Ezequiel Pena — OGILVIE

Ezequiel PenaSS ACL Cubs

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .270 / .269

PA74

HR1

K%30

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$9M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	121	21	4	1	0	7	48	1	13	2	174	225	223	448	50	284	37	5	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	116	30	6	1	0	12	31	1	13	2	259	333	328	661	69	349	24	9	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	124	32	4	1	0	17	17	2	17	2	258	357	306	663	48	299	12	12	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	113	37	4	1	0	28	12	2	17	2	327	469	381	849	53	366	8	20	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CHC	—	111	102	17	2	0	0	9	46	0	4	5	167	234	186	421	20	304	41	8	202	12	-11	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.8
YTD	19	ROK	CHC	—	111	96	24	3	0	0	15	32	0	4	5	250	351	281	633	31	375	29	14	300	88	-2	-1	+0	+1	+3	0.2
ROS	19	ROK	CHC	0%	74	67	13	2	0	1	6	22	1	2	1	194	270	269	539	75	285	30	8	249	49	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	245	46	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CHC	—	111	103	17	2	0	0	9	46	0	4	5	165	234	184	419	19	298	41	8	202	12	-11	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.8
TOT	19	ROK	CHC	—	185	169	30	4	0	1	15	68	1	6	6	178	249	219	468	41	290	37	8	220	27	-15	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CHC	34%	256	231	48	8	1	3	21	72	2	6	2	208	280	290	570	82	290	28	8	265	61	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	CHC	48%	376	339	74	12	2	6	31	103	3	9	3	218	290	319	608	100	291	27	8	274	68	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2029	22	MLB	CHC	54%	459	413	91	15	2	8	39	124	4	12	4	220	294	324	618	104	292	27	8	281	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2030	23	MLB	CHC	57%	514	460	103	17	3	9	44	138	5	13	5	224	299	333	631	109	293	27	9	284	76	-14	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.7
2031	24	MLB	CHC	57%	549	492	110	18	3	10	47	146	5	14	5	224	298	333	631	110	294	27	9	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2032	25	MLB	CHC	57%	569	509	115	19	3	11	49	151	6	15	5	226	301	340	641	114	294	27	9	288	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2033	26	MLB	CHC	56%	579	518	116	19	3	11	50	154	6	15	5	224	300	336	636	112	294	27	9	288	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2034	27	MLB	CHC	55%	581	519	116	19	3	11	51	155	6	15	6	224	300	335	636	112	294	27	9	288	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2027	20	MLB	CHC	34%	88	80	17	3	0	1	7	25	1	2	1	212	284	287	572	75	291	28	8	260	57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	CHC	48%	182	163	36	6	1	3	15	50	2	5	2	221	294	325	620	104	292	27	8	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	CHC	54%	249	224	49	8	1	4	21	67	2	6	2	219	291	317	608	98	293	27	8	275	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB	CHC	57%	291	261	58	10	1	5	25	78	3	8	3	222	298	326	623	103	294	27	9	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	CHC	57%	310	278	63	10	2	6	26	83	3	8	3	227	300	342	641	115	295	27	8	281	73	-10	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2032	25	MLB	CHC	57%	322	288	65	11	2	6	28	86	3	8	3	226	301	340	641	115	295	27	9	282	74	-10	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2033	26	MLB	CHC	56%	327	293	66	11	2	6	28	87	3	9	3	225	299	338	637	113	295	27	9	282	74	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2034	27	MLB	CHC	55%	322	288	65	11	2	6	28	86	3	8	3	226	301	340	641	115	295	27	9	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2091	1876	419	70	11	37	178	562	20	54	20	223	298	332	629	108	297	27	9	278	71	-68	+3	+0	+22	+59	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	131	22	3	12	55	175	6	17	6	225	298	334	632	110	298	27	8	278	71	-21	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	4230	3793	839	137	22	70	362	1130	41	131	40	221	296	324	620	103	294	27	9	281	73	-129	+10	+0	+45	+120	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	129	21	3	11	56	174	6	20	6	221	296	324	620	103	294	27	9	281	73	-20	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	130	116	30	6	1	0	12	31	1	13	2	259	333	328	661	69	349	24	9	302	89	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	113	37	4	1	0	28	12	2	17	2	327	469	381	849	53	366	8	20	397	162	+10	+3	—	—	+4	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,239	39	58	222	293	329	+24	+15	2.7	2.8
	/162	664	11	17	222	293	329	+7.1	+4.4	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Pena (OGILVIE)	19	38→43	28→33	58→63	57	178/249/219	41	290	1	6	37%	8%	27	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	45	-2.1	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	66	-0.6	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Kelvin Duran 2010 · A	19	45	39→45	60→55	43	213/262/308	95	277	5	19	24%	6%	55	-1.4	195/243/273	78	277	5	14	30%	6%	38	-2.6	153/197/199	46	226	5	15	33%	5%	-2	-1.2
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→53	37→40	55→45	52	227/294/304	76	279	3	16	19%	8%	68	-0.5	235/294/322	87	301	4	9	22%	7%	72	-0.2	239/296/325	86	300	4	8	20%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Charlie Culberson 2008 · A	19	45→49	37→45	60→50	41	210/271/293	83	300	4	18	30%	6%	56	-1.3	213/257/291	78	286	5	11	26%	4%	49	-1.8	254/306/422	168	324	18	9	26%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	49	39→45	60→65	52	227/313/330	103	311	4	16	26%	10%	83	+0.6	207/274/300	93	331	6	26	36%	7%	59	-1.1	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Wilbis Santiago 2016 · A	20	45	35→40	55→30	46	209/266/267	58	257	2	10	19%	6%	46	-2.0	224/267/299	75	261	3	8	15%	4%	55	-1.4	249/275/330	81	280	3	3	12%	2%	64	-0.2
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	47→43	37→45	55	44	216/295/307	91	310	2	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3	209/276/307	98	303	6	18	31%	6%	62	-0.9	204/265/321	117	295	9	29	32%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	52→55	47	210/291/312	102	321	7	14	34%	10%	70	-0.3	212/314/339	127	299	15	12	31%	12%	88	+0.9	207/304/326	119	281	14	14	29%	11%	78	+0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	63	-0.8	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	59	-1.1	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	39→49	36→45	52→50	50	184/257/252	69	229	3	16	21%	8%	40	-2.4	207/286/283	76	268	5	12	23%	9%	60	-1.0	217/293/324	107	277	12	10	24%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Telmito Agustin 2016 · A	19	49→41	39→45	57→50	46	231/288/332	101	295	5	17	22%	7%	72	-0.2	226/262/328	102	322	8	13	31%	4%	59	-1.1	226/258/333	106	321	10	12	32%	4%	57	-0.6
✕John Whittleman 2006 · A	19	44→43	37→50	54→45	48	202/276/286	84	282	2	11	27%	9%	56	-1.3	202/274/310	108	276	9	5	28%	9%	62	-0.9	197/284/318	121	270	11	2	29%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	50→58	38→45	58→60	49	232/294/325	93	280	3	14	18%	7%	73	-0.1	235/293/308	73	293	3	19	19%	6%	68	-0.5	259/317/353	94	332	5	34	22%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	47	-1.9	212/252/292	80	276	5	8	24%	5%	46	-2.0	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1