Brayan Cota — OGILVIE

Brayan CotaSS DSL Athletics

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 62 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .274 / .218

PA62

HR0

K%24

BB%10

BABIP250

ISO36

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$11M	+$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	109	90	12	1	0	0	14	32	4	2	1	133	278	144	422	11	207	29	13	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	109	82	13	1	0	0	22	22	4	2	1	159	361	171	532	12	217	20	20	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	166	140	19	3	1	0	16	39	6	3	2	136	253	171	425	36	184	23	10	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	166	128	22	4	1	0	28	27	6	3	2	172	346	219	564	47	214	16	17	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	OAK	—	76	64	11	2	0	0	9	14	3	0	1	172	303	203	506	31	220	18	12	241	43	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
YTD	19	ROK	OAK	—	76	59	13	3	0	0	14	10	3	0	1	220	395	271	666	51	265	13	18	327	109	+1	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	19	ROK	OAK	0%	62	55	10	2	0	0	6	15	1	1	0	182	274	218	492	36	255	24	10	251	50	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	OAK	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		253	—	—	236	39	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	OAK	—	76	65	11	2	0	0	9	14	3	0	1	169	303	200	503	31	216	18	12	241	43	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
TOT	19	ROK	OAK	—	138	119	21	4	0	0	15	29	4	1	1	176	290	210	500	34	233	21	11	246	46	-8	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	OAK	34%	223	196	39	7	1	2	21	53	4	3	1	199	290	276	565	77	261	24	9	265	61	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	OAK	48%	351	309	63	11	2	4	33	82	6	4	2	204	293	291	584	87	264	23	9	274	68	-13	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2029	22	MLB	OAK	54%	443	391	83	15	2	7	41	103	8	6	2	212	300	315	615	102	266	23	9	280	73	-14	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.4
2030	23	MLB	OAK	57%	503	442	95	17	3	8	47	116	9	7	3	215	303	321	624	106	268	23	9	284	76	-14	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.6
2031	24	MLB	OAK	57%	543	478	102	18	3	9	51	124	9	7	3	213	301	320	621	107	269	23	9	287	78	-14	+0	+0	+6	+15	0.8
2032	25	MLB	OAK	57%	566	498	108	19	3	10	53	129	10	7	3	217	305	327	632	110	269	23	9	288	79	-14	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2033	26	MLB	OAK	56%	578	508	110	20	3	10	55	132	10	8	3	217	305	327	632	110	269	23	10	289	79	-14	+0	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2034	27	MLB	OAK	55%	581	510	110	20	3	10	56	133	10	8	3	216	306	325	631	110	269	23	10	289	79	-14	+0	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2027	20	MLB	OAK	34%	77	69	13	2	0	1	7	18	1	1	0	188	273	261	534	72	259	23	9	250	50	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	OAK	48%	170	149	30	5	1	2	16	40	3	2	1	201	292	289	580	87	262	24	9	259	57	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	OAK	54%	240	212	44	8	1	3	22	56	4	3	1	208	294	297	591	90	264	23	9	266	61	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	OAK	57%	285	251	54	9	2	5	27	66	5	4	2	215	304	327	631	112	266	23	9	270	65	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
2031	24	MLB	OAK	57%	307	270	58	10	2	5	29	70	5	4	2	215	303	322	625	107	267	23	9	272	66	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2032	25	MLB	OAK	57%	320	281	60	11	2	5	30	73	6	4	2	214	303	320	623	107	267	23	9	273	67	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2033	26	MLB	OAK	56%	327	287	62	11	2	6	31	75	6	4	2	216	306	331	637	115	267	23	9	274	68	-12	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2034	27	MLB	OAK	55%	322	282	62	11	2	6	31	74	6	4	2	220	310	337	647	117	267	23	10	274	68	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2048	1802	383	67	12	33	193	472	36	26	12	213	301	318	619	105	268	23	9	270	65	-82	+0	+0	+22	+58	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	121	21	4	10	61	150	11	8	4	212	299	315	614	103	267	23	9	270	65	-26	+0	+0	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	4125	3617	751	133	21	60	393	958	77	56	23	208	299	306	605	98	264	23	10	278	71	-135	+2	+0	+44	+117	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	118	21	3	9	62	151	12	9	4	207	298	302	600	95	264	23	10	278	71	-21	+0	+0	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	109	82	13	1	0	0	22	22	4	2	1	159	361	171	532	12	217	20	20	279	72	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	166	128	22	4	1	0	28	27	6	3	2	172	346	219	564	47	214	16	17	278	71	-6	-0	—	—	+5	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,185	34	28	213	298	317	+23	+15	2.4	2.5
	/162	664	10	9	213	298	317	+7.1	+4.6	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Cota (OGILVIE)	19	25	20	40	60	176/290/210	34	233	0	1	21%	11%	46	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3
✕Leopoldo Correa 2011 · A	19	41	37→45	42→30	47	194/260/268	74	247	3	4	22%	7%	45	-2.1	214/272/303	89	268	7	3	22%	7%	59	-1.1	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	52	-1.6	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	38	-2.6	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	21	-1.3
✕Branden Becker 2016 · A	19	42	34→40	39→30	46	197/250/246	49	243	2	5	19%	6%	33	-2.9	207/249/265	58	275	3	4	25%	4%	38	-2.6	228/263/287	59	312	5	1	27%	3%	46	-0.8
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	39	36→30	44→55	45	183/264/252	70	275	4	8	32%	8%	43	-2.2	197/307/251	54	268	1	18	24%	12%	63	-0.9	186/321/224	38	254	0	27	22%	14%	60	-0.3
✕Kleininger Teran 2008 · A	19	45	35→30	42→45	51	208/278/269	61	261	3	5	20%	8%	53	-1.5	221/282/284	63	271	2	4	18%	7%	57	-1.2	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	37	-2.6	205/297/270	65	270	4	12	23%	11%	62	-0.9	199/293/259	61	267	4	15	24%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44	34→30	46→50	53	203/279/257	54	256	2	8	20%	10%	50	-1.7	230/299/285	55	293	1	9	20%	9%	65	-0.7	244/304/306	62	315	3	7	22%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Rochest Cruz 2018 · A	19	46	36→40	43→65	52	214/289/283	69	266	3	10	20%	9%	61	-1.0	213/286/278	65	276	3	30	22%	8%	59	-1.1	205/284/259	53	265	2	47	21%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Gleyvin Pineda 2016 · A	19	41→39	36→30	43→45	49	193/267/255	63	254	3	8	24%	9%	45	-2.1	203/268/255	52	295	2	10	29%	8%	45	-2.1	203/267/238	35	302	2	10	31%	7%	36	-0.7
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	43	-2.2	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	53	-1.5	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Luilly Baez 2008 · A	19	41	34→45	44→40	43	191/254/247	56	284	2	5	31%	8%	37	-2.7	213/291/302	89	281	5	5	24%	9%	67	-0.5	225/317/339	114	273	8	2	19%	11%	82	+0.2
✕Oliver Carmona 2017 · A	19	41	35→40	48→50	47	190/253/249	58	238	2	10	20%	7%	37	-2.7	210/279/286	76	266	5	11	21%	8%	57	-1.2	211/288/283	72	260	5	13	20%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Miguel Dilone 2012 · A	19	45	34→45	42→50	55	207/294/260	54	270	2	12	22%	11%	58	-1.2	219/279/310	91	278	5	10	21%	8%	63	-0.9	222/276/331	109	275	6	11	20%	7%	64	-0.3