Josiah Hartshorn

Josiah HartshornOF South Bend Cubs

Age 19 S/L 6'0" / 220 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION355 act + 236 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .303 / .384

PA236

HR8

SB5

K%27

BB%8

BABIP281

ISO161

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$13M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.5	$12M	+$11M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$11M	+$9M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+2.3	$9M	+$6M
2036	Arb-3	$10M	+2.1	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$26M		$65M	+$55M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A+	CHC	—	355	304	70	12	2	13	35	96	9	8	4	230	328	411	739	181	282	27	10	319	102	+1	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.9
YTD	19	A+	CHC	—	355	286	79	14	3	15	53	70	9	8	4	276	405	503	909	227	308	20	15	395	160	+24	+0	+0	-2	+10	3.3
ROS	19	A+	CHC	0%	236	210	47	8	1	8	20	65	4	5	2	223	303	384	687	161	288	27	8	318	102	+0	+0	-1	-1	+7	0.5
ROS	19	MLB	CHC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						290	0	0	307	93	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	19	A+	CHC	—	356	305	70	12	2	13	35	96	9	8	4	230	327	410	736	180	281	27	10	319	102	+1	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.9
TOT	19	A+	CHC	—	591	514	117	20	3	21	55	161	13	13	6	227	318	400	718	173	282	27	9	319	102	+1	+0	-1	-4	+17	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CHC	43%	581	515	122	21	4	21	51	156	10	9	3	237	318	416	733	179	291	27	9	322	104	+3	+1	-2	-3	+16	1.5
2028	21	MLB	CHC	61%	609	540	128	22	4	22	54	159	10	9	3	237	318	415	733	178	292	26	9	327	108	+6	+1	-2	-4	+17	1.8
2029	22	MLB	CHC	68%	627	555	134	23	4	24	56	160	11	9	3	241	323	427	750	186	293	26	9	330	111	+8	+1	-2	-4	+18	2.1
2030	23	MLB	CHC	71%	638	565	137	24	4	24	57	161	11	10	4	242	324	427	750	184	294	25	9	333	113	+9	+0	-2	-4	+18	2.2
2031	24	MLB	CHC	71%	637	564	138	24	4	25	57	160	11	10	4	245	326	434	760	190	294	25	9	335	115	+11	+0	-2	-4	+18	2.4
2032	25	MLB	CHC	71%	639	565	139	24	4	25	58	160	11	10	4	246	328	435	763	189	294	25	9	337	116	+11	+0	-2	-4	+18	2.4
2033	26	MLB	CHC	71%	642	568	139	24	4	25	58	161	11	10	4	245	327	433	760	188	294	25	9	337	116	+12	+0	-2	-4	+18	2.5
2034	27	MLB	CHC	69%	639	564	138	24	4	25	59	160	11	10	4	245	328	434	762	190	294	25	9	337	116	+12	+0	-2	-4	+18	2.5
2035	28	MLB	CHC	69%	633	558	136	23	4	25	59	160	11	9	3	244	328	434	762	190	293	25	9	336	115	+11	+1	-3	-4	+18	2.3
2036	29	MLB	CHC	67%	621	547	132	23	3	24	58	158	11	9	3	241	326	426	752	185	293	25	9	334	114	+10	+1	-4	-4	+18	2.1
2037	30	MLB	CHC	66%	610	538	128	22	3	23	57	157	10	8	3	238	322	418	741	180	291	26	9	331	112	+8	+0	-4	-4	+17	1.8
2038	31	MLB	CHC	71%	595	524	124	21	3	22	56	155	10	8	3	237	322	414	736	177	289	26	9	327	109	+6	+0	-5	-4	+17	1.5
2039	32	MLB	CHC	68%	577	508	119	20	3	21	54	152	10	7	3	234	320	409	729	175	285	26	9	322	104	+3	+0	-5	-3	+16	1.1
2040	33	MLB	CHC	73%	547	482	110	18	3	19	51	147	9	7	2	228	314	396	710	168	281	27	9	315	99	-1	+1	-6	-3	+15	0.6
2027	20	MLB	CHC	43%	252	224	53	9	2	9	22	68	4	4	1	237	316	415	731	179	293	27	9	311	96	-1	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2028	21	MLB	CHC	61%	371	329	79	14	2	14	33	97	6	6	2	240	321	422	743	182	293	26	9	316	100	-0	+0	-1	-2	+11	0.7
2029	22	MLB	CHC	68%	427	379	92	16	3	16	38	109	7	6	2	243	323	427	751	185	294	26	9	320	103	+1	+0	-1	-3	+12	1.0
