Connor McGinnis

2B Somerset Patriots
Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2380ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522A+NYY64.196/.297/.2500013—.153/.219/.203
202623AA/A+NYY387.253/.350/.40511774—.221/.298/.342
2027PROJMLE24MLBNYY4.215/.283/.3370074-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBNYY76.217/.286/.3422176-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBNYY131.218/.287/.3463277-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Z-Con%82
wRC+63
Chase%58
Whiff%57
ISO56
wOBA55
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsRandy Florentino (age 24) · Daniel Vellojin (age 24) · Shayne Fontana (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .283 / .337
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%6
BABIP277
ISO111
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT33
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE44
scouting grade only
SPEED47
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Arb-1$0.2M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 6456 11110 8170 00 196297250547 54282 2712 260 13 — — — — — —
202623 AASomerset Patriots — 316278 7112110 267511 61 255343414757 158314 248 340 78 — — — — — —
202623 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 7158 14401 10193 10 241380362742 121342 2714 346 55 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 6459 9110 5230 00 153219203422 51244 368 188 13 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 316286 651018 189211 61 227298353652 126300 296 284 78 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 7162 12301 6253 10 194296290586 97284 358 250 55 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 6459 9110 5230 00 153219203422 51250 368 188 13 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAWHudson Valley Renegades — 6456 11110 8170 00 196297250547 54282 2712 260 13 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 387348 751318 2411714 71 216293328620 112299 306 278 74 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW2 teams — 387336 8516111 369414 71 253350405755 152319 249 341 74 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 6459 9110 5230 00 153219203422 51244 368 188 13 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 387346 751318 2411714 71 217293329622 113297 306 278 74 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 6459 9110 5230 00 153219203422 51244 368 188 13 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 387346 751318 2411714 71 217293329622 113297 306 278 74 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLENYY 2% 380345 751428 241028 61 214282331613 117277 276 277 74 -12 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXNYY 2% 44 1000 010 00 215283337619 122277 250 279 74 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLENYY 31% 246223 48915 16655 41 216284337621 121278 267 280 76 -7 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.0
202926 MLB MLENYY 45% 295267 571116 20786 51 217286340626 123278 267 282 77 -8 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.0
203027 MLB MLENYY 49% 314284 611117 21826 51 217287341628 123278 267 283 78 -8 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.0
203128 MLB MLENYY 52% 323292 631217 22856 51 217287339626 122278 267 282 77 -9 +1 -1 +1 +7 -0.1
203229 MLB MLENYY 52% 319288 631217 22846 41 216285337622 121277 267 281 76 -9 +0 -1 +1 +7 -0.2
203330 MLB MLENYY 56% 312282 591116 21836 41 213282329610 116275 277 276 73 -10 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.4
202825 MLB CTXNYY 31% 7669 15302 5202 10 217286342628 125278 267 283 76 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXNYY 45% 131118 27513 9343 21 218287346633 127278 267 285 77 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.0
203027 MLB CTXNYY 49% 154140 32614 10403 31 219288346634 128278 266 286 78 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
203128 MLB CTXNYY 52% 167151 33614 11443 21 218288345633 127278 267 285 77 -5 +0 -0 +1 +4 -0.1
203229 MLB CTXNYY 52% 164149 33614 11433 21 217286342629 125277 267 283 76 -5 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.1
203330 MLB CTXNYY 56% 174157 34614 12463 21 214283334617 120275 267 278 73 -6 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 866784 17432521 5822717 125 222290356646 134283 267 283 74 -25 +0 -2 +3 +19 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 13124416 4417013 94 223292359651 136283 267 283 74 -19 +0 -2 +2 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 24702233 47587950 16467354 378 213283327610 114279 277 278 74 -58 +3 -4 +7 +44 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 12523213 4317714 102 213282325607 112279 277 278 74 -19 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AASomerset Patriots · 316 PAwOBA .332 → .284 (−48)K% 23.7% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.73%÷1.000×1.220——28.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.23%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0125.83%
HBP% /PA3.48%—×0.850—×1.0122.99%
Singles /BIP23.65%÷1.000×0.970×1.007×1.01223.37%
Doubles /BIP5.91%÷1.000×0.860×1.007×1.0125.18%
Triples /BIP0.49%÷1.000×0.950×1.007×1.0120.48%
Home runs /BIP4.93%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0123.89%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .332 → .284; ISO .158 → .126; BABIP .314 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 71 PAwOBA .338 → .250 (−87)K% 26.8% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.76%÷1.000×1.310——35.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.08%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9888.35%
HBP% /PA4.23%—×0.770—×0.9883.21%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.000×0.870—×0.98819.84%
Doubles /BIP10.26%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9887.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP2.56%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9882.23%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .338 → .250; ISO .121 → .095; BABIP .342 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 64 PAwOBA .254 → .188 (−66)K% 26.6% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.56%÷0.985×1.310——35.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷0.984×0.600—×0.9987.60%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷0.991×0.870—×0.99820.22%
Doubles /BIP2.56%÷1.014×0.780—×0.9981.97%
Triples /BIP2.56%÷0.975×0.850—×0.9982.23%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.969×0.880—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .254 → .188; ISO .054 → .042; BABIP .282 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).