Daniel Flames — OGILVIE

Daniel FlamesSS Hickory Crawdads

Age 19 S/R 5'8" / 160 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION262 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .301 / .296

PA174

HR1

K%27

BB%9

BABIP316

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$11M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$10M	+$9M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$9M	+$7M
2035	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$8M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$23M		$55M	+$46M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	245	192	46	6	1	0	41	57	10	14	6	240	399	281	680	42	338	23	17	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	245	170	56	8	2	0	63	37	10	14	6	329	531	400	931	71	418	15	26	434	191	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	2 teams	—	42	39	7	1	0	0	2	9	1	1	0	179	238	205	443	26	233	21	5	208	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	2 teams	—	42	38	9	2	0	0	3	6	1	1	0	237	310	289	599	53	281	14	7	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	TEX	—	262	240	58	8	1	1	18	82	2	4	3	242	300	296	596	54	361	31	7	263	59	-12	-0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
YTD	19	A	TEX	—	262	230	64	10	1	1	28	58	2	4	3	278	362	343	705	65	366	22	11	323	105	+2	-0	+0	+3	+7	1.2
ROS	19	A	TEX	0%	174	155	35	6	1	1	15	48	2	3	1	225	301	296	597	71	314	27	9	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		316	—	—	267	63	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	TEX	—	262	241	58	8	1	1	18	82	2	4	3	241	300	295	595	54	358	31	7	263	59	-12	-0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
TOT	19	A	TEX	—	436	395	93	14	2	2	33	130	4	7	4	235	300	296	596	61	343	30	8	267	63	-18	-0	+0	+5	+12	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TEX	34%	370	331	78	13	2	5	32	99	4	6	2	236	311	332	643	97	314	27	9	287	78	-9	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2028	21	MLB	TEX	48%	463	414	98	17	2	7	40	120	6	9	3	237	313	338	651	101	313	26	9	297	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.1
2029	22	MLB	TEX	54%	521	464	112	19	2	10	46	133	6	10	4	241	318	356	673	114	313	26	9	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+6	+15	1.5
2030	23	MLB	TEX	57%	554	493	120	21	2	11	49	139	7	11	4	243	321	361	682	118	313	25	9	307	93	-4	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.8
2031	24	MLB	TEX	57%	574	511	125	21	3	12	51	144	7	12	5	245	322	368	690	123	314	25	9	309	95	-3	+0	+0	+6	+16	2.0
2032	25	MLB	TEX	57%	584	520	128	22	3	12	52	146	7	12	5	246	323	369	692	123	314	25	9	310	96	-3	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.1
2033	26	MLB	TEX	56%	587	522	128	22	3	12	53	146	7	12	5	245	323	368	691	123	314	25	9	311	96	-3	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.1
2034	27	MLB	TEX	55%	584	519	127	22	3	12	53	146	7	12	5	245	323	368	691	123	314	25	9	311	96	-3	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.1
2035	28	MLB	TEX	55%	578	513	124	21	2	12	53	145	7	12	5	242	321	361	682	119	313	25	9	310	95	-3	+0	-1	+6	+16	2.0
2036	29	MLB	TEX	53%	566	502	121	21	2	11	52	143	7	11	4	241	321	357	677	116	313	25	9	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.8
2037	30	MLB	TEX	57%	555	492	118	20	2	11	51	142	7	11	4	240	320	356	676	116	312	26	9	306	92	-5	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.6
2038	31	MLB	TEX	60%	540	479	113	19	2	10	50	140	6	10	4	236	316	347	662	111	310	26	9	302	89	-7	+0	-3	+6	+15	1.2
2039	32	MLB	TEX	61%	522	463	108	18	2	9	48	137	6	9	4	233	313	339	652	106	307	26	9	297	85	-9	+0	-4	+6	+15	0.8
2040	33	MLB	TEX	62%	492	438	100	16	2	8	45	132	6	8	3	228	309	329	638	100	303	27	9	290	80	-11	+0	-4	+5	+14	0.4
2027	20	MLB	TEX	34%	127	114	28	5	1	2	11	34	1	2	1	246	317	360	677	114	315	27	9	280	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2028	21	MLB	TEX	48%	224	200	48	8	1	4	19	58	3	4	2	240	315	350	665	110	315	26	8	290	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.4
2029	22	MLB	TEX	54%	283	253	60	10	1	5	25	72	3	6	2	237	313	344	657	107	315	25	9	296	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2030	23	MLB	TEX	57%	314	279	68	12	1	6	28	79	4	6	3	244	322	358	680	115	315	25	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.8
2031	24	MLB	TEX	57%	325	289	71	12	1	7	29	81	4	7	3	246	323	367	690	121	316	25	9	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.9
2032	25	MLB	TEX	57%	330	293	72	12	1	7	30	82	4	7	3	246	324	365	689	119	316	25	9	303	90	-4	+0	+0	+4	+9	1.0
2033	26	MLB	TEX	56%	332	295	72	12	1	7	30	83	4	7	3	244	322	363	685	119	316	25	9	303	90	-4	+0	+0	+4	+9	1.0
2034	27	MLB	TEX	55%	324	288	70	12	1	7	29	81	4	7	3	243	321	365	685	122	316	25	9	303	90	-4	+0	+0	+3	+9	1.0
2035	28	MLB	TEX	55%	317	281	69	12	1	7	29	80	4	6	3	246	325	370	695	125	315	25	9	302	90	-4	+0	-0	+3	+9	0.8
2036	29	MLB	TEX	53%	303	268	65	11	1	6	28	77	4	6	2	243	323	358	682	116	315	25	9	301	88	-4	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.8
2037	30	MLB	TEX	57%	317	281	68	12	1	6	29	81	4	6	2	242	322	356	678	114	314	26	9	298	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.7
2038	31	MLB	TEX	60%	322	285	68	12	1	6	30	83	4	6	2	239	320	351	671	112	312	26	9	294	84	-6	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.5
2039	32	MLB	TEX	61%	320	284	67	11	1	6	29	84	4	6	2	236	315	345	661	109	309	26	9	289	80	-7	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2040	33	MLB	TEX	62%	307	272	62	10	1	5	28	82	4	5	2	228	309	327	636	99	305	27	9	283	75	-9	+0	-3	+3	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4145	3683	888	151	14	81	374	1057	51	81	33	241	320	356	675	115	314	26	9	297	85	-68	+3	-9	+44	+117	9.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	140	24	2	13	59	166	8	13	5	242	321	358	680	116	315	26	9	297	85	-11	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	7951	7047	1688	285	34	143	733	2026	103	163	64	240	320	350	671	111	314	25	9	303	90	-86	+7	-15	+85	+225	22.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	138	23	3	12	60	166	8	13	5	240	319	352	672	113	314	26	9	303	90	-7	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	245	170	56	8	2	63	37	10	14	6	329	531	400	931	71	418	15	26	434	191	+25	+0	—	—	+7	3.3
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	26	23	7	2	0	3	3	0	1	0	304	385	391	776	87	350	12	12	353	129	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	16	15	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	133	188	133	321		167	19	0	159	-20	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,323	81	84	240	315	354	+46	+27	12.1	9.9
	/162	664	12	13	240	315	354	+7.1	+4.1	1.9	pk7: 8
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Flames (OGILVIE)	19	40→45	29→34	49→54	66	235/300/296	61	343	2	7	30%	8%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Michael Chirinos 2019 · A	19	49	36→40	51→55	56	226/296/292	67	252	4	11	12%	9%	66	-0.6	223/285/300	77	247	6	14	12%	8%	63	-0.8	217/274/284	67	224	7	22	7%	7%	60	-0.4
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	60	-1.0	234/282/320	86	276	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	263/317/347	84	301	3	3	13%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Adderly Rosa 2010 · A	19	45	35→40	48→50	55	208/309/268	60	269	2	13	21%	11%	67	-0.5	199/283/255	56	263	2	12	23%	9%	52	-1.6	188/270/235	47	247	1	13	22%	9%	39	-1.0
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→42	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	69	-0.4	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	76	+0.0	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	223/295/301	78	305	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.4	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→45	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	40	-2.4	205/256/250	45	276	1	12	24%	6%	37	-2.6	262/314/365	103	319	5	12	18%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2011 · A	19	45→55	36→50	49→50	55	209/304/274	65	270	3	8	22%	11%	66	-0.6	243/294/305	62	311	2	12	21%	5%	68	-0.5	247/310/359	112	308	7	9	21%	7%	86	+0.7
✕Geraldo Quintero 2021 · A	19	44→50	38→40	51→60	49	207/277/289	82	253	5	16	20%	7%	58	-1.2	209/274/295	86	277	4	19	24%	7%	57	-1.2	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→49	39→45	48→50	50	203/280/297	94	266	5	9	24%	9%	61	-1.0	218/304/287	69	285	3	10	22%	11%	69	-0.4	249/317/359	110	296	9	16	18%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Manuel Guzman 2014 · A	19	48	37→45	47→55	51	227/293/300	73	272	4	14	17%	8%	66	-0.6	219/284/275	56	274	2	19	19%	8%	56	-1.3	237/305/305	68	287	4	15	18%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A	19	43→51	36→40	50→55	47	200/276/275	74	283	2	6	28%	9%	53	-1.5	220/297/313	93	288	7	14	24%	10%	72	-0.2	227/311/321	94	298	8	22	25%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Ronny Simon 2019 · A	19	41→51	37→50	47→55	44	195/271/269	74	274	3	11	28%	7%	50	-1.7	212/273/338	126	273	10	14	25%	7%	68	-0.5	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Oliver Nunez 2015 · A	20	44	35→40	49→50	56	204/298/270	66	271	2	13	24%	12%	62	-0.9	229/297/298	69	282	2	13	18%	9%	68	-0.5	245/306/311	67	296	2	16	17%	8%	71	-0.1