Efren Teran — OGILVIE

Efren TeranSS Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 163 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION195 act + 130 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .295 / .305

PA130

HR1

K%23

BB%8

BABIP295

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT63

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$8M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$45M	+$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	140	129	20	3	0	0	10	16	0	3	3	155	216	178	394	23	175	11	7	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	140	122	25	5	0	0	17	10	0	3	3	205	302	246	548	41	221	7	12	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	97	88	13	1	0	0	8	20	1	2	3	148	227	159	386	11	191	21	8	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	97	83	17	1	0	0	13	13	1	2	3	205	320	217	536	12	243	13	13	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	CWS	—	195	177	39	2	1	2	15	44	1	2	5	220	285	277	562	56	280	23	8	258	55	-10	-2	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
YTD	19	A	CWS	—	195	168	44	3	1	3	24	31	1	2	5	262	358	345	703	83	304	16	12	321	104	+1	-2	+0	+2	+6	0.7
ROS	19	A	CWS	0%	130	118	27	4	1	1	10	30	1	2	2	229	295	305	600	76	290	23	8	272	66	-5	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	267	63	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	CWS	—	195	178	39	2	1	2	15	44	1	2	5	219	285	275	560	56	278	23	8	258	55	-10	-2	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
TOT	19	A	CWS	—	325	295	66	6	2	3	25	74	2	4	7	224	289	288	577	64	286	23	8	263	60	-15	-2	+0	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CWS	34%	317	286	68	10	2	5	25	73	3	5	3	238	306	339	645	101	295	23	8	287	78	-8	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2028	21	MLB	CWS	48%	423	382	90	13	2	7	34	95	4	7	5	236	305	335	640	99	296	22	8	295	84	-8	-1	+0	+5	+12	0.8
2029	22	MLB	CWS	54%	492	444	108	16	3	10	40	110	5	9	6	243	313	360	673	117	297	22	8	300	88	-7	-1	+0	+5	+14	1.2
2030	23	MLB	CWS	57%	534	480	116	17	3	11	44	118	5	10	6	242	312	358	670	117	297	22	8	303	90	-6	-0	+0	+6	+15	1.5
2031	24	MLB	CWS	57%	561	503	123	18	3	12	47	123	6	11	7	245	317	364	680	119	298	22	8	305	92	-5	-1	+0	+6	+16	1.6
2032	25	MLB	CWS	57%	575	516	126	19	3	12	48	126	6	11	7	244	316	362	678	118	298	22	8	306	92	-5	-1	+0	+6	+16	1.7
2033	26	MLB	CWS	56%	581	521	127	19	3	12	49	127	6	11	7	244	316	361	677	117	298	22	8	306	93	-5	-1	+0	+6	+16	1.8
2034	27	MLB	CWS	55%	581	520	127	19	3	12	50	127	6	11	7	244	318	362	679	117	298	22	9	306	93	-5	-1	+0	+6	+16	1.8
2035	28	MLB	CWS	55%	575	514	126	19	3	12	50	127	6	11	7	245	319	364	683	119	298	22	9	306	92	-5	-1	-1	+6	+16	1.6
2036	29	MLB	CWS	53%	565	505	123	18	3	12	49	126	6	10	7	244	318	362	680	119	297	22	9	304	91	-6	-1	-1	+6	+16	1.4
2037	30	MLB	CWS	53%	554	496	120	18	3	11	48	125	5	10	6	242	315	357	672	115	296	23	9	301	89	-7	-0	-2	+6	+16	1.2
2038	31	MLB	CWS	52%	540	483	115	17	3	10	47	123	5	9	6	238	312	348	660	110	295	23	9	298	86	-9	-1	-3	+6	+15	0.9
2039	32	MLB	CWS	56%	521	466	109	16	2	9	45	121	5	8	5	234	308	335	643	101	292	23	9	292	82	-11	-0	-4	+6	+15	0.6
2040	33	MLB	CWS	59%	492	443	100	14	2	8	42	117	4	8	5	226	299	321	619	95	289	24	9	286	77	-13	-0	-4	+5	+14	0.2
2041	34	MLB	CWS	54%	445	400	89	12	2	7	38	108	4	6	4	223	296	315	611	92	284	24	9	278	71	-14	-0	-5	+5	+13	-0.2
2027	20	MLB	CWS	34%	109	98	24	3	1	2	9	25	1	2	1	245	315	357	672	112	296	23	8	281	74	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	21	MLB	CWS	48%	205	184	45	7	1	4	17	46	2	4	2	245	315	359	674	114	297	22	8	289	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2029	22	MLB	CWS	54%	267	240	58	9	1	5	22	59	3	5	3	242	313	350	663	108	297	22	8	294	83	-5	-0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2030	23	MLB	CWS	57%	302	271	66	10	2	6	25	67	3	6	4	244	314	362	676	118	298	22	8	297	85	-5	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.7
2031	24	MLB	CWS	57%	317	285	71	11	2	7	26	69	3	6	4	249	318	375	694	126	299	22	8	299	87	-5	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.7
2032	25	MLB	CWS	57%	325	292	72	11	2	7	27	71	3	6	4	247	317	370	687	123	299	22	8	300	88	-5	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.8
2033	26	MLB	CWS	56%	328	294	73	11	2	7	28	72	3	6	4	248	320	371	691	122	299	22	9	300	88	-5	-0	+0	+4	+9	0.8
2034	27	MLB	CWS	55%	322	289	71	11	2	7	27	71	3	6	4	246	317	370	687	125	299	22	8	300	88	-4	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.8
2035	28	MLB	CWS	55%	316	283	69	10	2	7	27	70	3	6	4	244	316	367	684	124	298	22	9	299	87	-5	-0	-0	+3	+9	0.7
2036	29	MLB	CWS	53%	302	270	66	10	2	6	26	67	3	6	4	244	318	363	681	119	298	22	9	298	86	-5	-0	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2037	30	MLB	CWS	53%	292	262	62	9	1	6	25	66	3	5	3	237	310	347	658	111	297	23	9	295	84	-5	-0	-1	+3	+8	0.5
2038	31	MLB	CWS	52%	282	253	59	9	1	5	24	64	3	5	3	233	307	336	643	103	295	23	9	292	81	-6	-0	-1	+3	+8	0.3
2039	32	MLB	CWS	56%	293	263	61	9	1	5	25	68	3	5	3	232	306	331	637	99	293	23	9	287	78	-7	-0	-2	+3	+8	0.2
2040	33	MLB	CWS	59%	290	260	59	8	1	5	25	69	3	4	3	227	302	323	625	96	290	24	9	281	73	-9	-0	-2	+3	+8	-0.0
2041	34	MLB	CWS	54%	242	217	48	6	1	4	21	59	2	3	2	221	296	313	609	92	285	24	9	273	67	-9	-0	-3	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4192	3762	904	134	22	83	354	943	41	75	48	240	313	354	666	114	298	22	8	293	83	-82	-4	-11	+45	+119	6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	140	21	3	13	55	146	6	12	7	240	312	353	665	113	297	22	8	293	83	-13	-0	-2	+7	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	8123	7294	1727	253	41	151	684	1812	78	144	96	237	309	345	654	108	293	22	8	295	84	-146	-10	-20	+87	+230	14.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	138	20	3	12	55	145	6	12	8	236	309	342	651	106	293	22	8	295	84	-12	-1	-2	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	140	122	25	5	0	0	17	10	0	3	3	205	302	246	548	41	221	7	12	260	57	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	97	83	17	1	0	0	13	13	1	2	3	205	320	217	536	12	243	13	13	264	60	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,344	84	77	240	309	352	+45	+27	9.5	7.9
	/162	664	13	12	240	309	352	+6.8	+4.1	1.4	pk7: 6
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Efren Teran (OGILVIE)	19	58→63	28→33	46→51	56	224/289/288	64	286	3	4	23%	8%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alejo Lopez 2016 · A	20	51→61	38→40	46→55	51	238/307/318	80	276	4	9	15%	7%	78	+0.2	230/282/305	75	268	4	10	15%	6%	63	-0.9	268/338/353	85	319	5	17	16%	8%	95	+1.1
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
●Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2009 · A	19	48→58	37→45	52→55	49	226/279/304	78	263	4	13	15%	6%	61	-1.0	248/280/348	100	291	8	16	17%	4%	73	-0.1	270/301/382	112	304	12	11	15%	4%	91	+0.7
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
●Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	50→56	39→50	48→50	52	238/315/322	84	301	6	12	22%	10%	82	+0.5	207/268/292	85	295	5	10	29%	7%	54	-1.4	235/313/371	135	309	14	10	27%	10%	91	+0.9
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	60	-1.0	234/282/320	86	276	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	263/317/347	84	301	3	3	13%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Rodrigo Orozco 2014 · A	19	45→55	40	46→50	48	215/281/315	100	269	6	8	22%	7%	66	-0.6	224/285/309	85	275	5	11	19%	7%	66	-0.6	248/302/327	79	313	3	11	20%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Luis Durango 2006 · A	20	55→65	34→30	46→60	53	252/333/305	53	307	2	16	17%	9%	85	+0.7	267/335/325	58	322	2	16	16%	8%	90	+1.0	289/352/322	33	348	0	30	15%	9%	92	+1.0
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
✕Walter Ibarra 2007 · A	19	46→56	36→40	46→50	50	215/282/279	63	263	3	8	19%	8%	56	-1.3	205/252/272	67	266	3	8	23%	5%	42	-2.3	263/296/366	102	331	6	12	21%	3%	82	+0.3
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	217/279/316	98	271	8	11	23%	7%	65	-0.7	239/313/375	136	278	16	17	19%	9%	95	+1.4	230/306/371	141	263	18	23	20%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Harold Garcia 2007 · A	20	45→55	39→45	46→55	47	211/305/306	95	281	6	9	25%	8%	76	+0.0	229/295/330	101	292	7	15	23%	5%	76	+0.1	253/307/360	107	342	7	26	27%	4%	86	+0.5
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→55	38→45	48→50	43	226/277/308	82	281	5	13	21%	5%	62	-0.9	225/284/354	129	286	12	14	25%	6%	77	+0.1	229/300/349	120	276	11	15	20%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2010 · A	21	53→59	37→45	50	48	247/304/323	76	309	3	9	20%	7%	76	+0.1	261/309/361	100	310	6	14	17%	6%	89	+0.9	270/315/372	102	313	6	16	15%	5%	90	+1.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Michael Chirinos 2019 · A	19	49	36→40	51→55	56	226/296/292	67	252	4	11	12%	9%	66	-0.6	223/285/300	77	247	6	14	12%	8%	63	-0.8	217/274/284	67	224	7	22	7%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Ildemaro Vargas 2010 · A	19	45→55	37→45	47→50	45	209/276/285	76	270	3	10	23%	7%	56	-1.3	219/281/303	84	264	4	8	17%	6%	63	-0.9	263/306/353	90	281	7	12	9%	5%	82	+0.4