Nayerich Waterfort

2B DSL Rojos

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 154 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKCIN	111	.299/.440/.460	2	3	59	—	.183/.303/.269
2026	20	ROKDSL Rojos	128	.252/.389/.340	1	6	36	—	.160/.294/.198
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCIN	238	.210/.288/.293	2	4	67	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCIN	65	.215/.293/.309	1	1	71	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCIN	148	.219/.296/.320	2	3	75	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%72

K%51

Z-Con%51

wOBA48

wRC+45

Chase%42

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJonathan Ornelas (age 21) · Dru Baker (age 22) · Nick Allen (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 107 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .286 / .291

PA107

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	63	48	6	3	0	0	9	16	6	3	2	125	333	188	521	62	188	25	14	274	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	111	87	26	8	0	2	18	18	4	3	3	299	440	460	900	161	348	16	16	400	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	128	103	26	6	0	1	11	27	12	6	5	252	389	340	729	87	329	21	9	340	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	51	4	2	0	0	6	20	6	3	2	78	254	118	372	39	120	32	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	93	17	5	0	1	12	22	4	3	3	183	303	269	572	86	209	20	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	128	106	17	4	0	0	8	33	12	6	5	160	294	198	492	38	207	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	51	4	2	0	0	6	20	6	3	2	78	254	118	372	39	129	32	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	63	48	6	3	0	0	9	16	6	3	2	125	333	188	521	62	188	25	14	274	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	93	17	5	0	1	12	22	4	3	3	183	303	269	572	86	222	20	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	111	87	26	8	0	2	18	18	4	3	3	299	440	460	900	161	348	16	16	400	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	128	106	17	4	0	0	8	33	12	6	5	160	294	198	492	38	230	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	128	103	26	6	0	1	11	27	12	6	5	252	389	340	729	87	329	21	9	340	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	51	4	2	0	0	6	20	6	3	2	78	254	118	372	39	120	32	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	94	17	5	0	1	12	22	4	3	3	181	303	266	569	85	209	20	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	128	107	17	4	0	0	8	33	12	6	5	159	294	196	490	37	207	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	63	51	4	2	0	0	6	20	6	3	2	78	254	118	372	39	120	32	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	111	94	17	5	0	1	12	22	4	3	3	181	303	266	569	85	209	20	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	128	107	17	4	0	0	8	33	12	6	5	159	294	196	490	37	207	26	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	238	212	44	9	1	2	18	65	6	4	1	210	288	293	581	83	288	27	8	267	67	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	188	168	36	7	1	2	14	50	4	4	1	214	292	306	597	92	289	27	7	274	71	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	305	272	60	12	2	4	23	81	7	6	2	217	295	316	611	99	290	27	8	279	75	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	387	346	77	15	2	6	29	102	9	8	2	220	297	325	622	105	291	26	7	283	78	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	435	390	86	17	2	7	33	113	9	9	2	222	299	331	630	109	291	26	8	286	80	-10	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	464	415	93	18	3	8	36	120	10	10	3	223	300	336	636	113	291	26	8	288	81	-10	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	477	427	95	18	3	8	37	124	10	10	3	222	299	333	632	111	291	26	8	287	80	-11	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	480	430	94	18	2	8	37	126	10	9	3	220	297	328	625	108	290	26	8	284	78	-12	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	476	426	92	18	2	7	37	126	10	8	3	218	294	322	616	104	288	26	8	280	76	-14	+0	-1	+2	+10	-0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	469	421	90	17	2	7	36	126	9	8	3	215	290	314	604	99	286	27	8	276	73	-15	+0	-2	+2	+10	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	65	58	12	2	0	1	5	17	2	1	0	215	293	309	602	94	290	26	8	275	71	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	148	133	28	5	1	2	11	39	3	3	1	219	296	320	616	102	291	26	7	281	75	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	204	182	40	8	1	3	15	54	5	4	1	221	299	329	628	108	292	26	7	285	78	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	238	213	47	9	1	4	18	62	5	5	1	223	300	336	637	113	292	26	8	289	80	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	258	231	52	10	1	5	20	67	5	5	2	225	301	341	643	117	292	26	8	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	262	235	52	10	1	5	20	68	5	5	2	224	300	338	639	115	291	26	8	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	262	235	52	10	1	5	20	69	5	5	2	222	298	334	632	112	290	26	8	287	78	-7	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	254	228	49	9	1	4	19	67	5	4	2	219	295	327	622	108	289	26	7	283	76	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	246	220	48	9	1	4	19	66	5	4	2	216	292	319	610	103	287	27	8	278	73	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1937	1735	380	72	8	33	147	509	40	36	13	219	295	327	622	108	289	26	8	285	74	-52	+2	-2	+7	+42	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	128	24	3	11	49	171	13	12	4	220	295	328	623	108	290	26	8	285	74	-17	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4090	3640	782	155	20	59	316	1072	103	86	33	215	296	317	613	102	286	26	8	278	74	-103	+6	-4	+14	+82	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	124	25	3	9	50	170	16	14	5	215	295	315	609	100	286	26	8	278	74	-18	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,045	31	39	220	294	325	+7	+6	1.0	1.1
/162	664	10	13	+2.4	+1.9	0.3	pk7: 1
#3John Kerr'23-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,631 PA	2.5	1,631	6	26	238*	297*	338*	+7	+3	0.7	1.1
/162	664	2	11	+2.9	+1.3	0.3	pk7: 2
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nayerich Waterfort (OGILVIE)	21	48→53	32→37	49→54	55	208/286/291	83	288	1	2	27%	7%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	44→54	39→45	50	42	209/270/300	91	293	6	11	29%	7%	62	-1.4	235/286/340	105	319	10	10	28%	6%	77	-0.3	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/265/295	82	297	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.7	241/298/346	105	336	10	30	29%	7%	83	+0.1	250/304/340	90	346	8	39	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	46→56	38→40	52→50	44	219/270/303	84	277	4	14	22%	6%	62	-1.4	232/283/326	94	288	8	14	21%	6%	72	-0.7	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	45	36→40	50	43	214/272/279	65	268	3	13	21%	5%	58	-1.7	209/262/276	67	302	3	9	30%	5%	53	-2.1	237/299/326	89	314	5	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Tim Lopes 2015 · A	21	47→57	37→45	51→55	43	223/270/300	77	284	3	12	22%	6%	61	-1.5	249/300/328	79	321	3	19	22%	6%	79	-0.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Caicuto 2024 · A	21	48	37→45	46→50	46	223/294/301	78	298	4	6	25%	8%	72	-0.7	210/278/278	68	274	4	6	23%	6%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Nick Morabito 2024 · A	21	48→58	37→40	55→65	44	217/297/293	76	324	4	18	32%	8%	71	-0.8	250/316/335	85	345	6	36	27%	7%	87	+0.4	255/322/343	88	346	7	42	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕John Peck 2024 · A	22	45→54	37→45	52→55	47	210/296/285	75	305	5	17	30%	9%	70	-0.9	233/286/334	101	338	8	24	31%	6%	76	-0.4	243/293/356	113	343	10	27	31%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Evan Crawford 2010 · A	21	45→55	36→40	56→55	39	211/258/278	67	304	3	16	30%	6%	51	-2.2	233/275/316	83	328	3	18	28%	4%	67	-1.1	241/284/326	85	338	3	21	28%	4%	68	-0.9
✕Raynel Delgado 2021 · A	21	47→56	37→40	50→60	42	220/272/295	75	312	4	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	203/267/292	89	295	7	14	31%	7%	59	-1.6	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jose Duarte 2006 · A	21	48→57	40	50→55	47	228/285/329	101	293	7	11	24%	7%	74	-0.6	237/286/311	74	310	3	19	23%	6%	70	-0.9	226/292/310	85	281	6	14	20%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Dyan Jorge 2024 · A	21	50→52	38→30	51→60	47	238/293/323	85	295	5	15	21%	7%	75	-0.5	226/281/280	54	314	2	24	27%	7%	61	-1.5	223/282/264	41	312	1	31	27%	7%	55	-1.6
✕Emerson Landoni 2010 · A	21	46→56	37→40	45	46	218/283/290	73	282	5	7	24%	7%	65	-1.2	231/275/306	75	294	5	8	22%	5%	64	-1.3	259/302/329	70	307	3	4	16%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Starlin Rodriguez 2011 · A	21	46→54	35→45	53→50	40	212/275/278	66	295	2	16	27%	5%	59	-1.7	236/288/339	103	319	8	11	27%	4%	78	-0.3	238/290/347	109	318	9	11	26%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Isaias Velasquez 2010 · A	22	50→58	38→40	53→55	43	235/282/323	88	298	3	12	22%	5%	71	-0.8	246/297/332	86	306	3	19	19%	6%	78	-0.3	259/315/343	83	320	2	24	18%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	40→50	39→45	52→50	41	192/253/281	89	260	5	10	27%	6%	51	-2.2	222/270/312	90	297	7	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A	21	46→56	41→45	53→55	39	217/274/322	104	315	8	12	32%	6%	69	-0.9	233/298/339	106	319	8	12	27%	7%	82	-0.0	230/306/344	115	316	10	13	28%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Onil Perez 2024 · A	21	48	37→40	55	47	227/281/308	80	278	4	16	19%	6%	68	-1.0	216/286/290	74	269	4	16	20%	8%	66	-1.1	204/282/270	67	252	4	16	19%	8%	59	-0.7

Nayerich Waterfort

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps