Cesar Lugo

OF ACL Cubs

Age 20 L/L 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCHC	125	.245/.355/.330	0	7	36	—	.171/.258/.216
2026	19	ROKCHC	198	.253/.371/.470	6	8	51	—	.164/.249/.294
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCHC	308	.189/.265/.286	4	6	57	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCHC	84	.196/.273/.304	1	2	62	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO87

Speed68

wRC+58

wOBA49

BB%41

Z-Con%24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsYohairo Cuevas (age 20) · Yeicok Calderon (age 20) · Jaden Rudd (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 168 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .263 / .283

PA168

HR2

K%30

BB%8

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	164	129	34	11	1	1	31	21	4	15	4	264	421	388	808	124	308	13	19	374	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	125	106	26	5	2	0	15	31	3	7	4	245	355	330	685	85	342	25	12	316	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	198	166	42	8	5	6	28	61	3	8	4	253	371	470	840	217	360	31	14	371	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	164	137	25	7	1	1	23	26	4	15	4	182	317	270	587	88	212	16	14	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	125	111	19	3	1	0	10	46	3	7	4	171	258	216	474	45	285	37	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	198	177	29	5	3	4	17	88	3	8	4	164	249	294	543	130	287	44	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	164	137	25	7	1	1	23	26	4	15	4	182	317	270	587	88	218	16	14	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	164	129	34	11	1	1	31	21	4	15	4	264	421	388	808	124	308	13	19	374	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	125	111	19	3	1	0	10	46	3	7	4	171	258	216	474	45	288	37	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	125	106	26	5	2	0	15	31	3	7	4	245	355	330	685	85	342	25	12	316	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	198	177	29	5	3	4	17	88	3	8	4	164	249	294	543	130	291	44	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	198	166	42	8	5	6	28	61	3	8	4	253	371	470	840	217	360	31	14	371	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	164	136	25	7	1	1	23	26	4	15	4	184	317	272	589	88	212	16	14	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	125	111	19	3	1	0	10	46	3	7	4	171	258	216	474	45	285	37	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	198	176	29	5	3	4	17	88	3	8	4	165	249	295	544	131	287	44	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	164	136	25	7	1	1	23	26	4	15	4	184	317	272	589	88	212	16	14	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	125	111	19	3	1	0	10	46	3	7	4	171	258	216	474	45	285	37	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	198	176	29	5	3	4	17	88	3	8	4	165	249	295	544	131	287	44	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	308	277	52	10	2	4	25	93	3	6	2	189	265	286	550	97	264	30	8	252	57	-16	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	244	219	43	8	2	4	20	72	3	5	2	194	271	300	571	106	266	30	8	260	62	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2028	21	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	84	76	15	3	1	1	7	25	1	2	1	196	273	304	577	108	270	30	8	263	62	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	84	76	15	3	1	1	7	25	1	2	1	197	274	303	576	105	280	30	8	263	55	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	116	23	8	8	54	193	8	15	8	197	274	304	578	107	279	30	8	263	55	-29	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	899	794	144	28	8	11	84	283	15	38	15	181	272	278	550	97	264	31	9	250	55	-20	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	104	20	6	8	61	205	11	27	11	181	272	279	551	98	264	32	9	250	55	-31	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#5Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	252	4	5	191	265	292	-2	+0	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	9	14	-4.0	+0.0	-1.8	pk7: 0
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Lugo (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	36→41	51→56	56	187/263/283	96	264	2	3	30%	8%	57	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	38	42→40	49→45	42	190/255/295	105	271	9	7	32%	7%	55	-1.9	188/238/305	117	303	12	5	40%	6%	51	-2.2	179/226/296	117	283	14	3	41%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	39→33	43→45	51→50	42	193/261/303	109	286	10	12	34%	8%	60	-1.6	207/272/319	112	304	11	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	38	38→40	47→50	40	185/239/260	76	260	6	5	30%	6%	41	-3.0	185/243/256	71	278	3	6	32%	6%	42	-2.9	144/211/202	57	222	0	6	32%	6%	17	-1.5
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	33	39→45	48→45	35	170/215/251	81	265	7	7	38%	5%	30	-3.8	202/249/292	90	329	5	5	38%	6%	52	-2.2	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Luis Castillo 2024 · A	20	43→36	39→50	46→40	42	206/270/292	86	297	7	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	180/256/301	121	260	14	4	34%	9%	59	-1.7	164/248/298	134	222	17	2	33%	10%	54	-1.2
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	40→41	40→45	57→50	41	193/255/292	99	294	7	15	35%	7%	55	-2.0	188/260/303	115	277	12	13	34%	8%	60	-1.6	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Luis Mendez 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	48→50	38	185/243/284	99	267	9	10	33%	6%	49	-2.4	188/253/267	79	273	5	11	31%	7%	49	-2.4	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	37	38→40	47→50	44	181/254/261	80	248	5	11	28%	7%	48	-2.5	197/270/285	88	250	7	9	23%	7%	59	-1.6	179/264/261	82	212	9	9	19%	8%	51	-1.2
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Jordan Viars 2023 · A	20	40	39→40	52→45	41	193/263/273	81	281	8	7	32%	7%	54	-2.0	180/252/280	100	292	10	5	39%	6%	52	-2.2	157/231/258	101	261	11	4	42%	6%	37	-1.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Marcos Torres 2024 · A	19	36→39	42→45	54→55	42	177/262/280	103	265	9	18	34%	8%	56	-1.9	180/252/283	103	293	9	19	39%	8%	52	-2.2	177/246/289	112	279	10	24	38%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Edison Lantigua 2017 · A	20	41	36→45	52→50	42	195/250/272	77	278	3	6	29%	7%	47	-2.5	201/260/293	92	331	6	8	38%	7%	57	-1.8	178/240/274	95	303	8	7	41%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	40	43→45	47→50	42	192/272/308	116	291	10	9	35%	8%	65	-1.2	188/265/289	101	308	9	8	38%	8%	59	-1.7	157/243/251	94	257	8	8	39%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6

Cesar Lugo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps