Kendy Richard

P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKATL	13	0	21	3.48	3.97	19.0%	9.5%	—	K 13.0% · BB 11.9% · FIP 5.62
2025	20	MIX2 levels	16	10	68	2.38	3.11	22.8%	10.7%	—	K 16.1% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.24
2026	21	AATL	19	7	58	6.40	4.87	16.3%	12.3%	—	K 12.0% · BB 14.5% · FIP 5.90
2027PROJ	22	MLBATL	50	0	52	6.13	6.13	12.1%	16.0%	-0.8
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBATL	30	0	31	5.78	5.67	14.8%	14.3%	-0.4
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBATL	43	0	45	5.50	5.38	16.5%	13.3%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control35Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJustin Ferrell (age 22) · Garrett Nuss (age 22) · Wirkin Estevez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 133

ERA6.13

FIP6.13

K%12.1%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%-3.9%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL3535

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	21	84	16	8	2	0%	1.6	13.0%	11.9%	1.0%	3.8%	3.48	5.62	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	21	84	16	8	2	0%	1.6	13.0%	11.9%	1.0%	3.8%	3.48	5.62	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	13	0	21	84	16	8	2	0%	1.6	19.0%	9.5%	9.5%	2.4%	3.48	3.97	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	10	68	281	64	30	3	62%	4.2	16.1%	13.1%	3.0%	1.5%	2.38	4.24	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	10	68	281	64	30	3	62%	4.2	16.1%	13.1%	3.0%	1.5%	2.38	4.24	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	10	68	281	64	30	3	62%	4.2	22.8%	10.7%	12.1%	1.1%	2.38	3.11	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	19	7	58	252	41	31	7	37%	3.0	12.0%	14.5%	-2.5%	3.6%	6.40	5.90	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	19	7	58	252	41	31	7	37%	3.0	12.0%	14.5%	-2.5%	3.6%	6.40	5.90	—
2026	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	19	7	58	252	41	31	7	37%	3.0	16.3%	12.3%	4.0%	2.8%	6.40	4.87	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	ATL	50	0	52	220	27	35	7	0%	1.0	12.1%	16.0%	-3.9%	3.0%	6.13	6.13	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	60	0	64	268	40	38	8	0%	1.1	14.8%	14.3%	0.5%	3.0%	5.78	5.67	-0.8
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	62	0	65	275	45	37	8	0%	1.0	16.5%	13.3%	3.2%	2.9%	5.50	5.38	-0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	63	0	66	278	48	35	8	0%	1.0	17.4%	12.7%	4.7%	2.9%	5.31	5.22	-0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	ATL	63	0	66	278	50	35	8	0%	1.0	17.8%	12.5%	5.3%	2.9%	5.21	5.17	-0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	ATL	62	0	65	274	49	35	8	0%	1.0	17.8%	12.6%	5.2%	3.0%	5.21	5.20	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	30	0	31	131	19	19	4	0%	1.0	14.8%	14.3%	0.5%	3.0%	5.78	5.67	-0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	43	0	45	190	31	25	6	0%	1.0	16.5%	13.3%	3.2%	2.9%	5.50	5.38	-0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	50	0	53	224	39	28	7	0%	1.1	17.4%	12.7%	4.7%	2.9%	5.31	5.22	-0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	ATL	55	0	58	245	44	31	7	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.5%	5.3%	2.9%	5.21	5.17	-0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	ATL	56	0	59	249	44	31	7	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.6%	5.2%	3.0%	5.21	5.20	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		235	0	246	1040	178	135	31	0%	1.0	17.1%	12.9%	4.2%	2.9%	5.36	4.91	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	145	110	25	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.9%	4.2%	2.9%	5.36	4.91	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		48	17	146	617	86	83	17	35%	3.0	14.0%	13.5%	0.5%	2.7%	4.12	5.11	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	23	200	843	118	114	23	35%	3.0	14.0%	13.5%	0.5%	2.7%	4.12	5.11	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kendy Richard (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.13	12.1%	16.0%	3.0%	—	5.42	16.2%	2.8%	194	-0.71	—	—	—
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	86
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	85
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	85
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	85
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	84
Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	12.1%	14.6%	2.8%	.381	6.49	10.3%	-5.6%	47	+1.05	5.44	110	83
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	83
Johsson Arias R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	8.5%	17.1%	1.6%	.244	3.64	15.9%	4.4%	77	-1.79	3.46	117	81
Zach Willeman R 2019 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	10.8%	15.0%	2.7%	.296	4.98	21.3%	7.8%	108	-0.59	4.05	264	81
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	81
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	81
Alberto Tirado R 2017 · 5.69 FIP	22	SW	5.69	14.7%	18.5%	2.7%	.294	3.82	16.5%	-0.2%	33	-1.87	3.78	247	81
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	80
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	80
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	80
Jol Concepcion R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	22	SW	6.54	12.2%	20.0%	3.5%	.272	4.60	23.9%	3.9%	50	-1.94	4.60	154	79
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	79
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	79
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	79
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	63	16.2%	13.5%	1.14	5.50
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*