Cesar Hernandez
OF Asheville Tourists| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AHOU | 382 | .230/.316/.304 | 2 | 34 | 39 | — | .189/.260/.241 |
| 2025 | 22 | AHOU | 274 | .233/.353/.392 | 9 | 24 | 66 | — | .200/.286/.321 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+/ROKHOU | 171 | .284/.373/.399 | 3 | 11 | 69 | — | .239/.302/.342 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBHOU | 221 | .205/.274/.301 | 4 | 8 | 63 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBHOU | 37 | .210/.280/.313 | 1 | 1 | 67 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 382 | 335 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 85 | 12 | 34 | 7 | 230 | 316 | 304 | 620 | 75 | 296 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 274 | 227 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 56 | 6 | 24 | 11 | 233 | 353 | 392 | 745 | 159 | 263 | 20 | 13 | 334 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 150 | 130 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 35 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 292 | 378 | 400 | 778 | 108 | 379 | 23 | 11 | 349 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 21 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 333 | 389 | 722 | 167 | 231 | 19 | 14 | 328 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 382 | 344 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 113 | 12 | 34 | 7 | 189 | 260 | 241 | 501 | 52 | 263 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 274 | 240 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 76 | 6 | 24 | 11 | 200 | 286 | 321 | 607 | 121 | 240 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 150 | 136 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 250 | 311 | 346 | 656 | 96 | 337 | 31 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 316 | 554 | 158 | 179 | 29 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 382 | 344 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 113 | 12 | 34 | 7 | 189 | 260 | 241 | 501 | 52 | 272 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 382 | 335 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 85 | 12 | 34 | 7 | 230 | 316 | 304 | 620 | 75 | 296 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 274 | 240 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 76 | 6 | 24 | 11 | 200 | 286 | 321 | 607 | 121 | 253 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 274 | 227 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 56 | 6 | 24 | 11 | 233 | 353 | 392 | 745 | 159 | 263 | 20 | 13 | 334 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 171 | 156 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 231 | 290 | 314 | 604 | 83 | 327 | 30 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 171 | 148 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 284 | 373 | 399 | 771 | 115 | 361 | 23 | 11 | 346 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 382 | 346 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 113 | 12 | 34 | 7 | 188 | 260 | 240 | 500 | 52 | 263 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 274 | 243 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 76 | 6 | 24 | 11 | 198 | 286 | 317 | 603 | 119 | 240 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 171 | 156 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 231 | 290 | 314 | 604 | 83 | 318 | 30 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 382 | 346 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 113 | 12 | 34 | 7 | 188 | 260 | 240 | 500 | 52 | 263 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 274 | 243 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 76 | 6 | 24 | 11 | 198 | 286 | 317 | 603 | 119 | 240 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 171 | 156 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 231 | 290 | 314 | 604 | 83 | 318 | 30 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | HOU | 0% | 221 | 200 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 60 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 205 | 274 | 301 | 574 | 96 | 271 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | HOU | 30% | 123 | 111 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 278 | 310 | 588 | 102 | 273 | 27 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | HOU | 30% | 37 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 280 | 313 | 592 | 103 | 277 | 27 | 8 | 269 | 67 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 37 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 297 | 333 | 631 | 121 | 273 | 27 | 8 | 269 | 57 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 124 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 53 | 176 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 214 | 300 | 338 | 638 | 124 | 275 | 27 | 8 | 269 | 57 | -26 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1028 | 923 | 187 | 28 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 295 | 23 | 76 | 25 | 203 | 275 | 286 | 561 | 83 | 277 | 29 | 7 | 252 | 57 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 118 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 187 | 15 | 48 | 16 | 202 | 276 | 284 | 560 | 82 | 277 | 29 | 7 | 252 | 57 | -27 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 150 PAwOBA .345 → .278 (−66)K% 23.3% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 27.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.047 | ×0.998 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .345 → .278; ISO .108 → .090; BABIP .379 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Astros · 21 PAwOBA .320 → .223 (−96)K% 19.0% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 16.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 5.38% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .320 → .223; ISO .167 → .120; BABIP .231 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 274 PAwOBA .331 → .266 (−65)K% 20.4% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.44% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.14% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.19% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | — | 19.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.09% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | — | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.953 | ×0.910 | ×1.001 | — | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.005 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.19% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .331 → .266; ISO .159 → .127; BABIP .263 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 382 PAwOBA .282 → .226 (−56)K% 22.3% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.25% | ÷1.020 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.85% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.14% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.20% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.015 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.015 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.020 | ×1.015 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.118 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.58% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .282 → .226; ISO .075 → .057; BABIP .296 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).