Hunter Mann

P Spokane Indians

Age 25 RHP 6'7" / 225 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	31	37	3.86	1.89	31.4%	8.8%	—	K 22.4% · BB 10.7% · FIP 3.03
2025	23	A+COL	38	49	6.61	4.71	23.9%	16.1%	—	K 18.4% · BB 18.5% · FIP 5.68
2026	24	MIX2 levels	41	71	4.33	2.97	26.8%	9.5%	—	K 20.9% · BB 10.8% · FIP 3.87
2027PROJ	25	MLBCOL	67	70	5.33	5.33	20.1%	15.8%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCOL	29	30	5.22	5.21	20.6%	15.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCOL	41	43	5.17	5.18	20.8%	14.7%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control20Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKevin Kopps (age 25) · Nolan Riggs (age 25) · Nick Ernst (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.33

FIP5.33

K%20.1%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%4.3%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	3	0	0	0%	1.0	75.0%	0.0%	75.0%	0.0%	0.00	-3.23	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	3	0	0	0%	1.0	75.0%	0.0%	75.0%	0.0%	0.00	-2.90	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	37	159	50	14	1	0%	1.2	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	0.8%	3.86	3.03	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	37	159	50	14	1	0%	1.2	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	0.8%	3.86	3.03	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	37	159	50	14	1	0%	1.2	31.4%	8.8%	22.6%	0.6%	3.86	1.89	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	38	0	49	230	55	37	6	0%	1.3	18.4%	18.5%	-0.1%	3.3%	6.61	5.68	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	38	0	49	230	55	37	6	0%	1.3	18.4%	18.5%	-0.1%	3.3%	6.61	5.68	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	38	0	49	230	55	37	6	0%	1.3	23.9%	16.1%	7.8%	2.6%	6.61	4.71	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	71	295	79	28	5	0%	1.7	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	2.1%	4.33	3.87	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	71	295	79	28	5	0%	1.7	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	2.1%	4.33	3.87	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	71	295	79	28	5	0%	1.7	26.8%	9.5%	17.3%	1.7%	4.33	2.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	COL	67	0	70	296	59	47	8	0%	1.0	20.1%	15.8%	4.3%	2.8%	5.33	5.33	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	67	0	70	296	61	45	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	15.1%	5.5%	2.8%	5.22	5.21	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	66	0	69	291	61	43	8	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.7%	6.1%	2.9%	5.17	5.18	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	64	0	67	282	59	41	8	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.6%	6.2%	3.0%	5.18	5.22	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	61	0	64	270	56	40	9	0%	1.0	20.6%	14.7%	6.0%	3.2%	5.26	5.33	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	29	0	30	127	26	19	4	0%	1.0	20.6%	15.1%	5.5%	2.8%	5.22	5.21	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	41	0	43	182	38	27	5	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.7%	6.1%	2.9%	5.17	5.18	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	48	0	50	211	44	31	6	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.6%	6.2%	3.0%	5.18	5.22	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	50	0	52	220	45	32	7	0%	1.0	20.6%	14.7%	6.0%	3.2%	5.26	5.33	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	154	109	22	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.7%	6.0%	3.0%	5.21	4.86	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	124	25	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.7%	6.0%	3.0%	5.21	4.86	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		111	0	158	688	142	92	15	0%	1.4	20.7%	13.3%	7.4%	2.2%	4.90	4.24	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	0	200	871	180	116	19	0%	1.4	20.7%	13.3%	7.4%	2.2%	4.90	4.24	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Mann (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	20.1%	15.8%	2.8%	—	5.20	20.7%	5.9%	206	-0.13	—	—	—
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	91
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	91
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	89
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	87
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	87
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	86
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	86
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	86
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.49	14.0%	6.3%	162	+0.26	3.81	291	86
Holt Jones R 2024 · 4.36 FIP	25	SU	4.36	19.0%	15.0%	1.8%	.326	4.32	22.4%	8.3%	123	-0.04	4.21	254	86
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	86
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	85
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	85
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	85
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	25	SU	4.61	20.9%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.12	24.4%	7.6%	107	-0.49	3.92	311	84
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	84
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	84
Antonio Knowles R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	20.9%	15.1%	2.4%	.250	3.28	20.9%	11.7%	66	-1.30	3.24	223	84
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	84
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	20.6%	15.0%	1.14	5.23
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*