Josh Trentadue

P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 LHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #834

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ADown East Woo…	24	8	71	4.46	2.10	28.7%	9.0%	—	K 21.2% · BB 10.7% · FIP 3.10
2025	23	MIX2 levels	22	16	77	2.34	2.83	29.6%	10.7%	—	K 23.1% · BB 12.0% · FIP 3.67
2026	24	AATEX	38	9	73	5.65	3.41	27.8%	10.2%	—	K 22.5% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.25
2027PROJ	25	MLBTEX	67	0	70	4.61	4.61	23.1%	11.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBTEX	30	0	31	4.56	4.56	23.3%	11.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTEX	42	0	44	4.56	4.58	23.3%	11.5%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control45Command45FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsMark Manfredi Sr. (age 24) · Tommy Vail (age 25) · Nick Maronde (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%23.1%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%11.2%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL—45

CMD3545

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	3	0	3	13	8	2	0	0%	1.1	61.5%	15.4%	46.2%	0.0%	0.00	-0.15	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	3	0	3	13	8	2	0	0%	1.1	61.5%	15.4%	46.2%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	—
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	24	8	71	321	92	29	2	33%	2.9	21.2%	10.7%	10.5%	0.8%	4.46	3.10	—
2024	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	24	8	71	321	92	29	2	33%	2.9	21.2%	10.7%	10.5%	0.8%	4.46	3.10	—
2024	22	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	24	8	71	321	92	29	2	33%	2.9	28.7%	9.0%	19.6%	0.6%	4.46	2.10	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	16	77	318	94	34	5	73%	3.5	23.1%	12.0%	11.0%	1.8%	2.34	3.67	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	16	77	318	94	34	5	73%	3.5	23.1%	12.0%	11.0%	1.8%	2.34	3.67	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	16	77	318	94	34	5	73%	3.5	29.6%	10.7%	18.9%	1.6%	2.34	2.83	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	38	9	73	324	90	33	8	24%	1.9	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	3.0%	5.65	4.25	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	38	9	73	324	90	33	8	24%	1.9	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	3.0%	5.65	4.25	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	38	9	73	324	90	33	8	24%	1.9	27.8%	10.2%	17.6%	2.5%	5.65	3.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TEX	67	0	70	296	68	35	8	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.9%	11.2%	2.9%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	67	0	70	296	69	34	8	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.6%	11.7%	2.9%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	66	0	69	291	68	34	9	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.5%	11.8%	2.9%	4.56	4.58	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	TEX	64	0	67	282	66	33	9	0%	1.0	23.2%	11.5%	11.6%	3.0%	4.61	4.65	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	TEX	61	0	64	270	62	32	9	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.7%	11.2%	3.2%	4.70	4.77	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	30	0	31	131	31	15	4	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.6%	11.7%	2.9%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	42	0	44	186	43	21	5	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.5%	11.8%	2.9%	4.56	4.58	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	TEX	49	0	51	215	50	25	7	0%	1.0	23.2%	11.5%	11.6%	3.0%	4.61	4.65	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TEX	50	0	52	220	50	26	7	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.7%	11.2%	3.2%	4.70	4.77	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	173	87	23	0%	1.0	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	3.0%	4.62	4.27	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	98	26	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	3.0%	4.62	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		87	33	224	976	222	111	18	38%	2.6	22.8%	11.4%	11.4%	1.8%	4.05	3.62	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	29	200	870	198	99	16	38%	2.6	22.8%	11.4%	11.4%	1.8%	4.05	3.62	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Trentadue (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	23.1%	11.9%	2.9%	—	4.60	23.3%	11.7%	206	-0.01	—	—	—
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	85
Tommy Vail L 2024 · 3.65 FIP	25	SW	3.65	27.5%	15.3%	1.7%	.237	5.19	19.5%	2.9%	99	+1.54	3.65	168	80
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	78
Adam Wolf L 2022 · 3.91 FIP	25	SW	3.91	19.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.292	4.18	16.8%	5.9%	109	+0.27	3.91	383	78
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	77
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	76
Nick Dombkowski L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	25	SW	4.92	16.5%	10.9%	3.3%	.273	5.17	18.2%	10.6%	183	+0.25	3.71	425	76
Will Johnston L 2024 · 3.94 FIP	23	SP-	3.94	24.8%	11.6%	2.7%	.290	4.56	22.9%	7.5%	104	+0.62	3.94	195	76
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	75
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	75
Parker Mushinski L 2021 · 3.50 FIP	25	SW	3.50	24.7%	9.0%	2.5%	.357	4.02	21.7%	11.9%	143	+0.52	3.03	459	75
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	75
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	74
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.90	20.1%	9.3%	307	+0.61	3.59	520	74
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	74
Kyle Bird L 2018 · 3.70 FIP	25	SU	3.70	24.4%	11.3%	2.2%	.250	5.52	20.6%	6.3%	47	+1.82	2.70	379	74
Zack Thompson L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	25	SP-	4.48	23.0%	12.9%	3.1%	.355	4.64	23.7%	11.5%	107	+0.16	2.03	402	73
Charlie Furbush L 2011 · 4.95 FIP	25	SW	4.95	18.0%	7.5%	4.4%	.310	2.67	28.8%	21.4%	154	-2.28	2.40	261	73
Brent Headrick L 2023 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	23.1%	7.6%	4.3%	.299	2.91	28.6%	21.1%	143	-1.58	2.36	414	73
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	23.2%	11.7%	1.15	4.61
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*