Player 814505 — OGILVIE

Player 8145051B Inland Empire 66ers

Age — —/— A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION100 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .308 / .333

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP319

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	SEA	—	100	80	32	7	0	3	14	16	1	2	0	400	495	600	1.095	200	439	16	14	468	203	+12	+0	+0	-2	+2	1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	SEA	—	100	75	33	8	0	3	19	12	1	2	0	440	558	667	1.225	227	462	12	19	504	203	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	SEA	0%	13	12	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	250	308	333	641	83	322	23	8	331	110	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	SEA	—	113	92	35	8	0	3	15	19	1	2	0	380	472	565	1.037	185	427	17	13	452	192	+12	+0	+0	-2	+2	1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	286	253	65	13	1	7	28	66	3	4	1	257	338	399	737	142	318	23	10	329	109	+3	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	388	343	88	17	1	10	38	89	4	6	1	257	338	399	737	143	316	23	10	329	109	+4	+1	+0	-7	+8	0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	458	407	104	20	2	12	44	105	4	7	2	256	334	403	737	147	314	23	10	329	109	+5	+1	+0	-8	+10	0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	505	446	114	22	2	13	49	115	5	7	2	256	336	401	737	146	314	23	10	329	109	+5	+1	+0	-9	+11	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	537	475	122	24	2	14	52	123	5	8	2	257	336	404	741	147	313	23	10	330	109	+6	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	561	497	127	25	2	15	54	128	5	8	2	256	335	404	739	149	313	23	10	330	109	+6	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	577	510	131	26	2	15	56	132	6	8	2	257	337	404	741	147	313	23	10	330	110	+7	+1	+0	-10	+13	1.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	590	522	133	26	2	16	57	135	6	9	2	255	335	404	739	149	312	23	10	330	110	+7	+1	+0	-11	+13	1.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	315	—	—	320	109	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	313	—	—	319	109	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	311	—	—	319	109	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	311	—	—	319	109	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	310	—	—	319	109	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	310	—	—	320	109	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	310	—	—	320	110	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	309	—	—	320	110	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3915	3465	887	174	14	102	379	896	38	57	14	256	336	403	739	147	316	23	10	330	109	+43	+6	+0	-70	+85	6.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	147	29	2	17	63	149	6	9	2	256	335	402	737	146	316	23	10	330	109	+7	+1	+0	-12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	10.9	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
/162	664	17	10	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#2Austin Kearnslast yr '12 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,148 PA	6.2	4,148	121	33	254	351	415	-42	-4	15.7	15.9
/162	664	19	5	-6.8	-0.6	2.5	pk7: 16
#3Seth Smithlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,076 PA	6.1	4,076	126	22	260	343	445	-44	-36	14.0	13.3
/162	664	21	4	-7.1	-5.9	2.3	pk7: 13
#4Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	7.3	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
/162	664	20	8	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#5Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	8.0	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
/162	664	11	12	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,185	108	61	255	331	402	-47	+0	12.3	11.8
/162	664	17	10	-7.4	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 11
