Aaron Pinero

SS FCL Rays

Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	179	.262/.409/.383	2	13	51	—	.162/.295/.230
2026	19	ROKTB	124	.290/.459/.462	4	11	97	—	.228/.361/.356
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBTB	234	.215/.291/.303	3	5	70	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBTB	65	.221/.298/.318	1	1	75	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBTB	154	.225/.301/.329	2	4	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%99

wOBA97

wRC+96

K%96

ISO86

BB%84

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 5, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 87%

CompsNacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20) · Derrik Gibson (age 20) · Cristofer Torin (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 104 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .289 / .300

PA104

HR1

K%24

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	167	145	34	6	0	0	17	29	5	5	1	234	335	276	611	41	293	17	10	291	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	141	37	11	0	2	24	30	11	13	1	262	409	383	792	121	312	17	13	362	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	124	93	27	2	1	4	22	15	7	11	1	290	459	462	921	172	303	12	18	412	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	167	150	22	3	0	0	12	35	5	5	1	147	234	167	400	20	197	21	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	148	24	7	0	1	17	37	11	13	1	162	295	230	525	68	198	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	124	101	23	2	1	3	14	22	7	11	1	228	361	356	717	129	236	18	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	167	150	22	3	0	0	12	35	5	5	1	147	234	167	400	20	191	21	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	167	145	34	6	0	0	17	29	5	5	1	234	335	276	611	41	293	17	10	291	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	148	24	7	0	1	17	37	11	13	1	162	295	230	525	68	204	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	141	37	11	0	2	24	30	11	13	1	262	409	383	792	121	312	17	13	362	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	124	101	23	2	1	3	14	22	7	11	1	228	361	356	717	129	256	18	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	124	93	27	2	1	4	22	15	7	11	1	290	459	462	921	172	303	12	18	412	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	167	148	22	3	0	0	12	35	5	5	1	149	234	169	402	20	197	21	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	149	24	7	0	1	17	37	11	13	1	161	295	228	524	67	198	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	124	102	23	2	1	3	14	22	7	11	1	225	361	353	714	127	236	18	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	167	148	22	3	0	0	12	35	5	5	1	149	234	169	402	20	197	21	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	149	24	7	0	1	17	37	11	13	1	161	295	228	524	67	198	21	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	124	102	23	2	1	3	14	22	7	11	1	225	361	353	714	127	236	18	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	0%	234	210	45	8	1	3	18	56	4	5	1	215	291	303	594	88	277	24	8	272	70	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	34%	190	170	38	7	1	3	15	45	3	4	1	219	296	317	613	98	279	24	8	280	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	48%	318	284	63	11	2	5	25	75	6	8	2	222	299	328	628	106	281	24	8	285	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	54%	406	363	81	14	2	7	33	95	7	10	2	225	302	337	639	112	282	23	8	290	82	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	55%	465	416	95	17	3	9	38	108	8	11	3	227	304	344	648	116	284	23	8	293	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	56%	498	446	102	18	3	10	41	115	8	12	3	229	305	348	653	119	284	23	8	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	517	461	106	19	3	10	42	120	9	12	3	229	305	348	653	119	284	23	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	525	468	107	19	3	10	43	122	9	12	3	227	304	345	649	118	283	23	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	525	468	107	19	3	10	43	123	9	12	3	226	302	341	643	115	283	23	8	291	83	-11	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	519	464	103	18	3	9	42	123	8	11	3	223	300	335	634	111	281	24	8	288	81	-12	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	TB	57%	510	456	102	18	3	9	41	123	8	10	3	221	296	327	624	107	280	24	8	283	78	-13	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	TB	60%	497	446	97	17	2	8	40	122	8	8	4	217	292	318	609	101	277	25	8	277	74	-15	+0	-3	+5	+11	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	34%	65	59	12	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	221	298	318	616	97	283	23	8	281	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	48%	154	138	30	5	1	2	12	36	3	4	1	225	301	329	630	104	284	23	8	287	79	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	54%	220	196	45	8	1	4	18	51	4	5	1	227	304	337	641	110	286	23	8	291	82	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	55%	258	231	54	9	2	5	21	60	4	6	2	230	306	344	650	114	287	23	8	294	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	56%	279	249	58	10	2	5	23	65	5	7	2	231	307	348	655	117	287	23	8	296	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	291	260	60	10	2	6	24	67	5	7	2	231	307	348	655	117	287	23	8	296	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	290	259	59	10	2	5	24	68	5	7	2	230	306	345	651	116	287	23	8	295	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	288	257	59	10	2	5	24	68	5	6	2	228	304	341	645	113	286	24	8	292	83	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	277	249	57	10	2	5	22	66	4	6	2	226	301	335	636	109	285	24	8	289	81	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	TB	57%	291	261	59	10	2	5	23	70	5	6	2	223	298	328	626	105	283	24	8	284	78	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	TB	60%	296	265	59	10	2	5	24	73	5	5	2	219	293	318	612	100	281	25	8	279	74	-9	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2709	2424	552	94	18	48	220	639	46	60	18	228	304	341	645	113	288	24	8	290	79	-59	+5	-4	+29	+59	3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	133	23	4	12	53	153	11	14	4	229	305	344	649	115	289	24	8	290	79	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5544	4934	1091	193	30	95	454	1290	108	141	33	221	301	330	631	109	278	23	8	285	79	-112	+10	-7	+54	+110	5.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	129	23	4	11	53	151	13	17	4	223	303	334	637	111	281	23	8	285	79	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.2	2,813	50	62	225	298	337	+30	+21	5.1	4.7
/162	664	12	15	+7.1	+5.0	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Pinero (OGILVIE)	20	45	30	60	50	213/289/300	88	277	1	2	24%	8%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Onil Perez 2024 · A	21	48	37→40	55	47	227/281/308	80	278	4	16	19%	6%	68	-1.0	216/286/290	74	269	4	16	20%	8%	66	-1.1	204/282/270	67	252	4	16	19%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Abiatal Avelino 2015 · A	20	48→54	37→45	54→55	45	226/278/307	81	281	4	18	20%	6%	66	-1.1	236/280/321	85	295	5	22	21%	5%	70	-0.9	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Dyan Jorge 2024 · A	21	50→52	38→30	51→60	47	238/293/323	85	295	5	15	21%	7%	75	-0.5	226/281/280	54	314	2	24	27%	7%	61	-1.5	223/282/264	41	312	1	31	27%	7%	55	-1.6
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	51→65	45	215/269/298	83	268	3	11	20%	6%	61	-1.5	227/275/338	111	290	9	31	24%	5%	72	-0.7	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	41→51	40→45	53→50	45	197/263/292	95	245	6	11	22%	6%	58	-1.7	203/256/288	85	282	5	10	28%	5%	54	-2.0	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	44	36→45	53→45	48	207/271/275	68	270	3	10	23%	8%	57	-1.8	225/279/332	107	302	11	8	28%	6%	73	-0.6	213/267/311	98	282	10	9	27%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	52	39→45	50	52	244/318/335	91	274	6	10	13%	7%	88	+0.5	225/293/315	90	280	7	8	21%	7%	74	-0.5	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Jorge Puerta 2022 · A	20	43	41→30	51→40	55	208/296/308	99	241	9	8	18%	10%	75	-0.5	217/298/318	101	282	9	4	24%	9%	78	-0.3	215/303/310	95	293	8	2	27%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→58	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	70	-0.8	251/295/355	104	308	7	26	20%	5%	83	+0.1	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4

Aaron Pinero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps