Konner Eaton
P
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 216 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 1.3 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107116vR 125
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
K%19.9%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 131 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.4% | 6.8% | 29.5% | 0.0% | 0.82 | 0.89 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.4% | 6.8% | 29.5% | 0.0% | 0.82 | 1.01 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 140 | 592 | 149 | 51 | 14 | 100% | 5.2 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 3.79 | 4.28 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 140 | 592 | 149 | 51 | 14 | 100% | 5.2 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 2.4% | 3.79 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 14 | 14 | 67 | 291 | 64 | 40 | 10 | 100% | 4.8 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.78 | 5.77 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | COL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 54 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | COL | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.94 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | COL | — | — | 131 | 565 | 118 | 68 | 18 | — | — | 21.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.23 | 5.24 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | COL | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | COL | 29 | 29 | 164 | 692 | 144 | 66 | 20 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.51 | +1.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | COL | 28 | 28 | 166 | 701 | 149 | 64 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.42 | +1.9 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | COL | 28 | 28 | 166 | 701 | 151 | 63 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.38 | +2.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | COL | 27 | 27 | 164 | 690 | 149 | 62 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +1.9 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | COL | 26 | 26 | 159 | 670 | 143 | 61 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.50 | +1.7 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | COL | 25 | 25 | 152 | 640 | 135 | 60 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.63 | +1.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | COL | 24 | 24 | 142 | 601 | 125 | 58 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.81 | +1.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 133 | 561 | 114 | 56 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.89 | 5.01 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | COL | 20 | 20 | 123 | 518 | 103 | 54 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 5.10 | 5.24 | +0.2 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 113 | 476 | 93 | 52 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 5.33 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 72 | 304 | 63 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.81 | 4.75 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 111 | 469 | 100 | 42 | 16 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.71 | 4.66 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 132 | 557 | 120 | 50 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.65 | 4.62 | +1.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | COL | 23 | 23 | 140 | 591 | 127 | 53 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +1.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | COL | 24 | 24 | 141 | 595 | 127 | 54 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.76 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | COL | 23 | 23 | 138 | 583 | 123 | 55 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 4.90 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 131 | 553 | 115 | 53 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 4.99 | 5.09 | +0.5 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | COL | 21 | 21 | 124 | 524 | 107 | 52 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 5.19 | 5.31 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 115 | 486 | 97 | 51 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 5.42 | 5.56 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | COL | 18 | 18 | 107 | 452 | 88 | 49 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 5.68 | 5.84 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 203 | 203 | 1212 | 5118 | 1069 | 489 | 194 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 4.95 | 4.62 | +11.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 81 | 32 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 4.95 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 41 | 218 | 927 | 184 | 105 | 29 | 82% | 4.4 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 4.59 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 38 | 200 | 852 | 169 | 97 | 27 | 82% | 4.4 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Konner Eaton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 19.9% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.44 | 21.2% | 12.0% | 496 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Anthony Banda L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.03 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.10 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 85 | +0.07 | 2.98 | 876 | 85 |
| Brandon Schaeffer L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.08 | 16.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 134 | 85 |
| Mitch Horacek L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.49 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .306 | 3.79 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 248 | -0.70 | 3.12 | 466 | 83 |
| Dalton Sawyer L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.83 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 160 | 83 |
| Pete Hansen L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.17 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.84 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 325 | -0.33 | 3.66 | 437 | 83 |
| Adam Scott L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.53 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .318 | 5.02 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 136 | +0.49 | 4.53 | 315 | 83 |
| Tyler DeLoach L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 19.0% | 10.1% | 2.7% | .332 | 2.97 | 21.7% | 12.4% | 63 | -1.27 | 2.97 | 202 | 82 |
| Greg Farone L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.26 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .301 | 6.14 | 17.6% | 4.8% | 71 | +1.88 | 4.26 | 176 | 81 |
| Yohander Méndez L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.14 | 17.0% | 9.1% | 4.2% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 477 | 81 |
| Eric Lauer L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.13 | 20.2% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | 4.06 | 22.3% | 14.4% | 279 | -0.07 | 3.81 | 1,101 | 80 |
| Austin Krob L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.73 | 19.9% | 10.7% | 1.8% | .329 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 6.7% | 171 | +0.37 | 3.73 | 280 | 80 |
| Everett Catlett L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.82 | 17.6% | 10.0% | 1.7% | .325 | 5.22 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 78 | +1.40 | 3.82 | 211 | 80 |
| Lucas Gordon L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.60 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .269 | 5.90 | 20.7% | 8.4% | 87 | +1.30 | 4.60 | 308 | 80 |
| Matthew Boyd L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.62 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .252 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 13.1% | 518 | -0.26 | 2.22 | 1,376 | 80 |
| Damon Jones L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.16 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .321 | 3.96 | 25.8% | 10.9% | 156 | -0.20 | 3.85 | 269 | 80 |
| Matthew Crownover L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.57 | 12.4% | 4.3% | 248 | +0.27 | 4.30 | 377 | 80 |
| Roenis Elías L 2029 · 4.29 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.29 | 17.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .299 | 3.96 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 251 | -0.33 | 3.19 | 564 | 80 |
| David Parkinson L 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.55 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .303 | 5.56 | 16.0% | 8.2% | 78 | +2.01 | 3.08 | 517 | 79 |
| Aaron Leasher L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.5% | .301 | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.39 | 3.89 | 477 | 79 |
| Nick Raquet L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.31 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.60 | 421 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 11 | 149 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 1.24 | 4.66 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Zach Davies ('23) | 9 | 116 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 1.16 | 4.36 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Julio Teheran ('23) | 7 | 147 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 1.34 | 4.12 |