Ricardo Gonzalez

SS Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 23 S/R 5'11" / 186 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ATB364.203/.298/.24711822—.165/.237/.201
202521ATB431.224/.330/.26202346—.202/.281/.238
202622A+/ATB159.280/.344/.35711257—.237/.280/.304
2027PROJMLE23MLBTB1.195/.261/.2410043-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBTB46.201/.269/.2640151-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBTB95.206/.274/.2811258-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%76
Whiff%57
K%54
Chase%37
Speed37
wOBA32
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsRubendy Jaquez (age 23) · Reidy Mercado (age 23) · Viandel Pena (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .261 / .241
PA1
HR0
K%27
BB%8
BABIP270
ISO35
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.2-0.2272830
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202218 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 190168 43543 18322 115 256335387722 131296 179 322 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Rays — 186155 38701 29352 48 245371310681 65311 1916 322 46 — — — — — —
202420 ACharleston RiverDogs — 364316 641101 39754 183 203298247545 44259 2111 257 22 — — — — — —
202521 ACharleston RiverDogs — 431366 821020 54814 237 224330262592 38285 1913 278 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 117105 29401 10270 62 276339343682 67364 239 307 53 — — — — — —
202622 ACharleston RiverDogs — 4238 11210 480 62 289357395752 105367 1910 338 69 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202218 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 190173 29331 13402 115 168234237471 69202 217 210 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 186165 31501 19502 48 188280236516 48260 2710 236 46 — — — — — —
202420 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 364328 54901 271034 183 165237201438 37229 287 201 22 — — — — — —
202521 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 431382 771020 381094 237 202281238519 37271 259 236 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 117109 25301 6350 62 229270284554 55331 305 246 53 — — — — — —
202622 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 4239 10210 3110 62 256310359668 103331 267 270 69 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 190173 29331 13402 115 168234237471 69209 217 210 28 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay — 190168 43543 18322 115 256335387722 131296 179 322 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 186165 31501 19502 48 188280236516 48263 2710 236 46 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWFCL Rays — 186155 38701 29352 48 245371310681 65311 1916 322 46 — — — — — —
202420 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 364328 54901 271034 183 165237201438 37233 287 201 22 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 364316 641101 39754 183 203298247545 44259 2111 257 22 — — — — — —
202521 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 431382 771020 381094 237 202281238519 37279 259 236 46 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 431366 821020 54814 237 224330262592 38285 1913 278 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 159148 35511 9460 124 236280304584 68337 296 252 57 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAW2 teams — 159143 40611 14350 124 280344357701 77364 229 315 57 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 190173 29331 13402 115 168234237471 69202 217 210 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 186163 31501 19502 48 190280239519 49260 2710 236 46 — — — — — —
202420 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 364330 54901 271034 183 164237200437 36229 287 201 22 — — — — — —
202521 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 431386 771020 381094 237 199281236516 36271 259 236 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 159149 35511 9460 124 235280302582 67331 296 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 364330 54901 271034 183 164237200437 36229 287 201 22 — — — — — —
202521 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 431386 771020 381094 237 199281236516 36271 259 236 46 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 159149 35511 9460 124 235280302582 67331 296 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLETB 0% 366333 631011 28982 113 192259239498 46266 278 232 43 -25 +1 +0 +4 +8 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXTB 0% 11 0000 000 00 195261241502 46270 00 234 43 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLETB 30% 151137 27411 12401 41 199266262528 63268 268 244 51 -9 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.4
202925 MLB MLETB 44% 215195 39612 17561 62 204272280552 77270 268 253 58 -11 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
203026 MLB MLETB 51% 273247 51814 22712 72 207276293568 86271 268 260 62 -12 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.3
202824 MLB CTXTB 30% 4642 8100 4120 10 201269264532 62272 269 246 51 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202925 MLB CTXTB 44% 9587 18301 7251 21 206274281555 75274 267 255 58 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
203026 MLB CTXTB 51% 139126 27412 11361 31 209278293571 84275 268 261 62 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 280255 53813 22732 62 208276282558 75278 268 256 44 -14 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 1231927 511695 145 208276282558 74278 268 256 44 -32 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 20951889 36554911 16754917 8933 193265249514 56264 268 234 44 -41 +2 +0 +8 +17 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 1131733 521705 2810 193264247512 55264 268 234 44 -34 +2 +0 +7 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 117 PAwOBA .299 → .246 (−53)K% 23.1% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.08%÷1.000×1.310——30.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.55%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0125.19%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷1.000×0.870×1.050×1.01228.44%
Doubles /BIP5.13%÷1.000×0.780×1.050×1.0124.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.050×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP1.28%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0121.14%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .299 → .246; ISO .067 → .055; BABIP .364 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 42 PAwOBA .330 → .270 (−60)K% 19.0% → 25.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.05%÷1.000×1.360——25.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.52%÷1.000×0.690——6.57%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.000×0.920——24.53%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.830——5.53%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷1.000×0.910——3.03%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .330 → .270; ISO .105 → .087; BABIP .367 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 431 PAwOBA .274 → .236 (−38)K% 18.8% → 25.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.79%÷1.006×1.360——25.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.53%÷0.985×0.690—×1.0158.91%
HBP% /PA0.93%—×0.780—×1.0150.73%
Singles /BIP24.56%÷1.013×0.920×1.026×1.01523.24%
Doubles /BIP3.51%÷0.850×0.830×1.026×1.0153.57%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷1.121×0.910×1.026×1.0150.59%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.159×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .274 → .236; ISO .038 → .036; BABIP .285 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ACharleston RiverDogs · 364 PAwOBA .253 → .201 (−52)K% 20.6% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.60%÷0.985×1.360——28.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.71%÷1.047×0.690—×1.0307.27%
HBP% /PA1.10%—×0.780—×1.0300.88%
Singles /BIP21.58%÷1.071×0.920×1.007×1.03019.22%
Doubles /BIP4.56%÷1.017×0.830×1.007×1.0303.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.099×0.910×1.007×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.41%÷0.824×0.800—×1.0300.41%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 103, 3B 120, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .253 → .201; ISO .044 → .037; BABIP .259 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Rays · 186 PAwOBA .315 → .236 (−79)K% 18.8% → 27.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.82%÷0.999×1.440——27.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.59%÷0.948×0.620—×1.00810.27%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.720—×1.0080.78%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.996×0.820×1.039×1.00821.55%
Doubles /BIP5.83%÷1.020×0.720×1.039×1.0084.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×1.039×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.83%÷0.911×0.780—×1.0080.72%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .315 → .236; ISO .065 → .048; BABIP .311 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 190 PAwOBA .317 → .210 (−108)K% 16.8% → 21.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.84%÷0.976×1.220——21.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.47%÷0.985×0.700—×1.0086.78%
HBP% /PA1.05%—×0.700—×1.0080.74%
Singles /BIP22.79%÷0.981×0.680×1.011×1.00816.10%
Doubles /BIP3.68%÷0.973×0.600×1.011×1.0082.31%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷0.919×0.600×1.011×1.0081.96%
Home runs /BIP2.21%÷1.273×0.470—×1.0080.82%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 96, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .317 → .210; ISO .131 → .070; BABIP .296 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).