Danny Cancro

2B DSL Rockies

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 148 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Colorado	61	.229/.373/.271	0	7	36	—	.157/.271/.176
2026	19	ROKCOL	188	.349/.484/.432	0	16	88	—	.245/.364/.290
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCOL	298	.231/.306/.317	2	7	78	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCOL	81	.248/.322/.360	1	2	84	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCOL	172	.251/.326/.373	3	5	87	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%93

wOBA90

wRC+86

Whiff%86

Z-Con%80

Speed75

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsOsleivis Basabe (age 21) · Nacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20) · Ryan Brett (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 158 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .304 / .314

PA158

HR1

K%23

BB%8

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 71 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT71

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	204	167	40	11	4	0	26	30	6	19	3	240	362	353	715	114	286	15	13	322	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	61	48	11	2	0	0	9	8	2	7	1	229	373	271	644	42	262	13	15	303	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	188	146	51	8	2	0	29	21	9	16	4	349	484	432	915	82	398	11	15	412	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	204	174	28	6	3	0	19	35	6	19	3	161	266	230	496	69	190	17	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	61	51	8	1	0	0	6	10	2	7	1	157	271	176	448	20	182	16	10	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	188	155	38	5	1	0	20	26	9	16	4	245	364	290	654	45	277	14	11	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	204	174	28	6	3	0	19	35	6	19	3	161	266	230	496	69	197	17	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	204	167	40	11	4	0	26	30	6	19	3	240	362	353	715	114	286	15	13	322	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	61	51	8	1	0	0	6	10	2	7	1	157	271	176	448	20	186	16	10	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	61	48	11	2	0	0	9	8	2	7	1	229	373	271	644	42	262	13	15	303	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	188	155	38	5	1	0	20	26	9	16	4	245	364	290	654	45	288	14	11	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	188	146	51	8	2	0	29	21	9	16	4	349	484	432	915	82	398	11	15	412	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	204	177	28	6	3	0	19	35	6	19	3	158	266	226	492	68	190	17	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	61	53	8	1	0	0	6	10	2	7	1	151	271	170	441	19	182	16	10	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	188	157	38	5	1	0	20	26	9	16	4	242	364	287	651	45	277	14	11	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	204	177	28	6	3	0	19	35	6	19	3	158	266	226	492	68	190	17	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	61	53	8	1	0	0	6	10	2	7	1	151	271	170	441	19	182	16	10	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	188	157	38	5	1	0	20	26	9	16	4	242	364	287	651	45	277	14	11	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	COL	0%	298	267	62	11	3	2	24	68	5	7	1	231	306	317	623	86	299	23	8	284	78	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	COL	34%	237	212	50	9	2	3	19	54	4	6	1	235	310	332	642	97	300	23	8	292	84	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	COL	48%	354	317	75	13	3	5	29	79	5	9	2	238	313	344	657	106	300	22	8	298	87	-5	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	COL	54%	432	386	93	16	4	7	36	96	7	12	2	240	316	353	668	113	301	22	8	302	90	-5	+2	+0	+2	+9	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	COL	55%	484	434	104	18	4	8	40	108	7	13	3	242	317	360	677	118	301	22	8	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	COL	56%	514	458	110	19	4	9	43	114	8	14	3	243	318	364	682	122	301	22	8	307	94	-4	+2	+0	+2	+11	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	530	473	116	20	5	10	44	118	8	14	3	243	318	365	683	122	301	22	8	307	94	-4	+2	+0	+2	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	536	478	117	20	5	10	45	120	8	14	3	242	317	362	679	121	300	22	8	306	93	-4	+2	+0	+2	+12	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	535	477	114	20	4	9	45	121	8	13	3	240	315	358	673	118	300	23	8	303	91	-6	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	528	472	112	19	4	9	44	121	7	12	3	238	312	351	664	114	298	23	8	300	89	-7	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	519	464	109	18	4	8	43	120	7	11	3	235	309	344	652	109	297	23	8	295	86	-9	+1	-2	+2	+11	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	COL	52%	506	453	105	18	4	7	41	119	7	9	3	231	304	334	638	103	294	24	8	289	82	-11	+1	-3	+2	+11	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	COL	34%	81	73	18	3	1	1	7	18	1	2	0	248	322	360	682	112	316	22	9	307	84	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	COL	48%	172	153	39	7	2	3	14	39	3	5	1	251	326	373	699	122	317	23	8	314	87	-3	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	COL	54%	234	209	53	9	3	4	19	52	4	6	1	254	328	383	711	129	317	22	8	318	90	-3	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	COL	55%	268	240	60	10	3	5	22	60	4	7	1	256	330	391	720	135	318	22	8	322	93	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	COL	56%	288	258	66	11	4	6	24	64	4	8	2	257	330	396	726	139	317	22	8	324	94	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	298	267	69	12	4	6	25	66	4	8	2	257	330	396	727	140	317	22	8	324	94	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	296	265	68	11	4	6	25	66	4	8	2	255	329	393	723	138	317	22	8	323	93	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	293	262	66	11	3	6	25	66	4	7	2	253	327	388	715	135	316	23	9	320	91	-3	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	282	252	63	11	3	5	24	65	4	6	2	251	324	381	705	130	314	23	9	316	89	-4	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	273	244	61	10	3	5	23	63	4	6	1	248	321	372	693	124	312	23	8	311	86	-5	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	COL	52%	264	237	57	9	3	4	22	62	3	5	2	243	315	361	676	118	309	23	8	304	82	-6	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2749	2460	620	104	33	51	230	621	39	68	16	252	326	383	709	131	316	23	8	318	87	-33	+7	-4	+10	+60	4.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	147	25	8	12	54	147	9	16	4	253	325	385	710	132	318	23	8	318	87	-8	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5786	5146	1212	208	49	86	487	1277	95	173	38	236	313	345	658	110	295	22	8	297	87	-67	+14	-7	+19	+116	7.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	137	23	6	10	55	143	11	19	4	237	315	349	665	112	296	22	8	297	87	-8	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Dick Egan'08-'16 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,547 PA	5.3	3,547	4	167	245*	310*	356*	+14	+0	6.9	8.2
/162	664	1	31	+2.6	+0.1	1.3	pk7: 10
#3Danny Murtaugh'41-'51 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,937 PA	4.4	2,937	8	49	248*	321*	347*	+12	-4	5.0	6.6
/162	664	2	11	+2.8	-1.0	1.1	pk7: 8
#4Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,908	46	72	240	311	353	+10	+7	6.3	5.6
/162	664	10	16	+2.4	+1.6	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Danny Cancro (OGILVIE)	20	66→71	28→33	59→64	63	229/304/314	85	299	1	4	23%	8%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	52→62	38→45	56→50	45	246/290/332	86	302	5	15	20%	6%	76	-0.4	264/309/368	104	320	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.7	268/314/373	105	323	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→58	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	70	-0.8	251/295/355	104	308	7	26	20%	5%	83	+0.1	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	51→61	38→40	54→65	48	241/306/317	75	289	5	19	18%	7%	79	-0.2	271/304/332	61	335	3	34	19%	4%	80	-0.1	300/333/376	75	363	4	37	18%	3%	96	+0.8
✕Gorkys Hernández 2009 · A	21	52→60	39→45	57→55	44	247/294/342	95	309	6	22	21%	6%	80	-0.2	259/304/338	79	352	3	17	26%	6%	82	+0.0	252/308/366	115	311	11	16	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕James Triantos 2024 · A	21	51→59	40→45	53→60	46	244/297/337	93	292	7	14	19%	6%	80	-0.2	260/304/360	100	303	7	30	16%	5%	88	+0.4	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
●Michael Reed 2014 · A	21	51→61	36→45	56→55	45	229/294/309	80	338	2	15	31%	8%	72	-0.7	225/309/325	100	322	5	21	28%	10%	82	+0.0	220/309/321	102	329	11	16	33%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Nick Morabito 2024 · A	21	48→58	37→40	55→65	44	217/297/293	76	324	4	18	32%	8%	71	-0.8	250/316/335	85	345	6	36	27%	7%	87	+0.4	255/322/343	88	346	7	42	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Orlando Arcia 2015 · A	20	53→59	38→50	52→55	46	251/295/341	89	294	5	18	16%	6%	80	-0.2	254/292/370	116	306	8	18	19%	5%	85	+0.2	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Euribiel Angeles 2022 · A	20	56→62	39→40	51→50	44	263/313/353	91	333	5	13	22%	6%	90	+0.6	245/277/329	84	298	6	13	19%	4%	70	-0.8	243/278/327	84	280	6	17	15%	4%	67	-0.9
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	51→58	39→45	58→60	51	240/305/333	93	302	5	22	21%	9%	82	-0.0	250/306/350	100	317	7	27	22%	8%	86	+0.3	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
✕Rubén Tejada 2010 · AA	20	53→62	37→40	51→50	47	248/300/324	76	291	4	12	16%	6%	78	-0.3	257/311/327	70	304	3	8	15%	6%	83	+0.1	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
●Alcides Escobar 2007 · A	20	51→61	36→45	53→55	39	242/273/309	68	304	3	21	21%	3%	63	-1.3	276/303/351	75	336	4	23	18%	3%	84	+0.2	292/321/371	79	349	4	27	17%	3%	93	+0.8
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	58→63	39→40	55→50	47	267/340/359	92	346	4	16	22%	7%	101	+1.4	261/325/348	87	335	5	14	22%	6%	93	+0.8	273/339/361	88	334	7	11	19%	6%	99	+0.7

Danny Cancro

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps