Leider Padilla — OGILVIE

Leider PadillaOF ACL Dodgers

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 176 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .258 / .261

PA75

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	90	21	3	0	0	9	24	4	6	4	233	330	267	597	33	318	23	9	285	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	127	30	5	0	3	25	43	5	9	0	236	382	346	729	110	325	27	16	338	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	82	69	17	3	0	3	6	25	5	1	1	246	350	420	770	174	326	30	7	340	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	93	14	2	0	0	6	29	4	6	4	151	233	172	405	22	217	28	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	135	19	3	0	1	17	52	5	9	0	141	261	185	446	44	204	33	11	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	82	71	12	2	0	2	4	36	5	1	1	169	263	282	544	113	253	44	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	93	14	2	0	0	6	29	4	6	4	151	233	172	405	22	219	28	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	90	21	3	0	0	9	24	4	6	4	233	330	267	597	33	318	23	9	285	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	135	19	3	0	1	17	52	5	9	0	141	261	185	446	44	214	33	11	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	127	30	5	0	3	25	43	5	9	0	236	382	346	729	110	325	27	16	338	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	82	71	12	2	0	2	4	36	5	1	1	169	263	282	544	113	286	44	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	82	69	17	3	0	3	6	25	5	1	1	246	350	420	770	174	326	30	7	340	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	92	14	2	0	0	6	29	4	6	4	152	233	174	407	22	217	28	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	136	19	3	0	1	17	52	5	9	0	140	261	184	445	44	204	33	11	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	82	73	12	2	0	2	4	36	5	1	1	164	263	274	536	110	253	44	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	103	92	14	2	0	0	6	29	4	6	4	152	233	174	407	22	217	28	6	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	159	136	19	3	0	1	17	52	5	9	0	140	261	184	445	44	204	33	11	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	82	73	12	2	0	2	4	36	5	1	1	164	263	274	536	110	253	44	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	192	173	32	5	1	2	14	59	3	4	1	188	260	263	523	76	267	31	7	242	50	-11	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	163	147	29	5	1	2	12	49	3	3	1	193	266	278	544	85	270	30	7	250	55	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	189	263	273	536	83	264	30	7	247	55	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	273	30	7	247	39	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	116	23	0	12	46	197	12	12	0	196	268	296	563	100	272	30	7	247	39	-34	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	582	515	86	14	1	6	44	189	18	20	6	167	256	233	490	66	246	32	8	225	39	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	97	16	1	7	49	211	20	22	7	169	258	237	494	68	248	32	8	225	39	-36	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leider Padilla (OGILVIE)	20	30	30	55	60	186/258/261	75	267	1	1	31%	7%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Arturo Guerrero 2021 · A	20	37	38→30	52→50	40	178/273/258	80	272	6	9	34%	7%	56	-1.9	177/253/265	88	320	6	11	44%	6%	49	-2.4	137/218/227	89	269	7	13	48%	6%	27	-0.9
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Benyamin Bailey 2022 · A	20	37	38→30	49→45	44	178/259/249	70	285	6	6	37%	9%	47	-2.5	184/257/264	80	305	7	4	38%	8%	49	-2.4	158/241/227	70	258	7	0	38%	9%	36	-1.9
✕Steven Mateo 2013 · A	20	38	35→30	45→50	47	180/265/239	59	261	3	6	30%	9%	47	-2.5	196/279/265	69	283	3	8	28%	10%	58	-1.7	192/270/254	63	279	2	6	29%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Rafael Rincones 2019 · A	20	38	37→30	48→45	41	180/256/255	75	282	5	8	35%	8%	47	-2.5	196/266/270	74	308	5	6	35%	7%	54	-2.0	177/256/229	51	276	4	4	34%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	38	37→40	50	53	178/278/250	72	254	4	12	29%	11%	55	-1.9	187/261/255	68	287	3	9	33%	8%	49	-2.4	130/199/162	32	218	0	8	37%	8%	5	-1.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	37	36→40	48→50	49	177/259/243	66	236	3	10	25%	9%	46	-2.6	201/272/288	87	266	7	7	25%	7%	61	-1.5	191/264/271	80	248	7	5	24%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	40	37→30	49→55	45	189/274/253	64	275	5	17	31%	8%	55	-2.0	200/259/279	79	339	6	8	40%	6%	53	-2.1	178/227/247	69	320	8	2	44%	5%	31	-1.0
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	39	36→40	48→50	45	186/264/252	67	256	3	6	27%	7%	50	-2.3	191/282/272	81	245	5	11	23%	8%	61	-1.5	167/274/245	79	204	6	15	20%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Anyelo Encarnación 2024 · A	20	41→36	38→40	54→50	49	188/284/272	84	293	5	14	34%	11%	62	-1.4	183/267/272	89	313	8	14	40%	9%	56	-1.9	171/261/262	92	293	9	17	41%	10%	49	-1.4
✕Juan Batista 2021 · A	20	38	36→30	51→55	49	180/258/247	67	242	2	16	25%	9%	46	-2.6	180/240/259	79	359	5	13	47%	6%	42	-2.9	90/154/143	54	283	2	18	64%	5%	-18	-1.9