Victor Hurtado — OGILVIE

Victor HurtadoOF FCL Nationals

Age 19 L/L 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP266

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	155	133	29	6	0	3	17	33	2	3	1	218	316	331	647	113	260	21	11	293	84	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	168	140	33	3	1	2	19	23	8	6	3	236	359	314	674	79	270	14	11	317	100	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	155	141	22	4	0	2	9	46	2	3	1	156	217	227	444	71	204	30	6	204	24	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	168	148	24	2	1	1	11	34	8	6	3	162	257	209	467	47	201	20	7	215	32	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	155	141	22	4	0	2	9	46	2	3	1	156	217	227	444	71	208	30	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	155	133	29	6	0	3	17	33	2	3	1	218	316	331	647	113	260	21	11	293	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	168	148	24	2	1	1	11	34	8	6	3	162	257	209	467	47	204	20	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	168	140	33	3	1	2	19	23	8	6	3	236	359	314	674	79	270	14	11	317	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	155	143	22	4	0	2	9	46	2	3	1	154	217	224	441	70	204	30	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	168	147	24	2	1	1	11	34	8	6	3	163	257	211	468	48	201	20	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	155	143	22	4	0	2	9	46	2	3	1	154	217	224	441	70	204	30	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	168	147	24	2	1	1	11	34	8	6	3	163	257	211	468	48	201	20	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	WSH	—	105	88	16	2	0	2	12	29	3	8	4	182	301	273	574	91	237	28	11	272	70	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	WSH	—	105	81	21	3	0	3	19	20	3	8	4	259	417	407	825	148	300	19	18	373	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	WSH	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		267	27	9	260	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	WSH	—	116	98	17	2	0	2	13	32	3	8	4	173	289	255	545	82	227	28	11	271	69	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	225	201	43	7	1	4	18	57	4	4	2	214	291	318	610	104	273	25	8	274	71	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2028	21	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	352	315	68	12	2	6	28	87	6	6	2	216	292	324	616	108	275	25	8	282	77	-10	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	443	397	87	15	2	9	36	108	7	8	3	219	295	335	630	116	277	24	8	287	80	-10	+0	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	504	450	99	17	2	10	41	122	8	8	3	220	297	333	630	113	278	24	8	290	82	-11	+0	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	543	484	109	19	3	11	45	131	9	9	3	225	303	345	648	120	279	24	8	292	83	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	WSH	60%	566	505	114	20	3	12	47	136	9	9	3	226	303	349	652	123	279	24	8	292	84	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	WSH	62%	579	516	115	20	3	12	48	139	10	9	3	223	301	343	644	120	279	24	8	293	84	-11	+1	+0	-3	+13	-0.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	WSH	63%	582	518	117	20	3	13	49	140	10	9	3	226	305	351	656	125	279	24	8	293	84	-11	+1	+0	-3	+13	-0.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	579	515	115	20	3	12	49	140	10	9	3	223	303	344	647	120	278	24	8	292	84	-11	+1	-1	-3	+13	-0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	570	507	112	19	3	12	49	139	9	9	3	221	301	341	642	120	277	24	9	290	82	-12	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	77	70	14	2	0	1	6	19	1	1	1	200	273	271	544	71	272	25	8	261	71	-3	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	171	152	34	6	1	3	14	42	3	3	1	224	302	336	637	112	274	25	8	268	77	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	240	214	47	8	1	5	20	58	4	4	1	220	298	336	635	117	276	24	8	273	80	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	285	255	57	10	1	6	23	69	5	5	2	224	300	341	642	118	277	24	8	277	82	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	307	274	61	11	1	6	25	74	5	5	2	223	299	336	635	113	278	24	8	278	83	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	WSH	60%	342	305	68	12	1	7	28	82	6	6	2	223	301	338	639	115	278	24	8	279	84	-7	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	WSH	62%	362	323	71	12	1	8	30	87	6	6	2	220	298	337	636	118	278	24	8	279	84	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	WSH	63%	369	329	73	13	1	8	31	89	6	6	2	222	301	340	641	119	277	24	8	279	84	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	376	335	74	13	1	8	32	91	6	6	2	221	300	337	638	116	277	24	9	278	84	-7	+0	-0	-2	+8	-0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	370	329	72	12	1	8	32	90	6	6	2	219	300	334	634	116	276	24	9	276	82	-8	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2899	2586	571	99	9	60	241	701	48	48	17	221	299	336	635	115	278	24	8	277	79	-60	+3	-1	-17	+63	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	127	22	2	13	54	157	11	11	4	219	298	331	629	112	276	24	8	277	79	-14	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5277	4707	1026	175	26	104	431	1282	92	89	32	218	296	332	629	115	275	24	8	285	79	-106	+5	-2	-30	+107	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	127	22	3	13	53	158	11	11	4	219	297	334	631	116	276	24	8	285	79	-14	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,039	62	49	222	296	340	-18	+0	0.3	0.6
/162	664	13	11	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Hurtado (OGILVIE)	19	40	25	45	40	201/277/284	83	267	2	4	26%	8%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	40	-3.1	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	13	-1.4
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	49	-2.4	198/260/265	67	297	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/247/237	57	275	2	9	33%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A	19	42	40	43→30	44	208/267/295	86	269	9	3	26%	6%	59	-1.6	195/253/293	98	251	9	5	25%	7%	54	-2.0	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	68	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A	19	43	39→40	46→55	39	208/261/291	83	302	7	12	32%	6%	57	-1.8	222/284/296	74	295	3	15	24%	6%	66	-1.1	240/304/313	72	307	1	23	20%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	57	-1.8	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	73	-0.6	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	58	-1.7	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	12	-1.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Diego Cedeno 2011 · A	19	43	36→30	43→45	44	204/266/274	69	272	3	10	25%	6%	55	-2.0	218/290/270	52	272	1	8	18%	8%	63	-1.4	208/289/248	40	254	0	7	16%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Exicardo Cayones 2011 · A	19	46	36→40	43→45	43	216/284/293	77	285	2	8	24%	6%	66	-1.1	211/280/288	77	307	3	9	30%	7%	63	-1.3	219/296/292	74	327	3	10	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Rochest Cruz 2018 · A	19	46	36→40	43→65	52	214/289/283	69	266	3	10	20%	9%	65	-1.2	213/286/278	65	276	3	30	22%	8%	63	-1.3	205/284/259	53	265	2	47	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Daryl Jones 2006 · A	19	40→50	37→45	48→50	40	191/261/262	71	264	5	11	28%	5%	51	-2.3	208/273/299	91	279	7	13	27%	6%	63	-1.3	238/305/342	104	309	8	14	24%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	35→45	40→45	49→50	44	177/241/269	92	232	7	7	27%	7%	45	-2.7	205/249/284	79	288	4	8	29%	5%	50	-2.3	247/292/355	108	317	4	17	23%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Roman 2011 · A	20	45	40	46→45	45	215/275/308	93	292	6	5	27%	8%	65	-1.2	231/290/327	96	288	7	6	21%	7%	76	-0.4	249/309/344	95	292	8	6	17%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Luilly Baez 2008 · A	19	41	34→45	44→40	43	191/254/247	56	284	2	5	31%	8%	44	-2.8	213/291/302	89	281	5	5	24%	9%	71	-0.8	225/317/339	114	273	8	2	19%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	45→30	43	213/264/286	73	284	3	6	25%	6%	56	-1.9	204/271/265	61	298	3	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Kleininger Teran 2007 · A	18	43	36→30	46→45	46	204/263/271	66	266	4	5	24%	7%	52	-2.2	214/282/273	59	266	2	5	19%	8%	60	-1.6	228/286/289	61	277	1	3	17%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Lean Marrero 2017 · A	19	42	39→30	48→50	40	205/244/293	87	264	7	11	25%	5%	50	-2.3	211/257/287	76	280	5	9	25%	5%	53	-2.1	216/264/273	58	285	4	11	25%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	46	35→30	49→60	48	211/290/270	59	283	1	12	24%	8%	63	-1.4	229/292/289	60	291	1	24	20%	7%	67	-1.1	241/299/295	54	302	0	33	19%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Dario Unda 2015 · A	19	46	39→45	41→45	43	220/274/317	97	288	5	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	223/277/331	108	281	8	6	23%	6%	72	-0.7	224/275/343	119	274	11	7	22%	6%	72	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps