Moises PolancoSS ACL Brewers
Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 99 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .313 / .330
PA99
HR1
K%23
BB%10
BABIP297
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.01.42.70.51.01.41.82.02.12.22.22.01.91.6+$128M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.1$11M+$10M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.2$10M+$10M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.2$10M+$9M
2035Arb-1$4M+2.0$8M+$6M
2036Arb-2$6M+1.9$7M+$5M
2037Arb-3$8M+1.6$6M+$3M
Totals $21M $51M +$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 169143 27810 19356 235 189310259568 70248 2111 257 55
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 169131 341110 31246 235 260423359781 99315 1418 365 137
202518 ROKDSL Brewers Blue 199169 34912 26402 113 201315302616 101248 2013 272 66
202518 ROKDSL Brewers Blue 199154 441212 41312 113 286442416857 130341 1621 389 156
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKMIL 7063 14400 7160 82 222300286586 63298 2310 261 58 -3 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.0
YTD19 ROKMIL 7059 18500 11110 82 305414390804 85375 1616 369 141 +3 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.7
ROS19 ROKMIL 0% 9988 20411 10231 41 227313330643 102287 2310 280 73 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
ROS19 MLBMIL 0% 01 0000 000 00 285 272 66 +0 +0
FULL19 ROKMIL 7064 14400 7160 82 219300281581 62292 2310 261 58 -3 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.0
TOT19 ROKMIL 169151 34811 17391 123 225308311619 86297 2310 272 67 -6 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBMIL 34% 249220 491013 24573 61 223308318626 95289 2310 291 81 -5 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.5
202821 MLBMIL 48% 371328 761626 36844 92 232315348663 116290 2310 299 87 -6 +1 +0 +4 +11 1.0
202922 MLBMIL 54% 457405 941928 441025 102 232315348663 116291 2210 304 91 -5 +1 +0 +5 +13 1.4
203023 MLBMIL 57% 515454 10822310 501146 123 238322366687 128292 2210 307 93 -4 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.8
203124 MLBMIL 57% 551486 11724311 541226 123 241324370695 130293 2210 309 95 -3 +1 +0 +6 +16 2.0
203225 MLBMIL 57% 573505 12125311 561267 133 240324366690 127293 2210 310 95 -3 +1 +0 +6 +16 2.1
203326 MLBMIL 56% 584515 12325312 571297 133 239323369692 130293 2210 310 96 -3 +1 +0 +6 +17 2.2
203427 MLBMIL 55% 587517 12325312 581307 133 238323368691 130293 2210 310 96 -3 +1 +0 +6 +17 2.2
203528 MLBMIL 59% 583513 12225311 581307 123 238324363686 125292 2210 310 95 -3 +1 -1 +6 +17 2.0
203629 MLBMIL 61% 575505 11924311 581297 123 236323360683 125292 2210 308 94 -4 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.9
203730 MLBMIL 62% 565497 11624310 571286 113 233320354674 121291 2310 305 92 -5 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.6
203831 MLBMIL 63% 551485 11323310 551276 102 233319355673 122289 2310 301 89 -7 +1 -3 +6 +16 1.3
203932 MLBMIL 64% 533469 1062129 531256 102 226312337649 111286 2310 296 85 -9 +1 -4 +6 +15 1.0
204033 MLBMIL 65% 503443 981928 501205 92 221307327635 106282 2410 289 80 -12 +1 -4 +5 +14 0.5
204134 MLBMIL 60% 456403 861627 451125 72 213300315615 102276 2510 281 73 -14 +1 -5 +5 +13 -0.0
204235 MLBMIL 56% 401355 731325 391014 61 206291296587 90270 2510 271 66 -15 +1 -6 +4 +11 -0.5
202720 MLBMIL 34% 8677 17401 8201 20 221302312614 91287 239 281 73 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202821 MLBMIL 48% 180159 36713 17412 41 226309340649 113288 239 288 79 -4 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.3
202922 MLBMIL 54% 248219 501014 24553 61 228313338651 110289 2210 293 82 -5 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.6
203023 MLBMIL 57% 292259 601225 28653 71 232314351665 120290 2210 296 85 -5 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.7
203124 MLBMIL 57% 312275 651326 30694 72 236320364684 127291 2210 298 86 -5 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.8
203225 MLBMIL 57% 324285 681426 32714 72 239324365689 126291 2210 299 87 -5 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.9
203326 MLBMIL 56% 330291 691426 32734 72 237321361682 124290 2210 299 87 -5 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.9
203427 MLBMIL 55% 325286 681426 32724 72 238323364687 126290 2210 299 87 -5 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.9
203528 MLBMIL 59% 345303 721427 35774 72 238325366691 129290 2210 299 87 -5 +1 -0 +4 +10 0.9
203629 MLBMIL 61% 350308 721427 35784 72 234320360680 127289 2210 297 85 -6 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.8
203730 MLBMIL 62% 352310 711426 35804 72 229315345660 116289 2310 294 84 -7 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.7
203831 MLBMIL 63% 348306 701426 35804 72 229316346662 118287 2310 291 81 -8 +1 -2 +4 +10 0.5
203932 MLBMIL 64% 340299 671316 34804 61 224312334646 110284 2410 286 77 -9 +1 -2 +4 +10 0.3
204033 MLBMIL 65% 327287 621215 33784 61 216306317623 101280 2410 279 72 -10 +1 -3 +4 +9 0.0
204134 MLBMIL 60% 276244 521014 27683 41 213299311611 98274 2510 271 66 -11 +0 -3 +3 +8 -0.3
204235 MLBMIL 56% 225199 41713 22572 41 206291296588 90268 2510 262 59 -10 +0 -3 +2 +6 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 46604108 9401862481 459106454 9523 229315345659 116287 2310 291 81 -102 +10 -15 +50 +132 7.6
/ 162G 650573 13126311 641488 133 229315342657 113288 2310 291 81 -14 +1 -2 +7 +18 1.1
Career 85217500 172535243147 8491934100 20347 230316347664 117289 2310 300 87 -121 +22 -25 +91 +241 21.3
/ 162G 650572 13127311 651488 154 229316344661 115288 2310 300 87 -9 +1 -2 +7 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 169131 341110 31246 235 260423359781 99315 1418 365 137 +7 +3 +5 1.5
202518 ROKDSL Brewers Blue 199154 441212 41312 113 286442416857 130341 1621 389 156 +13 +1 +6 2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
104,8268499232314349+48+3012.810.5
/1626641214+6.6+4.11.8pk7: 8
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Moises Polanco (OGILVIE) 19 50 30 55 60 225/308/311 86297 112 23% 10% 67 +0.1
Nacho Alvarez Jr.
2023 · A
20 51→53 39→40 54→50 56 239/327/329 91293 614 19% 11% 89 +1.0 243/317/334 91314 814 23% 8% 86 +0.8 243/318/3318831381423%8%83+0.4
Luis Santana
2018 · A
19 52 39→45 54→50 50 243/311/343 100274 511 13% 7% 85 +0.7 245/315/335 90288 69 16% 7% 85 +0.7 225/297/334109287111024%7%74-0.0
Jose Astudillo
2023 · A
19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
Carlos Arroyo
2019 · A
18 50 35→30 50 51 231/310/281 51284 313 19% 8% 70 -0.3 221/279/288 67257 415 15% 6% 58 -1.2 184/235/2496524351925%4%28-1.1
Luisangel Acuña
2021 · A
19 49→55 38→45 51→60 51 232/298/315 83281 513 18% 8% 72 -0.2 229/285/335 106315 1130 29% 7% 72 -0.2 236/292/342106319113928%7%74-0.1
L.J. Hoes
2009 · A
19 50→60 37→40 56→50 52 233/301/304 71285 411 19% 9% 70 -0.3 238/285/305 67306 412 22% 6% 64 -0.8 278/336/3699133451517%7%97+1.5
Dubal Baez
2012 · A
19 46 34→30 52→60 47 210/307/262 52296 216 27% 8% 65 -0.7 218/295/268 50299 119 25% 7% 60 -1.0 222/294/2573530102624%7%53-0.4
Jose Paez
2013 · A
19 49 40→45 51→50 43 233/286/331 98308 613 25% 6% 71 -0.3 210/256/293 83314 411 32% 5% 49 -1.8 178/220/2466828331236%4%17-1.1
Andy Paz
2012 · A
19 50 36→40 44→45 50 231/310/298 67290 38 20% 8% 74 -0.1 208/273/281 73275 45 24% 8% 53 -1.5 208/262/276682716424%7%43-0.5
Henry Henry
2007 · A
20 53 39→40 48→60 52 250/330/338 87313 515 20% 9% 92 +1.2 245/315/330 85282 620 14% 7% 84 +0.6 250/305/3176727743011%6%72-0.1
Jesus Rodriguez
2022 · A
20 47→55 38→45 48→50 49 218/288/307 89289 311 24% 9% 66 -0.6 244/304/360 116301 913 21% 7% 87 +0.8 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
Leo Rivas
2018 · A
20 47→54 37→40 56→65 55 219/317/294 75290 319 23% 11% 77 +0.1 188/270/271 83290 610 34% 10% 50 -1.7 239/352/3359531894424%14%101+1.2
Jenner Emeterio
2013 · A
20 45 38→30 48→60 46 214/278/297 83284 513 26% 8% 59 -1.1 217/304/278 61289 324 23% 10% 66 -0.6 216/317/2604428513422%12%65-0.3
Alain Camou
2023 · A
19 52 37→40 46→50 53 241/307/322 81285 310 16% 8% 78 +0.2 207/265/272 65271 26 22% 7% 47 -1.9 177/232/223462370224%6%19-1.0
Brallan Perez
2015 · A
19 52 34→30 48→50 56 238/317/294 56266 112 11% 9% 76 +0.1 238/297/296 58278 310 14% 7% 66 -0.6 250/302/293433062618%5%63-0.4
Robert Vasquez
2006 · A
19 49 40 52→50 47 232/289/326 94289 612 22% 7% 72 -0.2 206/273/275 69276 48 25% 8% 52 -1.6 196/269/254582725927%8%44-0.6
Jett Williams
2023 · A
19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
Luis Perez
2011 · A
20 49 36→30 48→50 54 228/311/303 75269 310 15% 9% 76 +0.0 224/279/332 108274 89 20% 6% 69 -0.4 222/260/35813627810624%4%64-0.2
Rubén Tejada
2008 · A
18 50→60 38→40 51→50 50 237/313/315 78287 513 18% 8% 79 +0.3 227/281/295 68275 39 18% 6% 60 -1.0 246/313/343972867115%8%81+0.2
Mikey Edie
2016 · A
19 48 35→30 49→50 42 224/295/281 56296 313 24% 5% 64 -0.8 212/267/270 58314 215 31% 4% 48 -1.9 187/236/2405228121032%3%22-1.4