Sebastian RojasOF DSL Athletics
Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 48 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .312 / .333
PA48
HR1
K%25
BB%8
BABIP276
ISO119
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.70.80.90.9+$32M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE59
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $4M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Athletics 8570 12201 5167 00 171293243536 71200 196 236 39
202417 ROKDSL Athletics 8567 15301 8117 00 224366313679 90246 139 313 98
202518 ROKDSL Athletics 141113 16402 134414 82 142307230537 88206 319 243 44
202518 ROKDSL Athletics 141105 20602 213114 82 190393305698 114247 2215 338 117
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKOAK 6953 8201 10136 11 151348245593 94179 1914 267 63 -3 -0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
YTD19 ROKOAK 6947 9201 1696 11 191449298747 106216 1323 372 143 +3 -0 +0 -0 +2 0.5
ROS19 ROKOAK 0% 4842 9201 4122 10 214312333646 119271 258 286 77 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.0
ROS19 MLBOAK 0% 01 0000 000 00 269 257 55 +0 -0
FULL19 ROKOAK 6954 8201 10136 11 148348241589 93175 1914 267 63 -3 -0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
TOT19 ROKOAK 11795 17402 14258 21 179333284618 105221 2112 275 68 -4 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBOAK 34% 205178 38713 19506 41 213310315625 101274 249 292 81 -4 +0 +0 -1 +6 0.1
202821 MLBOAK 48% 336292 641226 318010 62 219315336651 116277 249 297 86 -5 +0 +0 -2 +10 0.3
202922 MLBOAK 54% 432377 841629 3910213 93 223317347664 125278 249 301 89 -6 +1 +0 -3 +12 0.5
203023 MLBOAK 57% 495432 9718310 4511715 103 225319350669 125280 249 304 90 -5 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.7
203124 MLBOAK 57% 537467 10520311 4912616 114 225320351671 126280 239 305 92 -5 +1 +0 -3 +15 0.8
203225 MLBOAK 57% 561487 11121312 5213117 124 228324357681 129280 239 306 92 -5 +1 +0 -3 +16 0.9
203326 MLBOAK 56% 574499 11221312 5313417 124 224320351671 126280 239 306 92 -5 +1 +0 -3 +16 0.9
202720 MLBOAK 34% 7062 12201 6172 10 194286274560 81272 249 266 62 -3 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.1
202821 MLBOAK 48% 163142 31613 15395 31 218315338653 120275 249 273 67 -6 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
202922 MLBOAK 54% 234204 45815 21557 51 221315343658 123276 249 277 70 -8 +1 +0 -1 +7 -0.2
203023 MLBOAK 57% 280244 541016 26668 62 221317344661 123277 249 280 72 -9 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.2
203124 MLBOAK 57% 304264 591126 28719 62 223319348667 125278 239 281 73 -9 +0 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
203225 MLBOAK 57% 317276 621127 29749 72 225318355674 130278 239 282 74 -9 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
203326 MLBOAK 56% 324281 641227 307610 72 228324359683 132278 239 282 74 -10 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 16921474 32760935 15539850 3510 222317346663 124278 249 279 72 -54 +3 +0 -10 +48 -1.3
/ 162G 650566 12523313 6015319 134 221316341657 120278 249 279 72 -21 +1 +0 -4 +18 -0.5
Career 34142957 6481231767 310812117 7323 219318340658 121277 249 298 87 -52 +5 +0 -20 +97 3.1
/ 162G 650563 12323313 5915522 144 218317339656 121276 249 298 87 -10 +1 +0 -4 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Athletics 8567 15301 8117 00 224366313679 90246 139 313 98 -0 +0 +2 0.2
202518 ROKDSL Athletics 141105 20602 213114 82 190393305698 114247 2215 338 117 +3 +1 +4 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA
71,6824022239330385-14+115.15.1
/162664169-5.7+4.42.0pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,8103636224315347-11+02.22.3
/1626641313-4.0+0.00.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Sebastian Rojas (OGILVIE) 19 45→50 36→41 48→53 59 179/333/284 105221 22 21% 12% 68 -0.2
Jesus Morelli
2009 · A
19 49 42→45 48→50 49 234/311/346 112300 912 24% 8% 87 +0.8 220/282/289 69304 410 27% 6% 59 -1.1 219/279/2604128701422%6%47-0.5
Robert Vasquez
2006 · A
19 49 40 52→50 47 232/289/326 94289 612 22% 7% 72 -0.2 206/273/275 69276 48 25% 8% 52 -1.6 196/269/254582725927%8%44-0.6
Derek Hill
2015 · A
19 41→51 40→50 55→60 47 200/269/291 91259 713 25% 8% 55 -1.4 199/251/270 71293 325 31% 6% 40 -2.4 248/301/422175338222932%6%100+0.7
Darell Hernaiz
2021 · A
19 45→55 39→45 52→50 44 211/276/297 86310 79 32% 8% 59 -1.1 239/285/329 90301 817 22% 5% 70 -0.3 252/302/359107305101720%6%82+0.4
Noelvi Marte
2021 · A
19 44→53 44→50 50→55 42 218/268/339 121285 1112 27% 6% 66 -0.6 230/295/375 145298 1716 27% 8% 88 +0.9 233/300/377144296171926%8%87+0.7
Jett Williams
2023 · A
19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
Jose Paez
2013 · A
19 49 40→45 51→50 43 233/286/331 98308 613 25% 6% 71 -0.3 210/256/293 83314 411 32% 5% 49 -1.8 178/220/2466828331236%4%17-1.1
Gabriel Gonzalez
2023 · A
19 46→56 45→50 49→45 43 227/292/347 120278 129 23% 5% 80 +0.4 244/297/370 126294 147 21% 5% 88 +0.9 253/307/38212930314621%5%91+0.9
Albert Hernandez
2008 · A
19 43 39→40 49→45 46 207/270/299 92260 67 22% 7% 57 -1.2 226/286/317 91285 67 22% 6% 68 -0.5 230/289/314842916622%6%66-0.2
Albert Almora Jr.
2013 · A
19 48→58 39→45 52→50 42 231/269/322 91279 611 20% 4% 62 -0.9 239/270/343 104282 76 18% 4% 67 -0.5 278/311/3931153249517%4%95+1.0
Dilson Herrera
2013 · A
19 44→54 43→50 51→50 43 214/269/331 117274 913 25% 6% 65 -0.7 241/291/379 138314 1412 26% 6% 86 +0.8 258/308/400143315151323%6%96+1.3
L.J. Hoes
2009 · A
19 50→60 37→40 56→50 52 233/301/304 71285 411 19% 9% 70 -0.3 238/285/305 67306 412 22% 6% 64 -0.8 278/336/3699133451517%7%97+1.5
Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A
19 46→55 42→45 49→50 46 224/285/337 113288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 235/300/339 104298 612 22% 8% 80 +0.4 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
Jorge Alcantara
2011 · A
19 45 41→45 51→50 43 216/278/319 103302 711 30% 7% 66 -0.6 198/267/295 97299 713 33% 8% 55 -1.4 147/226/2449722162534%8%24-0.9
Guillermo Pimentel
2009 · A
19 44 39→40 48→55 47 209/298/288 79282 717 26% 8% 68 -0.5 199/266/274 75327 612 38% 7% 49 -1.8 173/232/2315831661144%7%20-1.1
Armando Sierra
2023 · A
19 46 41→45 43→40 47 225/288/323 98278 94 22% 7% 71 -0.3 214/269/315 101304 94 31% 6% 60 -1.0 191/241/2899829210037%6%39-0.5
Luis Matos
2021 · A
19 50→56 43→50 53→50 45 244/303/364 121284 1014 18% 5% 88 +0.9 233/275/353 120270 1213 18% 4% 73 -0.1 241/293/396155250191313%6%90+0.8
Ronarsy Ledesma
2012 · A
19 41 42→45 47→50 43 203/277/306 103268 97 27% 6% 63 -0.9 224/283/326 102290 511 24% 5% 69 -0.4 226/280/33711129161123%4%69-0.2
Gilberto Celestino
2018 · A
19 42→52 39→45 53→55 42 202/258/287 85283 612 30% 7% 48 -1.9 215/267/306 91282 710 25% 6% 56 -1.3 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
Tim Kennelly
2006 · A
19 46→52 38→40 48→40 51 217/291/303 86268 47 20% 9% 67 -0.5 213/270/301 88294 56 27% 7% 57 -1.2 241/301/332913014420%6%75+0.0