Leider Padilla — OGILVIE

Leider PadillaOF ACL Dodgers

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 176 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 64 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .266 / .276

PA64

HR1

K%31

BB%8

BABIP270

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	94	16	2	0	0	5	35	4	6	4	170	243	191	434	21	271	34	5	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	90	21	3	0	0	9	24	4	6	4	233	330	267	597	33	318	23	9	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	137	21	3	0	2	15	61	5	9	0	153	261	219	480	66	250	38	9	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	127	30	5	0	3	25	43	5	9	0	236	382	346	729	110	325	27	16	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	LAD	—	68	58	9	1	0	1	4	29	4	1	1	155	258	224	482	69	267	43	6	227	32	-5	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
YTD	19	ROK	LAD	—	68	56	13	2	0	2	6	20	4	1	1	232	348	375	723	143	306	29	9	324	106	+0	-0	+0	-0	+2	0.2
ROS	19	ROK	LAD	0%	64	58	11	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	190	266	276	541	86	268	31	8	244	45	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		265	—	—	226	31	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	LAD	—	68	59	9	1	0	1	4	29	4	1	1	153	258	220	478	68	258	43	6	227	32	-5	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.4
TOT	19	ROK	LAD	—	132	116	20	3	0	2	9	49	5	2	1	172	262	250	512	78	269	37	7	235	38	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	LAD	34%	218	196	38	6	1	3	16	65	4	4	1	194	269	281	549	87	272	30	7	258	55	-11	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
2028	21	MLB	LAD	48%	346	310	63	11	2	6	26	101	7	7	2	203	280	310	590	106	275	29	8	266	62	-15	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.7
2027	20	MLB	LAD	34%	75	68	12	2	0	1	6	23	1	1	0	176	253	250	503	74	269	31	8	240	42	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	LAD	48%	168	150	30	5	1	3	13	49	3	3	1	200	277	307	584	107	271	29	8	249	49	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	243	219	42	7	1	4	19	72	4	4	1	192	270	288	557	96	264	30	8	246	47	-15	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	113	19	3	11	51	193	11	11	3	193	272	292	564	99	265	30	8	246	47	-39	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	890	795	149	24	3	12	67	282	21	27	7	187	268	270	539	83	271	32	8	246	47	-54	+3	+0	-5	+25	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	109	18	2	9	49	206	15	20	5	188	268	272	540	84	270	32	8	246	47	-39	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	90	21	3	0	0	9	24	4	6	4	233	330	267	597	33	318	23	9	285	76	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	127	30	5	0	3	25	43	5	9	0	236	382	346	729	110	325	27	16	338	117	+3	+2	—	—	+5	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	375	5	7	198	270	291	-2	+0	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	10	13	198	270	291	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leider Padilla (OGILVIE)	19	30	30	55	60	172/262/250	78	269	2	2	37%	7%	38	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Mishael Deson 2021 · A	19	41	36→30	49→55	44	196/249/263	68	261	3	15	25%	6%	38	-2.6	226/278/294	68	340	5	13	33%	6%	58	-1.2	235/289/284	49	365	5	15	35%	7%	58	-0.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Felix Abreu 2017 · A	19	38	37→30	51→45	43	185/251/257	72	261	4	8	29%	7%	38	-2.6	202/259/264	62	276	3	8	26%	5%	43	-2.2	202/251/235	33	269	0	8	23%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Adalfi Almonte 2015 · A	19	39	40	48→50	46	190/275/287	97	268	7	12	30%	8%	58	-1.2	195/296/271	76	287	5	12	30%	10%	63	-0.9	169/295/221	52	258	3	14	31%	11%	49	-0.5
✕Jhonny Piron 2023 · A	19	36	40	47→55	45	179/264/268	89	265	9	11	34%	9%	48	-1.9	184/254/256	72	292	5	9	36%	7%	40	-2.4	122/192/154	32	205	0	12	37%	6%	-15	-1.4
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	39→37	38→40	48→40	47	187/266/269	83	245	4	8	24%	8%	49	-1.8	193/286/294	101	260	9	6	27%	11%	63	-0.8	179/279/276	97	240	10	4	28%	12%	55	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	44→28	36→45	52→50	43	203/273/273	70	297	3	14	30%	7%	52	-1.6	193/263/272	79	302	5	16	35%	8%	47	-1.9	205/271/341	136	317	14	17	37%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	36→39	38→40	49→55	39	176/241/254	78	265	5	10	34%	6%	33	-2.9	183/258/278	95	267	8	13	32%	8%	47	-1.9	169/247/259	90	238	8	18	31%	8%	36	-1.4
✕Rather Trujillo 2008 · A	19	39	34→30	51→50	46	180/269/232	51	236	2	15	22%	7%	41	-2.3	215/304/283	68	261	3	14	17%	8%	69	-0.4	223/314/293	70	263	2	14	14%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Angel Molina 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	50→55	40	183/236/266	82	230	7	15	24%	4%	34	-2.8	195/240/284	89	253	7	8	25%	4%	40	-2.4	176/207/266	90	220	8	0	24%	2%	20	-1.1
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	34	41→40	47→50	35	176/222/272	96	262	8	9	35%	5%	29	-3.2	206/257/299	93	278	6	10	26%	5%	51	-1.7	216/268/312	96	280	5	12	23%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→29	40→45	51→50	48	177/255/271	94	227	7	13	24%	8%	44	-2.1	175/249/266	91	263	6	10	33%	8%	40	-2.4	157/237/236	79	247	5	10	36%	9%	25	-2.0
✕Cristian Encarnacion 2016 · A	19	42	39→40	48→55	47	199/287/293	94	268	5	12	26%	8%	64	-0.8	198/284/278	80	279	4	13	28%	8%	59	-1.1	169/267/230	62	246	2	20	29%	8%	41	-0.9
✕Ozziel Sanchez-Galan 2017 · A	19	38	36→30	50	47	180/266/243	63	253	3	10	28%	9%	42	-2.3	196/266/277	81	293	4	7	32%	7%	50	-1.8	175/243/259	84	266	3	3	33%	6%	32	-0.8
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Demetrio Nadal 2023 · A	19	42	35→30	55	47	198/281/261	63	260	3	17	23%	7%	53	-1.5	210/300/287	77	273	4	25	23%	8%	68	-0.5	195/295/268	73	258	5	32	24%	9%	60	-0.4