Cesar Hernandez — OGILVIE

Cesar HernandezOF Asheville Tourists

Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 195 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 112 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .278 / .321

PA112

HR2

SB5

K%28

BB%6

BABIP287

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	382	347	62	10	2	1	18	116	12	34	7	179	244	228	472	49	260	30	5	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	382	335	77	15	2	2	30	85	12	34	7	230	316	304	620	75	296	22	8	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	274	243	49	5	1	8	20	80	6	24	11	202	279	329	608	128	256	29	7	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	274	227	53	7	1	9	36	56	6	24	11	233	353	392	745	159	263	20	13	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	HOU	—	169	153	37	5	1	2	12	53	2	11	5	242	305	327	632	85	350	31	7	281	73	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
YTD	23	A+	HOU	—	169	147	42	6	1	3	18	39	2	11	5	286	371	401	773	116	364	23	11	346	123	+4	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.9
ROS	23	A+	HOU	0%	112	102	22	3	1	2	7	32	2	5	2	214	278	321	599	107	291	28	6	266	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	HOU	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						294	0	0	255	54	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	HOU	—	170	154	37	5	1	2	12	53	2	11	5	240	304	325	628	84	347	31	7	281	73	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
TOT	23	A+	HOU	—	281	255	59	8	2	4	19	85	4	16	7	231	294	325	619	94	324	30	7	275	69	-10	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	HOU	30%	309	280	61	9	1	6	21	86	5	10	4	218	284	321	606	104	291	28	7	276	69	-11	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2028	25	MLB	HOU	44%	372	337	76	12	2	8	26	102	6	12	4	226	293	344	637	119	291	27	7	282	74	-11	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	HOU	51%	413	374	84	13	2	9	29	112	7	12	5	225	293	342	635	118	291	27	7	284	76	-11	+0	+0	-2	+12	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	HOU	52%	431	390	87	14	2	9	31	116	7	12	5	223	292	338	631	115	291	27	7	286	77	-11	+0	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2027	24	MLB	HOU	30%	94	86	19	3	0	2	6	26	2	3	1	221	287	326	613	105	294	28	6	266	62	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	HOU	44%	165	150	33	5	1	3	11	45	3	5	2	220	287	327	613	107	294	27	7	272	67	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	HOU	51%	210	190	44	7	1	5	15	57	3	6	2	232	298	358	656	126	294	27	7	275	69	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	HOU	52%	226	204	46	7	1	5	16	61	4	6	2	225	295	343	638	118	294	27	7	277	70	-8	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	696	631	142	22	3	15	48	189	12	20	7	225	292	341	633	116	295	27	7	274	68	-25	+1	+0	-4	+20	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	133	21	3	14	45	177	11	19	7	226	293	343	636	117	297	27	7	274	68	-24	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2293	2073	441	66	11	43	152	644	45	109	38	213	281	317	598	105	283	28	7	268	64	-94	+7	+0	-14	+65	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	125	19	3	12	43	183	13	31	11	213	281	316	597	104	284	28	7	268	64	-27	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	382	335	77	15	2	2	30	85	12	34	7	230	316	304	620	75	296	22	8	285	76	-10	+4	—	—	+11	0.5
2025	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	274	227	53	7	1	9	36	56	6	24	11	233	353	392	745	159	263	20	13	334	114	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	695	14	21	224	288	338	-4	+0	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	14	20	224	288	338	-4.0	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Hernandez (OGILVIE)	23	35	40	60	50	231/294/325	94	324	4	16	30%	7%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	42→41	43→45	53→55	42	211/261/321	110	274	10	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	215/272/329	114	309	11	21	32%	7%	66	-0.6	220/287/349	129	316	15	25	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	39→36	42→45	56→50	41	194/256/303	109	270	8	20	30%	7%	53	-1.5	193/258/292	99	265	7	15	28%	7%	50	-1.7	183/250/273	91	246	7	15	27%	7%	41	-1.6
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	37→44	39→45	55→60	42	180/250/266	86	268	7	25	34%	8%	40	-2.4	205/275/310	105	272	10	30	27%	8%	62	-0.9	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Taylor Lewis 2013 · A	23	43	41→45	58→55	41	210/260/313	103	280	8	19	28%	6%	56	-1.3	189/231/279	90	289	5	18	34%	4%	34	-2.8	167/206/253	85	267	2	21	37%	4%	14	-1.8
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	38→39	43→40	56→50	41	190/253/302	112	258	10	16	30%	6%	51	-1.7	197/258/287	90	287	6	16	32%	6%	49	-1.8	184/247/255	71	278	4	19	33%	6%	34	-1.9
✕Juan Silva 2014 · A	23	46	42→45	51→55	47	220/292/325	105	300	9	21	28%	9%	73	-0.1	222/297/313	91	298	6	22	25%	9%	72	-0.2	218/298/300	82	290	4	24	24%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	42	40	50	48	204/285/300	96	281	8	18	28%	9%	64	-0.8	200/261/296	96	312	9	11	36%	7%	53	-1.5	146/208/210	64	238	7	8	40%	6%	4	-1.2
✕Willie Abreu 2018 · A	23	44	43→45	58→55	39	217/249/334	116	272	9	22	24%	4%	56	-1.3	202/244/294	92	289	7	19	31%	5%	44	-2.1	185/231/275	90	274	9	17	35%	5%	31	-1.2
✕Kameron Misner 2021 · A	23	46→43	39→50	54→55	48	217/293/303	87	305	6	13	29%	9%	68	-0.5	199/283/333	134	317	13	21	38%	10%	72	-0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	49	-1.8	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	47	-1.9	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	24	-0.8
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	42	38→40	52→55	48	201/266/278	77	257	5	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	211/289/288	77	274	5	10	23%	9%	63	-0.9	204/298/261	57	263	3	4	21%	11%	58	-0.5
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Jason Christian 2010 · A	23	45	41→40	57→55	45	221/276/319	98	289	9	19	26%	7%	64	-0.8	207/255/293	86	296	7	14	31%	6%	48	-1.9	195/242/264	69	284	5	12	31%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	39→45	39→50	52→50	39	192/242/278	86	277	7	13	32%	6%	39	-2.5	220/275/371	151	299	19	13	32%	7%	79	+0.3	215/275/371	156	290	20	14	32%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→44	39→45	56→50	49	215/284/308	92	270	6	11	22%	8%	66	-0.6	212/297/327	115	264	10	14	22%	9%	77	+0.1	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0