Dariel Ramon
SS Dunedin Blue Jays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKTOR | 193 | .233/.411/.281 | 0 | 11 | 48 | — | .165/.305/.196 |
| 2025 | 19 | A/ROKTOR | 252 | .241/.386/.315 | 0 | 18 | 50 | — | .184/.295/.235 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/ATOR | 337 | .231/.360/.339 | 4 | 23 | 68 | — | .203/.306/.290 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBTOR | 447 | .190/.285/.266 | 3 | 14 | 61 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBTOR | 96 | .198/.293/.291 | 1 | 3 | 69 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBTOR | 176 | .204/.297/.308 | 3 | 6 | 74 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | — | 96 | 80 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 250 | 375 | 338 | 713 | 88 | 364 | 26 | 11 | 334 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | — | 193 | 146 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 233 | 411 | 281 | 691 | 48 | 279 | 14 | 18 | 334 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 52 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 229 | 288 | 312 | 601 | 83 | 324 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 200 | 155 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 245 | 412 | 316 | 728 | 71 | 299 | 14 | 18 | 347 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 58 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 298 | 250 | 548 | 83 | 222 | 22 | 14 | 259 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 279 | 229 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 42 | 13 | 21 | 3 | 245 | 373 | 358 | 731 | 114 | 284 | 15 | 12 | 337 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 96 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 169 | 281 | 229 | 510 | 60 | 251 | 31 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 193 | 158 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 165 | 305 | 196 | 501 | 32 | 195 | 18 | 11 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 52 | 49 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 184 | 231 | 245 | 476 | 61 | 294 | 38 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 200 | 168 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 42 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 185 | 312 | 232 | 544 | 48 | 238 | 21 | 11 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 58 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 263 | 240 | 503 | 80 | 203 | 31 | 10 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 279 | 240 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 57 | 13 | 21 | 3 | 212 | 315 | 300 | 615 | 87 | 264 | 20 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 96 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 169 | 281 | 229 | 510 | 60 | 264 | 31 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Blue Jays | — | 96 | 80 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 250 | 375 | 338 | 713 | 88 | 364 | 26 | 11 | 334 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 193 | 158 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 165 | 305 | 196 | 501 | 32 | 205 | 18 | 11 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Blue Jays | — | 193 | 146 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 233 | 411 | 281 | 691 | 48 | 279 | 14 | 18 | 334 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 217 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 61 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 180 | 291 | 226 | 517 | 46 | 248 | 24 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 252 | 203 | 49 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 39 | 43 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 241 | 386 | 315 | 702 | 74 | 304 | 17 | 15 | 332 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 290 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 75 | 14 | 23 | 3 | 203 | 306 | 290 | 596 | 86 | 263 | 22 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 337 | 277 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 55 | 14 | 23 | 3 | 231 | 360 | 339 | 700 | 108 | 274 | 16 | 12 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 96 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 169 | 281 | 229 | 510 | 60 | 251 | 31 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 193 | 159 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 164 | 305 | 195 | 500 | 31 | 195 | 18 | 11 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 216 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 61 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 181 | 291 | 227 | 518 | 46 | 250 | 24 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 291 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 75 | 14 | 23 | 3 | 203 | 306 | 289 | 595 | 86 | 254 | 22 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 193 | 159 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 164 | 305 | 195 | 500 | 31 | 195 | 18 | 11 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 216 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 61 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 181 | 291 | 227 | 518 | 46 | 250 | 24 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 291 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 75 | 14 | 23 | 3 | 203 | 306 | 289 | 595 | 86 | 254 | 22 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | TOR | 0% | 447 | 392 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 93 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 190 | 285 | 266 | 551 | 76 | 238 | 21 | 9 | 258 | 61 | -21 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | TOR | 34% | 278 | 243 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 57 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 198 | 292 | 290 | 582 | 92 | 242 | 21 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | TOR | 48% | 364 | 318 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 74 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 203 | 297 | 306 | 603 | 103 | 245 | 20 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -11 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | TOR | 53% | 419 | 367 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 85 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 208 | 300 | 319 | 619 | 111 | 248 | 20 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -11 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | TOR | 55% | 450 | 395 | 83 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 92 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 210 | 302 | 326 | 628 | 116 | 251 | 20 | 9 | 287 | 81 | -10 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | TOR | 56% | 465 | 409 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 95 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 212 | 303 | 331 | 634 | 119 | 252 | 20 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -10 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | TOR | 55% | 469 | 413 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 97 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 211 | 302 | 328 | 631 | 117 | 252 | 21 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -11 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | TOR | 55% | 467 | 411 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 97 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 210 | 300 | 324 | 624 | 114 | 251 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -11 | +2 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | TOR | 58% | 458 | 403 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 97 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 207 | 298 | 318 | 616 | 111 | 250 | 21 | 9 | 282 | 77 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | TOR | 60% | 446 | 393 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 96 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 204 | 294 | 310 | 605 | 106 | 249 | 22 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | TOR | 34% | 96 | 84 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 293 | 291 | 583 | 92 | 243 | 21 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | TOR | 48% | 176 | 153 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 204 | 297 | 308 | 605 | 103 | 246 | 20 | 9 | 279 | 74 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | TOR | 53% | 221 | 193 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 45 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 208 | 301 | 320 | 620 | 111 | 249 | 20 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | TOR | 55% | 246 | 216 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 50 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 211 | 303 | 327 | 630 | 116 | 252 | 20 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | TOR | 56% | 259 | 228 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 53 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 213 | 304 | 332 | 636 | 119 | 253 | 20 | 9 | 290 | 82 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | TOR | 55% | 258 | 227 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 53 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 212 | 303 | 329 | 632 | 117 | 253 | 21 | 9 | 289 | 81 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | TOR | 55% | 255 | 224 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 53 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 210 | 301 | 325 | 626 | 115 | 252 | 21 | 9 | 286 | 79 | -6 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | TOR | 58% | 265 | 233 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 56 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 208 | 298 | 319 | 617 | 111 | 251 | 21 | 9 | 283 | 77 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | TOR | 60% | 268 | 236 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 57 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 205 | 295 | 311 | 606 | 106 | 250 | 21 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2044 | 1794 | 375 | 75 | 8 | 37 | 184 | 423 | 50 | 58 | 9 | 209 | 300 | 322 | 622 | 113 | 252 | 21 | 9 | 284 | 73 | -54 | +8 | -2 | +22 | +44 | 1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 570 | 120 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 59 | 135 | 16 | 18 | 3 | 211 | 303 | 326 | 629 | 116 | 254 | 21 | 9 | 284 | 73 | -17 | +3 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4904 | 4283 | 868 | 172 | 23 | 70 | 447 | 1034 | 138 | 171 | 27 | 203 | 298 | 303 | 601 | 100 | 249 | 21 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -111 | +17 | -4 | +43 | +87 | 3.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 115 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 59 | 137 | 18 | 23 | 4 | 202 | 298 | 301 | 599 | 99 | 249 | 21 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -18 | +3 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ADunedin Blue Jays · 279 PAwOBA .327 → .280 (−48)K% 15.1% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.66% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.76% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .327 → .280; ISO .114 → .097; BABIP .284 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 58 PAwOBA .258 → .212 (−46)K% 22.4% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 10.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 13.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.042 | 2.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .212; ISO .083 → .069; BABIP .222 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 200 PAwOBA .342 → .252 (−90)K% 14.5% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.50% | ÷1.002 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.50% | ÷1.001 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 10.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.02% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 18.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.956 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 108, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .342 → .252; ISO .071 → .053; BABIP .299 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 52 PAwOBA .267 → .205 (−63)K% 26.9% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.92% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 19.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 9.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.284 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .205; ISO .083 → .060; BABIP .324 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 193 PAwOBA .328 → .239 (−89)K% 14.0% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.99% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.58% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.18% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.958 | ×0.680 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 16.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.20% | ÷0.964 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 2.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.892 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .328 → .239; ISO .048 → .033; BABIP .279 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 96 PAwOBA .326 → .226 (−100)K% 26.0% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.04% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.46% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.21% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.45% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 18.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.059 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .326 → .226; ISO .087 → .055; BABIP .364 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).