Juan Mateo

SS Augusta GreenJackets

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	AATL	135	.235/.303/.269	0	4	37	—	.203/.258/.228
2025	18	ROKATL	210	.277/.352/.319	0	10	44	—	.214/.267/.245
2026	19	AATL	427	.243/.321/.351	6	22	55	—	.210/.269/.299
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBATL	537	.215/.272/.285	4	12	58	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBATL	158	.221/.280/.307	2	4	66	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBATL	241	.226/.287/.325	4	6	73	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%79

Whiff%73

Z-Con%62

Speed58

ISO38

wRC+37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 79%

CompsDarrien Miller (age 20) · Freizer Pedron (age 20) · Luis Durango (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .269 / .282

PA320

HR2

SB7

K%22

BB%7

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	165	144	36	7	1	1	21	16	0	9	6	250	345	333	679	83	276	10	13	314	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	135	119	28	4	0	0	12	32	0	4	1	235	303	269	572	34	311	24	9	261	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	210	188	52	8	0	0	21	34	1	10	7	277	352	319	672	43	338	16	10	312	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	382	93	17	3	6	44	78	0	22	11	243	321	351	672	107	292	18	10	306	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	165	150	25	4	1	1	15	19	0	9	6	167	242	227	469	60	179	12	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	135	123	25	3	0	0	9	44	0	4	1	203	258	228	485	24	295	33	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	210	196	42	6	0	0	13	50	1	10	7	214	267	245	512	31	290	24	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	395	83	14	3	5	32	106	0	22	11	210	269	299	568	89	271	25	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	165	150	25	4	1	1	15	19	0	9	6	167	242	227	469	60	185	12	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	165	144	36	7	1	1	21	16	0	9	6	250	345	333	679	83	276	10	13	314	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	345	319	67	9	0	0	22	94	1	14	8	210	263	238	501	28	294	27	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	345	307	80	12	0	0	33	66	1	14	8	261	333	300	633	39	328	19	10	292	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	395	83	14	3	5	32	106	0	22	11	210	269	299	568	89	275	25	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	382	93	17	3	6	44	78	0	22	11	243	321	351	672	107	292	18	10	306	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	165	149	25	4	1	1	15	19	0	9	6	168	242	228	471	60	179	12	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	345	319	67	9	0	0	22	94	1	14	8	210	263	238	501	28	292	27	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	392	83	14	3	5	32	106	0	22	11	212	269	301	570	89	271	25	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	165	149	25	4	1	1	15	19	0	9	6	168	242	228	471	60	179	12	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	345	319	67	9	0	0	22	94	1	14	8	210	263	238	501	28	292	27	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	392	83	14	3	5	32	106	0	22	11	212	269	301	570	89	271	25	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	537	493	106	18	2	4	38	120	1	12	6	215	272	285	556	70	273	22	7	254	58	-27	+0	+0	+6	+12	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	461	424	93	16	2	5	33	101	1	11	5	221	280	307	586	86	275	22	7	266	66	-19	+0	+0	+5	+10	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	498	456	104	18	2	8	37	107	2	11	5	226	287	325	612	99	277	21	7	276	73	-16	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	538	490	113	19	2	10	41	114	2	12	5	230	291	338	629	108	278	21	8	283	78	-14	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	581	530	123	21	3	11	44	123	2	12	5	232	295	346	641	114	280	21	8	288	81	-13	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	627	570	134	23	3	13	49	133	3	13	6	234	297	351	647	117	280	21	8	291	83	-13	+0	+0	+7	+14	0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	637	579	135	23	3	13	50	135	3	12	6	233	297	350	647	117	280	21	8	290	83	-13	+0	+0	+7	+14	0.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	636	578	135	23	3	13	50	135	3	12	6	232	296	348	644	115	280	21	8	289	82	-14	+0	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	630	574	133	23	3	12	49	136	2	10	5	231	294	343	637	113	279	22	8	287	80	-15	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	620	565	129	22	3	11	48	135	2	9	5	228	291	338	629	109	278	22	8	283	78	-16	-0	-1	+7	+13	0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	609	555	125	21	2	11	47	135	2	8	6	226	288	330	618	105	276	22	8	279	75	-18	-1	-2	+7	+13	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	158	146	32	5	1	2	11	35	0	4	2	221	280	307	586	86	275	22	7	266	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	241	220	50	8	1	4	18	52	1	6	2	226	287	325	612	99	277	22	7	276	73	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	292	267	60	10	1	5	22	62	1	6	3	230	291	338	629	108	278	21	8	283	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	322	293	68	12	1	6	25	68	1	7	3	232	295	346	641	114	280	21	8	288	81	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	351	319	75	13	2	7	27	74	2	7	3	234	297	351	647	117	280	21	8	291	83	-7	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	358	326	76	13	2	7	28	76	1	7	3	233	297	350	647	117	280	21	8	290	83	-7	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	352	321	75	13	2	7	27	75	1	7	3	232	296	348	644	115	280	21	8	289	82	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	345	314	72	12	1	7	27	74	1	6	3	231	294	343	637	113	279	21	8	287	80	-8	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	360	328	75	13	1	7	28	78	1	5	3	228	291	338	629	109	278	22	8	283	78	-10	-0	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	367	335	75	13	1	6	28	81	1	5	3	226	288	330	618	105	276	22	8	279	75	-11	-0	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3146	2869	658	112	13	58	241	675	10	60	28	229	291	338	629	109	279	21	8	284	73	-80	+1	-2	+34	+68	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	136	23	3	12	50	139	2	12	6	229	292	339	631	110	278	21	8	284	73	-17	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7094	6479	1462	247	31	115	539	1545	24	162	82	226	288	327	614	101	278	22	8	276	73	-168	+1	-4	+66	+133	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	135	23	3	11	49	142	2	15	8	227	288	332	620	104	279	22	8	276	73	-18	+0	-0	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.2	3,467	61	66	230	288	336	+37	+18	3.7	3.7
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+3.4	0.7	pk7: 4
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Mateo (OGILVIE)	20	45	20	50	35	213/269/282	69	273	2	7	22%	7%	58	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	40	36→30	48→55	45	191/250/257	66	243	3	12	22%	6%	45	-2.7	211/279/276	65	274	2	16	22%	7%	60	-1.6	221/294/282	61	275	1	29	18%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	45	35→30	53→70	48	209/290/266	57	271	3	24	22%	8%	63	-1.4	216/288/274	58	294	2	32	25%	6%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Matt Cerda 2010 · A	20	43→53	38→40	50→40	46	207/264/285	78	263	6	6	23%	7%	56	-1.9	239/314/318	79	300	3	4	19%	10%	82	+0.0	241/325/315	74	303	3	4	19%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Nick Allen 2019 · A	20	43→53	35→40	52→50	42	200/249/258	58	260	2	14	23%	5%	44	-2.8	223/272/312	89	287	5	14	23%	6%	65	-1.2	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Alain Camou 2024 · A	20	46	35→30	44→50	50	215/284/281	66	275	2	7	21%	8%	63	-1.4	198/249/265	67	258	3	5	23%	6%	45	-2.7	142/168/182	41	171	0	0	16%	3%	-6	-1.2
✕James Beresford 2008 · A	19	48→58	34→30	49→45	43	224/270/272	48	290	2	10	23%	6%	54	-2.0	240/287/281	41	306	1	7	20%	6%	63	-1.4	286/319/337	51	336	1	6	15%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Anderdson Rojas 2024 · A	20	44→54	37→40	51→55	38	211/247/292	82	267	3	11	22%	3%	51	-2.3	222/270/302	80	285	4	17	22%	6%	61	-1.5	229/281/302	73	293	4	20	22%	6%	64	-1.1
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	45→46	36→45	50→55	40	210/259/278	68	290	3	14	28%	5%	52	-2.2	203/258/277	74	294	3	12	30%	6%	52	-2.2	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jordan Cowan 2015 · A	20	45→51	36→30	44→50	44	212/265/281	69	279	2	6	24%	6%	55	-2.0	234/282/306	72	307	5	8	24%	6%	67	-1.1	243/291/299	56	317	4	10	23%	6%	67	-0.5
✕Livan Soto 2021 · A	21	43→53	35→40	46→50	48	203/262/259	56	253	3	8	20%	7%	49	-2.4	215/278/306	91	295	7	11	27%	8%	66	-1.1	246/319/331	85	322	6	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	45	36→40	50	43	214/272/279	65	268	3	13	21%	5%	58	-1.7	209/262/276	67	302	3	9	30%	5%	53	-2.1	237/299/326	89	314	5	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2019 · A	20	46→55	36→45	50→60	46	216/276/285	69	264	2	13	18%	6%	61	-1.5	235/296/323	88	327	3	20	27%	7%	76	-0.4	253/316/355	102	332	7	33	24%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Wilbis Santiago 2016 · A	20	42	34→40	55→30	48	195/256/250	55	233	2	10	17%	6%	45	-2.7	211/255/280	69	244	3	8	14%	4%	51	-2.2	245/270/324	80	276	3	3	12%	2%	65	-0.4
✕Raynel Delgado 2021 · A	21	47→56	37→40	50→60	42	220/272/295	75	312	4	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	203/267/292	89	295	7	14	31%	7%	59	-1.6	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	45→30	43	214/266/287	73	286	3	6	25%	6%	57	-1.8	206/274/267	61	301	3	4	30%	8%	56	-1.9	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Marco Hernández 2013 · A	20	43→53	38→45	48→50	41	208/245/290	82	263	5	10	23%	4%	49	-2.4	227/255/309	82	299	5	12	25%	3%	57	-1.8	274/300/384	110	350	8	6	24%	3%	89	+0.3
✕Andy Perez 2024 · A	20	46→56	35→45	49→50	40	215/248/279	64	265	2	13	19%	3%	48	-2.5	239/268/337	98	295	7	14	21%	3%	69	-0.9	251/279/356	104	308	8	17	21%	3%	74	-0.5

Juan Mateo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps