Druw Jones — OGILVIE

Druw JonesOF Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.6 · 2030

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .270 / .287

PA320

HR4

SB11

K%34

BB%9

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

22↗34

PWR

30↗40

SPD

70↘68

FLD

67↗74

EYE

54↘51

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$7M
Totals		$12M		$12M	-$0.0M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	A	2 teams	173	155	28	2	1	2	18	61	0	9	3	.181	.266	.245	.511	.065	.283	35	10	.237	40	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	471	402	91	13	6	5	61	175	3	21	6	.226	.333	.326	.658	.100	.381	37	13	.296	85	-8	+2	+0	-3	+13	0.4
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	545	500	99	20	3	4	34	177	4	28	4	.198	.255	.274	.529	.076	.292	32	6	.234	37	-39	+4	+0	-3	+15	-2.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	59	51	7	1	0	0	7	31	0	3	1	.137	.241	.157	.398	.020	.333	53	12	.186	1	-7	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	ARI	261	234	45	8	2	3	24	95	1	8	2	.192	.270	.282	.552	.090	.298	36	9	.251	50	-15	+1	+2	-2	+7	-0.6
TOT	22	MLB	ARI	320	285	52	9	2	3	31	126	1	11	3	.182	.265	.260	.525	.077	.310	39	10	.239	41	-21	+1	+2	-2	+9	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 12%	ARI	554	489	98	17	3	9	57	158	3	17	4	.200	.288	.303	.590	.102	.274	29	10	.272	66	-21	+2	+4	-3	+16	-0.3
2028	24	MLB 27%	ARI	592	523	109	19	4	11	61	164	3	18	4	.208	.295	.323	.618	.115	.276	28	10	.281	73	-18	+2	+4	-4	+17	0.2
2029	25	MLB 44%	ARI	614	541	115	20	4	13	64	168	4	19	4	.213	.300	.336	.637	.124	.278	27	10	.286	77	-16	+2	+5	-4	+17	0.5
2030	26	MLB 59%	ARI	626	551	117	20	4	13	66	170	4	19	4	.212	.301	.334	.635	.122	.279	27	11	.289	79	-15	+2	+5	-4	+18	0.6
2031	27	MLB 77%	ARI	628	552	117	20	4	13	67	172	4	19	4	.212	.302	.333	.635	.121	.279	27	11	.289	79	-15	+2	+5	-4	+18	0.6
2032	28	MLB 84%	ARI	625	548	116	20	4	13	68	172	4	18	3	.212	.303	.334	.637	.122	.278	28	11	.288	78	-15	+2	+4	-4	+18	0.5
2033	29	MLB 91%	ARI	616	540	113	19	3	13	67	171	4	17	3	.209	.301	.328	.629	.119	.277	28	11	.286	77	-16	+2	+3	-4	+17	0.3
2034	30	MLB	ARI	606	532	110	19	3	12	66	171	3	16	3	.207	.298	.321	.619	.115	.276	28	11	.283	74	-18	+2	+2	-4	+17	0.1
2035	31	MLB	ARI	593	521	105	18	3	11	64	169	3	13	2	.202	.293	.311	.603	.109	.274	28	11	.279	72	-19	+2	+2	-4	+17	-0.2
2036	32	MLB	ARI	575	505	101	17	3	10	62	167	3	12	1	.200	.291	.305	.596	.105	.273	29	11	.274	68	-21	+2	+1	-3	+16	-0.5
2037	33	MLB	ARI	545	478	94	16	3	9	59	162	3	10	0	.197	.289	.299	.588	.103	.271	30	11	.269	64	-22	+2	-0	-3	+15	-0.8
2038	34	MLB	ARI	497	439	84	14	2	8	53	152	2	9	0	.191	.281	.287	.568	.096	.269	31	11	.263	59	-23	+2	-1	-3	+14	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8521	7510	1542	262	52	149	891	2504	48	253	47	.205	.294	.314	.607	.108	.284	29	10	.276	70	-292	+32	+36	-51	+241	-3.4
/ 162G	—			650	573	117	20	4	11	68	191	4	19	4	.204	.293	.311	.604	.106	.283	29	10	.276	70	-22	+2	+3	-4	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	131	111	28	3	1	2	20	34	0	6	2	.252	.366	.351	.718	.099	.347	26	15	.332	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	42	36	7	0	1	0	6	11	0	3	1	.194	.310	.250	.560	.056	.280	26	14	.267	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	471	378	104	15	8	6	85	132	3	21	6	.275	.412	.405	.817	.130	.402	28	18	.370	141	+22	+2	—	—	+13	3.8
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	545	478	122	25	5	5	56	127	4	28	4	.255	.338	.360	.698	.105	.332	23	10	.314	99	-1	+4	—	—	+15	1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Druw Jones (OGILVIE)	22	22→34	30→40	70→68	51	.193/.270/.287	.093	.294	4	9	34%	9%	55	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	42→30	38→45	56→50	41	.197/.266/.279	.082	.311	5	16	36%	8%	50	-1.7	.214/.271/.343	.129	.318	13	13	35%	6%	69	-0.4	.203/.261/.318	.115	.298	12	16	35%	6%	54	-0.8
