Ezequiel Pena

SS ACL Cubs
Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1468ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Cubs Red130.259/.333/.32801317—.167/.225/.217
202518ROKDSL Cubs Blue143.327/.469/.38101771—.221/.336/.262
202619A/ROKCHC126.261/.349/.3151434—.188/.246/.231
2027PROJMLE20MLBCHC236.213/.282/.29225640.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCHC47.219/.289/.31011690.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCHC112.223/.293/.32223740.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%71
Whiff%52
wRC+47
wOBA39
BB%32
K%28
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsLuis Liberato (age 20) · Conner Capel (age 20) · Luis Barrera (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .280 / .289
PA76
HR1
K%28
BB%8
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.30.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT57
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE65
scouting grade only
SPEED61
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$0.7M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 130116 30610 12311 132 259333328661 69349 249 302 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 143113 37410 28122 172 327469381849 53366 820 397 71 — — — — — —
202619 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 3229 5000 380 30 172250172422 238 259 207 -3 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Cubs — 9482 24301 12250 15 293383366749 73411 2713 345 47 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 130120 20410 8391 132 167225217441 50234 306 193 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 143122 27310 19152 172 221336262598 41245 1013 273 71 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 3230 4000 2110 30 133188133321 226 346 164 -3 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 9487 18201 7360 15 207266264530 57345 387 238 47 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 130120 20410 8391 132 167225217441 50244 306 193 17 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Red — 130116 30610 12311 132 259333328661 69349 249 302 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 143122 27310 19152 172 221336262598 41252 1013 273 71 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Blue — 143113 37410 28122 172 327469381849 53366 820 397 71 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 126116 22201 10470 45 190254233487 43309 378 219 35 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 126111 29301 15330 45 261349315665 54364 2612 310 35 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 130120 20410 8391 132 167225217441 50234 306 193 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 143121 27310 19152 172 223336264600 41245 1013 273 71 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 126115 22201 10470 45 191254235489 43315 378 219 35 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 130120 20410 8391 132 167225217441 50234 306 193 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Blue — 143121 27310 19152 172 223336264600 41245 1013 273 71 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 126115 22201 10470 45 191254235489 43315 378 219 35 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECHC 0% 236213 44712 19662 51 213282292574 79292 288 262 64 -10 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECHC 34% 138125 27412 11381 31 217287307594 90293 288 271 69 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
202922 MLB MLECHC 48% 232209 45713 19622 61 221291319610 98294 278 277 74 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203023 MLB MLECHC 54% 325293 661125 26863 82 224294328622 104295 268 282 77 -9 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.2
203124 MLB MLECHC 55% 391352 791327 321034 102 226297335632 109296 268 286 80 -10 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.4
203225 MLB MLECHC 56% 428386 881438 351114 112 227298340639 113296 268 288 81 -10 +1 +0 +5 +9 0.6
203326 MLB MLECHC 56% 447403 911538 371164 113 227298341639 113295 268 288 81 -10 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.6
203427 MLB MLECHC 55% 454410 921538 371194 113 226298338636 112295 268 287 80 -11 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.5
203528 MLB MLECHC 55% 453409 921538 371204 103 225296334629 109294 268 285 79 -11 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.3
203629 MLB MLECHC 53% 445402 901528 361194 92 222293328621 105293 278 281 76 -12 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.2
203730 MLB MLECHC 53% 435394 861427 351173 93 220290321610 101292 278 277 73 -14 +1 -2 +5 +9 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXCHC 34% 4743 10201 4130 10 219289310599 91297 289 273 69 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXCHC 48% 112101 23412 9301 31 223293322615 99298 278 279 74 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
203023 MLB CTXCHC 54% 176158 36613 14472 41 225296331627 105298 278 284 77 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
203124 MLB CTXCHC 55% 217195 45724 18572 51 228299338637 110299 268 288 80 -5 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.2
203225 MLB CTXCHC 56% 240216 49824 20622 61 229300343643 114299 268 290 81 -5 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203326 MLB CTXCHC 56% 251226 53925 21652 61 229300343643 114299 268 290 81 -6 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203427 MLB CTXCHC 55% 251226 52924 21662 61 228299341640 113298 268 289 80 -6 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203528 MLB CTXCHC 55% 248224 50824 20652 61 226297336634 110297 268 286 79 -6 +1 -0 +3 +5 0.2
203629 MLB CTXCHC 53% 238215 49824 19632 51 224295330625 106296 268 283 76 -7 +1 -1 +3 +5 0.1
203730 MLB CTXCHC 53% 229206 46814 19622 51 221291323614 102295 278 278 73 -7 +1 -1 +2 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 20091810 413691535 16553017 479 228299341640 113301 268 285 74 -52 +6 -2 +22 +44 1.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 13322511 531716 153 227298338636 111300 268 285 74 -17 +2 -1 +7 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 42233810 8391342466 348111337 12431 220292320612 100292 268 278 74 -102 +9 -4 +41 +83 2.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 13021410 541716 195 222294323617 101294 268 278 74 -17 +2 -1 +7 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Cubs · 94 PAwOBA .336 → .238 (−98)K% 26.6% → 38.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.60%÷1.000×1.440——38.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.77%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9957.88%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP35.09%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×0.99530.06%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9953.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9951.36%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .336 → .238; ISO .073 → .050; BABIP .411 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 32 PAwOBA .202 → .164 (−38)K% 25.0% → 34.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.360——34.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.38%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0306.66%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷1.000×0.920—×1.03022.56%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0300.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .202 → .164; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .238 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Cubs Blue · 143 PAwOBA .388 → .273 (−115)K% 8.4% → 10.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.39%÷1.001×1.220——10.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.58%÷1.006×0.700—×0.99513.55%
HBP% /PA1.40%—×0.700—×0.9950.97%
Singles /BIP31.68%÷1.016×0.680×1.011×0.99521.32%
Doubles /BIP3.96%÷0.928×0.600×1.011×0.9952.57%
Triples /BIP0.99%÷1.038×0.600×1.011×0.9950.58%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 86, 3B 108, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .388 → .273; ISO .053 → .035; BABIP .366 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 130 PAwOBA .297 → .193 (−103)K% 23.8% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.85%÷0.964×1.220——30.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.23%÷1.047×0.700—×1.0086.22%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.700—×1.0080.54%
Singles /BIP27.06%÷1.018×0.680×1.014×1.00818.46%
Doubles /BIP7.06%÷0.960×0.600×1.014×1.0084.51%
Triples /BIP1.18%÷1.000×0.600×1.014×1.0080.72%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.025×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .297 → .193; ISO .069 → .042; BABIP .349 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).