#6David Murphylast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,821 PA	5.8	3,821	103	54	274	333	432	-41	-35	9.6	10.1
/162	664	18	9	-7.1	-6.1	1.7	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 814505 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	257/337/395	138	322	7	4	23%	10%	110	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jonah Bride 2021 · A	25	46→50	42→50	50→45	42	221/289/326	105	298	10	5	28%	6%	76	-0.4	233/325/361	128	282	13	5	21%	10%	98	+1.2	244/343/391	147	285	16	3	19%	11%	108	+1.5
✕Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	50→53	43→50	50→45	49	240/306/359	118	301	10	8	23%	8%	89	+0.5	247/306/393	146	295	16	6	21%	8%	97	+1.1	251/312/408	157	293	18	4	20%	8%	100	+1.1
✕Troy Johnston 2022 · A	25	48→57	45→50	48→55	47	237/307/360	123	309	13	6	26%	8%	90	+0.6	235/299/371	136	294	14	11	24%	7%	90	+0.6	236/297/382	147	286	15	23	22%	6%	88	+0.4
●Jake Fox 2006 · A	24	47→54	47→60	46→45	44	234/294/371	137	285	14	8	23%	6%	88	+0.4	244/292/417	173	293	20	6	24%	5%	98	+1.2	253/309/462	209	288	26	5	22%	5%	113	+1.9
✕Brian Joynt 2009 · A	24	46	49→60	49→45	46	232/297/390	157	301	16	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	215/262/345	130	301	14	8	32%	5%	70	-0.9	193/229/311	118	273	15	6	35%	4%	48	-1.5
✕Jairo Perez 2014 · A	26	47	46→50	47→50	48	235/302/368	133	270	14	9	18%	7%	90	+0.6	254/293/381	127	290	14	7	17%	3%	90	+0.6	261/297/387	126	291	15	5	16%	2%	91	+0.3
✕Cole Gillespie 2008 · A	24	47→57	45→50	48→50	51	228/313/354	126	292	12	13	25%	10%	91	+0.7	231/307/369	138	296	12	14	24%	9%	92	+0.7	230/306/374	144	291	12	14	24%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	223/297/336	113	267	10	9	20%	7%	81	-0.1	246/327/353	107	315	8	14	23%	8%	96	+1.0	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→48	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	87	+0.4	226/282/318	92	319	6	8	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/278/301	82	318	4	6	30%	7%	63	-1.1
●Agustin Murillo 2006 · A	24	48→58	47→50	49→55	46	240/293/378	138	280	14	5	20%	6%	89	+0.5	249/301/357	108	291	11	10	18%	6%	86	+0.3	279/340/412	133	302	15	27	13%	7%	113	+1.7
●Drew Locke 2008 · A	25	49→59	46→50	43→45	43	246/291/379	133	294	14	6	22%	5%	88	+0.4	262/303/399	137	318	13	5	21%	5%	97	+1.1	264/306/408	143	320	14	4	21%	5%	98	+1.1
✕Spencer Packard 2023 · A	25	45→52	46→45	49→40	48	223/295/352	129	265	14	7	21%	7%	84	+0.2	241/316/361	120	285	12	3	19%	8%	94	+0.9	241/322/353	112	283	11	1	18%	9%	91	+0.6
●Mickey Gasper 2021 · A	25	42→52	46→50	49→45	47	211/286/337	126	262	14	5	25%	8%	77	-0.3	230/313/361	131	292	12	9	24%	8%	93	+0.8	252/343/409	158	285	17	7	17%	10%	113	+1.5
●Connor Hollis 2021 · A	26	47→57	43→45	48→55	45	228/301/340	112	298	10	9	26%	7%	84	+0.1	254/320/364	110	334	8	15	25%	8%	95	+1.0	265/335/372	107	349	8	18	24%	8%	99	+0.8
✕David Smith 2006 · A	25	50→51	48→55	46→45	44	247/296/390	143	305	15	6	24%	6%	93	+0.8	229/284/385	156	289	17	5	26%	6%	87	+0.4	222/284/385	163	280	18	4	27%	7%	84	+0.2
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Nic Crosta 2007 · A	24	49	47→55	49→45	45	236/304/381	145	326	13	6	30%	8%	94	+0.9	205/268/356	151	298	17	6	35%	7%	75	-0.5	147/211/314	167	194	24	1	39%	7%	44	-1.4
●Todd Frazier 2009 · A	23	46→52	48→60	46→50	44	231/291/377	146	296	16	8	27%	7%	88	+0.4	227/279/369	142	283	14	11	24%	6%	82	-0.0	244/311/454	210	270	30	14	22%	8%	110	+2.3
✕Jantzen Witte 2015 · A	25	50→54	44→45	47→45	44	243/296/375	131	313	10	5	25%	6%	88	+0.5	243/298/347	104	300	6	6	20%	6%	83	+0.1	244/294/361	116	313	12	6	25%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Nate Freiman 2012 · A	25	46→51	50→55	48→30	42	237/286/391	154	288	17	3	24%	6%	89	+0.5	249/303/409	160	293	19	2	21%	6%	100	+1.3	251/311/415	164	293	20	0	21%	6%	102	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps