Reyli Mariano — OGILVIE

Reyli Mariano2B ACL Dodgers

Age 19 S/R 5'7" / 140 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION135 act + 90 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .289 / .300

PA90

HR1

K%27

BB%10

BABIP273

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$21M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	126	23	4	1	1	21	47	2	15	4	183	309	254	563	71	278	31	14	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	111	27	5	1	1	36	32	2	15	4	243	436	333	770	90	329	21	24	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	143	34	6	4	3	20	41	0	15	5	238	331	399	730	161	313	25	12	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	131	44	10	5	4	32	26	0	15	5	336	466	580	1.046	244	396	16	19	450	202	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	LAD	—	135	117	18	1	3	1	15	40	1	14	1	154	256	239	495	85	221	30	11	223	29	-11	+2	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
YTD	19	ROK	LAD	—	135	108	23	2	4	1	24	28	1	14	1	213	361	333	694	120	275	21	18	319	102	+0	+2	+0	+0	+4	0.7
ROS	19	ROK	LAD	0%	90	80	16	3	1	1	9	24	1	4	1	200	289	300	589	100	271	27	10	272	66	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		267	—	—	263	60	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	LAD	—	135	118	18	1	3	1	15	40	1	14	1	153	256	237	493	85	218	30	11	223	29	-11	+2	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
TOT	19	ROK	LAD	—	225	197	34	4	4	2	24	64	2	18	2	173	269	264	533	91	242	28	11	242	44	-14	+3	-1	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	LAD	25%	258	229	48	8	3	4	25	67	2	7	1	210	293	323	616	114	276	26	10	283	75	-7	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.0
2028	21	MLB	LAD	38%	377	333	72	12	4	7	37	96	4	10	2	216	302	339	641	123	278	25	10	291	81	-8	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.3
2029	22	MLB	LAD	45%	461	408	90	15	5	10	45	116	5	12	2	221	306	355	661	135	280	25	10	296	85	-8	+2	-3	+2	+13	0.6
2030	23	MLB	LAD	49%	516	455	101	17	5	11	51	129	5	13	2	222	307	354	661	132	281	25	10	299	87	-7	+2	-3	+2	+15	0.8
2031	24	MLB	LAD	50%	551	486	108	18	6	12	55	137	5	14	2	222	308	358	666	136	282	25	10	301	89	-7	+2	-3	+2	+16	0.9
2032	25	MLB	LAD	51%	572	504	113	19	6	13	57	142	6	14	2	224	310	363	674	139	282	25	10	302	89	-7	+2	-3	+2	+16	1.0
2033	26	MLB	LAD	51%	582	513	114	19	6	13	58	144	6	14	2	222	308	359	667	136	282	25	10	302	90	-7	+2	-3	+2	+16	1.0
2034	27	MLB	LAD	50%	584	514	114	19	6	13	59	145	6	14	2	222	309	358	667	136	281	25	10	302	90	-7	+2	-3	+2	+17	1.1
2035	28	MLB	LAD	50%	580	510	114	19	6	13	59	145	6	14	2	224	311	361	672	137	281	25	10	301	89	-7	+2	-4	+2	+16	0.9
2036	29	MLB	LAD	49%	571	502	111	18	6	13	58	144	6	13	2	221	309	359	668	137	280	25	10	300	87	-8	+2	-5	+2	+16	0.7
2037	30	MLB	LAD	48%	561	494	107	18	5	12	57	143	5	13	2	217	304	346	650	130	279	25	10	297	85	-9	+2	-5	+2	+16	0.5
2027	20	MLB	LAD	25%	64	57	12	2	1	1	6	17	1	2	0	211	297	333	630	123	272	27	9	273	67	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	LAD	38%	144	128	27	4	2	3	14	37	1	4	1	211	294	344	637	133	275	26	10	281	73	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	LAD	45%	209	184	40	7	2	4	21	53	2	5	1	217	304	342	647	125	276	25	10	286	77	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2030	23	MLB	LAD	49%	254	224	49	8	3	5	25	63	3	6	1	219	306	348	654	129	277	25	10	289	79	-6	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2031	24	MLB	LAD	50%	277	245	54	9	3	6	27	69	3	7	1	220	305	355	661	135	278	25	10	290	80	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2032	25	MLB	LAD	51%	291	257	56	9	3	6	29	72	3	7	1	218	304	