Efren Teran
SS Kannapolis Cannon Ballers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Red Sox R… | 140 | .205/.302/.246 | 0 | 3 | 4 | — | .133/.201/.156 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKBOS | 97 | .205/.320/.217 | 0 | 2 | 9 | — | .148/.227/.159 |
| 2026 | 19 | A/ROKCWS | 323 | .278/.353/.345 | 3 | 6 | 68 | — | .254/.312/.304 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBCWS | 433 | .236/.298/.318 | 4 | 8 | 75 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBCWS | 92 | .241/.305/.338 | 1 | 2 | 82 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBCWS | 180 | .245/.310/.352 | 3 | 4 | 87 | 0.4 |
Tools · ContractCON 62 / POW 33
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 140 | 122 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 205 | 302 | 246 | 548 | 41 | 221 | 7 | 12 | 260 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | — | 97 | 83 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 205 | 320 | 217 | 536 | 12 | 243 | 13 | 13 | 264 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 279 | 241 | 66 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 274 | 359 | 311 | 670 | 37 | 322 | 14 | 10 | 307 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 44 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 302 | 318 | 535 | 853 | 233 | 303 | 16 | 2 | 372 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 140 | 128 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 133 | 201 | 156 | 358 | 23 | 148 | 9 | 8 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 97 | 88 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 148 | 227 | 159 | 386 | 11 | 186 | 20 | 8 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 279 | 249 | 64 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 52 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 257 | 322 | 289 | 612 | 32 | 308 | 19 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 44 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 250 | 395 | 645 | 163 | 239 | 23 | 2 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 140 | 128 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 133 | 201 | 156 | 358 | 23 | 147 | 9 | 8 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 140 | 122 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 205 | 302 | 246 | 548 | 41 | 221 | 7 | 12 | 260 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 97 | 88 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 148 | 227 | 159 | 386 | 11 | 188 | 20 | 8 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Red Sox | — | 97 | 83 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 205 | 320 | 217 | 536 | 12 | 243 | 13 | 13 | 264 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 293 | 73 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 62 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 249 | 306 | 300 | 606 | 51 | 307 | 19 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 323 | 284 | 79 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 45 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 278 | 353 | 345 | 698 | 67 | 319 | 14 | 9 | 315 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 140 | 128 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 133 | 201 | 156 | 358 | 23 | 148 | 9 | 8 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 97 | 88 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 148 | 227 | 159 | 386 | 11 | 186 | 20 | 8 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 296 | 73 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 62 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 247 | 306 | 297 | 603 | 51 | 299 | 19 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Red | — | 140 | 128 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 133 | 201 | 156 | 358 | 23 | 148 | 9 | 8 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 97 | 88 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 148 | 227 | 159 | 386 | 11 | 186 | 20 | 8 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 323 | 296 | 73 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 62 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 247 | 306 | 297 | 603 | 51 | 299 | 19 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | CWS | 0% | 433 | 395 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 88 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 236 | 298 | 318 | 616 | 82 | 291 | 20 | 7 | 280 | 75 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +9 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | CWS | 34% | 269 | 244 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 54 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 241 | 305 | 336 | 641 | 96 | 292 | 20 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | CWS | 48% | 372 | 337 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 73 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 244 | 309 | 350 | 659 | 106 | 293 | 20 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | CWS | 54% | 438 | 398 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 86 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 246 | 312 | 360 | 672 | 113 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 302 | 90 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | CWS | 55% | 479 | 434 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 94 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 248 | 314 | 366 | 680 | 118 | 295 | 20 | 8 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | CWS | 56% | 501 | 452 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 99 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 248 | 315 | 369 | 684 | 121 | 295 | 20 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 56% | 513 | 463 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 102 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 248 | 315 | 369 | 684 | 121 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 55% | 515 | 465 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 103 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 247 | 314 | 367 | 681 | 120 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 55% | 511 | 461 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 103 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 245 | 312 | 362 | 674 | 117 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 53% | 499 | 452 | 109 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 102 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 243 | 309 | 357 | 666 | 113 | 293 | 20 | 8 | 299 | 89 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | CWS | 53% | 487 | 443 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 101 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 306 | 349 | 655 | 109 | 291 | 21 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -8 | -0 | -2 | +5 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | CWS | 52% | 470 | 427 | 101 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 99 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 237 | 302 | 340 | 641 | 103 | 289 | 21 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -10 | -1 | -3 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | CWS | 56% | 450 | 409 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 97 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 232 | 296 | 328 | 624 | 96 | 286 | 22 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -12 | -3 | -4 | +5 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | CWS | 34% | 92 | 84 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 305 | 338 | 643 | 97 | 293 | 20 | 8 | 291 | 82 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | CWS | 48% | 180 | 162 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 310 | 352 | 662 | 107 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 298 | 87 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | CWS | 54% | 238 | 216 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 47 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 247 | 313 | 362 | 675 | 115 | 295 | 20 | 8 | 303 | 90 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | CWS | 55% | 266 | 241 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 52 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 249 | 315 | 368 | 683 | 120 | 295 | 20 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | CWS | 56% | 281 | 254 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 56 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 249 | 316 | 372 | 687 | 123 | 295 | 20 | 8 | 308 | 94 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 56% | 289 | 261 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 57 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 249 | 315 | 372 | 687 | 123 | 295 | 20 | 8 | 308 | 94 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 55% | 285 | 258 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 248 | 315 | 369 | 684 | 121 | 295 | 20 | 8 | 307 | 93 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 55% | 280 | 253 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 56 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 246 | 313 | 365 | 677 | 118 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 304 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 53% | 267 | 242 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 244 | 310 | 359 | 669 | 115 | 293 | 21 | 8 | 301 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | CWS | 53% | 256 | 232 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 53 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 241 | 307 | 351 | 658 | 110 | 292 | 21 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | CWS | 52% | 245 | 222 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 237 | 302 | 342 | 644 | 105 | 290 | 21 | 8 | 291 | 82 | -5 | -1 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | CWS | 56% | 253 | 230 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 233 | 296 | 330 | 626 | 98 | 286 | 22 | 8 | 283 | 77 | -7 | -1 | -2 | +3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2932 | 2655 | 647 | 112 | 14 | 53 | 227 | 594 | 28 | 52 | 26 | 244 | 310 | 356 | 666 | 113 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 300 | 84 | -39 | +0 | -6 | +31 | +64 | 5.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 144 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 132 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 244 | 310 | 358 | 668 | 114 | 295 | 20 | 8 | 300 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6274 | 5685 | 1361 | 229 | 30 | 102 | 478 | 1249 | 59 | 111 | 62 | 239 | 305 | 344 | 649 | 105 | 288 | 20 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -81 | +0 | -10 | +61 | +124 | 9.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 142 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 129 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 241 | 307 | 348 | 655 | 107 | 290 | 20 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 279 PAwOBA .301 → .270 (−31)K% 13.6% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 27.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 3.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .301 → .270; ISO .037 → .034; BABIP .322 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL White Sox · 44 PAwOBA .361 → .262 (−98)K% 15.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 1.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 20.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 6.47% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .361 → .262; ISO .233 → .166; BABIP .303 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 97 PAwOBA .258 → .182 (−76)K% 13.4% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.40% | ÷0.965 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.40% | ÷0.988 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 17.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.101 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 0.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.815 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .258 → .182; ISO .012 → .008; BABIP .243 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 140 PAwOBA .256 → .174 (−82)K% 7.1% → 9.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.965 | ×1.220 | — | — | 9.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.14% | ÷1.044 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.020 | ×1.008 | 12.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.124 | ×0.600 | ×1.020 | ×1.008 | 2.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.020 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 80, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .256 → .174; ISO .041 → .023; BABIP .221 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).