Moises Polanco

SS ACL Brewers
Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#916ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Brewers 2169.260/.423/.35902353—.171/.310/.236
202518ROKDSL Brewers B…199.286/.442/.41621161—.175/.305/.247
202619A/ROKMIL132.275/.392/.33001258—.212/.292/.255
2027PROJMLE20MLBMIL242.214/.292/.29625690.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBMIL48.215/.294/.30911750.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBMIL113.219/.298/.32323790.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%70
BB%69
Whiff%50
wRC+44
Z-Con%43
Speed40
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%
CompsDerrik Gibson (age 20) · Isiah Kiner-Falefa (age 20) · Cristofer Torin (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .290 / .294
PA79
HR1
K%25
BB%9
ISO83
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.50.50.50.40.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2036Arb-1$2M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 — 169131 341110 31246 235 260423359781 99315 1418 365 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Brewers Blue — 199154 441212 41312 113 286442416857 130341 1621 389 61 — — — — — —
202619 AWilson Warbirds — 3330 10100 270 10 333375367742 33417 216 328 83 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Brewers — 9979 20500 18171 116 253398316714 63317 1718 336 49 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 169140 24710 22306 235 171310236545 64202 1813 247 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Blue — 199166 29711 29362 113 175305247552 72209 1815 258 61 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 3331 9100 1100 10 290312323635 32396 303 291 83 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 9986 16400 11241 116 186286233518 47251 2411 241 49 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 169140 24710 22306 235 171310236545 64216 1813 247 53 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 2 — 169131 341110 31246 235 260423359781 99315 1418 365 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Blue — 199166 29711 29362 113 175305247552 72214 1815 258 61 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Brewers Blue — 199154 441212 41312 113 286442416857 130341 1621 389 61 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 132116 25400 13341 126 216300250550 34298 2610 253 58 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 132109 30600 20241 126 275392330723 55345 1815 334 58 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 169139 24710 22306 235 173310237547 65202 1813 247 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Blue — 199166 29711 29362 113 175305247552 72209 1815 258 61 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 132117 25400 13341 126 214300248548 34287 2610 253 58 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 169139 24710 22306 235 173310237547 65202 1813 247 53 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Blue — 199166 29711 29362 113 175305247552 72209 1815 258 61 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 132117 25400 13341 126 214300248548 34287 2610 253 58 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEMIL 0% 242217 46912 21602 51 214292296588 83284 259 270 69 -9 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEMIL 34% 140125 28512 12342 31 218297313610 95285 249 279 75 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202922 MLB MLEMIL 48% 234208 46913 21573 51 222301326627 104286 249 285 79 -6 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.2
203023 MLB MLEMIL 54% 328292 661325 29794 72 225304336640 111288 249 290 83 -7 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.5
203124 MLB MLEMIL 55% 393351 791527 35944 92 228306344650 116289 249 294 85 -7 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.7
203225 MLB MLEMIL 56% 430383 881728 391025 92 229307349656 120289 249 296 87 -7 +1 +0 +5 +9 0.8
203326 MLB MLEMIL 56% 450402 921838 401075 102 229307349657 120289 249 297 87 -7 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.9
203427 MLB MLEMIL 55% 455406 931838 411095 102 228306347653 119288 249 295 86 -8 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.8
203528 MLB MLEMIL 55% 454405 921828 411105 92 226304342647 116288 249 293 84 -9 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.7
203629 MLB MLEMIL 53% 446399 891728 401094 82 224302336638 112286 249 289 82 -10 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.4
203730 MLB MLEMIL 53% 436390 861627 391084 72 221298329627 108285 259 285 79 -11 +1 -2 +5 +9 0.2
203831 MLB MLEMIL 52% 419375 821626 371054 63 217294320613 102282 259 279 75 -12 +0 -3 +4 +9 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXMIL 34% 4843 10201 4121 10 215294309604 94280 258 276 75 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXMIL 48% 113101 23412 10271 31 219298323621 103282 249 283 79 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203023 MLB CTXMIL 54% 178158 35613 16432 41 223301333635 111283 249 288 83 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203124 MLB CTXMIL 55% 218194 44814 20522 51 225304341645 116284 249 292 85 -4 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.4
203225 MLB CTXMIL 56% 241214 49915 22573 51 227305346651 120284 249 294 87 -4 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203326 MLB CTXMIL 56% 253225 50915 23603 51 227305347652 120284 249 294 87 -4 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203427 MLB CTXMIL 55% 252224 50915 23603 51 226304344648 119284 249 293 86 -4 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203528 MLB CTXMIL 55% 249222 50915 22603 51 224302340642 116283 249 290 84 -5 +1 -0 +3 +5 0.4
203629 MLB CTXMIL 53% 238213 47914 21582 41 221299334633 112282 249 287 82 -5 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.2
203730 MLB CTXMIL 53% 229205 45814 20572 41 219296326622 107280 259 282 79 -6 +0 -1 +2 +5 0.1
203831 MLB CTXMIL 52% 218195 42813 19552 32 215291317608 102278 259 277 75 -6 -0 -1 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22371994 445811041 20054124 4411 223302336637 112284 249 288 80 -46 +4 -4 +24 +48 2.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 13024312 581577 133 225303339641 114286 249 288 80 -13 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 47644229 9341832472 445113455 13135 221303327630 106283 249 286 80 -90 +9 -7 +46 +92 5.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 12725310 611558 185 220303326629 106282 249 286 80 -14 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Brewers · 99 PAwOBA .332 → .241 (−91)K% 17.2% → 24.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.17%÷1.000×1.440——24.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.18%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00811.36%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.720—×1.0080.73%
Singles /BIP24.19%÷1.000×0.820×0.985×1.00819.69%
Doubles /BIP8.06%÷1.000×0.720×0.985×1.0085.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.985×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .332 → .241; ISO .063 → .046; BABIP .317 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AWilson Warbirds · 33 PAwOBA .330 → .291 (−38)K% 21.2% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.21%÷1.000×1.360——28.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.06%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0454.37%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP39.13%÷1.000×0.920—×1.04537.62%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0453.77%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .330 → .291; ISO .033 → .028; BABIP .417 → .396. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Brewers Blue · 199 PAwOBA .383 → .258 (−125)K% 15.6% → 18.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.58%÷1.052×1.220——18.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.10%÷0.984×0.700—×1.00814.40%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.700—×1.0080.71%
Singles /BIP23.58%÷1.051×0.680×0.971×1.00814.92%
Doubles /BIP9.76%÷1.017×0.600×0.971×1.0085.63%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷1.042×0.600×0.971×1.0080.46%
Home runs /BIP1.63%÷1.042×0.470—×1.0080.74%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 103, 3B 108, K 110, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .383 → .258; ISO .130 → .076; BABIP .341 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Brewers 2 · 169 PAwOBA .359 → .247 (−112)K% 14.2% → 17.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.20%÷0.989×1.220——17.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.34%÷1.012×0.700—×1.02212.98%
HBP% /PA3.55%—×0.700—×1.0222.54%
Singles /BIP20.56%÷0.989×0.680×0.950×1.02213.73%
Doubles /BIP10.28%÷0.968×0.600×0.950×1.0226.19%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.150×0.600×0.950×1.0220.47%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.808×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .359 → .247; ISO .099 → .062; BABIP .315 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).