Justin CapellanC
DSL NYY Yankees
Age 20
R/R
5'10" / 180 lbs
ROK
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.1 · 2033
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .289 / .340
PA156
HR3
K%27
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
45→45
SPD
60→60
EYE
47↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.0peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +3.0 | $29M | +$28M |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +3.1 | $31M | +$30M |
| 2034 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +2.9 | $29M | +$28M |
| 2035 | Arb-1 | $5M | +2.8 | $29M | +$24M |
| 2036 | Arb-2 | $8M | +2.6 | $28M | +$20M |
| 2037 | Arb-3 | $10M | +2.2 | $24M | +$14M |
| Totals | $27M | $170M | +$143M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 156 | 135 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 9 | 11 | 2 | .148 | .253 | .200 | .453 | .052 | .222 | 30 | 6 | .218 | 25 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 186 | 160 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 50 | 7 | 16 | 4 | .163 | .264 | .281 | .545 | .119 | .200 | 27 | 8 | .241 | 43 | -12 | +2 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | NYY | 156 | 141 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .220 | .290 | .340 | .631 | .121 | .285 | 28 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | NYY | 235 | 210 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 61 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .224 | .300 | .362 | .662 | .138 | .287 | 26 | 9 | .301 | 89 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | NYY | 353 | 313 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 89 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .230 | .311 | .380 | .692 | .150 | .288 | 25 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | NYY | 432 | 382 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 106 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .236 | .319 | .393 | .712 | .157 | .289 | 25 | 9 | .316 | 100 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +12 | 2.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | NYY | 484 | 427 | 102 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 117 | 7 | 12 | 3 | .239 | .324 | .403 | .727 | .164 | .289 | 24 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | NYY | 514 | 451 | 108 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 124 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .239 | .326 | .404 | .730 | .164 | .290 | 24 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | NYY | 520 | 456 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 125 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .239 | .326 | .401 | .728 | .162 | .290 | 24 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 455 | 108 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 126 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .237 | .326 | .400 | .726 | .163 | .290 | 24 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 455 | 108 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 127 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .237 | .326 | .400 | .726 | .163 | .290 | 24 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.9 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 455 | 108 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 128 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .237 | .326 | .400 | .726 | .163 | .289 | 25 | 10 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.8 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 519 | 454 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 130 | 7 | 12 | 1 | .233 | .323 | .394 | .717 | .161 | .287 | 25 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | -2 | +9 | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 491 | 431 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 125 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .227 | .318 | .376 | .693 | .148 | .286 | 25 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +2 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 459 | 403 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 119 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .223 | .314 | .370 | .683 | .146 | .284 | 26 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +2 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.8 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 418 | 367 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 111 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .221 | .311 | .362 | .673 | .142 | .283 | 27 | 10 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +2 | -4 | +7 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 363 | 318 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 100 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .217 | .308 | .352 | .661 | .135 | .281 | 28 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 305 | 267 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 87 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .210 | .301 | .333 | .635 | .124 | .279 | 29 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -7 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 246 | 217 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 73 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .203 | .291 | .318 | .609 | .115 | .276 | 30 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -7 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2043 | 37 | MLB | NYY | 186 | 164 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .195 | .283 | .311 | .594 | .116 | .272 | 31 | 10 | .272 | 66 | -7 | +1 | -7 | +3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7583 | 6661 | 1505 | 281 | 38 | 210 | 742 | 1945 | 113 | 192 | 29 | .226 | .314 | .374 | .688 | .148 | .285 | 26 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -46 | +27 | -38 | +135 | +215 | 29.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 129 | 24 | 3 | 18 | 64 | 167 | 10 | 16 | 2 | .226 | .315 | .373 | .688 | .147 | .285 | 26 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -4 | +2 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 2.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 156 | 128 | 31 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 2 | .242 | .370 | .359 | .730 | .117 | .312 | 21 | 11 | .335 | 115 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 186 | 149 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 4 | .255 | .390 | .443 | .833 | .188 | .283 | 18 | 14 | .368 | 140 | +8 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 1.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Justin Capellan (OGILVIE) | 20 | 40 | 45 | 60 | 50 | .216/.289/.340 | .124 | .285 | 3 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Addison Russell 2014 · A |
20 | 48→52 | 49→55 | 58→50 | 45 | .235/.304/.393 | .158 | .314 | 14 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .241/.304/.403 | .162 | .308 | 17 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .241/.312/.408 | .167 | .299 | 18 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 96 | +1.3 |
|
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A |
20 | 48→44 | 45→50 | 48→55 | 46 | .232/.304/.355 | .124 | .309 | 12 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .239/.303/.370 | .131 | .306 | 13 | 16 | 25% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .238/.303/.382 | .143 | .296 | 14 | 19 | 24% | 7% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A |
21 | 43→45 | 45→55 | 50 | 43 | .213/.273/.339 | .126 | .289 | 12 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.292/.389 | .160 | .276 | 19 | 13 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A |
19 | 43 | 46→50 | 51→55 | 47 | .214/.294/.340 | .125 | .274 | 14 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.281/.362 | .142 | .292 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.253/.387 | .182 | .264 | 22 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A |
20 | 48→49 | 43→60 | 53→50 | 45 | .233/.286/.344 | .111 | .281 | 10 | 17 | 21% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .207/.254/.310 | .103 | .281 | 9 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .261/.323/.483 | .222 | .300 | 31 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 123 | +1.6 |
|
✕Gabriel Moreno 2021 · A |
21 | 47 | 47→45 | 52→45 | 44 | .234/.278/.373 | .139 | .262 | 13 | 7 | 17% | 4% | 79 | +0.3 | .273/.326/.410 | .137 | .323 | 14 | 8 | 19% | 6% | 109 | +2.4 | .295/.351/.419 | .124 | .354 | 12 | 9 | 19% | 7% | 118 | +1.4 |
|
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A |
19 | 45 | 41→55 | 55 | 43 | .216/.285/.315 | .099 | .290 | 7 | 13 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .204/.313/.323 | .119 | .295 | 10 | 23 | 31% | 12% | 83 | +0.6 | .202/.308/.336 | .135 | .284 | 11 | 26 | 30% | 12% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A |
20 | 47→48 | 47→45 | 52→55 | 51 | .222/.325/.360 | .138 | .317 | 14 | 14 | 32% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .212/.315/.336 | .124 | .285 | 12 | 17 | 27% | 11% | 87 | +0.8 | .208/.314/.324 | .116 | .273 | 12 | 19 | 26% | 11% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A |
20 | 46→45 | 44→50 | 49→45 | 42 | .228/.277/.347 | .120 | .291 | 12 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .227/.283/.368 | .141 | .281 | 17 | 7 | 25% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .224/.287/.379 | .156 | .259 | 20 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A |
20 | 48 | 42→50 | 52→50 | 43 | .226/.287/.342 | .117 | .320 | 8 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .206/.274/.311 | .105 | .300 | 9 | 11 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .220/.308/.345 | .126 | .328 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A |
20 | 44→50 | 45→55 | 50→60 | 40 | .221/.276/.342 | .121 | .296 | 13 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .205/.243/.307 | .102 | .275 | 11 | 12 | 29% | 4% | 46 | -2.0 | .240/.296/.401 | .161 | .286 | 19 | 35 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A |
21 | 42 | 46→50 | 52→40 | 44 | .205/.283/.341 | .136 | .298 | 13 | 8 | 34% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .199/.260/.324 | .125 | .272 | 14 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.251/.302 | .111 | .255 | 13 | 1 | 29% | 6% | 48 | -0.7 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A |
20 | 49 | 40→45 | 51→50 | 44 | .231/.300/.334 | .103 | .298 | 6 | 13 | 23% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .214/.266/.312 | .098 | .287 | 6 | 10 | 26% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.236/.286 | .092 | .269 | 8 | 8 | 30% | 4% | 36 | -0.9 |
|
●Jonathan India 2019 · A |
22 | 43→51 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 45 | .208/.290/.333 | .125 | .296 | 12 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.304/.340 | .123 | .297 | 12 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .243/.342/.393 | .150 | .294 | 17 | 11 | 22% | 10% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A |
19 | 48→44 | 45→50 | 53→45 | 44 | .235/.290/.363 | .127 | .295 | 12 | 8 | 24% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .202/.254/.328 | .126 | .277 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .213/.268/.374 | .161 | .271 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A |
21 | 45 | 44→50 | 55→50 | 43 | .222/.271/.351 | .128 | .275 | 10 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .228/.271/.337 | .109 | .304 | 7 | 9 | 26% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.276/.342 | .109 | .324 | 5 | 10 | 28% | 4% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A |
19 | 43→42 | 45→40 | 53→65 | 45 | .213/.281/.336 | .123 | .279 | 13 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.288/.298 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 21 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .165/.260/.259 | .093 | .238 | 9 | 30 | 32% | 10% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2022 · A |
20 | 47→50 | 46→55 | 52→50 | 40 | .232/.263/.360 | .128 | .263 | 13 | 15 | 18% | 3% | 70 | -0.3 | .246/.283/.399 | .153 | .306 | 17 | 14 | 25% | 4% | 89 | +0.9 | .251/.287/.420 | .170 | .321 | 19 | 11 | 28% | 4% | 93 | +1.2 |
|
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 45→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .213/.264/.339 | .126 | .281 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .248/.297/.383 | .135 | .313 | 14 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .257/.307/.397 | .140 | .313 | 15 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
●Derek Norris 2009 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 42→55 | 49→50 | 43 | .194/.269/.300 | .106 | .295 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .209/.301/.372 | .163 | .281 | 20 | 6 | 31% | 11% | 91 | +1.1 | .254/.332/.403 | .149 | .311 | 15 | 5 | 22% | 10% | 106 | +1.6 |