Cesar HernandezOF
Asheville Tourists
Age 23
L/L
6'0" / 195 lbs
A+
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.9 · 2030
wRC+†90
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .289 / .342
PA263
HR6
SB7
K%28
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
40→40
SPD
60→60
EYE
42↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $12M | $15M | +$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 382 | 347 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 118 | 12 | 34 | 7 | .187 | .252 | .248 | .500 | .061 | .272 | 31 | 5 | .222 | 28 | -31 | +4 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 274 | 243 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 80 | 6 | 24 | 11 | .202 | .279 | .329 | .608 | .128 | .256 | 29 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 43 | 38 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .342 | .405 | .395 | .799 | .053 | .419 | 19 | 7 | .347 | 124 | +1 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | HOU | 220 | 197 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .228 | .303 | .350 | .653 | .122 | .299 | 27 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | HOU | 263 | 235 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 67 | 5 | 7 | 3 | .247 | .319 | .357 | .677 | .111 | .321 | 25 | 8 | .303 | 90 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | HOU | 305 | 272 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 75 | 5 | 8 | 3 | .235 | .311 | .364 | .675 | .129 | .295 | 25 | 8 | .305 | 92 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | HOU | 370 | 330 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 90 | 6 | 10 | 3 | .236 | .313 | .370 | .683 | .133 | .296 | 24 | 8 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | HOU | 412 | 366 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 100 | 7 | 10 | 4 | .238 | .318 | .377 | .695 | .139 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | HOU | 430 | 382 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 104 | 7 | 11 | 4 | .238 | .319 | .374 | .693 | .136 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .313 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | HOU | 439 | 390 | 92 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 107 | 7 | 10 | 3 | .236 | .317 | .369 | .686 | .133 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .311 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | HOU | 436 | 387 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 108 | 7 | 10 | 3 | .235 | .316 | .370 | .686 | .134 | .295 | 25 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | HOU | 431 | 383 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 108 | 7 | 9 | 3 | .232 | .313 | .366 | .679 | .133 | .294 | 25 | 9 | .306 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | HOU | 420 | 373 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 107 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .231 | .312 | .359 | .671 | .129 | .292 | 25 | 9 | .302 | 90 | -5 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 404 | 359 | 81 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 105 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .226 | .307 | .348 | .655 | .123 | .291 | 26 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 376 | 334 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 100 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .225 | .306 | .344 | .650 | .120 | .289 | 27 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 332 | 295 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 92 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .220 | .301 | .339 | .640 | .119 | .288 | 28 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5231 | 4658 | 1058 | 168 | 26 | 120 | 436 | 1353 | 92 | 160 | 50 | .227 | .306 | .352 | .657 | .125 | .291 | 26 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -89 | +12 | -20 | -31 | +148 | 2.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 131 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 168 | 11 | 20 | 6 | .226 | .304 | .351 | .654 | .124 | .290 | 26 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -11 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 382 | 335 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 85 | 12 | 34 | 7 | .230 | .316 | .304 | .620 | .075 | .296 | 22 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -10 | +4 | — | — | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 274 | 227 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 56 | 6 | 24 | 11 | .233 | .353 | .392 | .745 | .159 | .263 | 20 | 13 | .334 | 114 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Cesar Hernandez (OGILVIE) | 23 | 35 | 40 | 60 | 50 | .214/.289/.342 | .128 | .283 | 6 | 7 | 28% | 8% | 78 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕River Town 2023 · A |
24 | 41→38 | 45→40 | 55→50 | 46 | .206/.287/.332 | .126 | .261 | 12 | 15 | 25% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .217/.304/.312 | .095 | .269 | 8 | 15 | 21% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .215/.313/.285 | .071 | .263 | 6 | 15 | 19% | 10% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA |
23 | 38→43 | 48→50 | 57→55 | 45 | .200/.272/.345 | .145 | .264 | 16 | 19 | 30% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .213/.284/.353 | .140 | .278 | 16 | 18 | 28% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .213/.283/.350 | .137 | .276 | 16 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
●Roger Bernadina 2006 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 44→45 | 54→60 | 49 | .200/.275/.314 | .114 | .247 | 13 | 19 | 24% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .233/.293/.330 | .097 | .310 | 8 | 25 | 26% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .263/.320/.391 | .127 | .327 | 12 | 31 | 22% | 7% | 97 | +1.4 |
|
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A |
24 | 44→43 | 48→50 | 55→60 | 45 | .221/.293/.368 | .147 | .294 | 15 | 21 | 29% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .213/.285/.362 | .149 | .289 | 16 | 27 | 30% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .202/.276/.353 | .151 | .276 | 17 | 29 | 32% | 8% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A |
23 | 42 | 48→55 | 54→50 | 43 | .211/.278/.356 | .145 | .284 | 15 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.265/.369 | .152 | .281 | 16 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .214/.256/.369 | .155 | .272 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 5% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Mike Antico 2022 · A |
24 | 43→42 | 51→45 | 55→60 | 41 | .224/.276/.385 | .161 | .281 | 18 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .208/.274/.336 | .128 | .280 | 13 | 36 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.278/.338 | .123 | .290 | 14 | 35 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A |
23 | 40→41 | 44→45 | 56→50 | 42 | .199/.261/.319 | .119 | .263 | 11 | 15 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .201/.262/.295 | .094 | .289 | 7 | 16 | 31% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.252/.264 | .073 | .292 | 4 | 19 | 34% | 6% | 38 | -1.7 |
|
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A |
23 | 44→42 | 43→45 | 53→55 | 42 | .215/.264/.328 | .112 | .278 | 10 | 14 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.271/.331 | .116 | .302 | 11 | 20 | 31% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.276/.336 | .121 | .307 | 12 | 26 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Juan Silva 2014 · A |
23 | 47 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 49 | .223/.298/.330 | .106 | .304 | 9 | 20 | 28% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .226/.302/.321 | .095 | .300 | 6 | 23 | 24% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .221/.301/.304 | .083 | .291 | 4 | 24 | 23% | 10% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A |
23 | 45 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 44 | .221/.289/.340 | .119 | .279 | 12 | 16 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .211/.270/.295 | .084 | .282 | 6 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .195/.249/.254 | .059 | .266 | 3 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 34 | -0.8 |
|
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A |
23 | 40→36 | 43→45 | 56→50 | 42 | .198/.257/.312 | .114 | .266 | 9 | 19 | 29% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.257/.292 | .098 | .263 | 8 | 16 | 28% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .185/.252/.273 | .088 | .251 | 6 | 15 | 27% | 7% | 42 | -1.5 |
|
●Will Benson 2021 · A |
23 | 33→43 | 50→55 | 52→55 | 44 | .178/.260/.325 | .147 | .263 | 19 | 13 | 38% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.302/.379 | .172 | .307 | 19 | 18 | 36% | 11% | 92 | +1.2 | .221/.322/.401 | .180 | .313 | 18 | 26 | 32% | 12% | 102 | +1.4 |
|
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A |
23 | 41→46 | 42→50 | 51→40 | 45 | .201/.269/.304 | .103 | .264 | 9 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.280/.362 | .140 | .293 | 16 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.286/.378 | .152 | .294 | 19 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A |
24 | 40→39 | 43→60 | 54→50 | 48 | .198/.276/.315 | .117 | .263 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .194/.274/.318 | .124 | .270 | 12 | 14 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .210/.274/.401 | .191 | .276 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A |
23 | 46 | 40→45 | 52→55 | 46 | .219/.288/.317 | .098 | .289 | 6 | 14 | 25% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.262/.298 | .089 | .296 | 6 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.209/.223 | .049 | .263 | 0 | 15 | 32% | 4% | 8 | -0.8 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→47 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .211/.270/.356 | .146 | .270 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.290/.386 | .163 | .284 | 18 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .223/.295/.390 | .167 | .282 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 9% | 89 | +0.8 |
|
✕Garrett Mitchell 2022 · AA |
23 | 47 | 45→50 | 56→60 | 48 | .223/.306/.345 | .122 | .333 | 14 | 20 | 34% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .239/.311/.374 | .135 | .355 | 13 | 26 | 33% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .249/.323/.406 | .156 | .360 | 16 | 32 | 33% | 9% | 102 | +0.8 |
|
✕Zach Kokoska 2023 · A |
24 | 43 | 49→55 | 55 | 42 | .221/.285/.371 | .150 | .283 | 17 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .201/.268/.369 | .168 | .279 | 21 | 17 | 35% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .171/.243/.342 | .171 | .244 | 23 | 19 | 39% | 6% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕David Olmedo-Barrera 2017 · A |
23 | 50→42 | 43→50 | 51→50 | 41 | .241/.287/.360 | .119 | .292 | 10 | 11 | 21% | 4% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.255/.310 | .095 | .285 | 7 | 12 | 26% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .197/.234/.280 | .084 | .268 | 6 | 13 | 28% | 4% | 34 | -1.5 |
|
✕Efrain Contreras 2010 · A |
23 | 46 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 43 | .224/.286/.324 | .100 | .285 | 9 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .196/.248/.273 | .077 | .288 | 6 | 7 | 32% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .164/.209/.224 | .060 | .242 | 6 | 5 | 34% | 4% | 9 | -2.2 |