Juan Garcia

C FCL Orioles

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Orioles B…	77	.083/.257/.117	0	2	-22	—	.048/.189/.063
2025	18	ROKBAL	27	.100/.333/.100	0	0	-6	—	.087/.222/.087
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBBAL	137	.182/.264/.248	1	2	48	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBAL	40	.189/.271/.267	0	0	53	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

CompsJesus Chirinos (age 20) · Nerio Rodriguez (age 19) · Neyfy Castillo (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .262 / .246

PA38

HR0

K%35

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	60	5	2	0	0	10	30	4	2	0	83	257	117	373	33	156	39	13	197	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	27	20	2	0	0	0	7	8	0	0	1	100	333	100	433		167	30	26	248	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	63	3	1	0	0	7	37	4	2	0	48	189	63	253	16	98	48	9	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	27	23	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	87	222	87	309		138	44	15	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	63	3	1	0	0	7	37	4	2	0	48	189	63	253	16	107	48	9	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	60	5	2	0	0	10	30	4	2	0	83	257	117	373	33	156	39	13	197	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	27	23	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	87	222	87	309		182	44	15	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	27	20	2	0	0	0	7	8	0	0	1	100	333	100	433		167	30	26	248	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	66	3	1	0	0	7	37	4	2	0	45	189	61	250	15	98	48	9	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	27	23	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	87	222	87	309		138	44	15	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	77	66	3	1	0	0	7	37	4	2	0	45	189	61	250	15	98	48	9	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	27	23	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	1	87	222	87	309		138	44	15	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	137	123	23	4	1	1	11	49	2	2	0	182	264	248	512	66	289	36	8	239	48	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	115	102	19	3	1	1	10	40	2	1	0	187	269	262	531	75	290	35	9	247	53	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	40	36	6	1	0	0	3	14	1	0	0	189	271	267	538	77	294	35	8	250	53	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	36	6	1	0	0	3	14	1	0	0	167	250	194	444	28	273	35	8	250	24	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	97	16	0	0	49	228	16	0	0	166	249	193	442	27	272	35	8	250	24	-36	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	257	222	30	5	1	1	24	102	7	3	1	135	241	180	421	45	238	40	9	203	24	-9	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	77	13	3	3	61	258	18	8	3	137	244	187	431	50	240	40	9	203	24	-37	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	180/262/246	66	289	0	0	35%	8%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Chirinos 2021 · A	20	40→36	37→40	49→40	40	185/254/257	71	302	4	5	37%	8%	47	-2.6	198/277/294	96	340	10	3	40%	10%	64	-1.3	184/277/278	94	319	11	2	41%	11%	59	-0.9
✕Nerio Rodriguez 2019 · A	19	34	37→40	48→40	39	162/230/231	69	276	4	4	40%	8%	32	-3.7	191/261/276	85	309	6	4	37%	8%	54	-2.0	191/269/294	102	288	11	1	35%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Franklin Correa 2016 · A	20	38	37→40	45→50	40	180/247/249	70	281	5	9	35%	7%	42	-2.9	192/237/282	90	296	7	6	36%	5%	45	-2.7	152/169/259	107	218	10	2	36%	1%	13	-1.1
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	35→31	36→50	47→30	41	172/239/241	69	258	3	6	33%	7%	38	-3.2	197/255/307	110	316	10	3	38%	7%	59	-1.7	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Juan Santander 2023 · A	20	35	36→40	49→50	37	171/230/232	61	271	3	8	36%	6%	32	-3.7	192/250/282	90	271	9	8	31%	7%	51	-2.3	180/237/269	89	241	11	9	30%	7%	41	-0.9
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2023 · A	20	37→24	37→45	51→60	38	178/236/254	76	272	4	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	159/221/246	87	248	8	13	37%	6%	32	-3.7	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Dale Burdick 2016 · A	20	36	38→45	43→50	43	172/261/250	78	270	6	4	36%	8%	49	-2.4	178/251/271	93	308	7	7	41%	8%	49	-2.4	152/230/247	95	273	6	9	43%	8%	33	-1.2
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	32	38→40	47→50	42	158/250/236	79	240	5	8	34%	8%	42	-2.9	190/270/285	95	312	8	13	39%	7%	60	-1.6	159/240/237	78	323	8	23	49%	7%	35	-1.2
✕Luis Rubio 2022 · A	20	37	34→30	44→45	43	175/249/228	53	281	2	7	36%	9%	38	-3.2	183/251/238	55	283	2	8	33%	8%	41	-3.0	157/234/187	30	233	0	8	30%	8%	21	-1.0
✕Leandro Santana 2017 · A	20	38→31	36→45	44→40	38	176/242/245	69	307	3	6	41%	8%	39	-3.1	186/235/277	91	296	10	4	38%	6%	43	-2.8	173/220/262	89	265	11	3	38%	5%	32	-2.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Aaron Familia 2019 · A	20	39	37→40	47→40	44	179/272/247	69	298	4	5	38%	9%	53	-2.1	195/267/281	86	350	6	5	42%	8%	57	-1.8	162/241/257	94	310	8	0	46%	9%	38	-0.8
✕Justin Twine 2016 · A	20	36→33	38→40	48→50	29	179/209/257	78	263	5	7	34%	2%	28	-3.9	191/230/268	77	296	5	8	36%	3%	39	-3.1	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	42→50	44	171/242/229	57	249	2	8	30%	8%	36	-3.4	167/248/235	68	217	4	9	23%	9%	40	-3.0	144/237/212	69	178	5	11	21%	9%	30	-1.2
✕Aneudis Mordán 2023 · A	19	35→30	34→45	47→40	41	168/234/220	52	254	2	6	33%	7%	30	-3.8	182/248/286	104	264	12	5	34%	7%	51	-2.2	164/232/270	106	232	14	3	35%	7%	39	-1.3
✕Jose Caguana 2022 · A	20	41	38→45	47→45	39	190/259/269	79	316	6	7	39%	8%	51	-2.2	188/252/294	106	367	11	8	48%	7%	55	-2.0	163/237/285	122	251	16	7	40%	8%	47	-1.0
✕Jesus Lopez 2017 · A	20	37	36→50	48→40	37	178/222/247	68	272	4	5	35%	5%	31	-3.7	202/241/304	102	259	10	6	25%	4%	52	-2.2	199/237/313	113	233	13	4	21%	4%	49	-0.9