	514	123	16	5	11	44	121	7	12	3	239	308	354	662	115	291	21	8	298	88	-8	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	DET	53%	562	506	121	16	5	10	44	121	7	12	3	239	309	350	659	111	290	22	8	296	87	-9	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	DET	53%	552	498	118	15	5	10	43	120	6	11	3	237	305	347	653	110	290	22	8	294	85	-10	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	DET	52%	538	485	113	15	4	9	42	118	6	10	3	233	302	336	638	103	288	22	8	290	82	-11	+1	-5	+6	+12	0.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	DET	52%	520	469	108	14	4	8	40	116	6	10	3	230	299	328	627	98	285	22	8	285	79	-13	+1	-5	+6	+11	-0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	DET	52%	491	445	99	12	4	7	38	112	5	9	2	222	291	315	606	92	282	23	8	279	75	-15	+1	-6	+5	+11	-0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	DET	34%	66	60	15	2	1	1	5	14	1	1	0	250	318	367	685	117	283	21	8	268	75	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	DET	48%	158	144	32	4	1	2	11	34	2	3	1	222	287	306	592	83	285	22	7	275	81	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	DET	54%	230	208	49	6	2	4	17	49	3	5	1	236	303	341	644	106	285	21	7	280	84	-4	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	DET	57%	276	250	59	8	2	5	21	58	3	6	2	236	303	344	647	108	286	21	8	283	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	DET	57%	300	272	65	9	3	5	22	63	3	6	2	239	303	349	652	110	287	21	7	284	87	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	DET	57%	314	283	68	9	3	6	24	66	4	7	2	240	309	357	666	117	287	21	8	285	88	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	321	290	69	9	3	6	24	68	4	7	2	238	305	352	657	114	287	21	7	286	88	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	317	286	68	9	3	6	24	67	4	7	2	238	306	353	659	115	287	21	8	286	88	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	DET	55%	313	282	68	9	3	6	24	66	4	7	2	241	310	358	668	117	287	21	8	285	88	-5	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	DET	53%	300	271	63	8	3	5	23	64	3	6	2	232	300	339	639	107	286	21	8	283	87	-5	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	DET	53%	291	263	61	8	2	5	23	63	3	6	2	232	301	335	636	103	285	22	8	281	85	-5	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	DET	52%	281	254	58	7	2	5	22	62	3	5	1	228	297	331	628	102	284	22	8	277	82	-6	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	DET	52%	270	244	55	7	2	4	21	60	3	5	1	225	295	320	614	94	281	22	8	273	79	-7	+1	-3	+3	+6	-0.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	DET	52%	254	229	51	6	2	4	20	58	3	4	1	223	294	319	612	96	278	23	8	267	75	-8	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3691	3336	781	101	32	64	281	792	43	75	21	234	302	341	643	107	287	21	8	281	84	-67	+7	-21	+40	+80	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	138	18	6	11	49	139	8	13	4	235	302	342	645	107	289	21	8	281	84	-12	+1	-4	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7105	6420	1517	195	63	122	543	1522	81	151	42	236	304	343	647	107	290	21	8	292	84	-128	+13	-39	+74	+150	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	139	18	6	11	50	139	7	14	4	237	304	344	648	107	291	21	8	292	84	-12	+1	-4	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,782	67	78	238	302	347	+41	+0	8.0	6.8
/162	664	12	14	+7.1	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Aguilera (OGILVIE)	19	25→55	30→40	55	50	223/284/297	74	283	1	2	22%	7%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	73	-0.6	241/308/328	87	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.0	248/318/312	64	318	4	2	21%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	61	-1.5	245/294/353	108	322	5	15	24%	6%	82	+0.0	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→56	40→50	54→45	44	222/273/324	102	287	6	6	24%	6%	68	-1.0	243/281/377	134	290	14	6	21%	5%	84	+0.1	251/302/378	128	291	13	2	18%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→55	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	70	-0.9	247/320/367	120	279	11	7	15%	7%	97	+1.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	66	-1.1	253/298/346	93	309	6	11	19%	6%	82	+0.0	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Tucker Barnhart 2010 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→40	43	204/257/275	71	277	4	6	27%	6%	51	-2.2	222/281/298	76	299	3	5	25%	7%	65	-1.2	243/328/368	125	289	12	2	19%	11%	90	+0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	44	37→55	49→50	47	210/269/289	79	269	4	8	22%	7%	59	-1.7	208/258/305	97	283	7	9	27%	6%	58	-1.7	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	65	-1.2	237/285/325	88	280	4	5	16%	6%	73	-0.6	271/325/356	85	309	2	3	12%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	51	37→40	46→50	53	240/305/319	80	282	3	10	16%	8%	79	-0.2	208/265/274	66	271	2	6	22%	7%	53	-2.1	181/234/228	47	241	0	2	23%	6%	30	-0.9
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→49	41→45	52→55	47	211/293/316	105	325	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	210/312/335	125	297	14	12	31%	12%	87	+0.4	208/305/322	114	282	13	14	29%	11%	79	-0.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps