Franyerson Reyes

P DSL Tigers 2

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Tigers 2	10	10	38	5.40	3.99	18.4%	8.9%	—	K 12.5% · BB 11.2% · FIP 5.10
2026	19	ROKDSL Tigers 2	17	3	29	5.90	3.13	18.3%	9.2%	—	K 12.5% · BB 11.5% · FIP 4.08
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	19	0	20	4.87	4.87	18.0%	10.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	17	0	18	4.72	4.65	19.4%	9.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDeretd Parra (age 19) · Fraynel Nova (age 20) · Eccel Correa (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%18.0%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%7.6%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	11	10	47	180	35	7	2	91%	4.2	13.2%	4.9%	8.4%	1.6%	2.70	3.46	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	11	10	47	180	35	7	2	91%	4.2	13.2%	4.9%	8.4%	1.6%	2.70	3.46	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	11	10	47	180	35	7	2	91%	4.2	19.4%	3.9%	15.6%	1.1%	2.70	2.61	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	10	10	38	179	33	16	4	100%	3.8	12.5%	11.2%	1.4%	3.0%	5.40	5.10	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	10	10	38	179	33	16	4	100%	3.8	12.5%	11.2%	1.4%	3.0%	5.40	5.10	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	10	10	38	179	33	16	4	100%	3.8	18.4%	8.9%	9.5%	2.2%	5.40	3.99	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	17	3	29	131	24	12	1	18%	1.7	12.5%	11.5%	1.0%	1.1%	5.90	4.08	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	17	3	29	131	24	12	1	18%	1.7	12.5%	11.5%	1.0%	1.1%	5.90	4.08	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	17	3	29	131	24	12	1	18%	1.7	18.3%	9.2%	9.2%	0.8%	5.90	3.13	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	19	0	20	84	15	9	2	0%	1.1	18.0%	10.3%	7.6%	2.9%	4.87	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	34	0	36	153	30	15	4	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.65	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	17	0	18	76	15	7	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	75	15	7	2	0%	1.0	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.27	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	79	22	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		38	23	114	490	63	44	10	61%	3.0	12.8%	8.9%	3.8%	2.0%	4.42	4.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	40	200	860	110	77	17	61%	3.0	12.8%	8.9%	3.8%	2.0%	4.42	4.22	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franyerson Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	18.0%	10.3%	2.9%	—	4.65	19.4%	9.7%	36	-0.22	—	—	—
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	89
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	85
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	85
Lisandro Almonte R 2022 · 4.73 FIP	20	SP-	4.73	17.9%	10.3%	3.3%	.310	5.04	20.5%	3.3%	50	+0.31	3.81	128	83
Conor Harber R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	21	SW	3.93	14.3%	10.0%	1.4%	.257	4.33	16.3%	2.8%	262	+0.40	3.05	333	83
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	82
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	82
Carlos Espinosa R 2022 · 3.73 FIP	20	SW	3.73	17.0%	11.2%	1.2%	.260	4.52	22.0%	9.8%	177	+0.79	3.73	274	82
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	81
Adriel Gonzalez R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	20	SP-	4.21	14.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	117	81
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	81
Adolfo Oviedo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP-	3.74	17.2%	8.1%	1.9%	.272	4.90	12.6%	5.2%	124	+1.16	3.74	235	81
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	81
Roger Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	20	SP-	5.15	16.4%	9.6%	4.0%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	128	80
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	80
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	80
Williander Moreno R 2018 · 4.21 FIP	19	SW	4.21	13.7%	7.5%	2.4%	.302	5.16	20.2%	10.1%	57	+0.95	3.20	246	80
Darwin Ramos R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	20	SW	4.03	16.0%	11.2%	1.6%	.353	3.66	15.7%	5.9%	177	-0.37	3.34	262	80
Gilberto Batista R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP-	4.00	16.9%	11.4%	1.6%	.308	5.86	14.7%	4.9%	172	+1.86	3.63	250	80
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	18.9%	9.9%	1.12	4.77
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Randy Flores ('10)	1.2	42	17.7%	9.3%	1.04	4.61
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*