Cristian Navarro

Cristian Navarro P DSL Padres Brown

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 181 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%20.5%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	13	3	23	115	14	23	1	23%	1.7	8.3%	25.0%	-16.7%	1.3%	9.13	6.30	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	13	3	23	115	14	23	1	23%	1.7	8.3%	25.0%	-16.7%	1.3%	9.13	6.30	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	13	3	23	115	14	23	1	23%	1.7	12.2%	20.0%	-7.8%	0.9%	9.13	5.48	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	14	2	26	130	25	12	3	14%	1.9	13.1%	11.5%	1.5%	3.7%	8.89	5.47	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	14	2	26	130	25	12	3	14%	1.9	13.1%	11.5%	1.5%	3.7%	8.89	5.47	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	14	2	26	130	25	12	3	14%	1.9	19.2%	9.2%	10.0%	2.3%	8.89	4.05	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	SD	14	0	15	63	13	8	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.7%	7.9%	3.0%	5.00	5.00	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	24	0	25	105	22	12	3	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.4%	9.8%	2.9%	4.82	4.75	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	11	0	12	51	11	6	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.4%	9.8%	2.9%	4.82	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	11	6	2	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.4%	9.8%	2.9%	4.82	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	98	33	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.4%	9.8%	2.9%	4.82	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		27	5	49	245	27	44	6	19%	1.8	10.8%	17.9%	-7.0%	2.6%	9.00	5.86	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	20	200	1000	108	179	26	19%	1.8	10.8%	17.9%	-7.0%	2.6%	9.00	5.86	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristian Navarro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	20.5%	12.7%	3.0%	—	4.75	21.2%	9.8%	25	-0.25	—	—	—
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	86
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	84
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	84
Joel Ibarra R 2022 · 4.08 FIP	20	SW	4.08	21.4%	13.8%	1.9%	.323	4.74	19.6%	-3.4%	86	+0.66	4.08	155	84
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	83
Carlos Campos R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	20	SU	4.82	20.4%	10.7%	3.8%	.304	5.85	15.3%	8.1%	19	+1.03	4.82	134	83
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	82
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	82
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	81
Reiss Knehr R 2018 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	21.3%	12.3%	2.6%	.267	4.86	18.8%	7.2%	171	+0.57	3.36	398	81
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	81
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	81
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	81
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	81
Joan Ogando R 2024 · 3.98 FIP	20	SU	3.98	20.3%	14.9%	1.3%	.333	5.35	20.3%	-1.4%	132	+1.37	3.98	172	81
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	81
Chase Ingram R 2015 · 4.11 FIP	20	SU	4.11	23.2%	15.8%	1.8%	.244	4.14	15.8%	3.0%	154	+0.03	4.04	174	81