Ricardo Paez

OF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 20 L/L 5'10" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKMIN	124	.242/.405/.295	0	13	44	—	.167/.298/.206
2026	19	AMIN	93	.208/.337/.286	1	3	37	—	.160/.261/.222
2026	19	ROKMIN	39	.188/.333/.406	1	4	36	—	.143/.231/.314
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBMIN	242	.190/.273/.276	3	5	58	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBMIN	78	.196/.279/.292	1	2	64	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%76

Chase%62

Speed51

Z-Con%48

Whiff%47

K%32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsYohairo Cuevas (age 20) · Jaden Rudd (age 20) · Jefry Puente (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 127 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .271 / .274

PA127

HR1

K%29

BB%9

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	121	99	26	4	3	2	20	26	1	4	4	263	392	424	816	162	333	21	17	365	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	124	95	23	3	1	0	19	30	7	13	3	242	405	295	700	53	343	24	15	331	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	77	16	3	0	1	15	27	0	3	0	208	337	286	623	78	300	29	16	293	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	39	32	6	2	1	1	7	9	0	4	0	188	333	406	740	219	227	23	18	332	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	121	105	16	2	2	1	14	32	1	4	4	152	258	238	496	86	202	26	12	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	124	102	17	2	1	0	12	43	7	13	3	167	298	206	503	39	262	35	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	81	13	2	0	1	11	37	0	3	0	160	261	222	483	62	267	40	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	39	35	5	1	1	1	4	13	0	4	0	143	231	314	545	171	172	33	10	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	121	105	16	2	2	1	14	32	1	4	4	152	258	238	496	86	205	26	12	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	121	99	26	4	3	2	20	26	1	4	4	263	392	424	816	162	333	21	17	365	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	124	102	17	2	1	0	12	43	7	13	3	167	298	206	503	39	279	35	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	124	95	23	3	1	0	19	30	7	13	3	242	405	295	700	53	343	24	15	331	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	116	19	4	1	2	15	50	0	7	0	164	260	267	527	103	262	38	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	132	109	22	5	1	2	22	36	0	7	0	202	336	321	657	119	278	27	17	305	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	121	105	16	2	2	1	14	32	1	4	4	152	258	238	496	86	202	26	12	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	124	104	17	2	1	0	12	43	7	13	3	163	298	202	499	38	262	35	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	116	19	4	1	2	15	50	0	7	0	164	260	267	527	103	239	38	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	121	105	16	2	2	1	14	32	1	4	4	152	258	238	496	86	202	26	12	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	124	104	17	2	1	0	12	43	7	13	3	163	298	202	499	38	262	35	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	132	116	19	4	1	2	15	50	0	7	0	164	260	267	527	103	239	38	11	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	242	215	41	7	2	3	22	70	3	5	1	190	273	276	550	86	265	29	9	254	58	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	226	200	40	7	2	3	21	64	3	5	1	196	279	292	571	96	267	28	9	262	64	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	78	70	14	2	1	1	7	22	1	2	0	196	279	292	571	96	267	28	9	262	64	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	78	70	14	2	1	1	7	22	1	2	0	200	282	300	582	100	277	28	9	262	51	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	116	17	8	8	58	183	8	17	0	199	280	297	577	98	276	28	9	262	51	-28	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	730	636	113	19	7	7	74	226	12	32	9	178	276	263	538	85	259	31	10	243	51	-16	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	100	17	6	6	66	201	11	28	8	177	275	260	535	83	258	31	10	243	51	-30	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	205	2	5	193	273	283	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	8	15	-4.0	+0.0	-1.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Paez (OGILVIE)	20	21→26	30→35	56→61	63	189/271/274	85	265	1	3	29%	9%	58	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	33	36→40	54→50	51	159/256/227	68	220	2	11	26%	10%	42	-2.9	182/263/253	71	238	3	14	23%	8%	49	-2.4	139/229/187	48	171	0	27	17%	8%	19	-1.2
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	46→44	39→40	55→50	52	216/312/311	95	298	6	15	27%	11%	81	-0.1	202/278/301	99	278	7	11	27%	9%	65	-1.2	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Yeniel Laboy 2024 · A	20	43	37→30	52→45	47	200/283/268	68	287	5	8	29%	9%	61	-1.5	199/274/263	64	285	4	7	29%	8%	55	-1.9	166/248/183	18	241	0	3	28%	9%	26	-1.3
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	38	42→40	49→45	42	190/255/295	105	271	9	7	32%	7%	55	-1.9	188/238/305	117	303	12	5	40%	6%	51	-2.2	179/226/296	117	283	14	3	41%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	40→41	40→45	57→50	41	193/255/292	99	294	7	15	35%	7%	55	-2.0	188/260/303	115	277	12	13	34%	8%	60	-1.6	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Darryl Collins 2022 · A	20	45	38→40	50→45	51	212/292/289	77	265	5	11	21%	9%	68	-1.0	209/287/289	80	273	4	11	23%	9%	66	-1.1	198/286/277	79	269	1	9	24%	11%	64	-0.7
✕Edison Lantigua 2017 · A	20	41	36→45	52→50	42	195/250/272	77	278	3	6	29%	7%	47	-2.5	201/260/293	92	331	6	8	38%	7%	57	-1.8	178/240/274	95	303	8	7	41%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Maximo Mendez 2007 · A	20	38→39	40	53→55	54	180/298/273	93	262	7	19	31%	13%	69	-0.9	180/258/265	85	326	5	18	42%	8%	50	-2.3	169/239/250	81	318	5	21	45%	7%	37	-1.6

Ricardo Paez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps