Druw Jones — OGILVIE

Druw JonesOF Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION316 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .288 / .279

PA210

HR2

SB9

K%36

BB%9

BABIP328

ISO75

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED68

scouting grade only

DEFENSE74

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.5M
2032	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	173	155	27	2	1	2	18	60	0	9	3	174	260	239	499	65	269	35	10	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	173	147	35	3	2	2	26	45	0	9	3	238	353	327	679	88	330	26	15	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	471	401	91	13	7	4	62	174	3	21	6	227	335	324	659	97	383	37	13	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	471	378	104	15	8	6	85	132	3	21	6	275	412	405	817	130	402	28	18	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	545	501	101	23	3	4	33	177	4	28	4	202	257	283	540	82	298	32	6	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	545	478	122	25	5	5	56	127	4	28	4	255	338	360	698	105	332	23	10	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	ARI	—	316	278	59	8	1	3	33	130	3	20	7	212	303	281	583	68	384	41	10	264	60	-14	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
YTD	22	AA	ARI	—	316	264	66	10	1	3	47	101	3	20	7	250	369	330	699	80	391	32	15	325	107	+3	+1	+0	-2	+9	1.1
ROS	22	AA	ARI	2%	210	186	38	6	1	2	20	76	2	9	3	204	288	279	566	75	323	36	9	259	56	-10	+1	+2	-1	+6	-0.4
ROS	22	MLB	ARI	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		325	25	0	255	54	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	ARI	—	320	282	60	8	1	3	33	131	3	20	7	213	302	280	582	67	383	41	10	264	60	-14	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
TOT	22	AA	ARI	—	526	464	97	14	2	5	53	206	5	29	10	209	297	280	576	71	360	39	10	262	59	-25	+2	+2	-3	+15	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ARI	35%	573	509	107	18	3	8	55	197	4	21	6	210	292	305	597	94	322	34	10	274	68	-21	+2	+4	-3	+16	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	ARI	47%	597	530	114	19	3	10	58	199	4	22	6	215	297	319	616	104	321	33	10	283	75	-17	+2	+5	-4	+17	0.3
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	615	545	120	20	3	12	60	200	5	22	6	220	303	334	637	114	319	33	10	288	79	-15	+2	+5	-4	+17	0.6
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	627	556	123	21	3	13	61	202	5	22	6	221	304	340	644	119	319	32	10	291	81	-14	+2	+5	-4	+18	0.7
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	629	557	123	21	3	13	62	203	5	21	6	221	304	339	644	118	318	32	10	291	81	-14	+2	+5	-4	+18	0.7
2032	28	MLB	ARI	54%	626	554	121	20	3	12	62	203	5	20	6	218	303	330	633	112	318	32	10	290	80	-14	+2	+4	-4	+18	0.5
2027	23	MLB	ARI	35%	202	180	38	6	1	3	19	70	1	7	2	211	290	306	596	94	325	35	9	271	65	-8	+1	+2	-1	+6	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	ARI	47%	278	247	53	9	1	5	27	92	2	10	3	215	297	320	617	105	323	33	10	280	72	-9	+1	+2	-2	+8	0.0
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	319	283	63	11	2	6	31	104	2	11	3	223	304	339	643	117	322	33	10	285	76	-9	+1	+2	-2	+9	0.2
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	340	301	67	11	2	7	33	110	3	12	3	223	306	342	648	120	321	32	10	287	78	-9	+1	+3	-2	+10	0.3
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	341	301	67	11	2	7	34	110	3	12	3	223	308	342	650	120	321	32	10	287	78	-9	+1	+3	-2	+10	0.3
2032	28	MLB	ARI	54%	340	300	67	11	2	7	34	110	3	11	3	223	309	343	652	120	320	32	10	286	77	-9	+1	+2	-2	+10	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1824	1616	356	59	10	35	178	597	14	63	17	220	303	334	637	114	323	33	10	284	75	-51	+6	+13	-11	+52	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	127	21	4	12	63	213	5	22	6	220	303	333	636	113	324	33	10	284	75	-18	+2	+5	-4	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5066	4494	965	163	30	80	491	1691	37	195	52	215	297	318	615	103	322	33	10	279	72	-161	+18	+29	-30	+144	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	124	21	4	10	63	217	5	25	7	215	298	317	615	102	322	33	10	279	72	-21	+2	+4	-4	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	131	111	28	3	1	2	20	34	0	6	2	252	366	351	718	99	347	26	15	332	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	42	36	7	0	1	0	6	11	0	3	1	194	310	250	560	56	280	26	14	267	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	471	378	104	15	8	6	85	132	3	21	6	275	412	405	817	130	402	28	18	370	141	+22	+2	—	—	+13	3.8
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	545	478	122	25	5	5	56	127	4	28	4	255	338	360	698	105	332	23	10	314	99	-1	+4	—	—	+15	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#2Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	7	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	3	29	239	310	313	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,826	34	63	219	299	331	-11	+29	-0.0	0.2
	/162	664	12	23	219	299	331	-4.0	+10.7	-0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Druw Jones (OGILVIE)	22	22→34	30→40	70→68	51	209/297/280	71	360	5	29	39%	10%	59	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Derek Hill 2018 · A	22	42→51	37→50	61→60	39	196/251/276	80	297	4	28	34%	6%	42	-2.3	194/244/272	78	313	6	24	38%	5%	38	-2.6	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Jon Matthews 2013 · A	22	37	36→40	56→60	38	178/236/244	66	265	3	23	32%	6%	28	-3.2	222/288/295	73	305	4	21	26%	7%	63	-0.8	233/305/297	64	314	3	21	24%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Darin Mastroianni 2009 · A	23	42→52	38→40	60	41	201/253/277	76	278	5	22	29%	6%	43	-2.2	244/309/320	76	313	3	35	21%	8%	78	+0.2	252/319/328	76	317	2	38	19%	8%	81	+0.4
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Shane Sasaki 2022 · A	22	44→54	38→40	58→60	39	204/265/285	80	328	6	22	37%	7%	51	-1.7	232/295/336	104	351	9	27	34%	8%	77	+0.1	232/299/329	97	349	8	32	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	199/259/296	97	325	8	29	38%	7%	52	-1.6	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Manuel Hilario 2014 · A	22	44	40→45	57→55	47	209/283/310	101	272	6	18	24%	8%	66	-0.6	206/261/285	79	284	5	10	28%	6%	50	-1.8	167/216/208	41	224	4	10	26%	4%	8	-0.8
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	44→46	37→50	57→60	40	206/257/280	74	300	4	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	213/262/320	107	298	9	14	30%	6%	58	-1.2	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Randy Romero 2022 · A	22	46	35→40	59→60	44	214/257/281	66	260	2	21	18%	5%	46	-2.0	199/246/267	68	293	4	13	32%	5%	37	-2.6	166/202/202	36	264	3	19	37%	4%	1	-1.0
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	45	42→45	59→55	44	212/292/327	115	313	8	20	32%	8%	74	-0.1	209/278/327	118	293	12	18	31%	7%	68	-0.5	204/269/322	118	278	14	18	31%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40	38→45	58→60	36	190/243/268	78	298	5	24	36%	6%	37	-2.6	197/256/307	110	301	11	29	36%	7%	53	-1.5	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Kenny Wilson 2012 · A	22	37→47	35→40	56→60	40	174/248/231	57	283	2	27	36%	7%	30	-3.1	205/269/282	77	294	5	28	30%	6%	53	-1.5	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	43	204/254/284	80	263	5	21	24%	6%	46	-2.0	243/304/321	78	311	4	31	21%	7%	76	+0.1	252/314/329	77	319	3	36	20%	6%	80	+0.3