Daniel Flames — OGILVIE

Daniel FlamesSS Hickory Crawdads

Age 19 S/R 5'8" / 160 lbs A K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.9 · 2033

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .309 / .332

PA89

HR2

K%26

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

49↗54

PWR

28↗33

SPD

53↗58

EYE

78↗80

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.9peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$31M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.7	$35M	+$34M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.9	$38M	+$37M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+3.9	$40M	+$32M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.8	$40M	+$27M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$18M	+3.5	$38M	+$20M
Totals		$41M		$222M	+$181M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	245	192	47	6	1	0	41	56	10	14	6	.245	.403	.286	.690	.042	.343	23	17	.318	102	+0	+0	+0	+3	+7	1.1
2025	18	A	2 teams	42	39	7	1	0	0	2	9	1	1	0	.179	.238	.205	.443	.026	.233	21	5	.213	22	-4	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	47	44	10	1	0	0	3	13	0	1	0	.227	.277	.250	.527	.023	.323	28	6	.233	37	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	TEX	42	38	8	1	0	1	4	11	0	1	0	.211	.286	.316	.602	.105	.296	26	10	.291	81	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
TOT	19	MLB	TEX	89	82	18	2	0	1	7	24	0	2	0	.220	.281	.280	.561	.061	.298	27	8	.260	57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	TEX	183	159	39	7	1	4	20	40	2	4	1	.245	.337	.377	.714	.132	.296	22	11	.317	101	+0	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.8
2028	21	MLB 28%	TEX	319	276	68	12	2	7	36	69	4	8	2	.246	.342	.380	.722	.134	.297	22	11	.325	107	+2	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.6
2029	22	MLB 48%	TEX	418	362	88	15	2	10	48	88	5	11	2	.243	.340	.378	.718	.135	.297	21	11	.331	111	+5	+1	+0	+4	+12	2.3
2030	23	MLB 65%	TEX	484	418	105	18	3	13	57	100	6	12	2	.251	.349	.402	.751	.151	.297	21	12	.336	115	+8	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.9
2031	24	MLB 82%	TEX	528	453	115	20	3	15	63	107	7	13	3	.254	.354	.411	.764	.157	.297	20	12	.340	118	+11	+1	+0	+6	+15	3.4
2032	25	MLB	TEX	554	474	120	20	3	16	68	112	7	13	3	.253	.355	.409	.764	.156	.298	20	12	.343	121	+13	+1	+0	+6	+16	3.7
2033	26	MLB	TEX	567	485	123	21	3	16	70	114	7	14	2	.254	.356	.408	.764	.155	.298	20	12	.345	122	+14	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.9
2034	27	MLB	TEX	571	487	123	21	3	16	71	116	8	13	2	.253	.357	.407	.763	.154	.299	20	12	.345	122	+14	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.9
2035	28	MLB	TEX	569	485	123	21	3	16	72	116	7	13	2	.254	.358	.408	.766	.155	.298	20	13	.344	121	+14	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.8
2036	29	MLB	TEX	561	478	120	20	3	16	71	116	7	12	2	.251	.356	.406	.762	.155	.298	21	13	.342	120	+13	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.5
2037	30	MLB	TEX	552	470	118	20	3	15	70	116	7	12	1	.251	.356	.402	.759	.151	.297	21	13	.339	117	+11	+2	-2	+6	+16	3.3
2038	31	MLB	TEX	538	458	113	19	3	14	68	115	7	10	0	.247	.353	.393	.746	.146	.295	21	13	.335	115	+9	+2	-3	+6	+15	3.0
2039	32	MLB	TEX	520	443	107	18	2	13	66	114	6	10	0	.242	.348	.379	.727	.138	.294	22	13	.331	111	+7	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.6
2040	33	MLB	TEX	491	420	99	16	2	12	62	111	6	9	0	.236	.342	.369	.711	.133	.293	23	13	.325	107	+4	+2	-4	+5	+14	2.1
2041	34	MLB	TEX	444	380	88	14	2	10	56	104	5	8	0	.232	.338	.358	.696	.126	.292	23	13	.319	102	+1	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.6
2042	35	MLB	TEX	390	334	76	12	2	8	48	96	5	8	0	.228	.333	.347	.681	.120	.290	25	12	.312	97	-1	+2	-6	+4	+11	1.0
2043	36	MLB	TEX	330	283	63	10	1	7	40	84	4	7	0	.223	.327	.339	.666	.117	.288	25	12	.303	90	-4	+1	-6	+4	+9	0.4
2044	37	MLB	TEX	266	229	49	7	1	5	32	71	3	6	0	.214	.318	.319	.637	.105	.285	27	12	.294	83	-5	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.1
2045	38	MLB	TEX	197	170	35	5	1	3	23	54	2	4	0	.206	.308	.300	.608	.094	.281	27	12	.284	75	-5	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8811	7533	1834	304	44	217	1088	1919	116	203	28	.243	.348	.382	.730	.138	.297	22	12	.330	111	+106	+29	-46	+94	+250	44.2
/ 162G	—			650	556	135	22	3	16	80	142	9	15	2	.243	.347	.379	.727	.137	.297	22	12	.330	111	+8	+2	-3	+7	+18	3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	245	170	56	8	2	63	37	10	14	6	.329	.531	.400	.931	.071	.418	15	26	.434	191	+25	+0	—	—	+7	3.3
2025	18	A	Hickory Crawdads	26	23	7	2	0	3	3	0	1	0	.304	.385	.391	.776	.087	.350	12	12	.353	129	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	16	15	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	.133	.188	.133	.321	.000	.167	19	0	.159	-20	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Flames (OGILVIE)	19	49→54	28→33	53→58	80	.220/.309/.332	.112	.292	2	2	26%	10%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	48	36→40	54→60	50	.215/.310/.286	.072	.325	3	19	31%	11%	72	-0.2	.247/.324/.323	.076	.343	3	23	26%	9%	85	+0.7	.263/.336/.338	.075	.360	3	29	25%	9%	91	+0.5
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→45	54→55	48	.224/.278/.312	.088	.269	4	13	18%	6%	63	-0.9	.222/.274/.287	.065	.277	3	16	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→52	43→50	52→55	54	.219/.321/.336	.117	.295	9	17	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.230/.314/.374	.144	.298	13	20	25%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.316/.381	.152	.296	15	21	26%	10%	95	+0.9
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→56	42→60	54→55	47	.230/.289/.338	.108	.295	8	12	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.221/.296/.327	.106	.300	7	12	26%	10%	76	+0.0	.247/.358/.450	.204	.280	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	.227/.287/.331	.103	.273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.229/.306/.353	.124	.285	12	10	22%	9%	86	+0.8	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	47→56	46→55	52→50	49	.229/.293/.374	.145	.263	10	13	18%	7%	86	+0.8	.234/.297/.369	.135	.275	12	12	19%	7%	86	+0.8	.257/.353/.419	.161	.284	18	7	16%	11%	121	+2.9
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	57→50	55	.211/.299/.288	.077	.267	4	15	21%	11%	67	-0.5	.229/.289/.320	.091	.303	6	11	25%	7%	70	-0.3	.255/.302/.371	.117	.316	8	12	21%	6%	85	+0.5
●Jaff Decker 2009 · A	19	53→50	43→55	52→55	58	.247/.348/.365	.118	.328	10	10	25%	13%	108	+2.3	.234/.328/.397	.163	.309	18	8	28%	11%	108	+2.3	.214/.308/.388	.174	.280	21	8	30%	11%	96	+1.2
✕Manuel Guzman 2014 · A	19	48	37→45	47→55	50	.226/.292/.301	.075	.272	4	14	18%	8%	66	-0.6	.220/.286/.278	.058	.274	2	18	19%	8%	58	-1.2	.238/.306/.305	.068	.287	4	15	17%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	44→54	40	51→40	49	.210/.275/.306	.096	.257	7	7	21%	8%	61	-1.0	.232/.280/.319	.087	.274	5	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	.274/.327/.360	.086	.313	3	3	13%	7%	93	+0.9
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	52→58	40→50	56→45	48	.249/.301/.351	.102	.285	6	11	15%	6%	83	+0.6	.253/.290/.359	.106	.289	9	7	16%	5%	80	+0.4	.289/.349/.442	.153	.326	15	7	16%	8%	121	+2.1
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	49→58	37→45	50	48	.231/.293/.308	.076	.300	4	13	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.243/.308/.337	.094	.291	8	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	51	40→45	50	56	.242/.330/.341	.100	.294	6	9	19%	11%	93	+1.3	.219/.290/.298	.079	.284	3	7	22%	8%	65	-0.7	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	42→46	41→40	50→55	53	.198/.304/.305	.107	.295	7	15	32%	12%	75	-0.0	.207/.301/.301	.094	.296	6	20	29%	11%	72	-0.2	.211/.291/.296	.085	.285	5	23	25%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	50→45	49	.226/.306/.321	.095	.306	6	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	.222/.295/.296	.074	.304	5	6	26%	8%	67	-0.5	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)