Daniel Flames

SS Hickory Crawdads
Age 20 S/R 5'8" / 160 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2259ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Rangers R…245.329/.531/.40001497—.219/.399/.257
202518A/ROKTEX42.237/.310/.2890137—.231/.286/.283
202619ATEX357.256/.343/.3211658—.223/.289/.276
2027PROJMLE20MLBTEX467.195/.262/.2633850-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBTEX108.201/.270/.2861258-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBTEX197.207/.277/.3063465-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Z-Con%80
Whiff%58
K%47
wRC+38
Speed37
wOBA36
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 2.9, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 87%
CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Emmanuel Morel (age 20) · Juan Mosquera (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .260 / .260
PA210
HR1
K%29
BB%7
ISO68
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -12.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.20.20.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 34
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT32
scouting grade only
POWER34
scouting grade only
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-1$0.8M———
2036Arb-2$0.7M———
2037Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $2M $0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Rangers Red — 245170 56820 633710 146 329531400931 71418 1526 434 97 — — — — — —
202518 AHickory Crawdads — 2623 7200 330 10 304385391776 87350 1212 353 81 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Rangers — 1615 2000 031 00 133188133321 167 190 159 -35 — — — — — —
202619 AHickory Crawdads — 357312 801511 37884 63 256343321663 64351 2510 305 58 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 245187 41510 464710 146 219399257656 37284 1919 311 97 — — — — — —
202518 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 2624 7200 240 10 292346375721 83317 158 288 81 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 1615 2000 041 00 133188133321 139 250 116 -35 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 357323 721211 261204 63 223289276564 53342 347 254 58 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 245187 41510 464710 146 219399257656 37291 1919 311 97 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Red — 245170 56820 633710 146 329531400931 71418 1526 434 97 — — — — — —
202518 A MLE2 teams — 4239 8200 291 10 205262256518 51267 215 222 37 — — — — — —
202518 A RAW2 teams — 4238 9200 361 10 237310289599 53281 147 279 37 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 357323 721211 261204 63 223289276564 53348 347 254 58 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWHickory Crawdads — 357312 801511 37884 63 256343321663 64351 2510 305 58 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 245187 41510 464710 146 219399257656 37284 1919 311 97 — — — — — —
202518 A MLE2 teams — 4239 8200 291 10 205262256518 51249 215 222 37 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 357324 721211 261204 63 222289275564 52342 347 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 245187 41510 464710 146 219399257656 37284 1919 311 97 — — — — — —
202518 A MLE2 teams — 4239 8200 291 10 205262256518 51249 215 222 37 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 357324 721211 261204 63 222289275564 52342 347 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLETEX 0% 467425 831723 341355 82 195262263525 68275 297 242 50 -28 +1 +0 +5 +10 -0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLETEX 34% 314284 561113 24893 62 201270285556 84277 288 254 58 -16 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.5
202922 MLB MLETEX 48% 407369 771526 311134 82 207277304581 97279 288 264 65 -17 +1 +0 +4 +9 -0.3
203023 MLB MLETEX 54% 455412 881728 351245 93 212282317599 105281 278 272 70 -16 +1 +0 +5 +10 -0.1
203124 MLB MLETEX 55% 501452 971929 391355 103 215286327612 112282 278 277 74 -16 +1 +0 +5 +11 0.1
203225 MLB MLETEX 56% 523471 10220210 411396 103 217288333621 116283 278 280 76 -15 +1 +0 +6 +11 0.3
203326 MLB MLETEX 56% 533480 10420210 421426 103 217288333621 116282 278 281 76 -15 +1 +0 +6 +12 0.3
203427 MLB MLETEX 60% 534481 10420210 421436 103 216287331618 114282 278 279 75 -16 +1 +0 +6 +12 0.2
203528 MLB MLETEX 62% 528476 10220210 421435 93 214285326611 112281 278 277 73 -17 +1 -1 +6 +11 0.0
203629 MLB MLETEX 63% 517466 991929 411415 83 212283320603 108280 278 273 71 -18 +0 -1 +6 +11 -0.2
203730 MLB MLETEX 63% 504455 951828 391395 73 209279313592 104279 288 269 68 -19 +0 -2 +5 +11 -0.5
202821 MLB CTXTEX 34% 10898 19401 8311 21 201270286557 85276 297 255 58 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
202922 MLB CTXTEX 48% 197178 37713 15552 41 207277306583 98278 288 265 65 -8 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
203023 MLB CTXTEX 54% 247223 47914 19673 51 212282320602 108280 278 273 70 -9 +1 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
203124 MLB CTXTEX 55% 278251 531015 22753 52 216286330616 115281 278 279 74 -9 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.0
203225 MLB CTXTEX 56% 293265 581116 23783 62 218289337625 119282 278 282 76 -8 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203326 MLB CTXTEX 56% 300270 581116 24803 62 218289337626 119282 278 282 76 -9 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203427 MLB CTXTEX 60% 318287 631217 25853 62 217288334622 118281 278 281 75 -9 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.1
203528 MLB CTXTEX 62% 326294 631216 26883 52 215286330616 115281 278 278 73 -10 +0 -0 +3 +7 -0.0
203629 MLB CTXTEX 63% 324292 621216 26883 52 213283324607 111279 278 275 71 -11 +0 -1 +3 +7 -0.1
203730 MLB CTXTEX 63% 320289 611116 25883 42 210280316596 106278 288 270 68 -12 +0 -1 +3 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 27112447 52199950 21373527 4817 213283322605 109281 278 276 71 -91 +3 -3 +29 +59 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 12524212 511766 124 213283322605 109280 278 276 71 -22 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 56705086 10822062285 465154567 11238 213287312599 99286 278 272 71 -177 +7 -4 +54 +109 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 12524310 531778 134 214289317606 103287 278 272 71 -23 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 357 PAwOBA .299 → .254 (−45)K% 24.6% → 33.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.65%÷1.000×1.360——33.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.36%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0307.37%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.780—×1.0300.90%
Singles /BIP28.12%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.03027.98%
Doubles /BIP6.70%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0306.01%
Triples /BIP0.45%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.0300.44%
Home runs /BIP0.45%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.37%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .299 → .254; ISO .064 → .053; BABIP .351 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AHickory Crawdads · 26 PAwOBA .345 → .288 (−56)K% 11.5% → 16.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.54%÷0.981×1.360——16.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.54%÷1.051×0.690—×1.0457.92%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.002×0.920—×1.04523.99%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.123×0.830—×1.0457.72%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.039×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.037×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .345 → .288; ISO .087 → .066; BABIP .350 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Rangers · 16 PAwOBA .155 → .116 (−39)K% 18.8% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷0.981×1.440——27.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.016×0.620—×1.0080.00%
HBP% /PA6.25%—×0.720—×1.0084.53%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷0.991×0.820—×1.00813.89%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.017×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.138×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.302×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .155 → .116; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .139. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 245 PAwOBA .427 → .311 (−116)K% 15.1% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.10%÷0.969×1.220——19.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.71%÷0.976×0.700—×1.00818.58%
HBP% /PA4.08%—×0.700—×1.0082.88%
Singles /BIP34.59%÷1.025×0.680×1.043×1.00824.11%
Doubles /BIP6.02%÷1.032×0.600×1.043×1.0083.67%
Triples /BIP1.50%÷1.150×0.600×1.043×1.0080.82%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.333×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .427 → .311; ISO .071 → .046; BABIP .418 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).