Raudelis Martinez
C Portland Sea Dogs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+/ATB | 351 | .203/.287/.288 | 3 | 10 | 25 | — | .162/.223/.231 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+TB | 290 | .239/.342/.317 | 4 | 2 | 49 | — | .202/.270/.268 |
| 2026 | 24 | AABOS | 68 | .262/.284/.369 | 1 | 0 | 60 | — | .242/.254/.333 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBBOS | 2 | .222/.277/.308 | 0 | 0 | 61 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBBOS | 46 | .225/.280/.318 | 1 | 0 | 65 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBBOS | 80 | .225/.281/.320 | 1 | 1 | 66 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | — | 149 | 127 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 173 | 286 | 252 | 538 | 79 | 196 | 17 | 12 | 254 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rays | — | 97 | 75 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 293 | 448 | 520 | 968 | 227 | 306 | 11 | 16 | 425 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 129 | 105 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 336 | 286 | 622 | 76 | 225 | 14 | 13 | 287 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 79 | 61 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 359 | 246 | 605 | 66 | 212 | 13 | 22 | 295 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 148 | 122 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 303 | 410 | 352 | 762 | 49 | 349 | 13 | 14 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 48 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 167 | 70 | 236 | 83 | 15 | 10 | 129 | -54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 303 | 263 | 59 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 43 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 224 | 306 | 323 | 629 | 99 | 249 | 14 | 9 | 281 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 290 | 243 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 342 | 317 | 659 | 78 | 269 | 14 | 12 | 298 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 68 | 65 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 284 | 369 | 653 | 108 | 333 | 25 | 3 | 286 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays 1 | — | 149 | 134 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 104 | 184 | 142 | 325 | 37 | 122 | 21 | 7 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 97 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 173 | 302 | 259 | 561 | 86 | 206 | 14 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 129 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 180 | 272 | 252 | 524 | 72 | 191 | 19 | 9 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 79 | 67 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 256 | 179 | 436 | 45 | 162 | 18 | 14 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 48 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 104 | 44 | 149 | 67 | 21 | 6 | 88 | -54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 303 | 272 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 59 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 180 | 241 | 261 | 503 | 81 | 205 | 19 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 290 | 257 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 270 | 268 | 539 | 66 | 228 | 18 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 68 | 66 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 254 | 333 | 587 | 91 | 332 | 31 | 1 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays 1 | — | 149 | 134 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 104 | 184 | 142 | 325 | 37 | 125 | 21 | 7 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Rays 1 | — | 149 | 127 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 173 | 286 | 252 | 538 | 79 | 196 | 17 | 12 | 254 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 97 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 173 | 302 | 259 | 561 | 86 | 194 | 14 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Rays | — | 97 | 75 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 293 | 448 | 520 | 968 | 227 | 306 | 11 | 16 | 425 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 356 | 304 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 67 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 158 | 262 | 214 | 476 | 56 | 186 | 19 | 11 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 356 | 288 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 47 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 243 | 372 | 306 | 677 | 63 | 275 | 13 | 15 | 313 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 351 | 317 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 164 | 225 | 233 | 459 | 69 | 194 | 20 | 6 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 351 | 306 | 62 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 50 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 203 | 287 | 288 | 574 | 85 | 226 | 14 | 9 | 260 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 290 | 257 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 270 | 268 | 539 | 66 | 235 | 18 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 290 | 243 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 342 | 317 | 659 | 78 | 269 | 14 | 12 | 298 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 68 | 66 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 254 | 333 | 587 | 91 | 333 | 31 | 1 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 68 | 65 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 284 | 369 | 653 | 108 | 333 | 25 | 3 | 286 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays 1 | — | 149 | 135 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 104 | 184 | 141 | 324 | 37 | 122 | 21 | 7 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 97 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 171 | 302 | 256 | 558 | 85 | 206 | 14 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 356 | 310 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 67 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 155 | 262 | 210 | 472 | 55 | 180 | 19 | 11 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 351 | 323 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 161 | 225 | 229 | 454 | 68 | 186 | 20 | 6 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 290 | 264 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 197 | 270 | 261 | 532 | 64 | 228 | 18 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 68 | 67 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 254 | 328 | 582 | 90 | 332 | 31 | 1 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 351 | 323 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 161 | 225 | 229 | 454 | 68 | 186 | 20 | 6 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 290 | 264 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 197 | 270 | 261 | 532 | 64 | 228 | 18 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 68 | 67 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 254 | 328 | 582 | 90 | 332 | 31 | 1 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | BOS | 2% | 200 | 184 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 271 | 299 | 569 | 83 | 264 | 21 | 6 | 258 | 61 