2030	23	MLB	CHC	71%	454	402	99	17	3	18	41	115	8	7	3	246	328	438	766	192	295	25	9	322	105	+3	+0	-2	-3	+13	1.2
2031	24	MLB	CHC	71%	452	400	99	17	3	18	41	114	8	7	2	247	330	440	770	193	296	25	9	325	107	+3	+1	-2	-3	+13	1.3
2032	25	MLB	CHC	71%	453	401	99	17	3	18	41	113	8	7	2	247	329	439	768	192	296	25	9	326	107	+4	+1	-2	-3	+13	1.3
2033	26	MLB	CHC	71%	455	403	99	17	3	18	41	114	8	7	3	246	327	437	764	191	296	25	9	326	108	+4	+0	-2	-3	+13	1.3
2034	27	MLB	CHC	69%	444	392	97	17	3	18	41	111	8	7	2	247	331	444	775	196	295	25	9	326	108	+4	+1	-2	-3	+13	1.3
2035	28	MLB	CHC	69%	435	384	93	16	2	17	41	110	7	6	2	242	326	427	753	185	295	25	9	325	107	+3	+0	-2	-3	+12	1.2
2036	29	MLB	CHC	67%	415	366	88	15	2	16	39	106	7	6	2	240	325	423	749	183	294	26	9	323	106	+3	+0	-2	-2	+12	1.0
2037	30	MLB	CHC	66%	401	353	85	15	2	15	38	103	7	5	2	241	327	422	749	181	293	26	9	321	104	+2	+0	-3	-2	+11	0.8
2038	31	MLB	CHC	71%	422	372	88	15	2	16	40	110	7	6	2	237	322	417	739	180	290	26	9	317	101	+0	+0	-3	-3	+12	0.7
2039	32	MLB	CHC	68%	393	347	81	14	2	14	37	104	6	5	2	233	318	406	724	173	287	26	9	311	96	-2	+0	-4	-2	+11	0.4
2040	33	MLB	CHC	73%	397	351	80	13	2	14	37	107	6	5	2	228	312	396	708	168	282	27	9	304	91	-4	+0	-4	-2	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5772	5104	1232	212	34	221	530	1481	97	84	29	241	324	426	751	185	295	26	9	320	103	+20	+5	-30	-35	+164	12.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	139	24	4	25	60	167	11	9	3	242	326	428	753	186	295	26	9	320	103	+2	+1	-3	-4	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	8831	7803	1871	321	52	333	805	2271	151	130	48	240	323	422	745	182	293	26	9	330	111	+109	+7	-45	-53	+250	27.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	139	24	4	25	59	167	11	10	4	242	324	429	753	186	296	26	9	330	111	+8	+0	-3	-4	+18	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Craig Biggiolast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 5,068 PA	8	5,068	139	68	266	338	428	-9	-33	20.3	20.2
	/162	664	18	9	266	338	428	-1.2	-4.3	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	13	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
#2Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	/162	664	32	7	245	314	469	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
#3José Cruz Jr.last yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA	9	4,179	153	81	247	336	445	-35	-7	17.4	17.2
	/162	664	24	13	247	336	445	-5.6	-1.1	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	5,774	219	82	241	321	425	-35	-17	20.2	16.4
	/162	664	25	9	241	321	425	-4.0	-2.0	2.3	pk7: 13
#4Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	8	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.2
	/162	664	22	9	247	350	440	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
#5Jeromy Burnitzlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 4,012 PA	7	4,012	192	32	246	330	464	-34	-24	15.5	15.5
	/162	664	32	5	246	330	464	-5.6	-4.0	2.6	pk7: 15
#6Raul Mondesilast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA	6	2,604	108	89	251	326	456	-20	-6	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	28	23	251	326	456	-5.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josiah Hartshorn (OGILVIE)	19	35→52	44→53	48→42	44	227/318/400	173	282	21	13	27%	9%	102	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Travis Snider 2007 · A	19	47→53	50→60	47→50	43	237/292/389	152	313	18	7	30%	7%	90	+1.0	242/299/403	161	346	17	3	33%	7%	96	+1.5	244/307/431	187	323	23	5	30%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→49	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	111	+2.5	223/302/390	167	328	17	6	35%	9%	95	+1.4	221/302/428	208	278	28	9	31%	9%	103	+1.2
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→70	49→45	44	225/281/372	147	272	18	5	25%	7%	82	+0.5	253/302/420	167	306	22	7	25%	6%	102	+1.9	260/323/512	251	270	38	5	20%	8%	130	+3.2
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	39→49	53→70	46→45	44	207/282/382	175	291	21	5	35%	9%	85	+0.7	227/308/454	227	315	29	7	35%	9%	115	+2.7	242/333/468	226	340	30	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
✕Marco Luciano 2021 · A	19	46→49	50	46→45	45	227/301/381	153	314	17	10	32%	8%	92	+1.2	207/269/352	145	298	18	5	35%	7%	71	-0.3	204/288/354	149	289	19	8	34%	10%	77	+0.1
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Mike Carp 2006 · A	20	39→49	52→55	44→40	38	209/283/371	162	286	22	4	34%	6%	83	+0.6	233/304/371	138	296	16	3	26%	7%	91	+1.1	264/327/449	186	325	23	4	25%	8%	118	+2.0
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Nick Franklin 2011 · A	20	42→50	51→50	50	38	221/266/375	154	283	20	13	30%	5%	76	+0.0	231/284/364	133	298	14	13	26%	7%	79	+0.3	237/304/370	133	299	13	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8
✕Eric Arce 2012 · A	20	41	55→60	47→30	47	215/313/403	188	288	23	4	32%	10%	104	+2.0	199/289/354	155	336	18	4	42%	10%	81	+0.4	142/252/289	146	259	20	0	49%	11%	47	-0.5
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	40→50	49→60	50→55	37	208/257/357	149	297	17	12	35%	6%	67	-0.5	252/297/423	171	319	19	23	26%	6%	101	+1.8	273/321/471	198	320	23	21	22%	6%	120	+2.5
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	51→50	51→55	44	228/290/389	161	299	19	14	30%	7%	89	+1.0	230/292/361	131	296	15	18	26%	7%	82	+0.5	242/290/380	137	303	15	21	25%	5%	84	+0.4
●Kyle Blanks 2008 · A	21	46→56	51→55	50→45	42	236/301/399	162	298	19	7	27%	6%	97	+1.5	250/324/419	169	316	20	5	26%	8%	111	+2.5	250/332/420	170	319	21	3	27%	8%	112	+1.7
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→47	49→60	45→30	40	227/269/373	145	281	17	4	26%	5%	76	+0.0	210/245/360	150	253	19	3	26%	4%	63	-0.9	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
●Gary Sánchez 2012 · A	19	43→50	48→65	45	37	217/266/360	142	312	17	4	35%	6%	71	-0.3	226/274/364	138	298	16	6	29%	5%	76	+0.0	240/315/464	224	265	32	4	23%	9%	117	+2.4
●Jon Singleton 2011 · A	19	51→54	51→55	43→45	50	256/323/422	166	302	18	7	22%	8%	111	+2.5	227/297/362	135	324	15	5	32%	9%	85	+0.7	209/309/391	182	267	24	1	30%	13%	96	+1.2
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	45→50	49→50	43→45	42	229/288/376	147	300	16	5	29%	6%	85	+0.7	233/302/365	132	310	15	6	28%	8%	88	+0.9	229/307/354	125	306	14	5	28%	9%	84	+0.4
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	46→56	48→55	42→45	40	227/283/376	149	325	15	6	34%	7%	83	+0.6	217/273/363	146	324	14	6	35%	6%	76	+0.0	247/298/412	164	344	17	8	31%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Nick Weglarz 2008 · A	20	43→47	50→55	44→45	46	218/295/370	152	303	18	3	33%	9%	87	+0.8	225/308/379	154	286	17	5	26%	10%	95	+1.4	223/311/383	161	271	18	5	24%	10%	95	+1.0