Denilson Aguila — OGILVIE

Denilson AguilaSS DSL Phillies White

Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+49

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .265 / .245

PA5

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	106	85	18	0	0	0	9	31	10	12	4	212	356	212	568		327	29	8	282	77	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	106	88	13	0	0	0	6	45	10	12	4	148	279	148	427		272	42	6	198	20	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	106	88	13	0	0	0	6	45	10	12	4	148	279	148	427		295	42	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	106	85	18	0	0	0	9	31	10	12	4	212	356	212	568		327	29	8	282	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	106	89	13	0	0	0	6	45	10	12	4	146	279	146	425		272	42	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	106	89	13	0	0	0	6	45	10	12	4	146	279	146	425		272	42	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		290	40	0	241	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	118	106	21	3	1	1	8	38	3	3	0	198	274	274	547	75	291	32	7	253	57	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	48%	263	236	47	6	1	3	18	82	7	7	1	199	276	271	547	72	292	31	7	261	63	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	—	54%	367	329	68	9	2	5	25	112	10	10	1	207	283	292	575	85	293	31	7	267	67	-15	+2	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	—	55%	439	393	82	11	2	7	31	133	12	12	2	209	287	300	587	92	294	30	7	270	69	-16	+2	+0	+5	+10	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	—	56%	481	431	90	12	2	8	34	145	13	13	2	209	287	302	588	93	294	30	7	271	70	-17	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	506	451	95	13	3	8	36	153	14	13	2	211	289	306	595	95	294	30	7	272	70	-18	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	517	461	98	13	3	9	37	156	14	14	2	213	291	312	603	100	294	30	7	272	71	-18	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	—	62%	520	463	98	13	3	9	38	158	14	13	2	212	291	311	602	99	293	30	7	272	70	-19	+2	-1	+6	+11	-0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	—	63%	515	458	95	13	2	8	38	158	14	12	2	207	288	297	585	90	293	31	7	270	69	-19	+2	-1	+6	+11	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	189	268	216	485	27	291	32	7	253	57	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	48%	127	113	24	3	1	2	9	39	4	3	0	212	294	310	603	97	292	31	7	261	63	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	—	54%	199	178	37	5	1	3	14	61	5	5	1	208	284	298	582	90	293	31	7	267	67	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	—	55%	243	218	45	6	1	4	17	73	6	6	1	206	282	298	580	92	294	30	7	270	69	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	—	56%	269	241	50	7	1	4	19	81	7	7	1	207	285	295	579	87	294	30	7	271	70	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	285	255	53	7	1	5	20	86	8	8	1	208	286	302	588	94	294	30	7	272	70	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	308	275	58	8	2	5	22	93	8	8	1	211	289	309	598	98	294	30	7	272	71	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	—	62%	321	286	60	8	2	5	23	98	9	8	1	210	289	304	594	94	293	31	7	272	70	-11	+1	-0	+3	+7	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	—	63%	323	287	60	8	2	5	24	99	9	8	1	209	291	303	594	94	293	31	7	270	69	-12	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2116	1890	394	53	11	33	151	643	57	54	7	208	287	301	587	92	295	30	7	270	67	-79	+8	-1	+23	+46	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	120	16	3	10	46	198	18	17	2	207	285	296	581	90	293	30	7	270	67	-24	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3837	3421	708	93	19	58	271	1182	111	109	18	207	287	296	583	89	295	31	7	267	67	-140	+14	-2	+40	+81	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	120	16	3	10	46	200	19	18	3	207	287	297	584	90	294	31	7	267	67	-24	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.3	2,176	34	56	209	284	301	+23	+18	1.0	1.1
/162	664	10	17	+7.1	+5.5	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Denilson Aguila (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	189/265/245	56	290	0	2	33%	6%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	44	-2.8	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	50	-2.3	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	36	-0.8
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→44	39→45	53→50	43	195/254/284	89	269	5	13	28%	7%	53	-2.1	216/286/322	106	302	9	13	29%	9%	74	-0.6	216/290/325	109	297	11	14	29%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Raymel Flores 2015 · A	20	39	36→45	49→50	42	182/261/255	73	288	2	10	34%	8%	49	-2.4	199/251/276	77	302	6	10	34%	6%	49	-2.4	187/239/252	64	286	4	11	34%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Hansel Moreno 2017 · A	20	44→33	37→45	50	41	207/257/284	76	292	4	10	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/250/300	95	306	8	15	34%	5%	54	-2.0	189/234/282	93	284	9	18	36%	5%	42	-1.6
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	39	35→30	49→55	46	184/261/240	56	270	2	16	30%	9%	45	-2.7	196/268/257	61	275	3	15	27%	8%	51	-2.2	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→50	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	50	-2.3	197/264/292	95	299	9	5	35%	6%	59	-1.6	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Jeison Guzmán 2019 · A	20	41→42	37→45	53→50	41	197/247/265	68	273	4	14	28%	6%	45	-2.7	208/247/300	92	282	7	12	28%	4%	53	-2.1	201/249/309	108	282	10	10	31%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕GJ Hill 2021 · A	20	40→28	39→50	54→55	33	180/237/268	88	341	6	16	46%	6%	42	-2.9	159/228/238	79	360	6	17	53%	7%	33	-3.6	173/234/327	154	248	20	28	38%	6%	53	-1.1
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→31	37→45	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	44	-2.8	180/251/307	127	326	15	16	46%	7%	58	-1.7	166/238/291	125	290	16	19	46%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A	20	43→37	36→30	51→55	44	200/268/273	72	300	3	14	32%	8%	55	-2.0	198/277/264	66	328	4	12	36%	10%	57	-1.8	180/269/235	55	301	3	15	37%	11%	44	-1.4
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2007 · A	20	41	36→40	53→55	41	194/255/261	68	274	3	13	29%	6%	48	-2.5	211/260/280	69	297	3	17	28%	5%	53	-2.1	219/264/289	70	305	2	19	27%	4%	53	-1.0
✕Nomar Fana 2023 · A	20	40	39→50	46→50	40	188/253/277	89	309	6	11	39%	8%	51	-2.3	189/266/296	107	304	11	12	38%	9%	60	-1.6	161/250/268	106	257	13	14	40%	10%	47	-0.9
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	46→40	40→45	57→60	43	221/278/318	97	302	7	17	28%	7%	69	-0.9	212/274/310	98	290	7	22	27%	7%	65	-1.2	203/265/310	108	257	10	33	24%	7%	60	-0.9
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→43	37→40	51→50	48	183/277/253	69	287	4	13	34%	10%	55	-1.9	198/260/272	74	269	6	8	27%	7%	52	-2.2	211/259/290	79	266	6	4	22%	6%	54	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps