Connor McGinnis — OGILVIE

Connor McGinnis2B Somerset Patriots

Age 23 L/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION383 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP286

ISO119

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	56	11	1	1	0	8	17	0	0	0	196	297	250	547	54	282	27	12	260	62	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	59	10	1	1	0	5	23	0	0	0	169	234	220	455	51	260	36	8	198	20	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	59	10	1	1	0	5	23	0	0	0	169	234	220	455	51	278	36	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	56	11	1	1	0	8	17	0	0	0	196	297	250	547	54	282	27	12	260	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	59	10	1	1	0	5	23	0	0	0	169	234	220	455	51	260	36	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	64	59	10	1	1	0	5	23	0	0	0	169	234	220	455	51	260	36	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	NYY	—	383	344	73	13	1	8	24	114	14	7	1	212	291	326	616	113	291	30	6	275	73	-12	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	NYY	—	71	58	14	4	0	1	10	19	3	1	0	241	380	362	742	121	342	27	14	346	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	NYY	—	312	274	70	12	1	10	26	73	11	6	1	255	344	416	760	161	312	23	8	342	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	NYY	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		284	30	10	281	77	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	NYY	—	393	353	74	13	1	8	25	117	14	7	1	210	288	320	608	110	288	30	6	276	73	-13	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	31%	323	291	64	12	1	7	22	87	7	6	1	220	291	340	631	120	287	27	7	289	82	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	45%	379	341	77	14	2	9	27	100	8	7	1	226	298	358	656	132	287	26	7	293	85	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	413	371	83	15	2	10	30	108	9	8	2	224	298	356	653	132	287	26	7	296	86	-7	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	423	380	87	16	2	11	31	111	9	8	2	229	302	368	671	139	287	26	7	297	87	-7	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	426	382	87	16	2	11	32	112	9	8	2	228	303	366	669	139	287	26	8	296	86	-7	+1	-1	+2	+9	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	420	377	84	15	2	10	31	111	9	8	2	223	297	353	650	130	286	26	7	294	85	-8	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	415	372	82	15	1	10	31	111	9	8	2	220	296	347	643	126	284	27	7	291	83	-8	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	401	360	77	14	1	9	30	109	8	7	1	214	289	333	622	119	282	27	7	287	80	-9	+1	-3	+1	+9	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	31%	100	91	20	4	0	2	7	27	2	2	0	220	290	330	620	110	288	27	7	276	82	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	45%	169	151	34	6	1	4	12	45	4	3	1	225	299	358	657	132	289	27	7	282	85	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	210	189	44	8	1	6	15	55	4	4	1	233	303	381	684	148	289	26	7	284	86	-3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	222	199	45	8	1	6	16	58	5	4	1	226	300	367	667	141	289	26	7	285	87	-3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	227	203	47	9	1	6	17	60	5	4	1	232	307	374	681	143	288	26	7	284	86	-4	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	221	197	45	8	1	6	17	59	5	4	1	228	306	371	676	142	288	27	8	283	85	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	216	193	43	8	1	5	16	58	5	4	1	223	299	352	651	130	286	27	7	280	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.0
2034	31	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	208	186	42	8	1	5	16	56	4	4	1	226	301	360	661	134	284	27	8	276	80	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1573	1409	320	59	7	40	116	418	34	29	7	227	301	364	666	137	292	27	7	282	83	-29	+3	-4	+6	+34	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	132	24	3	17	48	173	14	12	3	227	301	366	667	139	291	27	7	282	83	-12	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3274	2942	652	118	14	77	240	875	68	60	13	222	295	350	645	128	287	27	7	291	83	-60	+7	-7	+11	+70	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	129	23	3	15	48	174	14	12	3	221	296	348	644	127	286	27	7	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.4	1,577	38	29	224	295	355	+6	+4	2.3	2.3
/162	664	16	12	+2.4	+1.7	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor McGinnis (OGILVIE)	23	33→38	40→45	47→52	50	214/286/330	115	284	3	3	28%	6%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	46→55	47→45	45	203/281/331	128	258	14	8	26%	8%	74	-0.5	219/278/387	168	291	21	4	31%	6%	86	+0.3	217/271/408	191	280	27	0	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→55	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	87	+0.4	226/287/341	115	299	8	7	26%	6%	78	-0.3	221/280/392	172	282	21	5	29%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	43→41	43→50	50→40	50	212/304/325	114	273	10	7	25%	9%	82	-0.0	224/309/361	137	297	15	5	28%	8%	92	+0.7	229/300/373	144	272	16	1	22%	7%	90	+0.2
✕Johnny Monell 2009 · A	23	47→44	43→50	48→45	47	229/298/348	120	287	10	10	23%	8%	84	+0.1	229/286/362	133	289	13	6	24%	7%	82	+0.0	226/287/350	124	285	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2019 · AA	23	48→49	46→50	51→50	44	234/296/369	134	315	13	13	29%	7%	88	+0.4	226/286/368	142	305	15	10	29%	8%	84	+0.1	219/279/368	149	290	16	8	29%	8%	79	-0.1
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	43→53	44→50	50	43	215/276/329	115	276	12	14	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/291/364	126	311	13	13	26%	6%	85	+0.2	241/293/361	120	316	12	13	26%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→47	43→50	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	68	-1.0	221/282/366	145	287	16	21	27%	7%	82	+0.0	214/275/365	151	282	17	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	213/275/308	95	322	7	3	33%	7%	65	-1.2	206/272/297	91	310	6	1	33%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	42→39	44→50	50→45	45	207/273/328	121	277	11	7	28%	8%	70	-0.8	210/268/335	125	296	14	5	32%	7%	70	-0.9	191/245/320	130	262	17	1	34%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→55	47→45	42	204/268/326	123	280	11	10	30%	7%	68	-1.0	194/266/335	141	268	16	7	32%	8%	70	-0.9	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	45	227/284/346	119	293	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	201/260/331	130	273	12	8	30%	7%	65	-1.2	227/284/435	209	256	27	8	24%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2014 · AAA	23	46	42→45	49→50	42	223/276/330	107	302	10	9	28%	6%	71	-0.8	245/297/348	103	306	8	8	21%	6%	83	+0.1	258/316/353	95	331	10	5	24%	7%	91	+0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	42→45	44→55	45	197/273/305	109	295	9	6	34%	9%	65	-1.2	191/295/300	109	252	10	15	26%	12%	73	-0.6	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Luis Lara 2018 · A	23	46	44→45	51→45	48	225/284/349	124	272	11	6	21%	7%	78	-0.3	200/266/274	74	283	5	5	28%	8%	55	-2.0	157/235/176	18	232	0	2	29%	9%	19	-1.4
✕Terrin Vavra 2021 · A	24	47→48	43→45	47→50	49	230/289/341	110	276	10	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	246/322/355	109	321	8	11	24%	9%	94	+0.9	258/340/363	104	339	6	11	23%	9%	99	+0.5
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	40→45	51→55	44	215/280/315	101	289	7	13	27%	7%	69	-0.9	208/260/300	92	298	6	11	30%	6%	58	-1.7	173/207/222	50	261	0	15	32%	4%	18	-0.8
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→45	44→50	51→40	43	210/272/331	121	280	12	9	28%	7%	70	-0.8	225/283/368	143	295	17	5	29%	6%	83	+0.1	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→45	45→50	49→40	44	227/279/349	122	287	12	8	25%	6%	76	-0.4	217/284/360	143	275	18	4	27%	8%	82	-0.0	214/284/354	140	266	19	2	26%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→48	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	204/281/333	129	269	13	9	28%	7%	75	-0.5	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps