Juan Martinez — OGILVIE

Juan MartinezOF DSL Padres Brown

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .254 / .252

PA101

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	120	15	4	0	0	13	68	12	1	4	125	276	158	434	33	288	47	9	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	111	21	6	0	0	22	45	12	1	4	189	379	243	623	54	318	31	15	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	107	6	2	0	1	7	48	5	0	0	56	151	103	254	47	86	40	6	123	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	103	9	3	0	1	11	35	5	0	0	87	210	146	356	58	119	29	9	182	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	SD	—	101	91	17	3	1	1	7	32	2	1	1	187	260	275	535	88	262	32	7	237	39	-7	-0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SD	34%	191	171	32	6	1	2	14	58	4	3	1	187	265	269	534	82	267	30	7	251	50	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2028	21	MLB	SD	48%	325	290	57	11	2	5	25	97	7	5	2	197	276	300	576	103	270	30	8	260	57	-16	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.8
2027	20	MLB	SD	34%	66	60	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	183	258	267	524	83	264	30	8	232	36	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	SD	48%	157	141	27	5	1	2	12	47	3	3	1	191	269	284	553	92	267	30	8	242	43	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	223	201	38	7	1	3	17	67	4	4	1	189	266	279	544	90	265	30	8	239	41	-15	+0	+0	-1	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	111	20	3	9	50	195	12	12	3	189	267	280	547	90	265	30	8	239	41	-43	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.8
Career	—			—	882	779	127	26	4	9	66	303	30	10	8	163	255	241	496	78	251	34	7	227	32	-68	-1	+0	-5	+25	-5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	94	19	3	7	49	223	22	7	6	164	256	244	500	80	251	34	8	227	32	-50	-1	+0	-4	+18	-3.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	111	21	6	0	0	22	45	12	1	4	189	379	243	623	54	318	31	15	313	98	-0	-1	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	103	9	3	0	1	11	35	5	0	0	87	210	146	356	58	119	29	9	182	-3	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	324	4	5	190	264	279	-2	+0	-1.1	-0.5
	/162	664	8	10	190	264	279	-4.0	+0.0	-2.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	30→35	43→48	52	177/254/252	75	262	1	1	32%	7%	39	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emmanuel Daniel 2011 · A	19	32	36→30	46→45	38	161/215/219	58	226	4	5	30%	5%	13	-4.3	190/245/255	65	261	4	7	28%	4%	35	-2.8	202/270/257	55	272	2	7	25%	4%	48	-0.6
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	38	184/237/267	83	263	7	6	32%	5%	34	-2.8	198/237/320	122	278	14	7	33%	4%	49	-1.8	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	38→37	39→40	45	41	185/253/265	81	284	6	8	35%	8%	41	-2.3	205/262/298	93	323	8	7	36%	6%	53	-1.5	201/257/294	93	313	8	5	36%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	36→39	38→40	49→55	39	176/241/254	78	265	5	10	34%	6%	33	-2.9	183/258/278	95	267	8	13	32%	8%	47	-1.9	169/247/259	90	238	8	18	31%	8%	36	-1.4
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	36	37→40	46→50	43	170/272/245	75	268	5	9	35%	8%	47	-1.9	177/263/273	96	284	8	9	38%	7%	50	-1.8	145/224/227	82	287	8	19	48%	6%	18	-1.3
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	37	36→40	46→50	41	176/244/239	63	271	3	9	34%	7%	30	-3.1	198/270/274	76	314	6	10	36%	7%	52	-1.6	192/269/265	73	315	7	9	38%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	42	179/250/257	78	271	5	10	34%	8%	39	-2.5	184/236/265	81	290	6	7	36%	5%	33	-2.9	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	4	-1.2
✕Jhonny Piron 2023 · A	19	36	40	47→55	45	179/264/268	89	265	9	11	34%	9%	48	-1.9	184/254/256	72	292	5	9	36%	7%	40	-2.4	122/192/154	32	205	0	12	37%	6%	-15	-1.4
✕Wander Valdez 2019 · A	19	40	39→40	49→45	43	195/255/286	91	271	5	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	200/260/300	100	317	9	6	37%	7%	53	-1.5	164/232/258	94	290	11	5	45%	7%	28	-0.8
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	39	-2.5	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	46	-2.0	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Ignacio Valdez 2014 · A	19	38	36→45	49→50	39	180/242/249	69	280	3	11	35%	7%	32	-3.0	173/238/275	102	269	8	7	37%	7%	37	-2.6	141/208/262	122	210	12	5	38%	6%	20	-1.2
✕Felix Abreu 2017 · A	19	38	37→30	51→45	43	185/251/257	72	261	4	8	29%	7%	38	-2.6	202/259/264	62	276	3	8	26%	5%	43	-2.2	202/251/235	33	269	0	8	23%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Hector Hernandez 2015 · A	19	36	35→30	50→45	39	172/233/229	57	260	2	8	33%	6%	23	-3.6	188/259/249	61	277	2	8	30%	7%	40	-2.4	176/255/229	53	257	1	8	29%	8%	31	-1.1
✕Javier Gutierrez 2010 · A	19	37	39→40	51→45	44	180/264/267	87	259	6	7	31%	8%	48	-1.9	203/282/290	87	282	6	7	28%	8%	61	-1.0	190/282/266	76	253	5	5	25%	10%	52	-0.5
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	39	35→30	44→50	41	183/258/245	61	277	3	10	32%	7%	39	-2.5	200/274/259	59	305	3	10	32%	8%	49	-1.8	190/266/236	46	290	2	11	32%	9%	37	-1.2
✕Kelvin Estevez 2015 · A	19	39	35→30	50→45	41	186/244/246	60	267	3	6	30%	6%	32	-3.0	195/240/267	72	326	5	6	39%	5%	35	-2.8	173/201/224	51	323	5	2	47%	3%	2	-1.2
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	37	38→45	50	37	178/235/261	83	285	5	10	37%	6%	32	-3.0	200/249/307	107	347	11	5	43%	6%	50	-1.7	161/215/285	124	297	17	1	50%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Juan Batista 2019 · A	18	36	36→40	45→55	38	173/231/237	64	263	3	9	34%	6%	24	-3.5	193/262/272	79	283	4	15	30%	8%	46	-2.0	150/228/219	69	261	2	23	40%	8%	16	-1.4
✕Junior Tilien 2022 · A	19	36	36→40	48→40	38	177/227/243	67	256	3	5	31%	5%	24	-3.6	186/239/289	103	261	10	3	31%	6%	41	-2.3	179/243/262	83	244	6	2	27%	7%	34	-1.6
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.0	177/237/252	75	275	4	2	35%	6%	29	-1.1