Jhonayker UgarteSS ACL Royals
Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION154 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .285 / .305
PA102
HR1
K%27
BB%8
BABIP283
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -13.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +7.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.00.81.60.20.60.81.01.11.11.11.00.80.6+$56M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$4M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.0$4M+$3M
2036Arb-2$3M+0.8$1M+$0.6M
2037Arb-3$3M+0.6$1M+$0.1M
Totals $11M $22M +$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Royals Ventura 183159 35711 18523 116 220311296607 75315 2810 266 62
202417 ROKDSL Royals Ventura 183147 44911 30363 116 299428395822 95384 2016 373 144
202518 ROKACL Royals 214187 27312 20983 53 144238203441 59278 469 196 8
202518 ROKACL Royals 214176 38412 31663 53 216343284627 68324 3114 293 83
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKKC 154135 28811 11434 33 207287304590 96287 287 259 56 -8 -1 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
YTD19 ROKKC 154128 371121 18304 33 289393430823 141360 1912 362 135 +6 -1 +0 +2 +4 1.2
ROS19 ROKKC 0% 10291 19411 8282 21 207285305591 98270 278 253 52 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
ROS19 MLBKC 0% 01 0000 000 00 267 240 42 +0 +0
FULL19 ROKKC 154136 28811 11434 33 206287301588 96284 287 259 56 -8 -1 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
TOT19 ROKKC 256226 471222 19716 54 207286304591 97285 287 257 55 -13 -1 +0 +3 +7 -0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBKC 34% 288259 531123 23754 42 205280297577 93273 268 267 62 -12 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.1
202821 MLBKC 48% 400358 761626 331026 63 212290318608 106276 268 277 70 -13 +0 +0 +4 +11 0.2
202922 MLBKC 54% 478428 921938 401207 73 215293329622 114278 258 284 75 -13 +0 +0 +5 +14 0.6
203023 MLBKC 57% 530472 10321310 451328 84 218297339636 121279 258 288 78 -13 +0 +0 +6 +15 0.8
203124 MLBKC 57% 562501 11022311 481398 94 220298341639 122280 259 290 80 -13 +0 +0 +6 +16 1.0
203225 MLBKC 57% 581518 11523412 491449 94 222300351652 129280 258 291 81 -13 +0 +0 +6 +16 1.1
203326 MLBKC 60% 591527 11623412 501469 94 220299347646 127279 258 291 81 -13 +0 +0 +6 +17 1.1
203427 MLBKC 62% 592527 11623412 511479 104 220300347647 127279 259 292 81 -13 +0 +0 +6 +17 1.1
203528 MLBKC 63% 588523 11523312 511479 94 220300344644 124279 259 291 81 -13 +0 -1 +6 +17 1.0
203629 MLBKC 64% 578514 11122311 511458 94 216297335631 119278 259 289 79 -14 +0 -1 +6 +16 0.8
203730 MLBKC 65% 568505 10922311 501448 84 216297337633 121277 259 286 77 -15 +0 -2 +6 +16 0.6
203831 MLBKC 65% 554492 10521310 491428 83 213295329624 116275 269 283 74 -16 +0 -3 +6 +16 0.3
203932 MLBKC 65% 536477 1002039 471407 73 210290321611 111272 269 277 70 -18 +0 -4 +6 +15 -0.0
202720 MLBKC 34% 9990 19411 8261 11 211283311594 100270 268 254 52 -5 -0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202821 MLBKC 48% 194173 36713 16503 31 208286312599 104272 268 263 60 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202922 MLBKC 54% 259231 491024 22654 42 212292325617 113274 258 270 65 -10 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
203023 MLBKC 57% 300268 571125 25754 52 213290325614 112275 258 274 68 -11 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203124 MLBKC 57% 318283 611226 27795 52 216295336631 120276 258 276 69 -11 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.2
203225 MLBKC 57% 328292 641326 28815 52 219298339638 120276 259 277 70 -11 +0 +0 +4 +9 0.2
203326 MLBKC 60% 357319 691427 30885 63 216294339632 122276 258 277 70 -12 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.2
203427 MLBKC 62% 368328 711427 32915 63 216296335631 119276 259 277 70 -12 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.2
203528 MLBKC 63% 372331 711427 33935 63 215295332628 118276 259 276 70 -13 +0 -0 +4 +11 0.1
203629 MLBKC 64% 369329 711427 32935 62 216295334629 119275 259 275 69 -13 +0 -1 +4 +10 0.1