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→39	38→40	61→60	48	.207/.284/.298	.091	.280	3	20	26%	8%	63	-0.9	.210/.279/.286	.076	.314	2	18	31%	8%	57	-1.2	.219/.291/.296	.077	.328	2	26	31%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→49	40→45	59→55	41	.210/.263/.309	.099	.290	7	20	29%	6%	56	-1.3	.223/.279/.336	.113	.300	9	18	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.225/.286/.343	.117	.296	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Manuel Hilario 2014 · A	22	43	40→45	57→55	47	.206/.284/.306	.100	.268	6	18	24%	8%	66	-0.6	.206/.261/.286	.080	.282	5	10	27%	6%	50	-1.8	.167/.216/.208	.041	.224	4	10	26%	4%	8	-0.8
✕Shane Sasaki 2022 · A	22	44→54	39→45	57→60	39	.204/.264/.285	.081	.331	6	21	38%	7%	50	-1.7	.232/.295/.340	.108	.347	9	27	33%	7%	78	+0.2	.230/.297/.331	.101	.343	9	32	33%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Lane Adams 2012 · A	22	43→45	39→50	55→60	40	.205/.259/.295	.089	.299	6	13	32%	6%	50	-1.7	.218/.268/.327	.109	.294	10	18	28%	6%	63	-0.8	.224/.277/.354	.130	.308	15	36	31%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	63→65	42	.205/.267/.282	.077	.295	2	25	29%	7%	51	-1.7	.219/.282/.293	.074	.330	4	28	32%	7%	60	-1.0	.230/.297/.289	.060	.352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	43→35	41→45	58→50	47	.207/.283/.312	.104	.273	8	15	26%	8%	66	-0.6	.188/.255/.296	.108	.265	11	9	32%	7%	50	-1.7	.168/.235/.263	.095	.240	11	7	33%	7%	31	-2.2
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	46	42→45	58→55	44	.214/.295/.326	.111	.311	8	20	31%	8%	75	-0.0	.208/.279/.319	.111	.294	11	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	.200/.266/.307	.107	.277	12	18	31%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A	23	41	37→40	58→60	41	.196/.260/.271	.075	.276	4	25	29%	6%	46	-2.0	.231/.298/.298	.067	.313	3	17	25%	7%	68	-0.5	.242/.313/.293	.051	.324	2	16	24%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2018 · A	22	46	39→45	60	41	.212/.278/.300	.088	.325	5	28	34%	7%	60	-1.0	.185/.244/.280	.095	.311	8	27	40%	6%	41	-2.3	.220/.298/.337	.116	.314	13	41	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	43	41→40	57→60	40	.203/.269/.298	.096	.321	9	24	38%	7%	56	-1.3	.188/.271/.269	.081	.305	6	20	37%	9%	51	-1.7	.098/.228/.122	.024	.176	0	28	38%	12%	-2	-1.2
✕Brewer Hicklen 2018 · A	22	46→41	42→55	54→60	38	.214/.276/.324	.110	.332	8	15	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.211/.268/.350	.139	.325	16	24	38%	5%	70	-0.3	.193/.279/.373	.180	.281	22	38	37%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Derek Hill 2018 · A	22	43→53	37→50	60	40	.204/.257/.278	.074	.297	3	28	31%	6%	45	-2.1	.197/.250/.279	.082	.313	7	25	37%	6%	43	-2.2	.250/.300/.402	.152	.328	16	23	28%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	41	39→45	53→50	39	.193/.262/.274	.080	.300	7	13	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.208/.307/.328	.120	.294	12	12	31%	10%	82	+0.5	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	40→47	42→45	56→55	37	.197/.248/.304	.107	.299	10	21	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.209/.256/.315	.106	.331	10	20	38%	5%	55	-1.4	.212/.260/.311	.099	.339	10	22	38%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Evan Crawford 2011 · A	22	45→55	38→40	58→55	37	.215/.254/.302	.087	.299	5	16	29%	4%	50	-1.8	.237/.281/.320	.083	.328	4	19	27%	4%	66	-0.6	.260/.305/.335	.074	.360	2	25	26%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Johan Lopez 2022 · A	22	44	44→45	56→55	44	.214/.289/.333	.120	.290	11	17	29%	8%	75	-0.0	.194/.265/.298	.104	.295	10	12	35%	7%	56	-1.3	.168/.239/.253	.086	.253	8	12	35%	7%	31	-1.1
✕Todd Hankins 2013 · A	22	42→48	40	59→55	40	.199/.261/.292	.094	.305	7	22	35%	7%	51	-1.7	.197/.256/.287	.090	.294	7	24	33%	6%	48	-1.9	.199/.253/.286	.086	.288	7	25	32%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)