346	651	128	278	25	10	291	81	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2033	26	MLB	LAD	51%	298	263	59	10	3	7	30	74	3	7	1	224	311	365	676	141	278	25	10	291	81	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2034	27	MLB	LAD	50%	295	260	58	10	3	7	30	73	3	7	1	223	311	365	676	142	278	25	10	291	81	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2035	28	MLB	LAD	50%	290	256	55	9	3	6	29	72	3	7	1	215	302	344	646	129	277	25	10	291	81	-6	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2036	29	MLB	LAD	49%	278	245	54	9	3	6	28	70	3	6	1	220	308	355	663	135	276	25	10	289	79	-7	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.1
2037	30	MLB	LAD	48%	268	236	51	8	3	6	27	68	3	6	1	216	305	352	656	136	275	25	10	286	77	-7	+1	-3	+1	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2668	2356	515	85	29	57	266	668	28	64	10	219	305	352	657	133	279	25	10	289	79	-63	+9	-18	+10	+76	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	126	21	7	14	65	163	7	16	2	220	307	354	660	134	281	25	10	289	79	-15	+2	-4	+2	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	6020	5297	1165	195	64	126	611	1520	59	172	31	220	308	352	660	132	282	25	10	298	86	-95	+22	-38	+21	+171	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	126	21	7	14	66	164	6	19	3	220	307	355	662	135	282	25	10	298	86	-10	+3	-4	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	111	27	5	1	1	36	32	2	15	4	243	436	333	770	90	329	21	24	361	134	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	131	44	10	5	4	32	26	0	15	5	336	466	580	1.046	244	396	16	19	450	202	+19	+1	—	—	+5	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,830	61	70	222	305	357	+10	+0	5.7	5.1
	/162	664	14	16	222	305	357	+2.4	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Reyli Mariano (OGILVIE)	19	25→50	25→45	60	50	173/269/264	91	242	2	18	28%	11%	44	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	41→43	41→45	51→55	54	194/303/299	105	291	7	16	32%	13%	72	-0.2	205/300/298	93	293	6	20	29%	11%	70	-0.3	210/285/315	105	268	10	21	24%	9%	66	-0.4
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→48	39→60	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	53	-1.5	233/267/329	96	309	7	15	26%	4%	63	-0.9	233/273/379	146	307	15	25	28%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	60	-1.0	234/282/320	86	276	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	263/317/347	84	301	3	3	13%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	46→51	39→50	58→60	44	218/271/315	96	273	4	19	21%	6%	61	-1.0	232/280/372	140	293	11	20	24%	6%	79	+0.3	252/286/391	139	300	12	30	20%	4%	83	+0.4
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	63	-0.8	199/289/276	77	291	4	13	30%	10%	60	-1.0	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Karexon Sanchez 2007 · A	19	42→48	41→45	49→50	49	207/288/304	98	267	9	16	25%	9%	66	-0.6	205/267/306	101	291	9	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	222/301/333	110	309	10	11	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	52→55	47	210/291/312	102	321	7	14	34%	10%	70	-0.3	212/314/339	127	299	15	12	31%	12%	88	+0.9	207/304/326	119	281	14	14	29%	11%	78	+0.2
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	45→54	40→45	53→50	52	214/297/310	95	272	8	10	23%	10%	72	-0.2	225/295/354	129	272	12	8	21%	8%	82	+0.5	238/307/358	119	303	12	6	24%	8%	85	+0.5
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	46→47	38→55	55→65	49	214/295/302	88	304	4	19	29%	10%	69	-0.4	205/280/345	140	304	15	34	35%	8%	74	-0.1	205/278/368	164	287	19	47	34%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3