Juan Martinez — OGILVIE

Juan MartinezOF DSL Padres Brown

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .255 / .251

PA9

HR0

K%32

BB%7

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	111	21	6	0	0	22	45	12	1	4	189	379	243	623	54	318	31	15	313	98	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	103	9	3	0	1	11	35	5	0	0	87	210	146	356	58	119	29	9	182	9	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	120	15	4	0	0	13	67	12	1	4	125	276	158	434	33	257	46	9	203	24	-13	-1	—	—	+3	-1.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	107	6	2	0	1	7	49	5	0	0	56	151	103	254	47	90	41	6	119	-33	-19	+0	—	—	+3	-1.7
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	120	15	4	0	0	13	67	12	1	4	125	276	158	434	33	283	46	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	111	21	6	0	0	22	45	12	1	4	189	379	243	623	54	318	31	15	313	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	107	6	2	0	1	7	49	5	0	0	56	151	103	254	47	88	41	6	119	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	103	9	3	0	1	11	35	5	0	0	87	210	146	356	58	119	29	9	182	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	119	15	4	0	0	13	67	12	1	4	126	276	160	436	34	257	46	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	107	6	2	0	1	7	49	5	0	0	56	151	103	254	47	90	41	6	119	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	119	15	4	0	0	13	67	12	1	4	126	276	160	436	34	257	46	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	107	6	2	0	1	7	49	5	0	0	56	151	103	254	47	90	41	6	119	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	SD	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		262	33	11	237	47	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SD	34%	191	171	32	6	1	2	14	58	4	3	1	187	265	269	534	82	267	30	7	251	56	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2027	20	MLB CTX	SD	34%	66	60	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	183	258	267	524	83	264	30	8	234	56	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	66	60	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	183	258	267	524	83	256	30	8	234	23	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	109	20	0	10	49	197	10	10	0	184	258	269	527	85	258	30	8	234	23	-34	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	465	406	54	12	1	3	35	177	21	4	5	133	238	190	428	57	225	38	8	202	23	-11	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	75	17	1	4	49	247	29	6	7	132	237	187	423	55	223	38	8	202	23	-34	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	30→35	43→48	53	178/255/251	74	262	1	1	32%	7%	47	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	38	184/237/267	83	263	7	6	32%	5%	42	-2.9	198/237/320	122	278	14	7	33%	4%	55	-2.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	61	-0.3
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	38→35	39→40	45	41	185/253/265	81	284	6	8	35%	8%	48	-2.5	202/259/295	93	321	8	7	37%	6%	57	-1.8	197/252/288	92	310	8	5	37%	6%	50	-1.6
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	36	37→40	46→50	43	170/272/245	75	268	5	9	35%	8%	53	-2.1	177/263/273	96	284	8	9	38%	7%	55	-1.9	147/225/231	84	286	8	19	48%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→40	38→45	49→50	40	178/244/259	80	265	5	10	33%	6%	43	-2.8	190/263/291	101	272	9	13	31%	8%	58	-1.7	175/255/268	93	250	8	18	31%	9%	48	-1.4
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	37	36→40	46→50	41	176/244/239	63	271	3	9	34%	7%	38	-3.2	198/270/274	76	314	6	10	36%	7%	57	-1.8	192/269/265	73	315	7	9	38%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	42	179/250/257	78	271	5	10	34%	8%	46	-2.6	184/236/265	81	290	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Jhonny Piron 2023 · A	19	36	40	47→55	44	178/261/262	84	267	8	11	34%	9%	51	-2.2	184/251/255	71	292	4	9	36%	7%	45	-2.7	123/190/157	34	205	0	12	37%	5%	-1	-1.3
✕Wander Valdez 2019 · A	19	40	39→40	49→45	43	195/255/286	91	271	5	7	29%	7%	53	-2.1	201/260/300	99	318	9	6	37%	7%	58	-1.7	166/233/259	93	292	11	5	44%	7%	37	-0.8
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	46	-2.6	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	53	-2.1	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Ignacio Valdez 2014 · A	19	38	36→45	49→50	39	180/242/249	69	280	3	11	35%	7%	40	-3.1	173/238/275	102	269	8	7	37%	7%	45	-2.7	141/208/262	122	210	12	5	38%	6%	30	-1.2
✕Hector Hernandez 2015 · A	19	36	35→30	50→45	39	172/233/229	57	260	2	8	33%	6%	32	-3.7	188/259/249	61	277	2	8	30%	7%	47	-2.6	176/255/229	53	257	1	8	29%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Felix Abreu 2017 · A	19	38	37→30	51→45	43	185/251/257	72	261	4	8	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/259/264	62	276	3	8	26%	5%	49	-2.4	202/251/235	33	269	0	8	23%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	38	-3.2	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	52	-2.2	178/237/252	75	274	4	2	34%	6%	37	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	39	36→30	44→50	42	183/260/245	62	273	3	10	32%	7%	47	-2.5	202/275/260	58	305	3	10	31%	8%	55	-1.9	194/267/240	47	293	2	11	32%	9%	46	-1.2
✕Javier Gutierrez 2010 · A	19	37	39→40	51→45	44	180/264/267	87	259	6	7	31%	8%	54	-2.0	203/282/290	87	282	6	7	28%	8%	65	-1.2	190/282/266	76	253	5	5	25%	10%	57	-0.5
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	34	41→40	47→50	35	176/222/272	96	262	8	9	35%	5%	37	-3.3	206/257/299	93	278	6	10	26%	5%	57	-1.8	216/268/312	96	280	5	12	23%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Kelvin Estevez 2015 · A	19	39	35→30	50→45	41	186/244/246	60	267	3	6	30%	6%	40	-3.1	195/240/267	72	326	5	6	39%	5%	42	-2.9	173/201/224	51	323	5	2	47%	3%	13	-1.2
✕Yoel Romero 2017 · A	19	33	34→40	46→50	39	162/214/214	53	232	1	9	30%	5%	21	-4.4	217/277/287	70	279	4	12	22%	7%	61	-1.5	229/288/306	77	301	6	10	24%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Juan Batista 2019 · A	18	36	36→40	45→55	38	173/231/237	64	263	3	9	34%	6%	33	-3.6	194/262/272	78	284	4	15	30%	8%	53	-2.1	149/228/218	69	260	2	23	40%	8%	26	-1.5