203730 MLBKC 65% 369328 701427 33945 52 213295332627 119274 259 272 67 -14 +0 -1 +4 +10 -0.1
203831 MLBKC 65% 360320 671326 32935 52 209291319610 109272 269 269 64 -15 +0 -2 +4 +10 -0.2
203932 MLBKC 65% 348309 641226 31915 52 207290317607 110269 269 264 60 -16 +0 -2 +4 +10 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 40413602 7691522472 349101957 6227 213293329622 115275 259 272 67 -152 +2 -7 +43 +114 0.1
/ 162G 650579 12424412 561649 104 214293332625 117275 259 272 67 -24 +0 -1 +7 +18 0.0
Career 73456538 140228043131 6331901108 12156 214294330625 116279 269 283 74 -212 +2 -10 +79 +208 6.7
/ 162G 650579 12525412 5616810 115 216297335632 119280 269 283 74 -19 +0 -1 +7 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Royals Ventura 183147 44911 30363 116 299428395822 95384 2016 373 144 +9 -0 +5 1.4
202518 ROKACL Royals 214176 38412 31663 53 216343284627 68324 3114 293 83 -4 -0 +6 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,2427765217293335+45+274.84.4
/1626641210+7.1+4.20.7pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jhonayker Ugarte (OGILVIE) 19 25 20 45 55 207/286/304 97285 25 28% 7% 55 -0.4
Richard Rodriguez
2012 · A
19 39 36→30 48→50 45 186/255/247 61260 312 28% 8% 37 -2.6 210/266/251 41261 114 19% 7% 42 -2.3 233/291/2542027801615%7%50-0.6
Juan Mosquera
2007 · A
19 38 35→30 49→55 44 180/246/238 57263 315 31% 8% 30 -3.1 201/290/246 45281 114 26% 10% 53 -1.5 210/308/2372728001722%11%56-0.4
Marco Guzman
2014 · A
19 39 36→45 44→50 48 185/262/256 71249 38 25% 9% 43 -2.2 207/264/294 87251 57 19% 7% 53 -1.5 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
Kleiber Rodriguez
2018 · A
19 37 35→30 46→40 46 175/250/234 59244 25 27% 8% 33 -2.9 219/280/288 69282 35 21% 7% 58 -1.2 240/298/301612842415%8%67-0.2
Christian Cerda
2022 · A
19 39→37 38→40 48→40 47 187/266/269 83245 48 24% 8% 49 -1.8 193/286/294 101260 96 27% 11% 63 -0.8 179/279/2769724010428%12%55-0.8
Luis Cruz
2012 · A
19 39 35→40 43→45 42 186/235/238 52254 25 27% 6% 25 -3.5 220/272/314 94275 95 22% 5% 61 -1.0 227/272/301753026326%4%56-0.5
Victor Rodrigues
2023 · A
18 41 38→30 49→50 44 197/261/279 83254 57 24% 6% 49 -1.8 211/290/283 72267 59 21% 9% 62 -0.9 219/316/2715227241019%11%68-0.2
Juan Uriarte
2017 · A
19 41 38→45 46→30 41 199/261/275 76260 55 25% 5% 47 -1.9 210/260/302 92278 84 26% 4% 53 -1.5 184/227/264802547030%3%27-1.0
Jose Sanabria
2022 · A
19 39 35→30 44→50 41 183/258/245 61277 310 32% 7% 39 -2.5 200/274/259 59305 310 32% 8% 49 -1.8 190/266/2364629021132%9%37-1.2
Denzer Guzman
2023 · A
19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
Jose Cabello
2016 · A
19 38 34→30 44→45 43 180/243/231 51244 24 26% 6% 28 -3.2 203/281/264 61261 36 21% 8% 53 -1.5 205/287/242382500516%8%50-0.6
Jose Perez
2023 · A
19 41 36→40 44→45 51 193/275/258 65253 38 24% 9% 50 -1.8 200/306/292 92270 56 25% 12% 72 -0.2 182/303/271882445524%13%64-0.3
Daniel Santos
2018 · A
19 37 36→45 46→40 43 178/255/242 64250 36 28% 7% 37 -2.6 197/260/282 85284 66 31% 6% 49 -1.8 186/247/273872697431%6%40-0.7
Emilio King
2009 · A
19 38 37→45 44→40 41 184/245/258 74245 56 26% 6% 36 -2.7 196/261/279 83281 56 30% 5% 49 -1.8 206/259/300942986431%4%49-0.8
Juan Alonso
2022 · A
18 42→32 37→40 43→50 40 199/260/273 73295 410 32% 6% 46 -2.0 184/285/263 79357 59 44% 10% 56 -1.3 152/269/228753345749%11%40-1.1
Jesus Castillo
2022 · A
19 41→44 34→30 51→55 42 194/257/244 49275 216 28% 6% 37 -2.6 213/312/258 45291 119 24% 11% 66 -0.6 202/327/2323028312424%14%65-0.3
Marco Hernandez
2017 · A
19 40 35→40 47→45 44 186/240/247 61227 28 19% 5% 30 -3.1 215/284/290 75253 47 16% 6% 61 -1.0 205/290/279742456418%8%60-0.3
Robedluis Fuentes
2008 · A
19 41 37→30 53→45 45 197/263/267 70262 412 25% 7% 46 -2.0 230/290/284 54281 37 18% 6% 61 -1.0 243/302/283402902516%6%64-0.3
Edward Duran
2023 · A
19 43→45 35→40 48→50 47 200/268/269 69262 27 23% 7% 49 -1.8 224/299/299 75294 48 23% 8% 69 -0.4 225/304/305793045825%8%70-0.2
Raul Juarez
2016 · A
18 37 38→45 45→40 37 182/242/262 80251 57 29% 4% 36 -2.7 207/265/290 83274 75 26% 5% 53 -1.5 203/259/274712668326%4%44-0.5