Justin Capellan
C FCL Yankees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKDSL NYY Bombe… | 156 | .242/.370/.359 | 1 | 11 | 28 | — | .143/.260/.195 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKDSL NYY Yanke… | 186 | .255/.390/.443 | 6 | 16 | 37 | — | .146/.258/.241 |
| 2026 | 20 | ROKNYY | 173 | .221/.306/.390 | 4 | 5 | 22 | — | .145/.214/.258 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBNYY | 283 | .200/.267/.297 | 4 | 6 | 60 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBNYY | 47 | .206/.273/.316 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBNYY | 106 | .210/.277/.328 | 2 | 2 | 70 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 156 | 128 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 242 | 370 | 359 | 730 | 117 | 312 | 21 | 11 | 335 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 186 | 149 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 255 | 390 | 443 | 833 | 188 | 283 | 18 | 14 | 368 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 173 | 154 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 221 | 306 | 390 | 696 | 169 | 280 | 25 | 7 | 314 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 156 | 133 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 143 | 260 | 195 | 455 | 53 | 189 | 26 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 186 | 158 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 146 | 258 | 241 | 499 | 95 | 163 | 23 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 173 | 159 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 145 | 214 | 258 | 472 | 113 | 204 | 36 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 156 | 133 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 143 | 260 | 195 | 455 | 53 | 200 | 26 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 156 | 128 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 242 | 370 | 359 | 730 | 117 | 312 | 21 | 11 | 335 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 186 | 158 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 146 | 258 | 241 | 499 | 95 | 171 | 23 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 186 | 149 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 255 | 390 | 443 | 833 | 188 | 283 | 18 | 14 | 368 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 173 | 159 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 145 | 214 | 258 | 472 | 113 | 213 | 36 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Yankees | — | 173 | 154 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 221 | 306 | 390 | 696 | 169 | 280 | 25 | 7 | 314 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 156 | 134 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 142 | 260 | 194 | 454 | 52 | 189 | 26 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 186 | 160 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 144 | 258 | 237 | 496 | 94 | 163 | 23 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 173 | 157 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 146 | 214 | 261 | 475 | 115 | 204 | 36 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 156 | 134 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 142 | 260 | 194 | 454 | 52 | 189 | 26 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 186 | 160 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 144 | 258 | 237 | 496 | 94 | 163 | 23 | 9 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 173 | 157 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 146 | 214 | 261 | 475 | 115 | 204 | 36 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | NYY | 0% | 283 | 257 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 80 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 200 | 267 | 297 | 564 | 97 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 257 | 60 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | NYY | 34% | 136 | 124 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 272 | 312 | 584 | 107 | 275 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYY | 48% | 218 | 197 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 60 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 209 | 277 | 324 | 600 | 114 | 276 | 28 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 302 | 273 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 82 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 213 | 280 | 333 | 613 | 120 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYY | 55% | 357 | 323 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 96 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 215 | 283 | 339 | 622 | 124 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYY | 56% | 390 | 353 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 104 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 216 | 285 | 343 | 628 | 126 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYY | 55% | 403 | 365 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 108 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 215 | 284 | 340 | 624 | 125 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 55% | 406 | 368 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 110 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 213 | 282 | 336 | 617 | 122 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 399 | 362 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 109 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 211 | 279 | 329 | 608 | 118 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 390 | 354 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 108 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 208 | 275 | 321 | 597 | 114 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | NYY | 34% | 47 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 273 | 316 | 589 | 110 | 274 | 28 | 6 | 266 | 65 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYY | 48% | 106 | 96 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 277 | 328 | 605 | 118 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 273 | 70 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 159 | 144 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 214 | 281 | 337 | 619 | 124 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 278 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYY | 55% | 195 | 176 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 284 | 344 | 628 | 128 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 282 | 76 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYY | 56% | 217 | 197 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 58 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 348 | 634 | 131 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 285 | 77 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYY | 55% | 222 | 201 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 60 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 216 | 285 | 346 | 630 | 129 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 283 | 76 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 55% | 222 | 201 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 60 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 214 | 283 | 341 | 623 | 126 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 74 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 213 | 193 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 58 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 280 | 334 | 614 | 122 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 72 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 205 | 186 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 276 | 326 | 602 | 117 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 272 | 69 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1586 | 1437 | 307 | 62 | 8 | 33 | 111 | 431 | 24 | 35 | 10 | 214 | 281 | 337 | 618 | 123 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 279 | 67 | -50 | +3 | -2 | +28 | +34 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 126 | 25 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 177 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 214 | 281 | 338 | 618 | 124 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 279 | 67 | -21 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3606 | 3251 | 658 | 140 | 18 | 65 | 253 | 985 | 72 | 101 | 33 | 202 | 275 | 317 | 591 | 114 | 267 | 27 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -100 | +5 | -4 | +55 | +67 | 2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 118 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 178 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 201 | 274 | 316 | 590 | 114 | 265 | 27 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -21 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Yankees · 173 PAwOBA .305 → .200 (−106)K% 24.9% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.05% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 11.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 7.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.80% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .305 → .200; ISO .169 → .109; BABIP .280 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 186 PAwOBA .367 → .223 (−144)K% 18.3% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.28% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.98% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 9.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.76% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.13% | ÷1.113 | ×0.680 | ×0.998 | ×0.995 | 11.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.069 | ×0.600 | ×0.998 | ×0.995 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.943 | ×0.600 | ×0.998 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.093 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 2.23% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 123, 2B 114, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .367 → .223; ISO .188 → .095; BABIP .283 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 156 PAwOBA .331 → .210 (−121)K% 21.2% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.15% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.77% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.95% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 12.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.63% | ÷1.038 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 6.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.658 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.30% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 232, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .331 → .210; ISO .117 → .060; BABIP .312 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).