Frankeli Mesta

SS DSL Pirates Black

Age 20 S/R 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Pirates G…	196	.250/.387/.321	0	5	36	—	.163/.272/.205
2026	19	ROKDSL Pirates B…	112	.287/.441/.471	4	12	66	—	.181/.306/.277
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBPIT	222	.203/.279/.278	2	4	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPIT	63	.208/.284/.293	1	1	65	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBPIT	151	.212/.288/.305	2	2	70	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%86

wRC+85

wOBA84

K%81

ISO79

Chase%72

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsKelvin Alarcon (age 20) · Jose Perez (age 20) · Riley Unroe (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .276 / .276

PA95

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	124	34	1	3	2	15	33	0	3	0	274	353	379	732	105	360	24	11	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	156	39	5	3	0	33	38	2	5	4	250	387	321	708	71	322	19	17	326	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	87	25	4	0	4	24	17	0	12	1	287	441	471	913	184	318	15	21	407	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	128	23	1	2	1	11	40	0	3	0	180	245	242	487	62	242	29	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	166	27	3	2	0	23	48	2	5	4	163	272	205	477	42	213	24	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	94	17	3	0	2	17	21	0	12	1	181	306	277	583	96	208	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	128	23	1	2	1	11	40	0	3	0	180	245	242	487	62	253	29	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	124	34	1	3	2	15	33	0	3	0	274	353	379	732	105	360	24	11	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	166	27	3	2	0	23	48	2	5	4	163	272	205	477	42	223	24	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	156	39	5	3	0	33	38	2	5	4	250	387	321	708	71	322	19	17	326	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	94	17	3	0	2	17	21	0	12	1	181	306	277	583	96	211	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	87	25	4	0	4	24	17	0	12	1	287	441	471	913	184	318	15	21	407	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	127	23	1	2	1	11	40	0	3	0	181	245	244	489	63	242	29	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	169	27	3	2	0	23	48	2	5	4	160	272	201	473	41	213	24	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	94	17	3	0	2	17	21	0	12	1	181	306	277	583	96	208	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	139	127	23	1	2	1	11	40	0	3	0	181	245	244	489	63	242	29	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	196	169	27	3	2	0	23	48	2	5	4	160	272	201	473	41	213	24	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	112	94	17	3	0	2	17	21	0	12	1	181	306	277	583	96	208	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	222	199	41	6	2	2	19	58	2	4	1	203	279	278	557	75	274	26	9	256	60	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	182	163	33	5	1	2	16	47	1	3	1	208	284	294	578	86	276	26	9	265	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	312	279	59	9	2	4	27	79	3	5	1	213	288	308	596	95	278	25	9	272	70	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	401	360	77	12	3	6	35	101	3	7	2	216	292	318	610	102	280	25	9	277	74	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	461	414	91	14	4	8	40	115	4	8	2	219	294	326	621	108	281	25	9	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	496	446	98	15	4	9	43	123	4	8	2	221	296	332	629	112	282	25	9	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	515	461	102	16	4	9	45	128	4	8	2	221	296	333	629	112	282	25	9	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	523	468	103	16	4	9	46	131	4	8	2	220	295	331	626	111	281	25	9	283	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	524	469	103	16	4	9	46	132	4	7	2	218	293	326	619	108	280	25	9	281	76	-15	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	517	463	100	15	4	9	45	132	4	6	3	216	291	320	611	105	279	26	9	277	74	-16	+0	-1	+6	+11	-0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	509	456	98	15	4	8	44	131	4	6	3	213	287	313	600	100	278	26	9	273	71	-18	+0	-2	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	63	58	13	2	1	1	5	16	0	1	0	208	284	293	576	84	277	25	8	264	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	151	136	29	5	1	2	13	38	1	2	1	212	288	305	593	93	278	25	9	271	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	217	194	42	7	2	3	19	55	2	4	1	215	291	315	606	100	280	25	9	276	74	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	256	230	50	8	2	4	22	64	2	4	1	218	294	323	617	105	282	25	9	280	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	278	250	55	9	2	5	24	69	2	4	1	220	295	328	624	109	282	25	9	283	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	290	261	57	9	2	5	25	72	2	5	1	220	295	329	625	109	282	25	9	283	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	289	260	57	9	2	5	25	72	2	4	1	219	295	327	621	108	282	25	9	282	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	287	258	56	9	2	5	25	72	2	4	1	217	293	322	615	105	281	25	9	279	76	-8	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	276	248	53	9	2	4	24	70	2	3	1	215	290	317	607	102	280	25	9	276	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	268	241	51	8	2	4	23	69	2	3	2	212	287	310	596	97	278	26	9	272	71	-9	-0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2375	2136	463	75	18	38	205	597	17	34	10	217	291	322	613	105	281	25	9	278	72	-70	+3	-2	+25	+51	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	127	21	5	10	56	163	5	9	3	217	291	321	612	104	283	25	9	278	72	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4982	4453	949	143	39	77	446	1253	38	88	25	213	290	315	605	102	277	25	9	274	72	-136	+6	-4	+49	+98	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	124	19	5	10	58	163	5	11	3	213	290	315	605	102	277	25	9	274	72	-20	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.7	2,470	40	37	218	290	323	+26	+18	2.4	2.3
/162	664	11	10	+7.1	+4.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frankeli Mesta (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	45	60	202/276/276	74	274	1	2	26%	9%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	54	197/295/255	58	274	3	8	26%	11%	63	-1.4	211/273/274	63	328	3	8	33%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/238	35	318	0	8	34%	8%	43	-0.6
✕Jose Perez 2024 · A	20	39	38→40	45	60	185/303/270	86	239	4	7	22%	13%	70	-0.9	192/299/267	75	259	4	6	24%	12%	67	-1.1	184/302/248	64	242	3	5	22%	13%	61	-0.6
✕Riley Unroe 2016 · A	20	44→47	36→45	44→55	44	209/267/272	63	286	4	8	27%	7%	54	-2.0	197/265/266	69	286	5	12	30%	8%	53	-2.1	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Fidel Mejia 2019 · A	20	47	35→30	43→40	43	221/269/282	62	291	2	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	209/257/284	75	301	5	4	30%	6%	53	-2.1	187/230/250	63	273	5	0	32%	5%	32	-1.5
✕Deivi Estrada 2021 · A	20	43	35→30	45→50	53	199/285/257	57	253	2	9	20%	10%	59	-1.7	186/247/253	67	319	3	8	39%	7%	42	-2.9	144/185/202	58	313	3	4	52%	4%	4	-1.2
✕Maick Collado 2023 · A	20	43	38→40	46→45	52	204/289/283	78	260	5	5	22%	10%	66	-1.1	216/290/287	71	272	5	6	20%	9%	67	-1.1	210/282/273	63	258	5	5	19%	9%	61	-0.8
✕Ricardo Gonzalez 2024 · A	20	41→43	36→30	43→50	48	193/266/259	66	259	4	9	25%	8%	52	-2.2	193/261/242	49	272	2	15	27%	8%	45	-2.7	190/258/229	39	268	1	19	27%	8%	39	-1.7
✕Dayan Frias 2022 · A	20	44→43	39→40	48→55	48	210/286/301	91	288	5	7	27%	9%	69	-0.9	209/284/301	92	305	7	6	31%	9%	68	-1.0	201/280/292	91	289	8	6	31%	9%	62	-1.1
✕Walter Ibarra 2008 · A	20	42→52	35→40	46→50	45	200/263/259	60	269	3	8	26%	7%	50	-2.3	221/259/291	70	280	3	11	21%	4%	55	-2.0	257/290/353	96	324	5	12	21%	3%	79	-0.1
✕Yonathan Mendoza 2015 · A	21	46	35→30	46→45	50	216/280/274	58	267	2	8	19%	8%	59	-1.6	244/296/307	63	293	3	6	17%	7%	72	-0.7	255/305/308	53	303	3	5	16%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A	21	41	33→30	46→55	54	187/287/229	41	257	1	14	25%	11%	54	-2.0	199/263/256	57	258	2	9	22%	7%	49	-2.4	181/239/208	28	219	0	9	16%	7%	26	-1.0
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	40	37→40	45→40	48	193/268/266	72	257	5	8	25%	8%	54	-2.0	202/294/259	57	308	2	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	211/289/291	80	310	4	2	30%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Pedro Ruiz 2012 · A	20	43	34→30	48→50	55	198/296/248	50	274	1	11	25%	11%	61	-1.5	207/277/269	62	318	2	10	32%	8%	57	-1.8	186/263/241	55	292	3	8	34%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Herard Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	45→43	37→40	47→50	48	213/288/283	70	293	6	10	27%	9%	65	-1.2	199/278/288	89	323	6	10	36%	9%	63	-1.4	188/268/272	84	294	6	10	35%	9%	54	-1.4
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	37	34→30	48→55	50	173/257/224	51	239	2	16	26%	10%	41	-3.0	185/260/242	57	252	2	15	25%	9%	45	-2.7	181/264/235	54	253	2	17	26%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	42	37→30	48→60	49	198/268/270	72	254	4	13	22%	8%	55	-2.0	197/293/251	54	252	2	24	20%	11%	61	-1.5	183/298/219	36	231	1	34	18%	13%	54	-0.8
✕Sergio Alcántara 2016 · A	20	40→50	34→45	46→50	47	187/259/239	51	264	2	6	28%	8%	44	-2.8	231/279/291	60	299	2	8	22%	6%	62	-1.4	215/291/325	109	290	12	4	28%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Alain Camou 2024 · A	20	46	35→30	44→50	50	215/284/281	66	275	2	7	21%	8%	63	-1.4	198/249/265	67	258	3	5	23%	6%	45	-2.7	142/168/182	41	171	0	0	16%	3%	-6	-1.2
✕Jose Herrera 2017 · A	20	44	40	43→40	45	215/277/303	88	278	8	4	25%	7%	65	-1.2	202/258/285	83	259	5	3	23%	7%	54	-2.0	214/297/304	90	284	9	3	26%	10%	72	-0.4

Frankeli Mesta

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps