Ezequiel Pena — OGILVIE

Ezequiel PenaSS ACL Cubs

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION126 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP290

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	116	30	6	1	0	12	31	1	13	2	259	333	328	661	69	349	24	9	302	90	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	113	37	4	1	0	28	12	2	17	2	327	469	381	849	53	366	8	20	397	155	+9	+3	—	—	+3	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	121	22	4	1	0	7	46	1	13	2	182	233	231	464	50	279	35	5	204	24	-12	+2	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	124	32	3	1	0	17	17	2	17	2	258	357	298	655	40	296	12	12	298	88	-2	+3	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	121	22	4	1	0	7	46	1	13	2	182	233	231	464	50	289	35	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	116	30	6	1	0	12	31	1	13	2	259	333	328	661	69	349	24	9	302	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	124	32	3	1	0	17	17	2	17	2	258	357	298	655	40	299	12	12	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	113	37	4	1	0	28	12	2	17	2	327	469	381	849	53	366	8	20	397	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	121	22	4	1	0	7	46	1	13	2	182	233	231	464	50	279	35	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	123	32	3	1	0	17	17	2	17	2	260	357	301	657	41	296	12	12	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	121	22	4	1	0	7	46	1	13	2	182	233	231	464	50	279	35	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	123	32	3	1	0	17	17	2	17	2	260	357	301	657	41	296	12	12	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	CHC	—	126	117	22	2	0	1	9	47	0	4	5	188	246	231	477	43	304	37	7	218	34	-10	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CHC	—	94	82	24	3	0	1	12	25	0	1	5	293	383	366	749	73	411	27	13	345	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	CHC	—	32	29	5	0	0	0	3	8	0	3	0	172	250	172	422		238	25	9	207	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	CHC	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		288	33	8	250	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	CHC	—	138	128	24	2	0	1	10	51	0	4	5	188	246	227	473	39	303	37	7	221	36	-11	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	236	213	45	7	1	3	19	69	2	6	2	211	282	296	578	85	293	29	8	265	65	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	360	325	71	11	2	6	29	102	3	9	3	218	289	320	609	102	294	28	8	274	72	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	448	404	88	14	2	8	37	125	4	11	4	218	290	322	612	104	295	28	8	280	76	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	507	455	101	16	2	10	42	140	5	13	5	222	295	332	627	110	296	28	8	284	78	-13	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	544	489	111	18	3	11	45	149	5	14	5	227	299	344	642	117	296	27	8	286	79	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	566	509	114	18	3	11	47	155	5	15	5	224	296	336	632	112	296	27	8	287	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	577	518	117	19	3	12	48	158	6	15	6	226	299	344	643	118	296	27	8	287	80	-14	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	580	520	118	19	3	12	49	159	6	15	6	227	301	344	645	117	296	27	8	287	80	-14	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	576	516	115	18	3	11	49	159	6	15	5	223	298	333	631	110	296	28	9	286	80	-14	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	568	509	113	18	3	11	49	158	5	14	5	222	297	334	631	112	295	28	9	284	79	-14	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	558	500	109	17	2	10	48	157	5	13	5	218	293	320	613	102	294	28	9	282	77	-15	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	544	487	106	17	2	10	47	154	5	13	5	218	293	322	616	105	292	28	9	278	74	-17	+1	-3	+6	+12	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	81	74	15	2	0	1	6	24	1	2	1	203	272	270	542	68	295	30	7	260	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	174	156	34	5	1	3	14	49	2	4	2	218	291	321	611	103	296	28	8	268	72	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	243	219	48	8	1	4	20	68	2	6	2	219	290	320	610	100	297	28	8	274	76	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	287	258	58	9	2	5	24	79	3	7	3	225	298	333	632	109	298	28	8	277	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	308	276	63	10	2	6	26	85	3	8	3	228	302	344	646	116	298	28	8	279	79	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	320	287	64	10	2	6	27	88	3	8	3	223	297	334	631	111	298	28	8	280	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	326	293	66	11	2	6	27	89	3	9	3	225	297	338	635	113	298	27	8	280	80	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	322	289	65	10	2	6	27	88	3	8	3	225	298	336	633	111	298	27	8	280	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	316	283	64	10	2	6	27	87	3	8	3	226	300	339	640	113	298	28	9	279	80	-8	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	304	272	62	10	2	6	26	85	3	8	3	228	302	346	648	118	297	28	9	278	79	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	294	264	57	9	1	5	25	82	3	7	3	216	291	314	605	98	296	28	9	275	77	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	284	254	55	9	1	5	25	81	3	7	2	217	294	319	613	102	294	29	9	271	74	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3259	2925	651	103	18	59	274	905	32	82	31	223	296	331	627	108	299	28	8	277	77	-86	+4	-4	+35	+71	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	131	21	4	12	55	181	6	16	6	225	298	336	634	111	303	28	8	277	77	-17	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6349	5701	1264	199	31	115	534	1752	60	183	60	222	295	328	623	106	297	28	8	282	77	-162	+8	-7	+65	+132	3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	129	20	3	12	55	179	6	19	6	221	295	327	622	106	295	28	8	282	77	-17	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,394	63	86	222	292	330	+36	+21	4.3	3.9
/162	664	12	17	+7.1	+4.1	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Pena (OGILVIE)	19	40→45	29→34	58→63	57	200/268/271	70	288	1	3	30%	8%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Kelvin Duran 2010 · A	19	45	39→45	60→55	43	213/262/308	95	277	5	19	24%	6%	60	-1.6	195/243/273	78	277	5	14	30%	6%	45	-2.7	154/197/200	46	227	5	15	33%	5%	10	-1.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	51	-2.2	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	70	-0.8	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Charlie Culberson 2008 · A	19	45→52	37→45	60→50	41	210/271/293	83	300	4	18	30%	6%	61	-1.5	213/257/291	78	285	5	11	26%	4%	54	-2.0	254/306/422	167	324	18	9	26%	6%	98	+0.5
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→53	37→40	55→45	52	227/294/304	76	279	3	16	19%	8%	72	-0.7	235/294/322	87	300	4	9	22%	7%	76	-0.4	240/296/326	86	300	4	8	20%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	49	39→45	60→65	52	227/313/330	103	311	4	16	26%	10%	85	+0.2	205/272/294	89	330	6	26	36%	7%	61	-1.5	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	47→43	37→45	55	44	215/294/306	91	310	2	12	29%	7%	73	-0.6	209/276/305	96	304	6	18	31%	6%	66	-1.1	203/264/313	110	295	9	29	32%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→49	41→45	52→55	47	211/293/316	105	325	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	210/312/335	125	297	14	12	31%	12%	87	+0.4	208/305/322	114	282	13	14	29%	11%	79	-0.2
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→55	43→45	57→45	40	220/270/339	119	285	9	15	26%	5%	71	-0.8	223/290/326	103	293	9	12	26%	7%	76	-0.4	233/299/331	99	302	8	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	66	-1.1	253/298/346	93	309	6	11	19%	6%	82	+0.0	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Wilbis Santiago 2016 · A	20	45	35→40	55→30	46	209/266/267	58	257	2	10	19%	6%	53	-2.1	224/267/299	75	261	3	8	15%	4%	60	-1.6	247/273/328	81	279	3	3	12%	2%	67	-0.4
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	49	39→50	56→55	43	231/283/326	94	314	5	21	27%	6%	72	-0.7	217/272/309	92	332	7	15	34%	7%	64	-1.3	223/264/357	134	340	16	15	38%	5%	71	-0.5
✕John Whittleman 2006 · A	19	44→43	37→50	54→45	48	202/276/286	84	282	2	11	27%	9%	61	-1.5	202/274/310	108	276	9	5	28%	9%	66	-1.1	198/284/316	119	270	11	2	29%	11%	71	-0.7
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	39→49	36→45	52→50	49	185/257/254	70	230	4	16	21%	8%	47	-2.5	208/287/287	79	268	6	12	23%	9%	66	-1.1	221/302/302	81	281	7	12	22%	9%	72	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps