Jhonayker Ugarte

SS ACL Royals
Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2098ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Royals Ve…183.299/.428/.39511159—.205/.311/.276
202518ROKKC214.216/.343/.2842522—.144/.238/.187
202619A/ROKKC235.261/.358/.3571346—.199/.275/.267
2027PROJMLE20MLBKC345.195/.267/.2652552-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBKC65.200/.273/.2841160-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBKC143.206/.278/.3002267-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%57
Z-Con%47
Whiff%42
Chase%24
BB%19
Speed17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsGilberto Vizcarra (age 20) · Jenner Emeterio (age 20) · Alfredo González (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 137 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .264 / .262
PA137
HR1
K%26
BB%8
ISO69
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.10.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-1$0.4M———
2037Arb-2$0.4M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Royals Ventura — 183147 44911 30363 116 299428395822 95384 2016 373 59 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Royals — 214176 38412 31663 53 216343284627 68324 3114 293 22 — — — — — —
202619 AColumbia Fireflies — 6154 9100 5141 01 167250185435 19225 238 209 5 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Royals — 174145 431121 20364 33 297396421817 124378 2111 360 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 183156 32611 21443 116 205311276587 71257 2411 255 59 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Royals — 214187 27311 20973 53 144238187425 43265 459 201 22 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 6155 8100 4191 01 145217164380 18221 317 175 5 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Royals — 174152 33811 13524 33 217296303598 86294 307 259 61 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 183156 32611 21443 116 205311276587 71274 2411 255 59 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Royals Ventura — 183147 44911 30363 116 299428395822 95384 2016 373 59 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Royals — 214187 27311 20973 53 144238187425 43283 459 201 22 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWACL Royals — 214176 38412 31663 53 216343284627 68324 3114 293 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 235208 41911 16715 34 197271264535 67288 307 237 47 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 235199 521221 25505 34 261358357715 95338 2111 321 47 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 183157 32611 21443 116 204311274585 70257 2411 255 59 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Royals — 214189 27311 20973 53 143238185423 42265 459 201 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 235212 41911 16715 34 193271259530 66275 307 237 47 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 183157 32611 21443 116 204311274585 70257 2411 255 59 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Royals — 214189 27311 20973 53 143238185423 42265 459 201 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 235212 41911 16715 34 193271259530 66275 307 237 47 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEKC 0% 345312 611222 26894 52 195267265531 69263 268 245 52 -20 +0 +0 +4 +7 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEKC 34% 189170 35712 15482 31 202274287562 85266 258 257 60 -9 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
202922 MLB MLEKC 48% 296267 561124 23744 52 208280305585 97268 258 267 67 -12 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.2
203023 MLB MLEKC 54% 380342 731426 30935 62 212285317602 106270 248 273 71 -13 +0 +0 +4 +8 -0.0
203124 MLB MLEKC 55% 434391 841628 351065 72 215288327615 112272 248 279 75 -13 +1 +0 +5 +9 0.2
203225 MLB MLEKC 56% 461416 901729 371125 73 217290333623 116273 248 282 77 -13 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.3
203326 MLB MLEKC 56% 476428 941839 391156 73 217290334624 116273 248 282 77 -13 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.3
203427 MLB MLEKC 55% 481434 931829 391175 73 216290331621 115273 248 281 76 -14 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.2
203528 MLB MLEKC 55% 477430 921729 391175 63 214288327614 112272 258 278 74 -15 +0 -1 +5 +10 0.0
203629 MLB MLEKC 58% 468422 891728 381175 63 212285321606 108271 258 275 72 -16 +0 -1 +5 +10 -0.2
203730 MLB MLEKC 60% 456411 851627 371155 53 209282313595 104269 258 270 69 -17 -0 -2 +5 +10 -0.4
202821 MLB CTXKC 34% 6559 11201 5161 10 200273284556 83264 258 255 60 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202922 MLB CTXKC 48% 143129 27512 11362 21 206278300578 94266 258 264 67 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
203023 MLB CTXKC 54% 206186 38713 16512 31 210283312595 102268 258 270 71 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.0
203124 MLB CTXKC 55% 241217 46914 19593 41 213286321607 108270 248 275 75 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
203225 MLB CTXKC 56% 258232 49915 21633 41 215288326615 112271 248 278 77 -7 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203326 MLB CTXKC 56% 268241 521015 22653 42 215288327615 112271 248 279 77 -7 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.1
203427 MLB CTXKC 55% 266239 511015 22653 42 214287324612 111271 248 277 76 -8 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.1
203528 MLB CTXKC 55% 261235 49914 21643 41 212285320606 108270 258 275 74 -8 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.1
203629 MLB CTXKC 58% 272245 511014 22683 32 210283315597 105269 258 271 72 -9 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.1
203730 MLB CTXKC 60% 275248 511014 22693 32 207280308587 100267 258 267 69 -10 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22552031 42581937 18155626 3213 209282313595 103268 258 273 68 -72 +1 -2 +24 +49 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 12323311 521607 94 210282316598 106269 258 273 68 -21 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.0
Career— MLE — 48874385 9161742475 400126160 8039 209284311595 102273 268 269 68 -141 +2 -4 +46 +92 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 12223310 531688 115 209284310595 101274 268 269 68 -22 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Royals · 174 PAwOBA .357 → .259 (−98)K% 20.7% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.69%÷1.000×1.440——29.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.49%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0087.18%
HBP% /PA2.30%—×0.720—×1.0081.67%
Singles /BIP26.61%÷1.000×0.820×0.981×1.00821.56%
Doubles /BIP10.09%÷1.000×0.720×0.981×1.0087.18%
Triples /BIP1.83%÷1.000×0.720×0.981×1.0081.31%
Home runs /BIP0.92%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.72%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .357 → .259; ISO .124 → .088; BABIP .378 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AColumbia Fireflies · 61 PAwOBA .204 → .175 (−29)K% 23.0% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.95%÷1.000×1.360——31.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.20%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0455.91%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.780—×1.0451.34%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.920×1.034×1.04519.88%
Doubles /BIP2.50%÷1.000×0.830×1.034×1.0452.24%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.034×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .204 → .175; ISO .019 → .016; BABIP .225 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Royals · 214 PAwOBA .291 → .201 (−90)K% 30.8% → 45.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.84%÷0.985×1.440——45.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.49%÷0.971×0.620—×1.0229.46%
HBP% /PA1.40%—×0.720—×1.0221.03%
Singles /BIP28.18%÷1.019×0.820×1.013×1.02223.50%
Doubles /BIP3.64%÷0.975×0.720×1.013×1.0222.78%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷1.070×0.720×1.013×1.0220.63%
Home runs /BIP1.82%÷0.939×0.780—×1.0221.54%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 114, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .291 → .201; ISO .068 → .047; BABIP .324 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 183 PAwOBA .368 → .255 (−113)K% 19.7% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.67%÷1.000×1.220——24.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.39%÷1.022×0.700—×1.02211.48%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.700—×1.0221.17%
Singles /BIP29.73%÷1.014×0.680×1.003×1.02220.44%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷0.982×0.600×1.003×1.0225.08%
Triples /BIP0.90%÷1.012×0.600×1.003×1.0220.55%
Home runs /BIP0.90%÷0.994×0.470—×1.0220.44%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 103, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .368 → .255; ISO .095 → .059; BABIP .384 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).