Ezequiel Pena — OGILVIE

Ezequiel PenaSS DSL Cubs Blue

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.4 · 2033

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .291 / .324

PA119

HR2

K%27

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

46↗51

PWR

28↗33

SPD

62↗67

EYE

52↗57

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.4peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.2	$31M	+$30M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.4	$33M	+$32M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.4	$34M	+$33M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.3	$34M	+$28M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+3.1	$33M	+$23M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.8	$31M	+$17M
Totals		$34M		$197M	+$163M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	130	121	21	4	1	0	7	48	1	13	2	.174	.225	.223	.448	.050	.284	37	5	.198	10	-13	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	143	124	32	4	1	0	17	17	2	17	2	.258	.357	.306	.663	.048	.299	12	12	.297	85	-2	+3	+0	+2	+4	0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	CHC	119	107	23	4	1	2	10	32	1	3	1	.215	.288	.327	.615	.112	.290	27	8	.281	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	CHC	206	183	42	8	1	4	19	52	2	6	1	.230	.309	.350	.659	.120	.297	25	9	.303	90	-2	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.7
2028	21	MLB 28%	CHC	337	297	70	12	2	8	33	83	4	10	2	.236	.320	.370	.691	.135	.298	25	10	.312	97	-1	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.4
2029	22	MLB 48%	CHC	432	380	91	16	3	11	44	104	5	13	3	.239	.326	.384	.711	.145	.298	24	10	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+5	+12	2.0
2030	23	MLB 65%	CHC	496	436	106	19	3	14	51	116	6	15	3	.243	.331	.397	.727	.154	.298	23	10	.325	107	+4	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.6
2031	24	MLB 82%	CHC	537	468	114	20	3	15	57	124	7	16	3	.244	.335	.395	.730	.152	.299	23	11	.329	110	+6	+2	+0	+6	+15	3.0
2032	25	MLB	CHC	561	488	119	21	3	16	61	129	7	16	3	.244	.336	.398	.734	.154	.299	23	11	.332	112	+8	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.2
2033	26	MLB	CHC	574	499	124	22	4	17	63	132	7	17	3	.248	.341	.411	.752	.162	.300	23	11	.334	114	+9	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.4
2034	27	MLB	CHC	578	502	125	22	4	17	64	133	7	17	3	.249	.342	.410	.752	.161	.300	23	11	.334	114	+9	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.4
2035	28	MLB	CHC	575	498	122	21	3	17	65	134	7	16	3	.245	.340	.402	.742	.157	.300	23	11	.333	113	+8	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.3
2036	29	MLB	CHC	567	491	119	21	3	16	64	134	7	15	2	.242	.338	.395	.733	.153	.299	24	11	.331	111	+7	+2	-1	+6	+16	3.1
2037	30	MLB	CHC	557	482	116	20	3	16	63	133	7	15	2	.241	.337	.394	.731	.154	.298	24	11	.328	109	+6	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.8
2038	31	MLB	CHC	543	471	112	19	3	15	61	132	6	13	1	.238	.333	.386	.719	.149	.296	24	11	.324	106	+4	+2	-3	+6	+15	2.5
2039	32	MLB	CHC	525	455	107	18	3	14	59	130	6	13	0	.235	.331	.380	.711	.145	.295	25	11	.319	103	+2	+3	-4	+6	+15	2.2
2040	33	MLB	CHC	496	431	99	17	3	12	56	127	6	12	0	.230	.327	.367	.693	.137	.293	26	11	.314	98	-1	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.7
2041	34	MLB	CHC	449	391	88	15	2	11	50	118	5	11	0	.225	.321	.358	.679	.133	.292	26	11	.307	93	-3	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.2
2042	35	MLB	CHC	395	344	75	12	2	9	44	108	4	10	0	.218	.314	.343	.657	.125	.290	27	11	.300	88	-6	+2	-6	+4	+11	0.6
2043	36	MLB	CHC	335	291	62	10	2	7	37	95	4	9	0	.213	.310	.333	.644	.120	.287	28	11	.291	81	-7	+2	-6	+4	+9	0.1
2044	37	MLB	CHC	270	236	48	8	1	5	29	79	3	7	0	.203	.299	.309	.608	.106	.283	29	11	.281	74	-8	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	CHC	202	177	34	5	1	3	21	61	2	5	0	.192	.285	.282	.567	.090	.279	30	10	.271	66	-8	+1	-8	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9027	7872	1849	318	52	229	975	2221	106	269	34	.235	.327	.376	.703	.141	.296	25	11	.317	101	+8	+40	-46	+97	+256	36.2
/ 162G	—			650	567	133	23	4	16	70	160	8	19	2	.235	.327	.374	.701	.139	.297	25	11	.317	101	+1	+3	-3	+7	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	130	116	30	6	1	0	12	31	1	13	2	.259	.333	.328	.661	.069	.349	24	9	.302	89	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	143	113	37	4	1	0	28	12	2	17	2	.327	.469	.381	.849	.053	.366	8	20	.397	162	+10	+3	—	—	+4	1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Pena (OGILVIE)	19	46→51	28→33	62→67	57	.217/.291/.324	.108	.290	2	3	27%	8%	73	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	47→56	41→45	56→70	47	.226/.290/.328	.102	.300	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.218/.270/.316	.098	.284	7	16	24%	6%	60	-1.0	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	49→58	37→45	50	48	.231/.293/.308	.076	.300	4	13	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.243/.308/.337	.094	.291	8	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	.224/.276/.310	.086	.292	6	13	24%	6%	62	-0.9	.246/.290/.340	.094	.299	7	12	19%	6%	75	-0.0	.269/.318/.358	.090	.312	5	8	15%	6%	90	+0.9
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→52	43→50	52→55	54	.219/.321/.336	.117	.295	9	17	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.230/.314/.374	.144	.298	13	20	25%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.316/.381	.152	.296	15	21	26%	10%	95	+0.9
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A	20	49→59	42→50	54→50	37	.235/.276/.347	.112	.314	8	11	27%	4%	72	-0.2	.221/.280/.325	.104	.331	8	12	33%	7%	68	-0.5	.262/.344/.424	.163	.366	16	16	30%	11%	115	+2.2
●Justin Crawford 2023 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	41	.213/.274/.288	.076	.314	5	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	.272/.317/.374	.102	.360	6	33	25%	6%	95	+1.4	.294/.339/.402	.108	.380	7	41	23%	6%	107	+1.7
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	52→58	40→50	56→45	48	.249/.301/.351	.102	.285	6	11	15%	6%	83	+0.6	.253/.290/.359	.106	.289	9	7	16%	5%	80	+0.4	.289/.349/.442	.153	.326	15	7	16%	8%	121	+2.1
●Trent Grisham 2016 · A	19	49→48	38→60	55	48	.229/.299/.313	.084	.311	4	18	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.199/.282/.286	.087	.299	6	16	32%	10%	59	-1.1	.238/.325/.431	.194	.282	22	14	23%	10%	110	+1.9
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→60	48	.216/.286/.284	.068	.296	4	14	27%	9%	59	-1.1	.213/.287/.280	.067	.286	4	16	24%	9%	59	-1.1	.273/.346/.393	.120	.333	12	35	20%	10%	107	+1.7
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→50	41→45	52→50	47	.214/.293/.319	.105	.323	8	13	34%	10%	72	-0.2	.209/.310/.338	.129	.295	15	12	31%	12%	85	+0.7	.208/.302/.326	.118	.280	14	14	29%	11%	76	+0.1
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→50	57→50	40	.222/.271/.344	.122	.287	10	14	26%	5%	69	-0.4	.224/.289/.328	.104	.294	9	12	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.212/.286/.306	.093	.292	9	9	28%	7%	63	-0.5
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→45	54→55	48	.224/.278/.312	.088	.269	4	13	18%	6%	63	-0.9	.222/.274/.287	.065	.277	3	16	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
●Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	47	.209/.293/.283	.073	.289	3	20	26%	8%	63	-0.8	.203/.293/.281	.078	.289	4	14	28%	10%	63	-0.9	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→55	40→50	54→45	44	.221/.273/.322	.101	.288	6	7	25%	6%	63	-0.8	.241/.281/.377	.136	.286	15	6	21%	5%	82	+0.5	.248/.300/.378	.130	.288	14	2	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A	20	46→56	39→50	53→50	46	.218/.277/.306	.088	.285	6	12	25%	7%	61	-1.0	.245/.301/.388	.143	.311	15	11	25%	7%	93	+1.3	.260/.330/.404	.144	.327	14	8	23%	9%	106	+1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)