Brayan Cota

SS DSL Athletics
Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1933ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKOAK109.159/.361/.1710224—.114/.278/.125
202518ROKOAK166.172/.346/.2190317—.124/.259/.161
202619ROKOAK160.207/.389/.2892137—.146/.293/.192
2027PROJMLE20MLBOAK270.193/.280/.2602357-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBOAK46.205/.291/.2870163-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBOAK110.210/.295/.3021168-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Whiff%91
Chase%82
K%81
Z-Con%81
BB%73
wRC+44
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsMiguel Arrendell (age 20) · Kleininger Teran (age 20) · Michael De La Cruz (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .278 / .257
PA82
HR1
K%25
BB%9
ISO66
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Arb-1$0.2M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Athletics — 10982 13100 22224 21 159361171532 12217 2020 279 24 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Athletics — 166128 22410 28276 32 172346219564 47214 1617 278 17 — — — — — —
202619 ROKDSL Athletics — 160121 25402 30246 12 207389289678 83242 1519 324 37 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 10988 10100 16274 21 114278125403 11161 2515 204 24 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 166137 17310 19336 32 124259161420 36143 2011 194 17 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 160130 19301 21296 12 146293192485 46166 1813 223 37 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 10988 10100 16274 21 114278125403 11164 2515 204 24 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Athletics — 10982 13100 22224 21 159361171532 12217 2020 279 24 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 166137 17310 19336 32 124259161420 36160 2011 194 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Athletics — 166128 22410 28276 32 172346219564 47214 1617 278 17 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 160130 19301 21296 12 146293192485 46180 1813 223 37 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWDSL Athletics — 160121 25402 30246 12 207389289678 83242 1519 324 37 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 10988 10100 16274 21 114278125403 11161 2515 204 24 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 166140 17310 19336 32 121259157416 36143 2011 194 17 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 160132 19301 21296 12 144293189482 45166 1813 223 37 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 10988 10100 16274 21 114278125403 11161 2515 204 24 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 166140 17310 19336 32 121259157416 36143 2011 194 17 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Athletics — 160132 19301 21296 12 144293189482 45166 1813 223 37 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEOAK 0% 270239 47822 25674 31 193280260540 66258 259 252 57 -14 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEOAK 34% 133118 24411 12322 21 199286278563 79261 249 261 63 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202922 MLB MLEOAK 48% 226200 41713 21553 31 204290293583 89263 249 269 68 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
203023 MLB MLEOAK 54% 321284 601025 29775 42 208293305598 97266 249 274 72 -11 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
203124 MLB MLEOAK 55% 390345 721226 36936 52 211296314610 103268 249 279 75 -12 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.1
203225 MLB MLEOAK 56% 430382 821437 391026 62 214298321619 108269 249 282 77 -12 +0 +0 +5 +9 0.3
203326 MLB MLEOAK 56% 450400 851438 411076 62 214298323620 109269 249 283 78 -12 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.3
203427 MLB MLEOAK 55% 458406 861438 421097 63 213297320617 107268 249 282 77 -13 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.2
203528 MLB MLEOAK 59% 456405 861438 421106 53 211295315611 104268 249 279 75 -14 -0 -1 +5 +10 0.0
203629 MLB MLEOAK 56% 448398 831427 411096 43 209292310602 101267 249 275 73 -15 -0 -1 +5 +10 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXOAK 34% 4641 7100 4111 10 205291287578 83269 249 267 63 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXOAK 48% 11097 21411 10272 11 210295302597 93271 259 274 68 -4 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
203023 MLB CTXOAK 54% 174153 32612 16423 21 214298314612 100274 249 280 72 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.0
203124 MLB CTXOAK 55% 216191 41813 20513 31 217301324625 107276 249 285 75 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203225 MLB CTXOAK 56% 241214 48924 22573 31 220303331634 111278 249 288 77 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
203326 MLB CTXOAK 56% 253224 49924 23604 31 220303332635 112277 249 289 78 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
203427 MLB CTXOAK 55% 253224 49924 23604 31 219302329631 111277 249 287 77 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
203528 MLB CTXOAK 59% 269238 51924 25654 32 217300325625 108276 249 285 75 -8 -0 -0 +3 +6 0.0
203629 MLB CTXOAK 56% 250222 48914 23613 22 214297319616 104275 249 281 73 -8 -0 -1 +3 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18121604 346641226 16643427 2110 216300319619 103278 249 284 68 -55 +0 -1 +19 +39 0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650575 1242349 6015610 84 216301317618 101278 249 284 68 -20 +0 -0 +7 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 38293367 6801122255 36690364 4824 202292297590 95258 2410 269 68 -106 +1 -2 +36 +74 0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 1151949 6215311 84 201291295587 94257 2410 269 68 -20 +0 -0 +7 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Athletics · 160 PAwOBA .317 → .223 (−94)K% 15.0% → 18.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.00%÷1.000×1.220——18.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.75%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99513.06%
HBP% /PA3.75%—×0.700—×0.9952.61%
Singles /BIP19.59%÷1.000×0.680×1.046×0.99513.86%
Doubles /BIP4.12%÷1.000×0.600×1.046×0.9952.58%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×1.046×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP2.06%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9950.96%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .317 → .223; ISO .083 → .048; BABIP .242 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Athletics · 166 PAwOBA .273 → .194 (−79)K% 16.3% → 19.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.27%÷1.004×1.220——19.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.27%÷1.009×0.700—×1.00811.37%
HBP% /PA3.61%—×0.700—×1.0082.55%
Singles /BIP16.83%÷0.994×0.680×0.998×1.00811.58%
Doubles /BIP3.96%÷1.013×0.600×0.998×1.0082.36%
Triples /BIP0.99%÷0.900×0.600×0.998×1.0080.66%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.868×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .273 → .194; ISO .047 → .032; BABIP .214 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Athletics · 109 PAwOBA .274 → .204 (−70)K% 20.2% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.18%÷0.991×1.220——24.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.18%÷0.994×0.700—×1.02214.53%
HBP% /PA3.67%—×0.700—×1.0222.63%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.975×0.680×1.050×1.02214.97%
Doubles /BIP1.67%÷0.951×0.600×1.050×1.0221.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.905×0.600×1.050×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.215×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 95, 2B 90, 3B 81, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .274 → .204; ISO .012 → .009; BABIP .217 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).