Ricardo GonzalezSS Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 22 S/R 5'11" / 186 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION101 act + 219 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .267 / .265
PA219
HR1
SB8
K%27
BB%7
BABIP284
ISO60
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -20.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-20BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.30.40.40.3+$8M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 190174 33431 12482 115 190250264514 75252 256 233 37 — — — — — —
202218 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 190168 43543 18322 115 256335387722 131296 179 322 105 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Rays — 186164 30501 20502 48 183280232511 49257 2711 238 40 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Rays — 186155 38701 29352 48 245371310681 65311 1916 322 105 — — — — — —
202420 ACharleston RiverDogs — 364332 50801 231104 183 151214184398 33219 306 186 1 — — — — — —
202420 ACharleston RiverDogs — 364316 641101 39754 183 203298247545 44259 2111 257 55 — — — — — —
202521 ACharleston RiverDogs — 431385 771210 351144 237 200274236510 36281 268 234 37 — — — — — —
202521 ACharleston RiverDogs — 431366 821020 54814 237 224330262592 38285 1913 278 71 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+TB — 10196 23411 5330 94 240277333611 94355 335 250 50 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
YTD22 A+TB — 10194 27511 7240 94 287337394730 106377 247 328 109 +1 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.5
ROS22 A+TB 0% 219200 41711 16591 83 205267265532 60279 277 240 42 -14 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.6
ROS22 MLBTB 0% 11 0000 000 00 282 00 237 40 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL22 A+TB — 10297 23411 5330 94 237275330604 93349 325 250 50 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
TOT22 A+TB — 320296 641122 21921 177 216270287558 71305 297 243 44 -20 +1 +0 +3 +9 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBTB 35% 486443 931625 361264 145 210275289564 79278 267 255 53 -26 +1 +0 +5 +14 -0.6
202824 MLBTB 46% 527478 1031827 401344 155 215282305587 90280 258 267 63 -22 +1 +0 +6 +15 -0.1
202925 MLBTB 52% 550499 1091929 421384 155 218284319603 100281 258 274 68 -20 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.3
203026 MLBTB 54% 562509 11219210 441414 145 220287324611 104282 258 277 70 -19 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.4
203127 MLBTB 54% 565510 11219210 451425 145 220289324613 104282 258 278 71 -19 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.4
203228 MLBTB 54% 563509 11219210 451424 135 220289324613 104281 258 277 70 -19 +1 -1 +6 +16 0.3
202723 MLBTB 35% 168153 33512 12441 52 216277301578 85282 267 251 51 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.3
202824 MLBTB 46% 244222 48813 18622 72 216281302583 86284 257 263 59 -11 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.1
202925 MLBTB 52% 284258 57915 22712 83 221287322609 101285 258 269 64 -11 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.0
203026 MLBTB 54% 305276 611015 24762 83 221288319607 98285 258 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.1
203127 MLBTB 54% 307278 611015 24772 83 219286317603 97285 258 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.1
203228 MLBTB 54% 306277 611015 24772 73 220287318605 97285 258 272 66 -12 +0 -0 +3 +9 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 16151465 32152625 12440711 4316 219285314599 95284 258 268 63 -67 +2 -0 +17 +46 -0.2
/ 162G— — 650590 12921210 501644 176 219284312596 93283 258 268 63 -27 +1 -0 +7 +18 -0.1
Career— — 46434203 8721461755 358120438 14956 207276290565 82275 268 257 55 -237 +7 -1 +50 +132 -5.0
/ 162G— — 650588 1222028 501695 218 207275289564 82275 268 257 55 -33 +1 -0 +7 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 190168 43543 18322 115 256335387722 131296 179 322 105 +1 +0 — — +5 0.7
202319 ROKFCL Rays — 186155 38701 29352 48 245371310681 65311 1916 322 105 +1 -2 — — +5 0.4
202420 ACharleston RiverDogs — 364316 641101 39754 183 203298247545 44259 2111 257 55 -19 +2 — — +10 -0.6
202521 ACharleston RiverDogs — 431366 821020 54814 237 224330262592 38285 1913 278 71 -14 +2 — — +12 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,6142642219283318+17+90.40.6
/1626641117+7.1+3.70.2pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ricardo Gonzalez (OGILVIE) 22 35 20 55 50 216/270/287 71305 217 29% 7% 44 -0.7 ————————— —————————
✕Terry Serrano
2009 · A 		22 41 36→30 51→55 45 194/254/257 63262 315 26% 7% 39 -2.5 209/290/282 73320 315 32% 10% 61 -1.0 204/311/2686432722133%13%64-0.4
✕Frainyer Chavez
2021 · A 		22 43→47 36→40 50 45 203/261/265 62273 315 26% 7% 43 -2.2 204/274/269 65289 411 28% 8% 51 -1.7 228/293/32698302111726%8%71-0.2
✕Candido Pimentel
2012 · A 		22 45 34→30 49→55 46 207/272/257 49292 215 28% 8% 46 -2.0 235/284/291 56331 214 27% 6% 59 -1.1 256/301/3054935711827%6%65-0.3
✕Alfredo Angarita
2018 · A 		21 41 35→30 51→55 49 194/273/255 61268 216 27% 9% 47 -1.9 202/266/258 56293 210 29% 7% 44 -2.1 195/259/238432831929%7%33-1.3
✕Kier Meredith
2022 · A 		22 42 36→30 51→60 45 198/268/265 67279 412 29% 8% 47 -1.9 206/304/278 72297 426 29% 9% 68 -0.5 217/333/2685129933525%10%75-0.0
✕Willis Figueroa
2017 · A 		22 40 33→30 49→50 52 185/282/230 46247 115 23% 10% 46 -2.0 227/312/287 60301 212 23% 9% 72 -0.2 284/379/3223837001620%11%106+0.6
✕Jeremy Arocho
2021 · A 		22 48→46 36→30 48→60 47 224/285/296 72288 310 22% 7% 62 -0.9 224/322/278 54314 226 25% 12% 75 -0.0 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2
✕Roberto Caro
2016 · A 		22 44→38 38→40 61→60 48 208/284/299 91280 320 25% 8% 63 -0.9 207/276/283 76320 218 33% 8% 55 -1.4 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
✕Elvis Perez
2018 · A 		22 45 36→30 46→45 43 210/267/277 67288 37 27% 7% 50 -1.8 203/247/292 89290 76 31% 5% 45 -2.1 181/215/272912488230%4%23-1.1
✕Jose Montecino
2011 · A 		21 43 33→30 51→55 50 199/285/243 44271 120 25% 9% 50 -1.7 204/291/268 64279 316 25% 10% 59 -1.1 166/290/2013522002721%14%42-0.4
✕Joe Munoz
2008 · A 		22 43 36→30 51→55 44 202/275/270 69257 216 21% 6% 53 -1.5 204/255/269 65274 39 25% 4% 42 -2.3 197/231/226292650925%2%17-1.1
✕Luis Mendez
2015 · A 		22 44 35→30 50 43 207/274/263 57283 214 26% 6% 50 -1.8 205/264/266 61277 312 25% 6% 46 -2.0 202/257/2595827041026%6%37-1.3
✕Reidy Mercado
2023 · A 		22 40 35→30 54→60 38 186/241/238 52298 217 36% 6% 28 -3.2 187/236/245 58305 323 37% 6% 27 -3.3 164/209/2074327113638%5%3-1.2
✕Rafael Ynoa
2010 · A 		22 40→50 35→40 47→55 51 185/261/243 58239 29 22% 9% 39 -2.5 234/285/310 76281 517 18% 7% 66 -0.6 245/298/3167129251917%7%69-0.3
✕Juan Mosquera
2009 · A 		21 43 33→30 46→55 52 197/290/240 43280 114 27% 10% 51 -1.7 202/267/260 58263 39 22% 8% 45 -2.1 183/242/211282220916%7%19-1.0
✕Ismael Dionicio
2012 · A 		21 45 34→30 49→55 41 211/261/260 49295 118 28% 6% 42 -2.3 231/283/283 52309 115 24% 6% 57 -1.2 241/290/2793732001523%6%56-0.5
✕Chris Garia
2014 · A 		21 40→50 35→40 52→60 40 192/243/253 60262 317 27% 5% 33 -2.9 227/267/329 102307 728 27% 4% 63 -0.9 231/270/34311230883227%4%63-0.5
✕Yeixon Ruiz
2013 · A 		22 44 34→40 51→55 45 205/259/255 50252 213 19% 6% 40 -2.4 221/260/286 65291 313 24% 5% 48 -1.9 220/260/2856529131524%4%44-1.0
✕David Gonzalez
2016 · A 		22 44→42 35→30 47→45 44 209/255/268 59260 38 20% 5% 42 -2.3 196/248/260 64238 310 18% 6% 37 -2.7 182/239/2385621731017%6%25-2.0
✕Emmanuel Morel
2017 · A 		20 40 34→30 50→55 44 183/259/238 55287 215 34% 9% 37 -2.7 196/261/262 66318 213 36% 7% 43 -2.2 183/249/2324929702135%6%27-0.8