Endy Rios — OGILVIE

Endy RiosSS DSL Padres Brown

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 56 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .268 / .235

PA56

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP286

ISO39

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-3	$1M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	95	12	2	1	0	4	40	0	3	3	126	162	168	330	42	214	40	4	146	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	93	18	4	1	0	6	26	0	3	3	194	242	258	500	65	265	26	6	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	105	20	3	2	0	7	29	3	5	3	190	261	257	518	67	263	25	6	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	100	26	4	2	0	12	21	3	5	3	260	357	340	697	80	329	18	10	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	SD	—	84	76	17	1	1	0	6	29	1	6	0	224	289	263	552	39	362	35	7	248	48	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
YTD	19	ROK	SD	—	84	72	22	2	1	0	10	20	1	6	0	306	398	361	759	56	423	24	12	346	123	+2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.7
ROS	19	ROK	SD	0%	56	51	10	2	0	0	4	16	1	2	0	196	268	235	503	39	286	29	7	245	46	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	235	38	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	SD	—	84	77	17	1	1	0	6	29	1	6	0	221	289	260	549	39	354	35	7	248	48	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK	SD	—	140	127	27	3	1	0	10	45	2	8	0	213	281	252	533	39	329	32	7	247	47	-8	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SD	34%	188	171	36	6	1	2	13	53	2	4	1	211	274	292	567	82	289	28	7	259	56	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	SD	48%	323	293	62	10	2	4	23	89	4	7	1	212	278	300	578	89	291	28	7	268	64	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2029	22	MLB	SD	54%	422	384	84	13	3	7	30	115	5	9	2	219	284	323	607	104	292	27	7	274	68	-15	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.2
2030	23	MLB	SD	57%	488	444	98	16	4	8	35	132	6	11	2	221	287	329	615	108	293	27	7	278	71	-16	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2031	24	MLB	SD	57%	531	481	107	17	4	9	39	143	6	12	2	222	289	331	620	108	293	27	7	280	73	-16	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.6
2032	25	MLB	SD	57%	557	504	113	18	4	10	41	150	7	12	2	224	292	335	627	111	293	27	7	281	73	-17	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.7
2033	26	MLB	SD	56%	571	517	114	18	4	10	42	154	7	13	3	221	288	329	617	108	293	27	7	282	74	-17	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.7
2034	27	MLB	SD	55%	575	520	115	18	4	10	43	155	7	13	3	221	289	329	618	108	293	27	7	282	74	-17	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.7
2035	28	MLB	SD	59%	572	517	114	18	4	10	43	155	7	12	2	221	289	329	618	108	293	27	8	281	73	-17	+2	-1	+6	+16	0.6
2036	29	MLB	SD	61%	564	509	113	18	4	10	43	154	7	12	2	222	292	332	624	110	292	27	8	279	72	-18	+2	-1	+6	+16	0.4
2037	30	MLB	SD	62%	555	502	109	17	4	9	42	153	6	11	2	217	285	321	606	104	291	28	8	277	70	-19	+1	-2	+6	+16	0.2
2038	31	MLB	SD	63%	541	489	106	16	4	9	41	151	6	11	2	217	285	321	607	104	289	28	8	273	67	-20	+1	-3	+6	+15	-0.0
2027	20	MLB	SD	34%	65	60	13	2	1	1	4	18	1	1	0	217	277	333	610	117	286	28	6	248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	SD	48%	157	143	30	5	1	2	11	43	2	3	1	210	276	301	576	91	287	27	7	257	55	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	SD	54%	229	208	45	7	2	3	16	62	3	5	1	216	282	312	594	96	288	27	7	263	59	-11	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	SD	57%	276	251	55	9	2	4	20	75	3	6	1	219	285	319	603	100	289	27	7	266	62	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
2031	24	MLB	SD	57%	300	271	59	9	2	5	22	81	4	7	1	218	286	321	607	103	290	27	7	268	63	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2032	25	MLB	SD	57%	315	285	62	10	2	5	23	85	4	7	1	218	285	319	605	102	290	27	7	269	64	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2033	26	MLB	SD	56%	323	292	64	10	2	6	24	87	4	7	1	219	287	329	616	110	290	27	7	270	65	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2034	27	MLB	SD	55%	319	288	64	10	2	6	24	86	4	7	1	222	291	333	624	111	290	27	8	270	65	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2035	28	MLB	SD	59%	338	306	66	10	2	6	25	92	4	7	1	216	284	320	604	105	290	27	7	269	64	-14	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.0
2036	29	MLB	SD	61%	344	311	68	11	2	6	26	94	4	7	1	219	287	325	612	106	289	27	8	267	63	-14	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.1
2037	30	MLB	SD	62%	345	312	67	10	2	6	26	95	4	7	1	215	284	317	601	103	288	28	8	265	61	-15	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.2
2038	31	MLB	SD	63%	341	308	65	10	2	5	26	95	4	7	1	211	281	305	586	94	286	28	8	261	58	-16	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3352	3036	658	103	22	55	247	913	41	71	11	217	285	319	604	103	289	27	7	266	62	-144	+10	-4	+36	+95	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	128	20	4	11	48	177	8	14	2	217	286	321	607	104	289	27	7	266	62	-28	+2	-1	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	6159	5582	1213	192	45	98	450	1689	74	137	30	217	284	320	605	103	291	27	7	274	68	-221	+15	-7	+66	+175	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	128	20	5	10	47	178	8	14	3	217	284	319	603	102	292	27	7	274	68	-23	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	93	18	4	1	0	6	26	0	3	3	194	242	258	500	65	265	26	6	227	32	-8	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	100	26	4	2	0	12	21	3	5	3	260	357	340	697	80	329	18	10	319	103	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,449	58	74	221	284	327	+37	+24	2.6	2.5
	/162	664	11	14	221	284	327	+7.1	+4.6	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Endy Rios (OGILVIE)	19	30→35	28→33	51→56	47	213/281/252	39	329	0	8	32%	7%	47	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	47	-1.9	212/252/292	80	276	5	8	24%	5%	46	-2.0	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	52	-1.6	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	32	-3.0	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	1	-1.4
✕Sandy Acevedo 2012 · A	19	40	37→45	51→50	38	189/252/264	74	291	4	12	34%	6%	40	-2.4	195/266/310	115	284	10	10	33%	7%	59	-1.1	173/254/316	143	241	13	10	32%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Shane Mardirosian 2015 · A	19	37→39	35→40	47→45	42	176/238/240	64	244	2	9	27%	6%	28	-3.2	197/245/269	72	275	4	10	28%	5%	38	-2.6	194/243/263	68	272	4	9	28%	5%	33	-1.3
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2017 · A	19	38	36→55	53→50	41	181/253/249	68	278	3	8	34%	7%	37	-2.6	199/265/293	94	283	4	9	29%	7%	53	-1.5	197/264/318	122	274	4	11	28%	7%	58	-0.4
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→40	37→40	49→50	44	189/267/264	76	304	4	9	36%	9%	47	-1.9	195/281/283	88	315	5	14	36%	10%	59	-1.1	194/297/288	95	310	5	16	35%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
●Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	37	-2.6	233/283/341	108	299	5	13	22%	6%	72	-0.2	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	52	-1.6	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	38	-2.6	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	21	-1.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Oliver Carmona 2017 · A	19	41	35→40	48→50	47	190/253/249	58	238	2	10	20%	7%	37	-2.7	210/279/286	76	266	5	11	21%	8%	57	-1.2	211/288/283	72	260	5	13	20%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A	18	39	37→45	46→45	39	187/248/267	80	274	3	8	31%	6%	40	-2.4	216/272/305	89	319	3	8	31%	6%	59	-1.1	238/290/344	106	352	2	8	31%	5%	73	-0.0