Josiah Hartshorn

Josiah HartshornRF South Bend Cubs

Age 19 S/L 6'0" / 220 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION547 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†112

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP298

ISO182

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$78M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2032	Arb-1	$6M	+2.1	$11M	+$7M
2033	Arb-2	$10M	+2.1	$10M	+$5M
2034	Arb-3	$15M	+2.1	$9M	+$3M
Totals		$34M		$63M	+$46M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	19	A+ MLE	CHC	—	547	468	113	22	4	19	59	145	10	16	5	241	339	427	766	186	299	27	11	334	112	+8	+1	+0	-6	+12	1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	CHC	—	177	139	38	9	1	5	34	27	3	4	2	273	426	460	887	187	306	15	19	397	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ RAW	CHC	—	370	300	89	17	4	18	54	79	7	12	3	297	416	560	976	263	335	21	15	416	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A+ MLE	CHC	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		296	22	11	334	112	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A+ MLE	CHC	—	556	476	114	22	4	19	60	147	10	16	5	239	337	422	759	183	297	26	11	334	112	+8	+1	-0	-6	+12	1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CHC	50%	581	508	124	23	4	21	59	148	9	10	3	244	333	429	762	185	298	25	10	338	115	+10	+1	-3	-6	+13	1.5
2028	21	MLB MLE	CHC	69%	609	533	132	25	4	23	62	150	9	10	3	248	336	439	775	191	299	25	10	344	119	+14	+1	-3	-7	+13	1.9
2029	22	MLB MLE	CHC	77%	627	548	138	26	4	25	64	151	10	10	3	252	341	451	792	199	299	24	10	348	122	+16	+1	-3	-7	+14	2.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	CHC	80%	638	557	141	26	4	26	66	151	10	10	3	253	343	454	797	201	299	24	10	351	124	+18	+1	-3	-7	+14	2.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	CHC	80%	637	556	141	26	4	26	66	150	10	10	3	254	343	455	798	201	300	24	10	354	126	+20	+1	-3	-7	+14	2.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	CHC	79%	639	557	142	26	4	27	67	149	10	10	3	255	345	461	807	206	300	23	10	356	127	+20	+1	-3	-7	+14	2.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	CHC	79%	642	559	143	26	4	27	68	150	10	10	3	256	347	462	808	206	300	23	11	356	127	+21	+1	-3	-7	+14	2.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	CHC	78%	639	556	142	26	4	27	68	150	10	10	3	255	347	462	809	207	300	23	11	356	127	+21	+1	-3	-7	+14	2.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	CHC	77%	633	550	141	26	4	27	68	149	10	10	3	256	349	465	814	209	299	24	11	355	127	+20	+1	-3	-7	+14	2.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	CHC	75%	621	539	137	25	4	26	67	148	10	9	3	254	347	460	808	206	298	24	11	353	125	+19	+1	-4	-7	+13	2.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	CHC	74%	610	530	132	24	3	25	66	147	9	9	2	249	342	447	789	198	297	24	11	351	123	+17	+1	-5	-7	+13	2.0
2038	31	MLB MLE	CHC	73%	595	517	127	23	3	24	64	145	9	8	2	246	339	441	780	195	295	24	11	347	121	+15	+1	-5	-6	+13	1.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	CHC	72%	577	501	121	22	3	22	62	143	9	7	2	242	336	429	765	188	291	25	11	341	117	+12	+1	-6	-6	+13	1.3
2040	33	MLB MLE	CHC	72%	547	475	114	20	3	21	59	138	8	7	2	240	334	427	761	187	286	25	11	333	112	+8	+1	-7	-6	+12	0.8
2041	34	MLB MLE	CHC	68%	499	436	100	17	3	18	53	129	7	6	2	229	323	406	729	177	280	26	11	324	106	+3	+0	-7	-5	+11	0.2
2042	35	MLB MLE	CHC	63%	443	387	85	14	2	15	47	118	6	5	1	220	314	382	696	163	273	27	11	314	98	-1	+1	-8	-5	+10	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	CHC	50%	292	256	62	12	2	10	30	74	4	5	1	242	331	422	753	180	300	25	10	327	115	+5	+1	-1	-3	+6	0.8
2028	21	MLB CTX	CHC	69%	420	368	91	17	3	16	43	103	6	7	2	247	336	440	776	193	301	25	10	332	119	+9	+1	-2	-4	+9	1.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	CHC	77%	480	421	106	20	4	18	49	116	7	8	2	252	340	447	786	195	301	24	10	336	122	+12	+1	-2	-5	+10	1.7
2030	23	MLB CTX	CHC	80%	509	443	113	21	4	20	53	121	8	8	2	255	345	456	801	201	301	24	10	339	124	+14	+1	-2	-5	+11	1.9
2031	24	MLB CTX	CHC	80%	506	440	113	21	4	20	53	119	8	8	2	257	347	459	806	202	302	24	10	342	126	+15	+1	-2	-5	+11	2.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	CHC	79%	507	441	113	21	4	20	53	119	8	8	2	256	347	458	805	202	302	23	10	344	127	+16	+1	-2	-5	+11	2.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	CHC	79%	509	442	114	21	4	21	54	119	8	8	2	258	349	466	815	208	302	23	11	344	127	+17	+1	-2	-5	+11	2.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	CHC	78%	497	433	111	21	4	20	53	117	8	8	2	256	348	462	810	206	302	24	11	344	127	+16	+1	-2	-5	+11	2.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	CHC	77%	487	425	108	20	3	20	52	115	7	7	2	254	345	456	802	202	301	24	11	343	127	+15	+1	-3	-5	+11	1.9
2036	29	MLB CTX	CHC	75%	465	405	103	19	3	19	50	111	7	7	2	254	346	457	803	202	300	24	11	341	125	+14	+1	-3	-5	+10	1.7
2037	30	MLB CTX	CHC	74%	449	391	98	18	3	18	48	108	7	6	2	251	343	450	793	199	299	24	11	339	123	+13	+0	-4	-5	+10	1.5
2038	31	MLB CTX	CHC	73%	433	376	93	17	3	17	47	105	7	6	2	247	342	444	786	197	296	24	11	335	121	+11	+0	-4	-5	+9	1.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	CHC	72%	418	364	89	16	3	16	45	103	6	5	2	245	337	437	774	192	293	25	11	329	117	+8	+0	-4	-4	+9	0.9
2040	33	MLB CTX	CHC	72%	395	344	80	14	2	14	42	100	6	5	1	233	327	407	734	174	288	25	11	322	112	+6	+1	-5	-4	+9	0.6
2041	34	MLB CTX	CHC	68%	338	294	67	11	2	12	36	88	5	4	1	228	322	401	724	173	282	26	11	313	106	+2	+0	-5	-4	+7	0.2
2042	35	MLB CTX	CHC	63%	280	244	54	9	2	9	30	75	4	3	1	221	317	385	702	164	275	27	11	303	98	-1	+0	-5	-3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6985	6087	1515	278	50	270	738	1693	106	103	28	249	340	444	784	195	299	24	11	335	120	+174	+9	-48	-75	+151	21.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	141	26	5	25	69	158	10	10	3	249	341	445	786	196	301	24	11	335	120	+16	+1	-5	-7	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	9546	8317	2061	375	57	380	1007	2318	146	141	41	248	339	444	783	196	297	24	11	346	120	+232	+12	-67	-102	+207	28.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	141	26	4	26	69	158	10	10	3	249	341	447	788	198	299	24	11	346	120	+16	+1	-5	-7	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	12.5	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	42.0
/162	664	28	12	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#2Edwin Encarnaciónlast yr '20 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,126 PA	12.2	8,126	424	61	260	350	496	-77	-92	42.0	34.4
/162	664	35	5	-6.3	-7.5	3.4	pk7: 27
#3José Bautistalast yr '18 ASGG×4SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,213 PA	10.9	7,213	344	69	248	362	476	-56	-94	36.0	34.1
/162	664	32	6	-5.1	-8.6	3.3	pk7: 32
#4Vernon Wellslast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,118 PA	10.7	7,118	269	108	270	319	461	+0	-19	32.9	31.8
/162	664	25	10	+0.0	-1.8	3.1	pk7: 31
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	10.5	6,998	280	103	250	337	447	-42	-19	33.4	26.4
/162	664	27	10	-4.0	-1.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#5Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	9.5	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
/162	664	26	1	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#6Mike Napolilast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,330 PA	8.0	5,330	267	39	246	346	475	-19	-59	26.4	24.3
/162	664	33	5	-2.3	-7.4	3.3	pk7: 22

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josiah Hartshorn (OGILVIE)	19	40→50	47→53	49→43	40	238/327/420	182	296	11	8	26%	10%	112	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→48	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	109	+2.0	222/302/389	167	323	18	6	34%	9%	95	+1.0	219/301/418	199	277	26	10	30%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	50→60	45→50	41	254/302/415	161	312	16	9	24%	5%	101	+1.4	215/280/315	100	345	8	5	37%	7%	70	-0.9	183/261/256	73	332	4	0	42%	8%	46	-0.6
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→54	50→65	53→45	44	239/293/388	149	284	20	10	24%	6%	91	+0.7	256/302/442	186	299	26	6	23%	6%	107	+1.9	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	48→57	51→50	47→40	51	240/336/412	172	309	18	8	27%	10%	114	+2.3	241/321/361	120	299	12	3	22%	9%	96	+1.0	245/321/344	99	301	10	1	21%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	46→49	54→55	45→55	51	235/324/415	180	304	22	7	29%	10%	109	+2.0	209/292/354	145	278	16	9	29%	10%	84	+0.1	221/295/327	106	285	9	13	24%	9%	76	-0.3
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	38→48	54→70	46→45	42	204/276/383	178	286	22	5	35%	8%	84	+0.2	224/304/440	216	310	27	7	35%	9%	108	+1.9	243/334/470	227	339	30	2	35%	11%	122	+2.7
★Corey Seager 2014 · A	20	45→55	50→65	50→45	43	233/287/390	157	292	18	9	27%	7%	90	+0.6	269/317/451	182	329	19	6	23%	6%	114	+2.4	287/349/471	183	334	20	4	19%	8%	128	+3.6
●Tyler Soderstrom 2022 · A	20	50→53	50→60	47→40	41	244/303/406	162	341	17	6	32%	7%	99	+1.3	218/270/398	180	289	24	2	32%	6%	86	+0.3	251/333/462	211	292	26	4	23%	10%	119	+2.2
✕Eric Arce 2012 · A	20	41	55→60	47→30	47	215/313/403	188	288	23	4	32%	10%	103	+1.6	199/289/354	155	336	18	4	42%	10%	83	+0.1	142/252/289	146	259	20	0	49%	11%	53	-0.5
●Wander Franco 2019 · A	18	51→57	49→55	49→55	50	256/306/410	154	268	17	5	12%	6%	101	+1.4	263/317/398	135	286	11	9	12%	7%	102	+1.5	278/337/452	174	298	16	20	12%	8%	118	+2.0
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	41→51	58→55	45→50	46	221/312/425	204	289	27	6	32%	9%	108	+1.9	220/299/395	175	286	20	7	29%	8%	96	+1.0	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
●Eddie Rosario 2012 · A	20	46→56	54→60	55→50	41	241/281/417	177	291	22	16	26%	6%	94	+0.9	244/282/386	142	304	13	10	23%	5%	86	+0.3	280/316/488	208	299	28	7	17%	5%	120	+2.7
✕Francisco Alvarez 2022 · A	20	45	59→60	44→40	48	241/324/453	212	300	28	8	29%	9%	118	+2.7	229/305/429	200	282	27	4	29%	9%	106	+1.8	229/304/430	202	273	28	2	27%	9%	104	+1.1
●Julio Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	49→56	47→60	48→55	41	242/295/387	145	313	13	6	26%	5%	91	+0.7	282/340/472	190	354	23	23	26%	7%	128	+3.3	287/348/497	210	352	27	29	25%	7%	132	+3.3
✕Marco Luciano 2021 · A	19	46→47	50	46→45	45	227/301/381	153	314	17	10	32%	8%	93	+0.8	206/269/350	144	298	17	5	35%	7%	74	-0.5	203/289/345	142	291	18	7	34%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Eric Campbell 2006 · A	20	43→49	55	50	39	228/278/420	192	294	23	12	31%	6%	94	+0.9	226/272/395	169	257	22	9	22%	5%	86	+0.3	227/289/374	147	255	18	3	18%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	51→54	46→50	46→55	55	252/334/383	131	290	14	14	18%	10%	105	+1.7	229/302/359	130	266	15	21	19%	9%	88	+0.4	216/294/338	122	249	13	22	19%	9%	78	-0.2
●Kyle Blanks 2008 · A	21	46→56	51→55	50→45	42	236/301/399	162	298	19	7	27%	6%	97	+1.1	250/323/412	162	315	19	5	26%	8%	108	+1.9	249/331/412	163	318	19	3	26%	8%	108	+1.3
✕Jon Singleton 2011 · A	19	49→51	49→55	43→45	50	247/314/397	150	294	16	7	22%	8%	101	+1.4	230/302/363	133	322	15	5	31%	9%	88	+0.5	203/305/370	167	261	22	1	30%	13%	90	+0.5
✕Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	95	+0.9	204/301/365	161	275	19	9	31%	11%	90	+0.6	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps