Cristofer Lebrón

SS FCL Cardinals
Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1671ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKSTL112.206/.294/.25813-1—.120/.193/.130
202518ROKSTL194.277/.404/.42841242—.161/.269/.238
202619A/ROKSTL237.278/.347/.42562549—.199/.250/.294
2027PROJMLE20MLBSTL347.208/.271/.3025862-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBSTL65.213/.277/.3151168-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBSTL144.217/.282/.32523720.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed61
Z-Con%51
Whiff%44
Chase%31
K%23
BB%17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsGilberto Celestino (age 20) · Jorge Alcantara (age 20) · Tito Polo (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .268 / .299
PA138
HR2
K%28
BB%7
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.20.20.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-1$0.6M———
2037Arb-2$5M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Cardinals — 11297 20201 9293 33 206294258551 52271 268 255 -1 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Cardinals — 194159 441204 29395 126 277404428832 151342 2015 376 42 — — — — — —
202619 APalm Beach Cardinals — 5853 13000 4230 72 245298245544 419 407 251 13 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Cardinals — 179159 461116 18421 184 289363484847 195360 2310 374 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 112100 12100 6363 33 120193130323 10180 325 167 -1 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 194168 27702 20495 126 161269238508 77208 2510 231 42 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 5854 10000 3310 72 185228185413 400 535 188 13 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Cardinals — 179167 34714 11611 184 204257329586 126290 346 258 61 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 112100 12100 6363 33 120193130323 10179 325 167 -1 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Cardinals — 11297 20201 9293 33 206294258551 52271 268 255 -1 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 194168 27702 20495 126 161269238508 77212 2510 231 42 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Cardinals — 194159 441204 29395 126 277404428832 151342 2015 376 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 237221 44714 14921 256 199250294544 95317 396 241 49 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 237212 591116 22651 256 278347425772 146373 279 344 49 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 112102 12100 6363 33 118193127320 10180 325 167 -1 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 194167 27702 20495 126 162269240509 78208 2510 231 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 237220 44714 14921 256 200250295545 95317 396 241 49 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 112102 12100 6363 33 118193127320 10180 325 167 -1 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 194167 27702 20495 126 162269240509 78208 2510 231 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 237220 44714 14921 256 200250295545 95317 396 241 49 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLESTL 0% 347317 661225 24963 82 208271302572 93280 287 260 62 -16 +1 +0 +4 +8 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLESTL 34% 190173 37713 13512 41 213277316593 103281 277 268 68 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202922 MLB MLESTL 48% 297271 591125 21793 72 217281327608 110283 277 274 72 -10 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.0
203023 MLB MLESTL 54% 380345 761427 281004 92 220285335620 115284 267 279 75 -11 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.2
203124 MLB MLESTL 55% 435396 881629 321134 103 222288341629 119285 267 283 77 -12 +1 +0 +5 +9 0.3
203225 MLB MLESTL 56% 462420 9317210 341195 103 223290345635 121286 267 285 79 -11 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.4
203326 MLB MLESTL 56% 476433 9718310 351235 103 223289345634 121285 267 285 79 -12 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.4
203427 MLB MLESTL 55% 481437 9718210 361255 103 222289342631 120285 267 284 78 -13 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.4
203528 MLB MLESTL 55% 477433 951829 361255 93 220287338624 117284 268 281 76 -13 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.2
203629 MLB MLESTL 53% 468426 931729 351244 83 218284332616 114283 267 278 74 -14 +0 -1 +5 +10 -0.0
203730 MLB MLESTL 53% 456416 891628 331224 73 215281325605 109281 277 273 71 -16 +0 -2 +5 +10 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXSTL 34% 6559 12201 5181 10 213277315592 101283 288 268 68 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202922 MLB CTXSTL 48% 144132 28512 10381 31 217282325607 108285 267 274 72 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
203023 MLB CTXSTL 54% 206187 42814 15542 51 220285333618 113286 267 278 75 -6 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.1
203124 MLB CTXSTL 55% 241219 49915 18632 51 222288338626 116287 267 282 77 -6 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.2
203225 MLB CTXSTL 56% 259235 521015 19673 62 224290342632 118288 267 284 79 -6 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203326 MLB CTXSTL 56% 268243 531015 20693 62 223290342631 118287 267 284 79 -7 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203427 MLB CTXSTL 55% 266241 531015 20693 62 222289339628 117287 268 283 78 -7 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203528 MLB CTXSTL 55% 261237 521015 19683 52 221287335622 114286 267 280 76 -7 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.1
203629 MLB CTXSTL 53% 250227 49914 19662 41 219284329614 111285 268 277 74 -8 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.0
203730 MLB CTXSTL 53% 240218 47914 18642 42 216281322603 107283 278 273 71 -8 +0 -1 +3 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22001998 43782940 16357622 4514 219285329614 110285 267 280 71 -63 +3 -2 +24 +48 0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12924312 481706 134 219284331614 112285 267 280 71 -19 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.3
Career— MLE — 48034366 9341722288 352129651 12742 214280324604 110281 277 273 71 -126 +7 -4 +46 +92 1.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 12623312 481757 176 213280323603 110280 277 273 71 -19 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Cardinals · 179 PAwOBA .364 → .258 (−105)K% 23.5% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.46%÷1.000×1.440——33.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.06%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0086.28%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.720—×1.0080.41%
Singles /BIP23.93%÷1.000×0.820×1.024×1.00820.25%
Doubles /BIP9.40%÷1.000×0.720×1.024×1.0086.99%
Triples /BIP0.85%÷1.000×0.720×1.024×1.0080.64%
Home runs /BIP5.13%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0084.03%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .364 → .258; ISO .195 → .136; BABIP .360 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 58 PAwOBA .249 → .188 (−61)K% 39.7% → 53.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA39.66%÷1.000×1.360——53.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0454.97%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP43.33%÷1.000×0.920—×1.04541.66%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0450.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .249 → .188; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .419 → .400. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Cardinals · 194 PAwOBA .369 → .231 (−138)K% 20.1% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.10%÷0.961×1.220——25.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.95%÷1.022×0.700—×1.00810.31%
HBP% /PA2.58%—×0.700—×1.0081.82%
Singles /BIP23.33%÷1.019×0.680×0.950×1.00814.91%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.990×0.600×0.950×1.0085.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×0.950×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.33%÷1.047×0.470—×1.0081.51%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .369 → .231; ISO .151 → .079; BABIP .342 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Cardinals · 112 PAwOBA .255 → .167 (−88)K% 25.9% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.89%÷0.992×1.220——31.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.04%÷1.033×0.700—×1.0225.57%
HBP% /PA2.68%—×0.700—×1.0221.92%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.997×0.680×0.969×1.02216.90%
Doubles /BIP2.94%÷0.976×0.600×0.969×1.0221.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.132×0.600×0.969×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP1.47%÷1.307×0.470—×1.0220.54%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 126, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .255 → .167; ISO .052 → .024; BABIP .271 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).