Tyler Massey
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 680 | .259/.322/.392 | 13 | 19 | 65 | — | .216/.269/.350 |
| 2014 | 25 | AALAD | 509 | .260/.310/.373 | 8 | 28 | 56 | — | .222/.256/.316 |
| 2015 | 26 | AANew Britain R… | 293 | .231/.302/.319 | 1 | 12 | 47 | — | .204/.257/.283 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | ROK | Casper Ghosts | — | 72 | 70 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 257 | 278 | 357 | 635 | 100 | 333 | 25 | 1 | 284 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 436 | 404 | 89 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 100 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 220 | 264 | 290 | 554 | 69 | 283 | 23 | 5 | 247 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 388 | 354 | 74 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 90 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 209 | 270 | 311 | 581 | 102 | 271 | 23 | 6 | 262 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 71 | 65 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 257 | 277 | 534 | 77 | 283 | 27 | 6 | 242 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 437 | 394 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 77 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 292 | 353 | 437 | 789 | 145 | 339 | 18 | 8 | 347 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 496 | 442 | 118 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 95 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 267 | 335 | 425 | 760 | 158 | 315 | 19 | 7 | 333 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 184 | 168 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 238 | 287 | 304 | 591 | 65 | 271 | 15 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 509 | 469 | 122 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 91 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 260 | 310 | 373 | 683 | 113 | 306 | 18 | 6 | 303 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 293 | 260 | 60 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 47 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 231 | 302 | 319 | 621 | 88 | 276 | 16 | 9 | 279 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 72 | 70 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 222 | 286 | 508 | 86 | 277 | 36 | 1 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 436 | 412 | 81 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 134 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 197 | 227 | 260 | 486 | 63 | 273 | 31 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 388 | 367 | 60 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 126 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 163 | 203 | 243 | 445 | 79 | 238 | 32 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 71 | 67 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 186 | 194 | 380 | 45 | 232 | 38 | 3 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 437 | 407 | 96 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 110 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 236 | 278 | 334 | 613 | 98 | 298 | 25 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 496 | 454 | 98 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 128 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 216 | 269 | 350 | 619 | 134 | 262 | 26 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 509 | 481 | 107 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 111 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 222 | 256 | 316 | 572 | 94 | 272 | 22 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 293 | 269 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 204 | 257 | 283 | 539 | 78 | 250 | 20 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 72 | 70 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 222 | 286 | 508 | 86 | 302 | 36 | 1 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK RAW | Casper Ghosts | — | 72 | 70 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 257 | 278 | 357 | 635 | 100 | 333 | 25 | 1 | 284 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 436 | 412 | 81 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 134 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 197 | 227 | 260 | 486 | 63 | 281 | 31 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 436 | 404 | 89 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 100 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 220 | 264 | 290 | 554 | 69 | 283 | 23 | 5 | 247 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 388 | 367 | 60 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 126 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 163 | 203 | 243 | 445 | 79 | 242 | 32 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 388 | 354 | 74 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 90 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 209 | 270 | 311 | 581 | 102 | 271 | 23 | 6 | 262 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 71 | 67 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 186 | 194 | 380 | 45 | 250 | 38 | 3 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 71 | 65 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 257 | 277 | 534 | 77 | 283 | 27 | 6 | 242 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 437 | 407 | 96 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 110 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 236 | 278 | 334 | 613 | 98 | 304 | 25 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 437 | 394 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 77 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 292 | 353 | 437 | 789 | 145 | 339 | 18 | 8 | 347 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 680 | 625 | 134 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 175 | 10 | 19 | 15 | 214 | 265 | 346 | 611 | 131 | 269 | 26 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 680 | 610 | 158 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 122 | 10 | 19 | 15 | 259 | 322 | 392 | 714 | 133 | 302 | 18 | 7 | 315 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 509 | 481 | 107 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 111 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 222 | 256 | 316 | 572 | 94 | 274 | 22 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 509 | 469 | 122 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 91 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 260 | 310 | 373 | 683 | 113 | 306 | 18 | 6 | 303 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 293 | 269 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 204 | 257 | 283 | 539 | 78 | 256 | 20 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 293 | 260 | 60 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 47 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 231 | 302 | 319 | 621 | 88 | 276 | 16 | 9 | 279 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 72 | 70 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 222 | 286 | 508 | 86 | 277 | 36 | 1 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 436 | 417 | 81 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 134 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 194 | 227 | 257 | 483 | 62 | 273 | 31 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 388 | 367 | 60 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 126 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 163 | 203 | 243 | 445 | 79 | 238 | 32 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 71 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 147 | 186 | 191 | 377 | 44 | 232 | 38 | 3 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 437 | 410 | 96 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 110 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 234 | 278 | 332 | 610 | 98 | 298 | 25 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 680 | 632 | 134 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 175 | 10 | 19 | 15 | 212 | 265 | 342 | 607 | 130 | 262 | 26 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 509 | 482 | 107 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 111 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 222 | 256 | 315 | 572 | 93 | 272 | 22 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 293 | 272 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 202 | 257 | 279 | 536 | 77 | 250 | 20 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2886 | 2698 | 557 | 86 | 29 | 36 | 124 | 768 | 23 | 103 | 51 | 206 | 247 | 300 | 547 | 93 | 272 | 27 | 4 | 237 | 47 | -182 | +0 | +0 | -31 | +63 | -15.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 125 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 173 | 5 | 23 | 11 | 206 | 246 | 299 | 546 | 94 | 271 | 27 | 4 | 237 | 47 | -41 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 293 PAwOBA .271 → .237 (−34)K% 16.0% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.04% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.85% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.72% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 18.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷1.016 | ×0.860 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.133 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.32% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .271 → .237; ISO .088 → .077; BABIP .276 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATulsa Drillers · 509 PAwOBA .296 → .251 (−44)K% 17.9% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.88% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.29% | ÷1.038 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 21.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.03% | ÷1.087 | ×0.840 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.901 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.12% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.89% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .296 → .251; ISO .113 → .098; BABIP .306 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Modesto Nuts · 496 PAwOBA .326 → .264 (−62)K% 19.2% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.15% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.06% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.81% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.77% | ÷0.994 | ×0.910 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 19.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.48% | ÷1.080 | ×0.820 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.59% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.831 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 3.47% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 99, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .326 → .264; ISO .158 → .135; BABIP .315 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAsheville Tourists · 437 PAwOBA .340 → .265 (−75)K% 17.6% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.62% | ÷0.942 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.01% | ÷1.055 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.55% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 23.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.62% | ÷1.079 | ×0.820 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.061 | ×0.940 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.15% | ÷1.191 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 94, 2B 116, 3B 112, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .340 → .265; ISO .145 → .101; BABIP .339 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAsheville Tourists · 71 PAwOBA .236 → .164 (−72)K% 26.8% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.76% | ÷0.942 | ×1.340 | — | — | 38.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷1.075 | ×0.660 | — | — | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | — | 16.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷1.283 | ×0.820 | ×1.018 | — | 7.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.940 | ×1.018 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.335 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 102, 2B 157, 3B 101, K 88, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .236 → .164; ISO .077 → .044; BABIP .283 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAsheville Tourists · 388 PAwOBA .253 → .195 (−58)K% 23.2% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.20% | ÷0.959 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.93% | ÷1.179 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 3.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.94% | ÷1.044 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.015 | 16.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.68% | ÷1.054 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×1.015 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.994 | ×1.015 | 2.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.089 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.87% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 92, BB 136 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .253 → .195; ISO .102 → .082; BABIP .271 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAsheville Tourists · 436 PAwOBA .243 → .210 (−32)K% 22.9% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.030 | 22.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.031 | ×1.030 | 3.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.031 | ×1.030 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.56% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .243 → .210; ISO .069 → .059; BABIP .283 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 ROKCasper Ghosts · 72 PAwOBA .275 → .194 (−82)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.008 | 0.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 21.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.008 | 1.45% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .275 → .194; ISO .100 → .065; BABIP .333 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .