David Parkinson
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 30
LHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION56 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.76
FIP4.76
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.5%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%10.1%
IP57
K†4545
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 22 | 21 | 124 | 491 | 141 | 35 | 5 | 21.4% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 1.45 | 3.08 | +3.4 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 22 | 22 | 119 | 487 | 118 | 39 | 10 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 4.08 | 3.55 | +2.6 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 21 | 18 | 81 | 384 | 73 | 28 | 16 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.64 | 5.56 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 25 | 22 | 130 | 566 | 135 | 54 | 18 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 3.80 | 4.62 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 19 | 11 | 69 | 307 | 49 | 27 | 10 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 5.45 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 57 | — | 57 | 240 | 47 | 22 | 8 | 19.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 53 | — | 53 | 224 | 44 | 22 | 8 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 19.0% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 5.16 | 5.31 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 18.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.39 | 5.56 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 18.0% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 5.68 | 5.87 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 17.3% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 6.00 | 6.21 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 109 | 94 | 524 | 2235 | 415 | 201 | 65 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 4.28 | +6.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 36 | 200 | 853 | 158 | 77 | 25 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| David Parkinson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 19.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | — | 5.10 | 19.3% | 9.2% | 147 | +0.34 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Mann L 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 90 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 85 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 85 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 82 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 81 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 80 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 80 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 80 |
| Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 79 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 77 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.02 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .303 | 3.36 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.66 | 3.36 | 113 | 77 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2024 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 76 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 76 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 75 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2024 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 75 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.22 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 269 | 74 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 74 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 74 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.42 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | .202 | 4.09 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.33 | 2.37 | 296 | 74 |
| Kraig Sitton L 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.04 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 166 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.