Darwin Alvarado
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROKGCL Tigers We… | 159 | .200/.282/.243 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | .145/.205/.179 |
| 2018 | 19 | ADET | 45 | .175/.233/.175 | 0 | 1 | -3 | — | .146/.186/.146 |
| 2019 | 20 | ROKFCL Tigers Ea… | 158 | .220/.295/.291 | 1 | 8 | 11 | — | .158/.212/.212 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers | — | 228 | 190 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 49 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 247 | 370 | 284 | 654 | 37 | 333 | 21 | 14 | 312 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | — | 159 | 140 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 282 | 243 | 525 | 43 | 262 | 24 | 9 | 245 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 45 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 233 | 175 | 408 | 219 | 22 | 4 | 188 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | FCL Tigers East | — | 158 | 141 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 220 | 295 | 291 | 586 | 71 | 256 | 16 | 9 | 268 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 228 | 199 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 60 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 166 | 269 | 186 | 455 | 20 | 233 | 26 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 159 | 145 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 145 | 205 | 179 | 384 | 34 | 208 | 35 | 6 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 45 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 146 | 186 | 146 | 332 | 203 | 31 | 2 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers East | — | 158 | 146 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 158 | 212 | 212 | 424 | 55 | 191 | 23 | 6 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 228 | 199 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 60 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 166 | 269 | 186 | 455 | 20 | 237 | 26 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Tigers | — | 228 | 190 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 49 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 247 | 370 | 284 | 654 | 37 | 333 | 21 | 14 | 312 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 159 | 145 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 145 | 205 | 179 | 384 | 34 | 220 | 35 | 6 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers West | — | 159 | 140 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 282 | 243 | 525 | 43 | 262 | 24 | 9 | 245 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 45 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 146 | 186 | 146 | 332 | 207 | 31 | 2 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 45 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 233 | 175 | 408 | 219 | 22 | 4 | 188 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers East | — | 158 | 146 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 158 | 212 | 212 | 424 | 55 | 198 | 23 | 6 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Tigers East | — | 158 | 141 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 220 | 295 | 291 | 586 | 71 | 256 | 16 | 9 | 268 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Tigers | — | 228 | 198 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 60 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 167 | 269 | 187 | 456 | 20 | 233 | 26 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 159 | 147 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 143 | 205 | 177 | 382 | 34 | 208 | 35 | 6 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 45 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 140 | 186 | 140 | 326 | 203 | 31 | 2 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers East | — | 158 | 147 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 156 | 212 | 211 | 422 | 54 | 191 | 23 | 6 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 590 | 531 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 165 | 10 | 24 | 7 | 156 | 230 | 188 | 419 | 32 | 219 | 28 | 7 | 190 | 15 | -60 | +2 | +0 | -6 | +13 | -5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 91 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 182 | 11 | 26 | 8 | 156 | 229 | 186 | 416 | 31 | 218 | 28 | 7 | 190 | 15 | -66 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -5.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 ROKFCL Tigers East · 158 PAwOBA .265 → .184 (−80)K% 15.8% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.82% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 15.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 2.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.66% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .265 → .184; ISO .071 → .048; BABIP .256 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 45 PAwOBA .192 → .164 (−28)K% 22.2% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.971 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.44% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 3.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 21.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .192 → .164; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .219 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Tigers West · 159 PAwOBA .242 → .170 (−72)K% 23.9% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 18.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 2.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .242 → .170; ISO .043 → .030; BABIP .262 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Tigers · 228 PAwOBA .305 → .214 (−91)K% 21.5% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 21.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 1.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.034 | ×1.008 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .305 → .214; ISO .037 → .023; BABIP .333 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).