Victor Hurtado — OGILVIE

Victor HurtadoOF FCL Nationals

Age 19 L/L 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 70 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .257 / .266

PA70

HR1

K%26

BB%7

BABIP244

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	155	141	23	5	0	2	9	44	2	3	1	163	224	241	465	78	214	28	6	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	155	133	29	6	0	3	17	33	2	3	1	218	316	331	647	113	260	21	11	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	168	148	24	2	1	1	11	35	8	6	3	162	257	209	467	47	205	21	7	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	168	140	33	3	1	2	19	23	8	6	3	236	359	314	674	79	270	14	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	WSH	—	105	88	16	2	0	2	12	29	3	8	4	182	301	273	574	91	237	28	11	272	66	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
YTD	19	ROK	WSH	—	105	81	21	3	0	3	19	20	3	8	4	259	417	407	825	148	300	19	18	373	143	+5	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.8
ROS	19	ROK	WSH	0%	70	64	12	2	0	1	5	18	1	2	1	188	257	266	523	78	267	26	7	259	56	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		267	—	—	246	47	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	WSH	—	105	89	16	2	0	2	12	29	3	8	4	180	301	270	571	90	233	28	11	272	66	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
TOT	19	ROK	WSH	—	175	152	28	4	0	3	17	47	4	10	5	184	283	270	553	86	240	27	10	267	62	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	WSH	34%	229	205	43	7	1	4	18	58	4	4	2	210	286	312	599	102	273	25	8	273	67	-9	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	WSH	48%	355	318	69	12	2	6	28	88	6	6	2	217	293	324	617	107	276	25	8	281	73	-11	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	WSH	54%	446	400	88	15	2	9	36	109	7	8	3	220	296	335	631	115	277	24	8	286	77	-11	+0	+0	-3	+13	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	WSH	57%	505	451	99	17	2	10	41	122	8	8	3	220	296	333	629	113	279	24	8	289	80	-12	+0	+0	-3	+14	-0.0
2031	24	MLB	WSH	57%	544	485	109	19	3	11	45	131	9	9	3	225	302	344	647	120	279	24	8	291	81	-12	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.1
2032	25	MLB	WSH	60%	567	506	114	20	3	12	47	137	9	9	3	225	302	348	650	123	279	24	8	292	81	-12	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.1
2027	20	MLB	WSH	34%	79	72	15	3	0	1	6	20	1	1	1	208	278	292	570	83	273	25	8	261	58	-4	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	WSH	48%	172	153	34	6	1	3	14	43	3	3	1	222	300	333	633	111	276	25	8	269	64	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	22	MLB	WSH	54%	242	216	47	8	1	5	20	59	4	4	2	218	296	333	629	116	277	24	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
2030	23	MLB	WSH	57%	286	256	57	10	1	6	23	69	5	5	2	223	299	340	639	117	279	24	8	277	70	-10	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2031	24	MLB	WSH	57%	308	275	62	11	2	6	25	74	5	5	2	225	302	345	647	120	279	24	8	279	72	-10	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2032	25	MLB	WSH	60%	342	305	69	12	2	7	28	82	6	6	2	226	304	348	651	121	279	24	8	280	72	-11	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1429	1278	284	50	7	28	116	347	24	24	10	222	299	338	637	116	281	24	8	276	69	-50	+1	+0	-9	+40	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	130	23	3	13	53	158	11	11	5	224	301	341	642	117	283	24	8	276	69	-23	+0	+0	-4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	3039	2718	581	99	14	56	240	742	54	55	21	214	291	322	613	109	271	24	8	278	71	-101	+3	+0	-18	+86	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	124	21	3	12	51	159	12	12	4	213	290	322	612	108	271	24	8	278	71	-22	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	155	133	29	6	0	3	17	33	2	3	1	218	316	331	647	113	260	21	11	293	82	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	168	140	33	3	1	2	19	23	8	6	3	236	359	314	674	79	270	14	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,571	30	26	221	293	335	-9	+0	-0.6	-0.2
	/162	664	13	11	221	293	335	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Hurtado (OGILVIE)	19	40	25	45	40	184/283/270	86	240	3	10	27%	10%	62	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	52	-1.6	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	32	-3.0	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	1	-1.4
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	43	-2.2	196/259/262	66	296	3	8	32%	7%	43	-2.2	176/243/231	55	271	2	9	33%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	52	-1.6	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	38	-2.6	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	21	-1.3
✕Exicardo Cayones 2011 · A	19	46	36→40	43→45	43	216/284/293	77	285	2	8	24%	6%	62	-0.9	213/282/290	77	307	2	9	29%	7%	59	-1.1	225/301/299	74	331	3	10	30%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A	19	42	40	43→30	44	208/266/294	86	269	9	3	26%	6%	54	-1.4	194/253/293	99	250	9	5	25%	7%	48	-1.9	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	63	-0.2
✕Diego Cedeno 2011 · A	19	43	36→30	43→45	44	204/266/274	69	272	3	10	25%	6%	49	-1.8	218/290/270	52	272	1	8	18%	8%	58	-1.2	208/289/248	40	254	0	7	16%	9%	50	-0.6
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A	19	43	39→40	46→55	39	208/261/291	83	302	7	12	32%	6%	51	-1.7	222/284/296	74	295	3	15	24%	6%	62	-0.9	240/304/313	72	307	1	23	20%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
✕Daryl Jones 2006 · A	19	40→50	37→45	48→50	40	191/261/262	71	264	5	11	28%	5%	44	-2.1	208/273/300	92	279	8	13	27%	6%	59	-1.1	235/302/342	107	308	9	14	25%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Rochest Cruz 2018 · A	19	46	36→40	43→65	52	214/289/283	69	266	3	10	20%	9%	61	-1.0	213/286/278	65	276	3	30	22%	8%	59	-1.1	205/284/259	53	265	2	47	21%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Mario Gonzalez 2011 · A	19	42	34→40	43→40	45	196/255/243	46	257	1	5	23%	7%	36	-2.7	210/297/290	80	260	5	5	19%	10%	67	-0.5	198/315/284	87	228	7	3	15%	12%	76	+0.0
✕Kleininger Teran 2007 · A	18	43	36→30	46→45	46	204/263/271	66	266	4	5	24%	7%	46	-2.0	214/282/273	59	266	2	5	19%	8%	55	-1.4	228/286/289	61	277	1	3	17%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	45→30	43	213/264/286	73	284	3	6	25%	6%	50	-1.7	203/270/264	61	295	3	4	29%	8%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Lean Marrero 2017 · A	19	42	39→30	48→50	40	205/244/293	87	264	7	11	25%	5%	43	-2.2	210/257/287	77	279	5	9	25%	5%	47	-1.9	216/264/273	58	285	4	11	25%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	35	-2.8	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	66	-0.6	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Jose Roman 2011 · A	20	45	40	46→45	45	215/275/308	93	292	6	5	27%	8%	61	-1.0	231/290/327	96	288	7	6	21%	7%	72	-0.2	249/309/344	95	292	8	6	17%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Dario Unda 2015 · A	19	46	39→45	41→45	43	220/274/317	97	288	5	5	24%	6%	63	-0.8	223/277/331	108	281	8	6	23%	6%	68	-0.5	224/275/343	119	274	11	7	22%	6%	68	-0.1
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→40	37→40	49→50	44	189/267/264	76	304	4	9	36%	9%	47	-1.9	195/281/283	88	315	5	14	36%	10%	59	-1.1	194/297/288	95	310	5	16	35%	11%	65	-0.4