Neftali Taveras — OGILVIE

Neftali Taveras P DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%17.8%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%4.5%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	12	0	18	89	16	14	1	0%	1.5	12.2%	19.7%	-7.4%	1.2%	8.00	5.23	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	12	0	18	89	16	14	1	0%	1.5	12.2%	19.7%	-7.4%	1.2%	8.00	5.23	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	12	0	18	89	16	14	1	0%	1.5	18.0%	15.7%	2.2%	1.1%	8.00	4.38	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	13	0	28	125	13	14	3	0%	2.2	7.1%	14.0%	-6.9%	3.8%	5.14	6.38	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	13	0	28	125	13	14	3	0%	2.2	7.1%	14.0%	-6.9%	3.8%	5.14	6.38	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	13	0	28	125	13	14	3	0%	2.2	10.4%	11.2%	-0.8%	2.4%	5.14	5.06	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	14	0	22	90	14	10	0	0%	1.6	10.6%	13.9%	-3.3%	0.0%	3.27	3.97	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	14	0	22	90	14	10	0	0%	1.6	10.6%	13.9%	-3.3%	0.0%	3.27	3.97	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	14	0	22	90	14	10	0	0%	1.6	15.6%	11.1%	4.4%	0.0%	3.27	3.19	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	KC	13	0	14	59	11	8	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	13.3%	4.5%	2.9%	5.27	5.27	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	25	0	26	109	21	13	3	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	2.9%	5.04	4.94	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	10	0	11	46	9	6	1	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	2.9%	5.04	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	9	6	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	2.9%	5.04	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	18	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.9%	7.5%	2.9%	5.04	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		39	0	68	304	29	48	6	0%	1.7	9.6%	15.6%	-6.0%	1.9%	5.29	5.33	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	0	200	894	86	140	17	0%	1.7	9.6%	15.6%	-6.0%	1.9%	5.29	5.33	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Neftali Taveras (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	17.8%	13.3%	2.9%	—	4.94	19.4%	7.5%	26	-0.33	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	91
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	91
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	90
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	90
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	88
Michael Hobbs R 2022 · 4.54 FIP	23	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.9%	2.3%	.232	4.48	20.1%	3.9%	158	-0.06	4.14	184	88
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	88
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	88
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	87
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	87
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	86
Luke Stofel R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	22	SU	4.26	17.6%	12.4%	2.0%	.328	4.42	14.0%	1.8%	147	+0.16	4.26	188	86
Brooks Crawford R 2019 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	14.9%	13.7%	2.2%	.262	3.56	22.1%	14.5%	103	-1.22	2.50	296	86
Kieran Lovegrove R 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.9%	12.6%	3.2%	.273	4.46	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.46	3.79	215	86
Miles Mikolas R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	16.0%	10.4%	2.7%	.275	4.29	14.9%	8.6%	57	-0.27	3.13	1,386	86