Reyli Mariano — OGILVIE

Reyli Mariano2B ACL Dodgers

Age 19 S/R 5'7" / 140 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION160 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA16

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP266

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	111	27	5	1	1	36	32	2	15	4	243	436	333	770	90	329	21	24	361	130	+5	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	131	44	10	5	4	32	26	0	15	5	336	466	580	1.046	244	396	16	19	450	190	+18	+1	—	—	+4	2.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	125	23	4	1	1	22	46	2	15	4	184	315	256	571	72	260	30	14	254	58	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	143	35	7	4	3	20	39	0	15	5	245	337	413	750	168	305	24	12	319	102	+0	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	125	23	4	1	1	22	46	2	15	4	184	315	256	571	72	278	30	14	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	111	27	5	1	1	36	32	2	15	4	243	436	333	770	90	329	21	24	361	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	143	35	7	4	3	20	39	0	15	5	245	337	413	750	168	317	24	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	131	44	10	5	4	32	26	0	15	5	336	466	580	1.046	244	396	16	19	450	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	127	23	4	1	1	22	46	2	15	4	181	315	252	567	71	260	30	14	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	144	35	7	4	3	20	39	0	15	5	243	337	410	747	167	305	24	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	127	23	4	1	1	22	46	2	15	4	181	315	252	567	71	260	30	14	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	144	35	7	4	3	20	39	0	15	5	243	337	410	747	167	305	24	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	LAD	—	160	141	23	1	3	2	16	49	1	17	1	163	253	255	508	92	231	31	10	235	45	-10	+3	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	LAD	—	160	131	30	2	4	3	26	34	1	17	1	229	361	374	735	145	284	21	16	332	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	LAD	0%	16	14	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	143	250	143	393		271	25	12	272	70	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	LAD	—	176	155	25	1	3	2	18	53	1	18	1	161	253	245	498	84	228	30	10	238	47	-11	+3	-0	+1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	LAD	25%	228	202	43	7	2	4	22	60	2	6	1	213	296	327	623	114	277	26	10	285	79	-6	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	38%	354	314	68	11	4	7	34	91	3	10	1	217	299	344	643	127	279	26	10	293	84	-7	+2	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	LAD	45%	445	395	87	14	4	10	43	112	4	12	2	220	303	352	655	132	280	25	10	298	87	-7	+2	-3	+2	+10	0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	LAD	49%	505	446	100	16	5	12	49	126	5	13	2	224	308	363	671	139	282	25	10	300	89	-6	+2	-3	+2	+11	0.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	LAD	50%	544	481	108	18	5	13	53	135	5	14	2	225	308	364	672	139	282	25	10	302	91	-6	+2	-3	+2	+12	0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	567	501	113	18	6	14	55	141	6	14	2	226	310	369	679	144	282	25	10	303	91	-6	+2	-3	+2	+12	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	579	511	116	19	6	14	57	144	6	14	2	227	312	370	682	143	282	25	10	303	91	-6	+2	-3	+2	+13	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	LAD	50%	582	513	116	19	6	14	58	145	6	14	2	226	312	368	680	142	282	25	10	303	91	-6	+2	-3	+2	+13	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	LAD	50%	579	510	115	19	6	14	58	145	6	14	2	225	312	369	680	143	281	25	10	302	91	-6	+2	-4	+2	+13	0.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	570	503	111	18	5	13	57	144	5	13	2	221	306	354	660	133	280	25	10	300	89	-7	+2	-5	+2	+12	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	560	494	108	17	5	13	56	143	5	13	2	219	305	352	657	134	279	26	10	298	88	-8	+2	-5	+2	+12	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	LAD	58%	547	482	105	17	5	12	55	141	5	12	2	218	304	349	653	131	277	26	10	293	85	-10	+2	-6	+2	+12	-0.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	LAD	60%	529	466	99	15	5	11	53	139	5	11	2	212	300	337	637	124	273	26	10	288	81	-12	+1	-7	+2	+11	-0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	LAD	25%	57	51	11	2	1	1	6	15	0	2	0	216	298	353	651	137	271	26	11	276	79	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	38%	135	120	25	4	1	3	13	35	1	4	1	208	291	333	624	125	274	26	10	283	84	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	LAD	45%	202	178	39	6	2	5	20	51	2	5	1	219	305	360	665	140	275	25	10	288	87	-3	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	LAD	49%	249	221	49	8	2	6	24	62	2	6	1	222	304	357	661	136	276	25	10	291	89	-3	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	LAD	50%	274	242	54	9	2	7	27	68	3	7	1	223	309	364	672	140	277	25	10	293	91	-3	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	289	256	56	9	2	7	28	72	3	7	1	219	303	352	655	133	277	25	10	293	91	-3	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	297	263	57	9	2	7	29	74	3	7	1	217	302	346	648	129	277	25	10	294	91	-3	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	LAD	50%	294	260	56	9	2	7	29	73	3	7	1	215	301	346	648	131	277	25	10	294	91	-3	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	LAD	50%	290	256	56	9	2	7	29	73	3	7	1	219	306	352	657	133	276	25	10	293	91	-3	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	304	267	57	9	2	7	31	77	3	7	1	213	302	341	643	127	275	25	10	291	89	-4	+1	-3	+1	+7	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	313	275	59	10	2	7	32	80	3	7	1	215	303	342	645	127	274	26	10	288	88	-5	+1	-3	+1	+7	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	LAD	58%	317	279	59	9	2	7	32	82	3	7	1	211	299	333	633	122	272	26	10	284	85	-6	+1	-4	+1	+7	-0.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	LAD	60%	315	277	58	9	2	7	32	83	3	6	1	209	298	332	630	123	268	26	10	279	81	-7	+1	-4	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3336	2945	636	102	24	78	332	845	32	79	12	216	302	346	649	130	274	25	10	289	88	-47	+11	-26	+12	+72	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	124	20	5	15	65	165	6	15	2	216	302	347	649	131	275	25	10	289	88	-9	+2	-5	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6922	6100	1349	219	69	155	694	1755	65	191	33	221	307	356	663	135	283	25	10	298	88	-94	+23	-50	+24	+143	4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	127	21	6	15	65	165	6	18	3	222	307	358	665	136	283	25	10	298	88	-9	+2	-5	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.2	3,476	79	83	222	304	357	+12	+0	6.9	5.9
/162	664	15	16	+2.4	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 5
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Reyli Mariano (OGILVIE)	19	25→50	25→45	60	50	202/284/308	106	271	2	7	27%	10%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	42→46	42→45	51→55	53	197/305/310	112	291	8	16	32%	12%	79	-0.2	210/302/306	96	297	6	20	28%	11%	76	-0.4	217/288/319	102	277	9	23	24%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	65	-1.2	237/285/325	88	280	4	5	16%	6%	73	-0.6	271/325/356	85	309	2	3	12%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→53	40→45	53→50	51	212/293/307	95	270	8	10	23%	10%	73	-0.6	225/299/349	124	276	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.2	220/327/339	119	312	10	7	29%	13%	91	+0.5
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	46→52	39→50	58→60	44	218/271/315	96	273	4	19	21%	6%	65	-1.2	236/283/372	136	299	10	20	23%	6%	83	+0.1	239/283/383	143	299	11	21	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	69	-0.9	238/288/366	128	310	12	12	26%	6%	84	+0.1	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Karexon Sanchez 2007 · A	19	42→47	41→45	49→50	49	207/288/304	98	267	9	16	25%	9%	70	-0.8	205/267/306	101	291	9	12	31%	7%	63	-1.4	215/284/316	101	292	11	15	28%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	82	-0.0	222/294/296	74	305	5	6	26%	7%	71	-0.8	277/346/357	80	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→48	42→45	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	78	-0.3	220/281/338	118	321	11	16	33%	7%	75	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→49	41→45	52→55	47	211/293/316	105	325	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	210/312/335	125	297	14	12	31%	12%	87	+0.4	208/305/322	114	282	13	14	29%	11%	79	-0.2
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	69	-0.9	218/303/296	78	282	4	15	22%	9%	74	-0.5	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps