Jarol Capellan

SS DSL Orioles Orange

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 176 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL Colorado	112	.228/.366/.348	1	2	31	—	.143/.250/.194
2026	20	ROKDSL Orioles O…	140	.264/.364/.372	1	8	36	—	.169/.264/.218
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCOL	250	.222/.291/.305	2	4	70	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCOL	67	.237/.305/.343	1	1	75	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCOL	151	.240/.309/.355	2	3	79	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%92

Z-Con%88

Whiff%75

ISO45

wOBA44

Speed44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRaynel Delgado (age 21) · Matt Cerda (age 21) · Logan Watkins (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 117 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .288 / .303

PA117

HR1

K%25

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT61

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	140	111	31	6	0	0	15	22	12	2	1	279	420	333	754	54	344	16	11	354	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	112	92	21	4	2	1	16	24	4	2	1	228	366	348	714	120	299	21	14	332	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	140	121	32	10	0	1	11	16	8	8	2	264	364	372	736	107	298	11	8	339	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	140	116	23	4	0	0	10	27	12	2	1	198	326	233	559	34	242	19	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	112	98	14	3	1	0	10	29	4	2	1	143	250	194	444	51	198	26	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	140	124	21	6	0	0	8	19	8	8	2	169	264	218	482	48	197	14	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	140	116	23	4	0	0	10	27	12	2	1	198	326	233	559	34	256	19	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	140	111	31	6	0	0	15	22	12	2	1	279	420	333	754	54	344	16	11	354	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	112	98	14	3	1	0	10	29	4	2	1	143	250	194	444	51	203	26	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	112	92	21	4	2	1	16	24	4	2	1	228	366	348	714	120	299	21	14	332	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	140	124	21	6	0	0	8	19	8	8	2	169	264	218	482	48	200	14	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	140	121	32	10	0	1	11	16	8	8	2	264	364	372	736	107	298	11	8	339	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	140	117	23	4	0	0	10	27	12	2	1	197	326	231	557	34	242	19	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	112	97	14	3	1	0	10	29	4	2	1	144	250	196	446	52	198	26	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	140	123	21	6	0	0	8	19	8	8	2	171	264	220	484	49	197	14	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	140	117	23	4	0	0	10	27	12	2	1	197	326	231	557	34	242	19	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	112	97	14	3	1	0	10	29	4	2	1	144	250	196	446	52	198	26	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	140	123	21	6	0	0	8	19	8	8	2	171	264	220	484	49	197	14	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	0%	250	226	50	9	2	2	17	62	5	4	1	222	291	305	596	84	293	25	7	272	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	34%	196	177	39	7	1	2	13	48	4	4	1	225	295	319	613	93	294	24	7	279	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	COL	48%	311	280	64	12	2	4	22	76	6	6	2	228	298	329	627	101	295	24	7	284	79	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	COL	53%	392	353	82	15	3	6	28	95	8	8	2	231	300	338	638	107	296	24	7	289	82	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	55%	439	397	92	17	3	7	31	106	8	9	3	232	302	344	646	112	296	24	7	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	467	421	98	18	3	8	34	112	9	10	3	233	303	348	652	115	295	24	7	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2033	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	479	432	99	18	3	8	35	115	9	10	3	232	302	346	648	114	295	24	7	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	483	436	100	18	3	8	35	118	9	9	3	230	300	342	642	111	294	24	7	290	82	-10	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	478	433	98	18	3	7	34	118	8	9	3	228	298	336	634	108	293	25	7	287	80	-11	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	471	427	97	18	3	7	33	117	8	8	4	225	295	328	623	103	292	25	7	282	77	-13	+0	-2	+5	+10	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	34%	67	61	15	3	1	1	5	16	1	1	0	237	305	343	649	106	309	24	7	293	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	COL	48%	151	136	32	6	1	2	11	37	3	3	1	240	309	355	664	115	310	25	7	299	79	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	COL	53%	207	186	45	8	2	3	15	50	4	4	1	243	312	365	676	122	311	24	7	304	82	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	55%	240	216	53	10	2	4	17	58	5	5	2	244	313	371	685	127	310	24	7	307	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	260	234	57	10	2	5	19	62	5	5	2	245	314	376	