Reyli Mariano

2B ACL Dodgers
Age 20 S/R 5'7" / 140 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1420ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL LAD Mega152.243/.436/.33311553—.156/.309/.197
202518ROKDSL LAD Mega165.336/.466/.58041580—.206/.313/.333
202619ROKLAD160.229/.361/.37431745—.163/.253/.255
2027PROJMLE20MLBLAD270.212/.290/.3133772-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBLAD46.212/.291/.3201177-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBLAD110.216/.294/.3322381-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$3M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Speed99
Whiff%71
ISO63
Z-Con%59
BB%56
K%50
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsBrainer Bonaci (age 20) · Jorge Barrosa (age 20) · Allan Castro (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .287 / .311
PA82
HR1
K%27
BB%9
ISO101
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.30.40.30.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Arb-1$2M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$3M+0.3$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$3M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $4M +$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 152111 27511 36322 154 243436333770 90329 2124 361 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 165131 441054 32260 155 3364665801.046 244396 1619 450 80 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Dodgers — 160131 30243 26341 171 229361374735 145284 2116 332 45 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 152122 19310 25392 154 156309197505 41217 2616 247 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 165141 29632 22330 155 206313333646 128249 2013 286 80 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 160141 23132 16491 171 163253255508 92227 3110 234 45 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 152122 19310 25392 154 156309197505 41226 2616 247 53 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 152111 27511 36322 154 243436333770 90329 2124 361 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 165141 29632 22330 155 206313333646 128255 2013 286 80 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 165131 441054 32260 155 3364665801.046 244396 1619 450 80 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 160141 23132 16491 171 163253255508 92231 3110 234 45 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 160131 30243 26341 171 229361374735 145284 2116 332 45 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 152124 19310 25392 154 153309194502 40217 2616 247 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 165142 29632 22330 155 204313331644 127249 2013 286 80 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 160142 23132 16491 171 162253254507 92227 3110 234 45 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 152124 19310 25392 154 153309194502 40217 2616 247 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 165142 29632 22330 155 204313331644 127249 2013 286 80 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 160142 23132 16491 171 162253254507 92227 3110 234 45 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLELAD 0% 270242 51933 24722 71 212290313603 101284 279 274 72 -9 +1 -2 +1 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLELAD 34% 133119 25412 12351 31 217295328623 111285 269 282 77 -4 +0 -1 +0 +3 -0.1
202922 MLB MLELAD 48% 226202 44724 20592 61 220298339638 119287 269 288 81 -5 +1 -1 +1 +5 0.0
203023 MLB MLELAD 54% 321286 641136 29823 82 223301348649 125288 269 293 84 -6 +1 -1 +1 +7 0.2
203124 MLB MLELAD 55% 390349 791348 35993 102 226303355658 129289 259 296 87 -6 +1 -0 +1 +8 0.5
203225 MLB MLELAD 56% 430384 871549 391084 112 227305359664 132289 259 298 88 -6 +1 -0 +2 +9 0.6
203326 MLB MLELAD 56% 450402 9216410 411144 112 227305359664 132289 259 298 88 -6 +1 -0 +2 +10 0.6
203427 MLB MLELAD 55% 458409 9316410 421164 112 226304356660 130288 259 297 87 -7 +1 -0 +2 +10 0.6
203528 MLB MLELAD 55% 456408 911649 411174 102 224302352653 127287 269 294 85 -8 +1 -1 +2 +10 0.4
203629 MLB MLELAD 53% 448401 891549 401164 92 222299345644 124286 269 290 83 -9 +1 -1 +2 +10 0.2
203730 MLB MLELAD 53% 439394 851448 391153 82 218295337632 119284 269 286 79 -11 +1 -2 +2 +10 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXLAD 34% 4642 8101 4120 10 212291320611 108278 269 277 77 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXLAD 48% 11098 21312 10291 31 216294332626 116279 269 284 81 -2 +0 -1 +0 +2 -0.0
203023 MLB CTXLAD 54% 174154 35614 16452 41 219297341638 122281 269 288 84 -3 +0 -0 +1 +4 0.1
203124 MLB CTXLAD 55% 216192 43725 20552 51 222300348647 126282 259 292 87 -3 +1 -0 +1 +5 0.3
203225 MLB CTXLAD 56% 241215 48825 22612 61 223301352653 129282 259 294 88 -3 +1 -0 +1 +5 0.3
203326 MLB CTXLAD 56% 253226 50826 23642 61 223301352653 130282 259 294 88 -4 +1 -0 +1 +5 0.4
203427 MLB CTXLAD 55% 253226 50826 23642 61 222300350650 128281 259 293 87 -4 +1 -0 +1 +5 0.3
203528 MLB CTXLAD 55% 250223 49825 23642 61 220298345643 125280 269 290 85 -4 +1 -0 +1 +5 0.2
203629 MLB CTXLAD 53% 239213 47825 22622 51 217295339634 121279 269 286 83 -5 +1 -1 +1 +5 0.1
203730 MLB CTXLAD 53% 231206 45725 21612 41 214291331622 116277 269 282 79 -6 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 20131795 396641644 18451717 469 221299348647 127283 269 289 82 -36 +6 -4 +7 +44 1.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 12821514 591675 153 221298347645 126284 269 289 82 -12 +2 -1 +2 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 43103832 8361404280 408110436 13628 218299339639 121283 269 289 82 -72 +11 -8 +14 +83 2.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 12621612 621665 214 218299337637 119283 2610 289 82 -12 +2 -1 +2 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Dodgers · 160 PAwOBA .327 → .234 (−93)K% 21.2% → 30.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.25%÷1.000×1.440——30.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.25%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99510.02%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.720—×0.9950.45%
Singles /BIP21.65%÷1.000×0.820×1.013×0.99517.89%
Doubles /BIP2.06%÷1.000×0.720×1.013×0.9951.50%
Triples /BIP4.12%÷1.000×0.720×1.013×0.9952.99%
Home runs /BIP3.09%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9952.40%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .327 → .234; ISO .145 → .106; BABIP .284 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 165 PAwOBA .439 → .286 (−153)K% 15.8% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.76%÷0.957×1.220——20.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.39%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99513.51%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷0.985×0.680×0.994×0.99516.25%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.050×0.600×0.994×0.9955.38%
Triples /BIP4.76%÷0.988×0.600×0.994×0.9952.86%
Home runs /BIP3.81%÷1.011×0.470—×0.9951.76%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 97, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .439 → .286; ISO .244 → .137; BABIP .396 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 152 PAwOBA .356 → .247 (−109)K% 21.1% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.994×1.220——25.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.68%÷1.030×0.700—×1.00816.21%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.700—×1.0080.93%
Singles /BIP25.32%÷0.988×0.680×0.978×1.00817.17%
Doubles /BIP6.33%÷0.953×0.600×0.978×1.0083.93%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷1.079×0.600×0.978×1.0080.69%
Home runs /BIP1.27%÷1.095×0.470—×1.0080.55%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .356 → .247; ISO .090 → .054; BABIP .329 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).