Endy Rios

SS DSL Padres Gold
Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1595ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Padres Br…100.194/.242/.25803-16—.126/.162/.168
202518ROKDSL Padres Br…116.260/.357/.3400532—.173/.252/.221
202619ROKDSL Padres Go…163.328/.421/.4160957—.217/.296/.266
2027PROJMLE20MLBSD273.214/.276/.29325610.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBSD46.215/.278/.3020167-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBSD110.219/.283/.3141271-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
wOBA73
K%68
wRC+66
Speed61
Z-Con%59
Whiff%53
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%
CompsConner Capel (age 20) · Matthew Sulentic (age 20) · Chuck Taylor (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .274 / .290
PA84
HR1
K%26
BB%7
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT56
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED56
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-1$0.8M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $1M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 10093 18410 6260 33 194242258500 65265 266 227 -16 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 116100 26420 12213 53 260357340697 80329 1810 319 32 — — — — — —
202619 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 163137 45820 21291 93 328421416837 88417 1813 372 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 10095 12210 4330 33 126162168330 42180 334 145 -16 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 116104 18310 8253 53 173252221473 48222 227 215 32 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 163143 31510 15351 93 217296266561 49282 219 253 57 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 10095 12210 4330 33 126162168330 42190 334 145 -16 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 10093 18410 6260 33 194242258500 65265 266 227 -16 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 116104 18310 8253 53 173252221473 48228 227 215 32 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 116100 26420 12213 53 260357340697 80329 1810 319 32 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 163143 31510 15351 93 217296266561 49287 219 253 57 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 163137 45820 21291 93 328421416837 88417 1813 372 57 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 10096 12210 4330 33 125162167328 42180 334 145 -16 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 116104 18310 8253 53 173252221473 48222 227 215 32 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 163146 31510 15351 93 212296260556 48282 219 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 10096 12210 4330 33 125162167328 42180 334 145 -16 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 116104 18310 8253 53 173252221473 48222 227 215 32 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 163146 31510 15351 93 212296260556 48282 219 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLESD 0% 273250 53922 19722 51 214276293569 78290 267 259 61 -13 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLESD 34% 135123 27511 10351 31 219282307589 89291 267 267 67 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202922 MLB MLESD 48% 228208 47823 16582 51 222286319605 97292 257 274 71 -8 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.0
203023 MLB MLESD 54% 323294 671135 23823 72 225289329618 104293 257 279 75 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.1
203124 MLB MLESD 55% 392356 811436 29994 92 228292337629 109294 257 283 78 -10 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.3
203225 MLB MLESD 56% 431392 891547 321084 93 229294343637 114294 257 286 80 -10 +1 +0 +5 +9 0.4
203326 MLB MLESD 56% 451410 941648 341134 103 229294344638 115294 258 287 80 -11 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.5
203427 MLB MLESD 55% 459418 951648 341154 103 228293341634 113293 257 285 79 -11 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.4
203528 MLB MLESD 55% 459418 951648 341164 93 226291337628 110293 257 283 78 -12 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.3
203629 MLB MLESD 53% 450410 911537 331154 83 224289331620 107292 267 279 75 -13 +0 -1 +5 +10 0.0
202821 MLB CTXSD 34% 4643 8100 3120 10 215278302580 87286 267 264 67 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXSD 48% 110100 21311 8281 21 219283314597 95287 257 270 71 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
203023 MLB CTXSD 54% 175158 36613 13442 41 222286324610 102288 257 276 75 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
203124 MLB CTXSD 55% 217197 45724 16552 51 224289332621 108289 257 280 78 -6 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.2
203225 MLB CTXSD 56% 241219 49824 18602 52 225291338628 112289 257 283 80 -6 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
203326 MLB CTXSD 56% 254231 52825 19642 62 226291339630 113288 257 283 80 -6 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.3
203427 MLB CTXSD 55% 254231 51824 19642 52 225290336626 112288 257 282 79 -6 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203528 MLB CTXSD 55% 252229 51824 19642 52 223288332620 109287 258 280 78 -7 +0 -0 +3 +5 0.1
203629 MLB CTXSD 53% 240218 49824 18622 42 221286326612 105286 268 276 75 -7 +0 -1 +3 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 17891626 362571429 13345315 3713 223287328616 106289 257 279 72 -48 +2 -1 +19 +39 1.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 13221511 481655 135 223287332619 108289 257 279 72 -18 +1 -0 +7 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 37913448 7641293254 27895635 8930 222286325611 103289 257 275 72 -94 +6 -2 +37 +74 2.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 1302259 481646 155 220285320605 100287 257 275 72 -18 +1 -0 +7 +14 0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 163 PAwOBA .363 → .253 (−110)K% 17.8% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.79%÷1.000×1.220——21.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.88%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9958.97%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.700—×0.9950.43%
Singles /BIP32.41%÷1.000×0.680×1.026×0.99522.51%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷1.000×0.600×1.026×0.9954.54%
Triples /BIP1.85%÷1.000×0.600×1.026×0.9951.13%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .363 → .253; ISO .088 → .056; BABIP .417 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 116 PAwOBA .312 → .215 (−97)K% 18.1% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.10%÷1.026×1.220——21.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0087.30%
HBP% /PA2.59%—×0.700—×1.0081.82%
Singles /BIP25.32%÷1.050×0.680×1.039×1.00817.17%
Doubles /BIP5.06%÷0.959×0.600×1.039×1.0083.32%
Triples /BIP2.53%÷0.948×0.600×1.039×1.0081.68%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.880×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .312 → .215; ISO .080 → .054; BABIP .329 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 100 PAwOBA .224 → .145 (−79)K% 26.0% → 32.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.00%÷0.974×1.220——32.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.00%÷1.036×0.700—×1.0224.14%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP19.40%÷1.000×0.680×1.017×1.02213.72%
Doubles /BIP5.97%÷1.015×0.600×1.017×1.0223.67%
Triples /BIP1.49%÷1.000×0.600×1.017×1.0220.93%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .224 → .145; ISO .065 → .038; BABIP .265 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).