691	131	310	24	7	309	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	263	237	57	10	2	5	19	63	5	5	2	244	313	373	687	129	310	24	7	308	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	264	238	57	10	2	5	19	64	5	5	2	243	311	368	680	126	309	24	7	305	82	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	255	230	56	10	2	5	18	63	5	5	2	240	309	362	670	122	308	25	7	301	80	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	248	224	53	10	2	4	18	62	4	4	2	237	305	353	659	116	306	25	7	296	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1955	1762	425	77	16	34	141	475	37	37	14	241	311	361	672	120	310	24	7	303	77	-43	+2	-2	+21	+42	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	141	26	5	11	47	158	12	12	5	241	310	358	668	118	310	24	7	303	77	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4225	3800	850	158	26	58	301	1009	95	87	29	224	297	325	622	101	288	24	7	282	77	-87	+5	-4	+41	+83	3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	131	24	4	9	46	155	15	13	4	224	298	325	622	101	288	24	7	282	77	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,072	32	40	230	297	338	+22	+18	3.6	3.4
/162	664	10	13	+7.1	+5.8	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jarol Capellan (OGILVIE)	21	56→61	30→35	50→55	51	220/288/303	83	293	1	2	25%	7%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Raynel Delgado 2021 · A	21	47→56	37→40	50→60	42	220/272/295	75	312	4	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	203/267/292	89	295	7	14	31%	7%	59	-1.6	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Matt Cerda 2011 · A	21	50→56	39→40	51→40	51	237/301/327	90	286	5	4	18%	8%	80	-0.2	238/321/314	76	304	3	5	20%	11%	84	+0.2	238/331/301	63	307	2	5	21%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Logan Watkins 2011 · A	21	51→54	36→45	51→55	46	233/295/305	72	317	2	11	26%	8%	72	-0.7	235/299/331	96	313	5	15	25%	8%	80	-0.2	232/301/333	101	306	6	16	24%	8%	78	-0.3
✕Charlie Tilson 2014 · A	21	54→60	38→40	52→55	42	257/293/338	80	317	6	11	21%	5%	78	-0.3	259/298/348	89	324	6	18	21%	5%	82	+0.0	266/308/358	92	328	5	22	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Cam Maron 2012 · A	21	51→58	39→40	47→40	50	242/311/324	82	301	6	5	21%	8%	83	+0.1	242/313/321	79	317	4	3	23%	9%	82	+0.0	242/317/316	74	319	4	1	23%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2016 · A	21	48→58	40→45	51→55	41	230/268/333	104	285	5	10	21%	4%	68	-1.0	240/294/349	109	333	7	19	28%	6%	82	-0.0	230/288/344	114	329	8	23	30%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Kean Wong 2016 · A	21	56→63	35→45	48→55	42	261/297/322	61	332	2	11	22%	5%	76	-0.4	252/293/333	81	319	5	12	22%	5%	77	-0.3	262/307/372	111	343	9	9	25%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Luke Shliger 2024 · A	22	48	39→40	47→50	46	228/295/315	87	300	6	9	25%	7%	75	-0.5	216/309/312	96	303	8	12	28%	10%	80	-0.1	213/312/314	101	295	10	14	28%	11%	82	-0.0
✕Danny Woodrow 2017 · A	22	49→59	37→30	53→55	45	226/289/308	82	313	3	11	27%	8%	71	-0.8	242/293/301	59	325	2	19	24%	6%	70	-0.9	254/301/314	60	340	2	23	25%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2019 · A	22	47→54	37→45	52→60	43	220/271/302	82	299	3	8	26%	6%	62	-1.4	181/247/263	82	287	6	9	36%	8%	45	-2.7	246/299/362	116	336	10	36	28%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Jorge Ruiz 2024 · A	20	54→52	38→40	51→50	45	252/308/336	85	308	4	12	19%	6%	84	+0.2	226/274/301	75	294	4	13	23%	5%	63	-1.3	220/267/292	72	284	3	13	23%	5%	56	-1.5
✕José Godoy 2016 · A	21	50	36→45	48→30	50	233/298/300	67	280	4	5	18%	8%	72	-0.7	247/301/320	73	296	5	3	17%	6%	78	-0.3	255/310/326	72	305	5	2	17%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Marcus Lemon 2008 · A	20	50→55	38→40	46→45	47	233/301/319	86	310	3	10	24%	8%	78	-0.3	248/302/338	90	307	5	8	20%	6%	82	-0.0	254/303/338	84	308	4	7	18%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Petey Halpin 2023 · A	21	49	39→45	49→50	45	231/293/327	96	315	5	14	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/276/331	113	309	10	12	30%	7%	72	-0.7	207/266/323	117	295	11	13	32%	7%	64	-1.1
✕Zack Granite 2014 · A	21	48→58	34→40	50→60	49	224/276/279	55	262	1	11	15%	6%	59	-1.7	236/285/297	61	283	2	19	16%	6%	66	-1.1	266/314/342	76	305	3	30	13%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	46	36→40	48→50	56	213/303/284	71	267	3	8	20%	11%	72	-0.7	201/263/273	72	258	3	7	22%	7%	53	-2.1	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Jin-De Jhang 2014 · A	21	48→56	38→40	48→40	46	225/279/305	80	277	5	6	20%	6%	66	-1.1	229/266/304	75	270	4	4	16%	4%	61	-1.5	247/283/318	71	271	4	1	10%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Tucker Barnhart 2012 · A	21	50→53	38→45	47→40	46	233/289/316	83	302	4	5	23%	7%	72	-0.7	228/287/311	83	285	5	3	20%	7%	70	-0.8	241/315/366	125	285	12	2	19%	9%	93	+0.6

Jarol Capellan

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps