Denilson Aguila — OGILVIE

Denilson AguilaSS DSL Phillies White

Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+42

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .265 / .245

PA60

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	106	88	13	0	0	0	6	45	10	12	4	148	279	148	427		295	42	6	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	106	85	18	0	0	0	9	31	10	12	4	212	356	212	568		327	29	8	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	—	—	60	54	9	1	0	0	4	20	2	2	0	167	250	185	435	19	290	33	7	241	42	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	—	34%	118	106	21	3	1	1	8	38	3	3	0	198	274	274	547	75	291	32	7	253	51	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	—	48%	263	236	47	6	1	3	18	82	7	7	1	199	276	271	547	72	292	31	7	261	58	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2027	21	MLB	—	34%	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	13	1	1	0	189	268	216	485	27	291	32	7	253	51	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	—	48%	127	113	24	3	1	2	9	40	4	3	0	212	294	310	603	97	292	31	7	261	58	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	168	150	31	4	1	2	12	53	5	4	0	207	287	287	574	80	302	32	7	259	56	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	120	15	4	8	46	205	19	15	0	207	286	288	574	81	302	32	7	259	56	-32	+3	+0	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	547	484	90	10	2	4	36	185	22	24	5	186	273	240	513	54	289	34	7	244	45	-34	+3	+0	+6	+15	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	107	12	2	5	43	220	26	29	6	186	273	240	513	54	288	34	7	244	45	-40	+3	+0	+7	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	106	85	18	0	0	0	9	31	10	12	4	212	356	212	568		327	29	8	282	74	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	228	2	6	200	274	273	+2	+6	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	7	18	200	274	273	+7.1	+17.5	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Denilson Aguila (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	189/265/245	56	290	0	2	33%	6%	42	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hansel Moreno 2017 · A	20	44→30	37→45	50	41	207/257/284	76	292	4	10	29%	6%	46	-2.0	201/246/295	94	305	8	15	35%	5%	45	-2.1	181/225/272	91	279	9	18	37%	5%	28	-1.8
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A	20	43→37	36→30	51→55	44	200/268/273	72	300	3	14	32%	8%	49	-1.8	199/278/264	65	331	3	12	36%	10%	52	-1.6	180/271/235	55	301	3	15	37%	11%	38	-1.3
✕Jeison Guzmán 2019 · A	20	40→42	36→45	52→50	40	194/244/260	66	269	4	14	28%	6%	35	-2.8	207/246/297	90	277	7	12	27%	4%	45	-2.1	199/247/312	113	276	11	10	31%	5%	47	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Raymel Flores 2015 · A	20	39	36→45	49→50	42	182/261/255	73	288	2	10	34%	8%	43	-2.2	200/253/278	78	302	6	10	33%	6%	43	-2.2	189/241/254	65	287	4	11	34%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2007 · A	20	41→40	36→40	53→55	41	194/255/261	68	274	3	13	29%	6%	41	-2.3	211/260/280	69	297	3	17	28%	5%	47	-1.9	219/264/289	70	305	2	19	27%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→42	37→40	51→50	47	186/277/258	72	293	4	13	34%	10%	51	-1.7	197/259/270	73	271	5	8	27%	7%	45	-2.1	213/260/298	85	267	7	3	22%	6%	50	-1.3
✕GJ Hill 2021 · A	20	40→27	39→50	54→55	33	180/237/268	88	341	6	16	46%	6%	35	-2.8	157/226/237	80	359	7	17	54%	7%	24	-3.6	171/235/325	154	252	20	28	40%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Gabriel Ovalle 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	57→60	41	173/225/241	68	239	1	15	27%	6%	22	-3.7	188/252/246	58	261	1	15	26%	7%	35	-2.8	179/270/216	37	224	0	32	18%	9%	34	-0.9
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Herson Perez 2017 · A	20	42	36→30	48→55	42	195/256/262	66	287	3	13	31%	7%	41	-2.3	207/271/259	52	276	2	14	23%	7%	46	-2.0	232/287/258	26	287	0	20	18%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Yeison Coca 2019 · A	20	44→29	37→40	50	35	208/239/281	73	297	3	12	31%	4%	37	-2.6	179/231/248	69	297	4	13	39%	6%	27	-3.3	154/215/210	56	264	3	15	40%	7%	9	-2.7
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	40→32	40→45	51→50	44	189/267/287	97	296	6	7	36%	9%	53	-1.5	190/262/303	113	294	11	12	36%	8%	56	-1.3	173/244/282	109	262	12	12	37%	8%	40	-1.4
✕Nolan Perez 2019 · A	20	36	38→40	45→40	36	178/228/253	74	267	5	4	34%	5%	27	-3.3	191/230/273	82	324	6	5	41%	4%	33	-2.9	174/195/256	81	303	6	1	44%	2%	11	-1.4
✕Yonki Hernandez 2011 · A	20	40	37→40	49→55	47	184/285/247	64	286	5	13	34%	10%	53	-1.5	192/272/262	70	296	4	18	33%	8%	49	-1.8	184/265/243	59	280	2	24	32%	8%	39	-0.8