Jesus Lizardo

C DSL Pirates Black

Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Pirates G…	136	.222/.364/.259	0	2	28	—	.157/.265/.183
2026	19	ROKDSL Pirates B…	93	.333/.495/.522	1	3	82	—	.208/.344/.325
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBPIT	203	.219/.298/.299	2	3	71	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPIT	58	.223/.302/.312	1	1	76	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBPIT	146	.226/.305/.322	2	3	80	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA96

Chase%96

wRC+95

BB%94

ISO80

Z-Con%78

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDiego Velasquez (age 20) · Josh Johnson (age 21) · Nacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .295 / .297

PA82

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 62 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT62

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE75

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	101	85	16	3	0	0	14	24	0	1	0	188	303	224	527	35	254	24	14	251	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	136	108	24	2	1	0	24	20	0	2	0	222	364	259	623	37	264	15	18	294	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	93	69	23	6	2	1	23	15	0	3	0	333	495	522	1.016	188	415	16	25	449	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	101	89	11	2	0	0	10	29	0	1	0	124	212	146	358	22	167	29	10	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	136	115	18	1	1	0	17	25	0	2	0	157	265	183	448	26	181	18	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	93	77	16	4	1	1	16	18	0	3	0	208	344	325	669	117	250	19	17	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	101	89	11	2	0	0	10	29	0	1	0	124	212	146	358	22	177	29	10	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	101	85	16	3	0	0	14	24	0	1	0	188	303	224	527	35	254	24	14	251	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	136	115	18	1	1	0	17	25	0	2	0	157	265	183	448	26	194	18	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	136	108	24	2	1	0	24	20	0	2	0	222	364	259	623	37	264	15	18	294	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	93	77	16	4	1	1	16	18	0	3	0	208	344	325	669	117	259	19	17	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	93	69	23	6	2	1	23	15	0	3	0	333	495	522	1.016	188	415	16	25	449	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	101	90	11	2	0	0	10	29	0	1	0	122	212	144	357	22	167	29	10	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	136	118	18	1	1	0	17	25	0	2	0	153	265	178	443	25	181	18	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	93	77	16	4	1	1	16	18	0	3	0	208	344	325	669	117	250	19	17	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	101	90	11	2	0	0	10	29	0	1	0	122	212	144	357	22	167	29	10	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	136	118	18	1	1	0	17	25	0	2	0	153	265	178	443	25	181	18	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	93	77	16	4	1	1	16	18	0	3	0	208	344	325	669	117	250	19	17	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	203	181	40	6	2	2	19	52	1	3	1	219	298	299	597	80	295	26	9	274	71	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	170	151	34	6	1	2	16	43	1	3	1	223	302	313	615	90	296	25	9	281	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	302	269	61	10	2	4	28	76	2	6	2	226	305	324	629	98	297	25	9	286	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	394	351	80	13	3	6	37	98	3	7	3	229	307	333	641	104	298	25	9	291	83	-8	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	456	407	94	16	4	7	43	112	3	9	3	231	309	341	650	110	298	25	9	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	491	438	101	17	4	8	46	120	4	9	3	232	310	346	656	114	298	24	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	512	455	106	18	4	9	48	125	4	10	4	232	310	347	657	114	298	24	9	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	462	107	18	4	9	49	128	4	10	4	231	309	344	653	113	297	25	9	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	462	107	18	4	9	49	129	4	9	4	229	307	339	647	110	296	25	9	293	84	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	515	459	104	17	4	8	48	129	3	8	4	227	305	333	638	106	295	25	9	289	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	507	452	101	17	3	7	47	129	3	8	4	224	301	325	626	101	293	25	9	285	79	-13	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	479	429	93	15	3	6	44	124	3	6	5	220	296	315	611	95	290	26	9	279	75	-14	-1	-3	+9	+10	0.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	448	403	86	14	3	5	40	118	2	5	9	215	290	303	593	88	287	26	9	271	70	-16	-3	-4	+8	+10	-0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	58	53	12	2	0	1	5	15	0	1	0	223	302	312	613	89	297	26	9	280	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	146	130	29	5	1	2	14	37	1	3	1	226	305	322	627	96	298	25	10	286	80	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	214	190	44	8	2	3	20	53	2	4	1	228	307	331	638	102	298	25	9	290	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	253	225	52	9	2	4	24	62	2	5	2	231	309	338	647	107	299	25	9	293	85	-4	+0	+0	+5	+5	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	275	245	56	10	2	4	26	67	2	5	2	232	310	343	652	111	299	24	9	295	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	288	257	59	10	2	5	27	71	2	5	2	232	310	343	653	112	298	25	9	295	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	288	257	59	10	2	5	27	71	2	5	2	231	309	341	650	110	298	25	9	294	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	285	254	58	10	2	4	27	71	2	5	2	229	307	336	643	107	297	25	9	291	84	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	275	245	56	10	2	4	26	69	2	4	2	226	304	330	634	104	296	25	9	288	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	267	238	54	9	2	4	25	68	2	4	2	224	301	322	623	99	294	25	9	283	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	250	224	49	8	2	3	23	65	1	3	3	219	296	313	609	93	291	26	9	278	75	-8	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	252	226	49	8	2	3	23	66	1	3	5	214	290	301	591	87	287	26	9	270	70	-9	-1	-2	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2851	2544	577	99	21	42	267	715	19	47	24	227	305	332	637	105	298	25	9	288	79	-62	-0	-6	+51	+62	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	133	23	5	10	61	163	4	11	5	229	307	338	645	109	300	25	9	288	79	-14	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5726	5093	1136	189	42	82	546	1424	36	97	46	223	303	325	628	102	291	25	10	285	79	-119	-0	-10	+96	+117	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	128	21	5	9	62	162	4	11	5	221	301	322	623	100	290	25	10	285	79	-14	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Al Evans'39-'51 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,322 PA	3.5	2,322	13	14	241*	311*	352*	+42	+0	7.0	7.0
/162	664	4	4	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 7
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,932	44	49	228	302	333	+52	+28	6.8	6.2
/162	664	10	11	+11.9	+6.3	1.5	pk7: 6
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Lizardo (OGILVIE)	20	57→62	29→34	46→51	75	217/295/297	79	295	1	1	26%	9%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Josh Johnson 2007 · A	21	47→50	37→45	49→50	57	219/312/297	78	279	4	11	21%	12%	78	-0.3	223/307/291	68	293	3	10	22%	11%	74	-0.5	247/316/346	99	293	8	16	17%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Alejo Lopez 2016 · A	20	51→61	38→40	46→55	51	239/308/319	80	277	4	9	15%	7%	80	-0.1	229/282/302	73	267	4	10	15%	6%	66	-1.1	269/335/357	88	309	5	12	14%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	51→60	39→50	48→50	52	239/316/323	85	302	6	12	22%	10%	84	+0.2	217/281/304	87	307	5	10	29%	8%	67	-1.1	242/324/370	128	322	13	10	27%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Brayan Rocchio 2021 · A	20	48→56	38→45	48→50	43	229/281/312	83	285	5	13	21%	5%	68	-1.0	235/295/363	128	298	12	14	24%	6%	86	+0.3	241/304/368	127	298	11	16	22%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	48	38→40	50	60	221/321/305	85	261	4	10	16%	12%	83	+0.1	203/276/272	69	258	3	7	20%	9%	58	-1.7	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Sergio Miranda 2008 · A	21	54→56	37→40	46→45	53	255/320/332	77	297	3	7	15%	8%	87	+0.4	254/300/326	72	299	3	8	15%	6%	78	-0.3	261/301/328	67	302	3	9	14%	5%	78	-0.2
●Angel Genao 2024 · A	20	47→57	39→45	48→50	48	224/290/313	89	292	6	9	24%	8%	73	-0.6	262/314/381	119	324	9	12	21%	7%	97	+1.1	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Eliezer Alfonzo 2021 · A	21	49→51	38→40	49→40	50	230/294/310	81	276	4	8	18%	8%	73	-0.6	238/281/337	99	263	10	3	14%	5%	74	-0.5	241/280/321	80	263	6	2	11%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Héctor Sánchez 2010 · A	20	47→50	38→50	47→30	51	221/298/306	85	266	5	4	18%	8%	75	-0.5	242/282/351	109	298	9	2	21%	5%	78	-0.3	251/289/371	119	308	13	0	22%	4%	85	+0.1
✕Harold Garcia 2007 · A	20	42→52	38→45	46→55	49	197/295/278	82	252	4	9	22%	8%	68	-1.0	215/282/308	93	269	6	15	22%	5%	69	-0.9	253/305/360	108	338	8	26	26%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Jose Perez 2024 · A	20	39	38→40	45	60	185/303/270	86	239	4	7	22%	13%	70	-0.9	192/299/267	75	259	4	6	24%	12%	67	-1.1	184/302/248	64	242	3	5	22%	13%	61	-0.6
✕Luis Durango 2006 · A	20	50→60	34→30	46→60	55	229/318/279	50	272	1	16	15%	9%	76	-0.4	259/329/316	57	311	1	16	15%	9%	87	+0.4	289/354/322	33	347	0	30	15%	9%	94	+0.8
✕Pedro Florimón 2007 · A	20	52→53	37→45	45→55	50	238/316/316	78	337	4	10	28%	10%	82	+0.0	194/244/268	74	303	4	13	35%	6%	45	-2.7	217/272/330	113	320	10	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0

Jesus Lizardo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps