Alexey Lumpuy

CF Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ACHC	429	.209/.294/.364	11	30	23	—	.147/.213/.253
2026	22	A+CHC	100	.341/.400/.549	3	13	101	—	.269/.320/.419
2026	22	ACHC	366	.258/.370/.371	7	40	61	—	.204/.293/.287
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCHC	576	.168/.242/.262	9	25	43	-1.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCHC	151	.176/.249/.279	3	6	49	-0.5

Next 2 projected WAR -1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed97

wOBA92

wRC+92

ISO76

Z-Con%47

K%20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJeren Kendall (age 23) · Willie Joe Garry Jr. (age 23) · Deivis Nadal (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .240 / .260

PA320

HR5

SB14

K%40

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	83	18	2	4	0	7	26	6	3	2	217	323	337	660	120	305	27	7	298	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	148	38	5	12	4	26	42	9	20	8	257	399	534	933	277	330	23	14	401	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	382	80	14	6	11	34	154	12	30	9	209	294	364	658	154	318	36	8	297	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	100	91	31	6	2	3	8	31	1	13	2	341	400	549	949	209	491	31	8	416	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	366	310	80	10	2	7	46	107	9	40	9	258	370	371	741	113	371	29	13	340	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	85	11	1	2	0	5	32	6	3	2	129	229	188	417	59	192	33	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	156	23	3	7	2	18	53	9	20	8	147	273	295	568	147	195	29	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	395	58	10	4	8	21	219	12	30	9	147	213	253	466	106	289	51	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	100	93	25	4	2	2	6	39	1	13	2	269	320	419	739	151	439	39	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	366	324	66	8	2	5	32	146	9	40	9	204	293	287	580	83	341	40	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	85	11	1	2	0	5	32	6	3	2	129	229	188	417	59	200	33	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	83	18	2	4	0	7	26	6	3	2	217	323	337	660	120	305	27	7	298	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	156	23	3	7	2	18	53	9	20	8	147	273	295	568	147	206	29	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	148	38	5	12	4	26	42	9	20	8	257	399	534	933	277	330	23	14	401	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	395	58	10	4	8	21	219	12	30	9	147	213	253	466	106	298	51	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	382	80	14	6	11	34	154	12	30	9	209	294	364	658	154	318	36	8	297	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	417	90	12	3	7	38	185	10	53	11	216	297	309	606	94	367	40	8	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	466	401	111	16	4	10	54	138	10	53	11	277	376	411	788	135	398	30	12	357	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	98	87	11	1	2	0	5	32	6	3	2	126	229	184	413	57	192	33	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	156	23	3	7	2	18	53	9	20	8	147	273	295	568	147	195	29	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	393	58	10	4	8	21	219	12	30	9	148	213	254	467	107	289	51	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	415	90	12	3	7	38	185	10	53	11	217	297	311	608	94	362	40	8	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	185	156	23	3	7	2	18	53	9	20	8	147	273	295	568	147	195	29	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	429	393	58	10	4	8	21	219	12	30	9	148	213	254	467	107	289	51	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	415	90	12	3	7	38	185	10	53	11	217	297	311	608	94	362	40	8	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	576	520	88	14	4	9	40	229	11	25	6	168	242	262	504	94	273	40	7	232	43	-39	+3	+0	+2	+12	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	503	454	78	12	3	9	35	195	9	20	5	174	248	276	524	102	275	39	7	240	49	-31	+2	+0	+2	+11	-1.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	151	136	24	4	1	3	11	58	3	6	1	176	249	279	528	103	279	38	7	242	49	-9	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	151	136	24	4	1	3	11	58	3	6	1	176	253	287	540	110	276	38	7	242	46	-9	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	103	17	4	13	47	250	13	26	4	176	252	285	538	109	276	38	7	242	46	-40	+3	+0	+2	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2001	1796	309	46	21	31	139	811	52	140	38	172	252	273	524	101	289	41	7	236	46	-52	+4	+0	+3	+18	-2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	101	15	7	10	45	263	17	45	12	173	253	274	527	101	291	40	7	236	46	-41	+3	+0	+2	+14	-2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Hal Jeffcoat'48-'59 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,131 PA	3.2	2,131	26	49	240*	279*	367*	+0	-18	-2.3	-0.4
/162	664	8	15	+0.1	-5.5	-0.7	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	471	8	20	171	242	268	+0	+0	-1.8	-0.9
/162	664	11	28	+0.3	+0.0	-2.6	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexey Lumpuy (OGILVIE)	23	20	40	60	30	167/240/260	93	273	5	14	40%	7%	43	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	34→26	42→50	53→60	36	172/229/276	104	289	10	23	42%	7%	41	-3.0	172/243/312	140	311	16	22	46%	8%	56	-1.9	137/220/275	139	241	17	30	48%	9%	37	-1.7
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2023 · A	23	39	39→45	58→55	39	175/254/271	96	314	5	21	42%	8%	50	-2.3	191/252/301	110	313	9	21	39%	7%	56	-1.9	191/243/323	132	328	10	29	42%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Deivis Nadal 2024 · A	22	38	41→40	55	40	178/259/276	98	302	8	23	40%	8%	54	-2.0	179/249/282	103	352	9	15	47%	8%	51	-2.3	103/173/187	83	241	7	10	56%	7%	-1	-1.9
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A	23	36→28	43→45	53→50	35	185/238/287	102	283	12	13	38%	6%	47	-2.5	192/235/297	105	266	11	11	31%	5%	48	-2.5	185/226/289	104	245	10	9	28%	4%	41	-1.7
✕Max Ferguson 2024 · A	24	37→35	40	61→60	47	178/265/267	89	273	7	30	35%	10%	54	-2.0	184/259/278	94	263	9	26	31%	9%	54	-2.0	179/256/271	92	242	11	27	29%	9%	48	-1.7
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A	23	34→38	42→45	53→55	36	172/229/271	99	287	10	15	42%	7%	40	-3.1	186/237/280	94	337	7	13	44%	6%	45	-2.7	172/221/262	90	326	5	13	46%	5%	33	-3.0
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	60→55	35	183/230/277	93	286	5	18	36%	5%	41	-3.0	202/245/291	89	293	6	17	31%	5%	50	-2.3	206/229/274	68	271	5	26	26%	2%	36	-0.8
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A	23	40→36	37→30	52→55	40	187/254/256	69	298	5	19	36%	8%	46	-2.6	197/276/266	69	301	4	19	32%	9%	57	-1.8	190/279/248	58	286	3	21	31%	11%	52	-1.3
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	183/258/280	97	290	8	22	37%	7%	54	-2.0	192/267/282	90	334	8	15	41%	7%	58	-1.7	135/227/179	45	293	7	12	51%	7%	18	-1.0
✕Maximo Mendez 2010 · A	23	41→39	38→40	57→55	36	183/250/267	84	331	5	19	43%	7%	47	-2.5	197/257/281	84	344	7	18	41%	7%	53	-2.1	162/218/202	41	297	6	28	45%	6%	18	-1.2
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/261/308	113	264	9	19	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	40→37	43→45	56→50	42	198/261/311	114	270	9	20	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/259/291	96	265	7	15	28%	7%	57	-1.8	184/250/270	86	247	6	15	27%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A	23	41→35	41→45	52→55	39	187/258/286	99	327	9	15	42%	8%	55	-2.0	207/270/348	141	304	18	21	36%	8%	74	-0.5	194/259/341	147	272	20	25	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Logan Cerny 2024 · A	24	35→25	45	55	34	176/239/293	117	301	14	23	44%	7%	49	-2.4	173/232/281	108	282	13	22	41%	6%	45	-2.7	147/209/251	104	229	13	26	41%	6%	27	-2.0
✕Jordy Barley 2023 · A	23	35→34	38→40	60	34	171/222/248	76	288	6	33	41%	6%	32	-3.7	183/240/267	84	320	8	32	42%	7%	43	-2.8	164/226/240	76	293	8	45	44%	7%	30	-1.2
✕Sammy Infante 2024 · A	23	37→26	42→45	50→55	37	183/252/282	99	292	10	15	39%	7%	52	-2.2	200/263/295	95	313	8	15	36%	7%	59	-1.7	164/228/246	82	264	6	18	38%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Junior Perez 2024 · A	23	39→40	43→50	55	39	185/256/292	108	313	10	25	42%	8%	56	-1.9	183/253/316	133	294	14	24	40%	8%	60	-1.6	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Corey Ray 2019 · AA	24	39→37	47→50	55	36	194/250/333	139	305	14	22	39%	6%	63	-1.4	196/250/328	132	320	14	15	41%	6%	61	-1.5	170/215/299	128	268	15	12	41%	5%	39	-1.3
✕Austin Hendrick 2024 · A	23	32→30	45	49→50	33	165/230/279	114	292	14	13	46%	7%	43	-2.8	176/227/278	102	286	13	11	42%	5%	42	-2.9	169/220/268	99	260	14	9	40%	5%	34	-2.4
✕David Christensen 2011 · A	23	35→33	45→50	55→50	30	172/227/294	121	313	13	18	47%	6%	45	-2.7	198/255/324	126	366	12	12	46%	6%	62	-1.4	192/243/344	153	373	14	6	50%	5%	60	-0.5

Alexey Lumpuy

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps