Juan Martinez
OF DSL Padres Brown| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Padres Br… | 145 | .189/.379/.243 | 0 | 1 | 28 | — | .119/.283/.153 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Padres Br… | 120 | .087/.210/.146 | 1 | 0 | -35 | — | .057/.160/.104 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBSD | 230 | .194/.272/.268 | 2 | 2 | 56 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBSD | 25 | .196/.275/.280 | 0 | 0 | 62 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | — | 145 | 111 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 189 | 379 | 243 | 623 | 54 | 318 | 31 | 15 | 313 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | — | 120 | 103 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 210 | 146 | 356 | 58 | 119 | 29 | 9 | 182 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 145 | 118 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 119 | 283 | 153 | 435 | 34 | 218 | 39 | 10 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 120 | 106 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 160 | 104 | 263 | 47 | 75 | 35 | 7 | 117 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 145 | 118 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 119 | 283 | 153 | 435 | 34 | 226 | 39 | 10 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres Brown | — | 145 | 111 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 189 | 379 | 243 | 623 | 54 | 318 | 31 | 15 | 313 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 120 | 106 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 160 | 104 | 263 | 47 | 79 | 35 | 7 | 117 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres Brown | — | 120 | 103 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 210 | 146 | 356 | 58 | 119 | 29 | 9 | 182 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 145 | 117 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 120 | 283 | 154 | 437 | 34 | 218 | 39 | 10 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 120 | 106 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 160 | 104 | 263 | 47 | 75 | 35 | 7 | 117 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 145 | 117 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 120 | 283 | 154 | 437 | 34 | 218 | 39 | 10 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 120 | 106 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 160 | 104 | 263 | 47 | 75 | 35 | 7 | 117 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | SD | 0% | 230 | 206 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 72 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 272 | 268 | 540 | 75 | 285 | 31 | 7 | 250 | 56 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | SD | 34% | 74 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 278 | 286 | 563 | 86 | 286 | 31 | 8 | 259 | 62 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | SD | 34% | 25 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 275 | 280 | 555 | 84 | 281 | 32 | 8 | 256 | 62 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 25 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 280 | 227 | 507 | 45 | 286 | 32 | 8 | 256 | 18 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 104 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 208 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 280 | 227 | 507 | 45 | 286 | 32 | 8 | 256 | 18 | -30 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 379 | 326 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 133 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 117 | 238 | 163 | 401 | 46 | 188 | 35 | 8 | 194 | 18 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 559 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 55 | 228 | 34 | 2 | 7 | 114 | 236 | 157 | 394 | 43 | 186 | 35 | 8 | 194 | 18 | -31 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 120 PAwOBA .178 → .117 (−61)K% 29.2% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷1.026 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷1.050 | ×0.680 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 4.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷0.959 | ×0.600 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 2.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.600 | ×0.983 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.880 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.79% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .178 → .117; ISO .058 → .033; BABIP .119 → .075. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 145 PAwOBA .307 → .210 (−97)K% 31.0% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.03% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.17% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 10.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.28% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.025 | ×1.022 | 16.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.015 | ×0.600 | ×1.025 | ×1.022 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.025 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .307 → .210; ISO .054 → .033; BABIP .318 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).