Moises Morales

P Hickory Crawdads

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKDSL Rangers R…	14	0	29	1.84	2.90	29.3%	10.3%	—	K 19.9% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.05
2025	21	ROKTEX	14	4	41	3.51	2.59	22.9%	8.9%	—	K 15.6% · BB 11.2% · FIP 3.53
2026	22	MIX2 levels	22	13	101	3.22	3.15	25.6%	6.4%	—	K 19.4% · BB 7.5% · FIP 4.30
2027PROJ	23	MLBTEX	65	0	68	4.96	4.96	17.5%	10.2%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBTEX	38	0	40	4.83	4.79	18.5%	9.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBTEX	59	0	62	4.74	4.70	19.2%	9.5%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control40Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsHouston Roth (age 23) · Anyelo Gómez (age 23) · Dakota Hawkins (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%17.5%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%7.3%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	4	0	5	29	3	3	2	0%	1.2	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	6.9%	7.20	7.32	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	4	0	5	29	3	3	2	0%	1.2	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	6.9%	7.20	8.90	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	14	0	29	116	34	12	2	0%	2.1	19.9%	12.9%	7.0%	1.8%	1.84	4.05	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	14	0	29	116	34	12	2	0%	2.1	19.9%	12.9%	7.0%	1.8%	1.84	4.05	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	14	0	29	116	34	12	2	0%	2.1	29.3%	10.3%	19.0%	1.7%	1.84	2.90	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	14	4	41	179	41	16	1	29%	2.9	15.6%	11.2%	4.4%	0.6%	3.51	3.53	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	14	4	41	179	41	16	1	29%	2.9	15.6%	11.2%	4.4%	0.6%	3.51	3.53	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	14	4	41	179	41	16	1	29%	2.9	22.9%	8.9%	14.0%	0.6%	3.51	2.59	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	13	101	391	100	25	10	59%	4.6	19.4%	7.5%	11.9%	3.4%	3.22	4.30	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	13	101	391	100	25	10	59%	4.6	19.4%	7.5%	11.9%	3.4%	3.22	4.30	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	13	101	391	100	25	10	59%	4.6	25.6%	6.4%	19.2%	2.6%	3.22	3.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	TEX	65	0	68	287	50	29	9	0%	1.0	17.5%	10.2%	7.3%	3.0%	4.96	4.96	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	88	0	93	392	73	38	12	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.8%	8.8%	3.0%	4.83	4.79	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	TEX	90	0	94	397	76	38	12	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.5%	9.7%	3.0%	4.74	4.70	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	TEX	90	0	94	397	77	37	12	0%	1.0	19.5%	9.3%	10.2%	3.0%	4.68	4.65	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	TEX	88	0	93	391	77	37	12	0%	1.1	19.6%	9.4%	10.2%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	TEX	86	0	90	380	74	36	12	0%	1.0	19.4%	9.5%	9.9%	3.1%	4.73	4.76	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	TEX	82	0	86	363	70	35	12	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.8%	9.4%	3.3%	4.83	4.89	-0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	TEX	77	0	81	341	64	34	12	0%	1.0	18.8%	10.1%	8.8%	3.5%	4.97	5.07	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	38	0	40	169	31	17	5	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.8%	8.8%	3.0%	4.83	4.79	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	TEX	59	0	62	262	50	25	8	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.5%	9.7%	3.0%	4.74	4.70	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	TEX	71	0	75	317	62	30	9	0%	1.1	19.5%	9.3%	10.2%	3.0%	4.68	4.65	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	TEX	75	0	79	334	65	31	10	0%	1.1	19.6%	9.4%	10.2%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	TEX	76	0	80	338	66	32	11	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.5%	9.9%	3.1%	4.73	4.76	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	TEX	74	0	78	329	63	32	11	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.8%	9.4%	3.3%	4.83	4.89	-0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	TEX	70	0	74	312	59	31	11	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.1%	8.8%	3.5%	4.97	5.07	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		465	0	488	2061	396	198	65	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.6%	9.6%	3.1%	4.78	4.41	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	81	27	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.6%	9.6%	3.1%	4.78	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		54	17	176	715	130	67	19	31%	3.3	18.2%	9.4%	8.7%	2.6%	3.17	4.19	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	19	200	813	147	76	21	31%	3.3	18.2%	9.4%	8.7%	2.6%	3.17	4.19	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Moises Morales (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	17.5%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.71	19.1%	9.5%	281	-0.25	—	—	—
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	92
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	91
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	89
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	88
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	88
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	88
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	87
Michael Santos R 2018 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	17.4%	9.1%	2.9%	.289	4.87	15.0%	6.4%	49	+0.46	2.26	276	87
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	87
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	86
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	86
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	86
Connor Johnstone R 2018 · 4.40 FIP	23	SW	4.40	15.7%	7.6%	3.0%	.272	4.51	12.9%	7.9%	166	+0.11	3.78	319	85
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	85
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	85
Dustin McGowan R 2005 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	16.6%	8.3%	3.4%	.286	3.65	19.1%	10.3%	308	-0.97	3.36	690	84
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	84
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.71	21.6%	11.0%	188	-0.66	3.16	266	84
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	83
Kyle Smith R 2016 · 5.05 FIP	23	SW	5.05	14.7%	8.7%	3.8%	.326	3.31	15.2%	9.5%	76	-1.74	3.31	159	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.5	87	19.0%	9.7%	1.20	4.79
Bill Fleming ('40-'46, 1 WAR*)	2.2	74	19.1%*	9.6%*	1.22*	4.54*
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
John Tsitouris ('57-'68, 1 WAR*)	3.3	110	19.5%*	9.7%*	1.30*	4.80*
Felix Doubront ('15)	2.6	103	19.5%	9.7%	1.10	4.89
Art Herring ('29-'47, 2 WAR*)	3.5	78	18.3%*	9.0%*	1.16*	4.44*
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81