Konner Eaton
P
Hartford Yard Goats
+1.0
WAR
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 216 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.9 · 2029
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.4%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%11.7%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.9peak
2029
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 9 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 16 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.82 | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 27 | 27 | 140 | 592 | 149 | 51 | 14 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 3.79 | 4.30 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 16.4% | 15.9% | 3.5% | 4.11 | 5.64 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 120 | 507 | 108 | 49 | 15 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +1.1 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | COL | — | — | 135 | 576 | 122 | 59 | 17 | 21.3% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.64 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | COL | 25 | 25 | 139 | 587 | 129 | 53 | 17 | 22.0% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.37 | +1.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | COL | 28 | 28 | 153 | 645 | 144 | 57 | 19 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | COL | 29 | 29 | 160 | 674 | 152 | 59 | 20 | 22.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.27 | +1.9 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | COL | 30 | 30 | 162 | 686 | 155 | 60 | 20 | 22.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.28 | +1.9 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | COL | 29 | 29 | 162 | 684 | 154 | 60 | 20 | 22.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.31 | +1.8 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | COL | 29 | 29 | 158 | 669 | 150 | 59 | 20 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.35 | +1.7 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | COL | 28 | 28 | 154 | 649 | 144 | 58 | 20 | 22.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +1.6 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | COL | 27 | 27 | 148 | 626 | 138 | 57 | 20 | 22.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.49 | +1.4 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | COL | 26 | 26 | 142 | 601 | 130 | 55 | 19 | 21.7% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.58 | +1.2 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | COL | 25 | 25 | 136 | 574 | 123 | 54 | 19 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.67 | +1.0 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | COL | 23 | 23 | 129 | 546 | 115 | 52 | 19 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.78 | +0.8 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 122 | 514 | 106 | 50 | 18 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.83 | 4.91 | +0.5 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | COL | 21 | 21 | 114 | 481 | 97 | 48 | 17 | 20.2% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 4.96 | 5.04 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 30 | 166 | 705 | 143 | 72 | 20 | 20.3% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 3.63 | 4.21 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 36 | 200 | 848 | 172 | 87 | 24 | 20.3% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 3.63 | 4.21 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Konner Eaton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.31 | 22.3% | 13.5% | 451 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Dalton Sawyer L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.07 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 160 | 97 |
| Pete Hansen L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.18 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .283 | 3.80 | 17.8% | 10.1% | 266 | -0.38 | 3.75 | 378 | 96 |
| Greg Farone L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.30 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .301 | 3.20 | 24.3% | 17.7% | 12 | -1.10 | 3.20 | 117 | 94 |
| Jackson Kent L 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.40 | 20.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 123 | 92 |
| Jonathan Santucci L 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.63 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 118 | 92 |
| Brian Holmes L 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.77 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 104 | +0.46 | 3.58 | 205 | 91 |
| Lucas Gordon L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 3.0% | .269 | 8.07 | 11.6% | 1.8% | 13 | +3.67 | 4.40 | 233 | 91 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.73 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .262 | 5.75 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.02 | 3.65 | 203 | 90 |
| David Parkinson L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.69 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .303 | 5.45 | 16.0% | 8.2% | 78 | +1.76 | 3.06 | 517 | 90 |
| Will Dion L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 22.3% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .289 | 4.52 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 216 | +1.13 | 3.39 | 448 | 89 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.73 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% | .315 | 4.79 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | +0.06 | 4.73 | 154 | 89 |
| Hunter Owen L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.14 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 197 | 89 |
| Luke Heimlich L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 118 | 87 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.53 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .349 | 4.13 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 175 | -0.40 | 3.93 | 264 | 87 |
| Aaron Leasher L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .301 | 4.17 | 19.8% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.21 | 4.10 | 477 | 86 |
| Austin Krob L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 19.9% | 10.7% | 1.5% | .329 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 6.7% | 171 | +0.50 | 3.56 | 280 | 86 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.62 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .263 | 4.28 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.34 | 2.32 | 304 | 86 |
| Will Johnston L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.96 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 4.18 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 70 | +0.22 | 3.96 | 162 | 86 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% | .288 | 3.85 | 24.0% | 10.3% | 102 | -0.55 | 3.85 | 191 | 86 |
| D.J. Snelten L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 18.5% | 7.8% | 1.7% | .349 | 3.35 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 217 | -0.13 | 3.25 | 373 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.9 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.9 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.8 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.7 | $16M | +$13M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.5 | $15M | +$10M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.4 | $14M | +$8M |
| Totals | $18M | $96M | +$78M | ||