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | BOS | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 277 | 308 | 585 | 86 | 273 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 61 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | BOS | 31% | 149 | 137 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 274 | 309 | 583 | 90 | 265 | 21 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | BOS | 42% | 190 | 174 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 276 | 311 | 587 | 92 | 266 | 21 | 7 | 265 | 66 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | BOS | 31% | 46 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 280 | 318 | 598 | 93 | 274 | 22 | 7 | 270 | 65 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | BOS | 42% | 80 | 75 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 281 | 320 | 602 | 95 | 275 | 21 | 6 | 272 | 66 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 126 | 118 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 270 | 314 | 583 | 93 | 270 | 21 | 6 | 271 | 43 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 609 | 134 | 26 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 139 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 220 | 269 | 312 | 581 | 92 | 270 | 21 | 6 | 271 | 43 | -27 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1738 | 1552 | 281 | 44 | 4 | 19 | 132 | 342 | 20 | 32 | 11 | 181 | 254 | 251 | 505 | 70 | 216 | 20 | 8 | 232 | 43 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +9 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 104 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 49 | 128 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 179 | 251 | 247 | 498 | 67 | 214 | 20 | 8 | 232 | 43 | -28 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 68 PAwOBA .282 → .257 (−25)K% 25.0% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 25.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 7.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .282 → .257; ISO .108 → .089; BABIP .333 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 290 PAwOBA .293 → .241 (−52)K% 13.8% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.79% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 17.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.41% | ÷0.965 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 7.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.15% | ÷1.005 | ×0.870 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 20.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 2.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.850 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.86% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .293 → .241; ISO .078 → .072; BABIP .269 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ACharleston RiverDogs · 303 PAwOBA .281 → .225 (−56)K% 14.2% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.19% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.91% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.09% | ÷1.071 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | — | 15.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | — | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷1.099 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | — | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.36% | ÷0.824 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.32% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 103, 3B 120, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .281 → .225; ISO .099 → .086; BABIP .249 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 48 PAwOBA .127 → .088 (−39)K% 14.6% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.58% | ÷0.956 | ×1.310 | — | — | 19.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.047 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 6.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .127 → .088; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .083 → .067. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ACharleston RiverDogs · 129 PAwOBA .290 → .232 (−58)K% 14.0% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.95% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.18% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.071 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×1.015 | 17.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×1.015 | 1.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.910 | ×0.977 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷1.075 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 114, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .290 → .232; ISO .076 → .062; BABIP .225 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Rays · 79 PAwOBA .293 → .210 (−83)K% 12.7% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.66% | ÷0.999 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.52% | ÷0.948 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 13.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.73% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×0.996 | ×0.985 | 11.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷1.020 | ×0.720 | ×0.996 | ×0.985 | 5.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.996 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.911 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .293 → .210; ISO .066 → .048; BABIP .212 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Rays · 97 PAwOBA .419 → .279 (−140)K% 11.3% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.34% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.49% | ÷1.088 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 10.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.15% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 3.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.31% | ÷0.957 | ×0.680 | ×1.047 | ×0.985 | 14.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.114 | ×0.600 | ×1.047 | ×0.985 | 3.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.047 | ×0.985 | 2.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.065 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 2.04% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 91, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 96, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .419 → .279; ISO .227 → .129; BABIP .306 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Rays 1 · 149 PAwOBA .248 → .158 (−91)K% 16.8% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.78% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.41% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.69% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | ×0.974 | ×0.995 | 10.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.114 | ×0.600 | ×0.974 | ×0.995 | 2.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.600 | ×0.974 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.907 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.01% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 123, 3B 82, K 96, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .248 → .158; ISO .079 → .042; BABIP .196 → .122. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .