Seaver King — OGILVIE

Seaver KingSS Harrisburg Senators

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 206 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .293 / .367

PA206

HR4

SB7

K%25

BB%5

BABIP310

ISO126

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$8M	+$6M
2031	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$7M	+$4M
2032	Arb-3	$5M	+1.0	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$38M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	82	21	1	2	0	5	17	1	10	1	256	307	317	624	61	313	19	6	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	78	23	1	3	0	9	13	1	10	1	295	375	385	760	90	343	14	10	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	3 teams	—	630	587	129	22	6	6	25	180	9	36	4	220	262	308	571	89	303	29	4	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	3 teams	—	630	569	146	24	6	8	43	131	9	36	4	257	319	362	681	105	317	21	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	WSH	—	310	278	77	13	4	9	21	77	7	9	7	277	343	450	793	173	347	25	7	338	117	+6	-1	+0	+3	+9	1.7
YTD	23	AA	WSH	—	310	268	82	15	4	10	30	62	7	9	7	306	389	504	893	198	360	20	10	389	156	+20	-1	+0	+3	+9	3.1
ROS	23	AA	WSH	2%	206	190	46	8	2	4	11	52	3	7	3	241	293	367	660	126	309	25	5	294	84	-4	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		309	25	0	283	75	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	AA	WSH	—	314	282	78	13	4	9	21	78	7	9	7	277	342	447	789	170	347	25	7	337	116	+6	-1	-0	+3	+9	1.7
TOT	23	AA	WSH	—	516	468	123	21	6	13	32	129	10	16	10	262	323	416	739	154	332	25	6	321	104	+2	-1	-1	+6	+15	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	31%	561	517	124	22	5	11	31	141	8	16	6	240	293	366	659	126	305	25	6	293	82	-11	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.8
2028	25	MLB	WSH	45%	576	529	127	22	5	12	34	143	8	17	6	240	296	369	665	129	305	25	6	299	87	-9	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.1
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	581	532	129	23	5	13	36	144	8	17	6	242	300	378	678	135	304	25	6	301	89	-7	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.3
2030	27	MLB	WSH	53%	580	530	128	23	5	13	37	143	8	17	6	242	301	377	678	136	304	25	6	302	89	-7	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.3
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	576	526	127	22	5	13	37	143	8	16	6	241	301	376	678	135	303	25	6	301	89	-7	+1	-5	+6	+16	1.2
2032	29	MLB	WSH	53%	568	518	125	22	5	13	37	142	8	15	6	241	302	378	680	137	303	25	7	299	87	-8	+1	-5	+6	+16	1.0
2033	30	MLB	WSH	52%	560	511	122	21	5	12	36	142	8	13	5	239	299	370	669	131	302	25	6	297	85	-9	+1	-6	+6	+16	0.7
2034	31	MLB	WSH	52%	550	503	117	21	4	11	35	141	7	11	4	233	292	356	648	123	300	26	6	293	82	-11	+1	-6	+6	+16	0.5
2035	32	MLB	WSH	52%	541	494	114	20	4	11	35	141	7	9	3	231	291	354	645	123	297	26	6	288	78	-13	+1	-7	+6	+15	0.1
2036	33	MLB	WSH	52%	467	428	97	16	4	9	30	124	6	6	2	227	287	346	632	119	293	27	6	281	73	-14	+0	-7	+5	+13	-0.3
2037	34	MLB	WSH	47%	409	375	81	13	3	7	26	111	5	4	1	216	276	323	599	107	288	27	6	273	67	-15	+0	-8	+4	+12	-0.7
2027	24	MLB	WSH	31%	174	160	39	7	2	3	10	44	2	5	2	244	297	369	665	125	305	25	6	282	74	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2028	25	MLB	WSH	45%	257	236	57	10	2	6	15	64	4	7	3	242	298	377	675	136	305	25	6	288	79	-6	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	296	272	67	12	3	7	18	73	4	9	3	246	303	390	692	143	304	25	6	291	81	-6	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.4
2030	27	MLB	WSH	53%	305	279	68	12	3	7	19	75	4	9	3	244	301	384	685	140	304	25	6	292	81	-6	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.4
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	307	280	68	12	3	7	20	76	4	9	3	243	303	382	685	139	303	25	7	291	81	-7	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.4
2032	29	MLB	WSH	53%	299	274	66	12	2	7	19	75	4	8	3	241	300	376	676	135	303	25	6	289	79	-7	+0	-3	+3	+8	0.2
2033	30	MLB	WSH	52%	292	267	63	11	2	6	19	74	4	7	3	236	297	360	656	124	302	25	7	287	78	-7	+0	-3	+3	+8	0.1
2034	31	MLB	WSH	52%	285	261	61	11	2	6	18	73	4	6	2	234	293	360	653	126	300	26	6	283	75	-8	+0	-3	+3	+8	0.0
2035	32	MLB	WSH	52%	280	256	59	10	2	6	18	73	4	5	2	230	291	355	647	125	297	26	6	278	71	-9	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.2
2036	33	MLB	WSH	52%	241	221	49	8	2	4	15	64	3	3	1	222	280	330	611	109	293	27	6	271	66	-9	+0	-4	+3	+7	-0.4
2037	34	MLB	WSH	47%	193	177	38	6	1	3	12	52	2	2	1	215	272	311	583	96	288	27	6	263	60	-9	+0	-4	+2	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2933	2687	636	111	24	62	183	744	39	70	26	237	295	365	660	128	303	25	6	284	76	-81	+4	-29	+31	+83	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	141	25	5	14	41	165	9	16	6	237	296	366	663	129	303	25	6	284	76	-18	+1	-7	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6895	6322	1487	256	60	135	415	1764	94	194	59	235	292	359	651	124	303	26	6	290	80	-158	+15	-61	+74	+195	6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	141	24	6	13	39	166	9	18	6	237	293	362	656	126	304	26	6	290	80	-15	+1	-6	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	78	23	1	3	0	9	13	1	10	1	295	375	385	760	90	343	14	10	337	116	+2	+2	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	357	326	76	13	2	3	23	74	3	18	3	233	290	313	603	80	290	21	6	271	66	-14	+2	—	—	+10	-0.1
2025	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	194	179	47	6	3	3	9	42	3	12	1	263	309	380	689	117	326	22	5	304	91	-2	+2	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	79	64	23	5	1	2	11	15	3	6	0	359	474	562	1.037	203	438	19	14	451	203	+9	+1	—	—	+2	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	9	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
	/162	664	12	5	261	285	388	+6.4	-3.1	1.0	pk7: 8
#6Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,934	61	69	237	292	366	+30	-4	5.7	5.4
	/162	664	14	16	237	292	366	+6.8	-0.9	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seaver King (OGILVIE)	23	30→46	40→45	60→66	30	262/323/416	154	332	13	16	25%	6%	104	+2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christopher Bostick 2016 · AA	23	43→53	44→45	55	39	216/262/337	122	282	11	18	27%	5%	63	-0.8	230/278/336	106	305	8	11	26%	5%	69	-0.4	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	43	204/254/284	80	263	5	21	24%	6%	46	-2.0	243/304/321	78	311	4	31	21%	7%	76	+0.1	252/314/329	77	319	3	36	20%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→46	42→50	60→65	36	192/235/306	114	281	8	27	34%	5%	43	-2.2	208/248/328	120	298	10	22	32%	4%	55	-1.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Adam Engel 2015 · A	23	46→48	41→50	57→60	39	221/273/319	98	300	8	25	28%	5%	63	-0.8	202/259/302	100	296	7	30	32%	6%	53	-1.5	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A	23	42	38→40	58→60	41	198/263/275	77	277	5	25	29%	6%	48	-1.9	231/299/299	68	313	3	16	25%	8%	69	-0.4	243/314/298	55	326	2	16	24%	8%	72	-0.1
●Derek Hill 2018 · A	22	42→51	37→50	61→60	39	196/251/276	80	297	4	28	34%	6%	42	-2.3	194/244/272	78	313	6	24	38%	5%	38	-2.6	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Matt Lipka 2015 · AA	23	42→52	38→45	54→60	39	203/248/284	81	270	5	23	26%	4%	43	-2.2	206/247/289	83	266	5	18	24%	4%	44	-2.1	230/283/343	114	308	11	31	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Nick Ahmed 2013 · A	23	44→51	40→55	54→55	41	214/263/307	92	288	7	22	27%	6%	56	-1.3	217/261/302	85	266	6	17	20%	5%	53	-1.5	239/302/404	165	275	16	7	19%	8%	95	+1.1
✕Leo German 2016 · AAA	23	44→54	42→45	54→55	42	219/276/316	98	274	10	21	24%	5%	65	-0.7	255/291/343	88	340	6	27	26%	4%	76	+0.1	283/316/374	92	367	8	23	24%	3%	90	+0.6
✕Kristopher Negrón 2009 · A	23	45→51	40→45	57→55	43	218/277/315	97	276	7	19	23%	6%	64	-0.8	223/282/323	100	290	9	20	25%	6%	68	-0.5	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	44→50	43→50	57→55	44	214/268/338	124	268	9	16	23%	6%	66	-0.6	212/284/333	121	266	12	24	24%	8%	72	-0.2	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40	38→45	58→60	36	190/243/268	78	298	5	24	36%	6%	37	-2.6	197/256/307	110	301	11	29	36%	7%	53	-1.5	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Travis Witherspoon 2012 · A	23	41→47	42→50	56→55	37	202/248/302	100	290	10	22	33%	5%	48	-1.9	214/268/343	129	290	15	23	30%	6%	68	-0.5	209/267/345	136	278	16	25	30%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Paulo Orlando 2009 · A	23	44→54	43→45	55	34	217/250/328	112	297	9	18	30%	3%	56	-1.3	227/265/331	104	295	8	19	25%	3%	62	-0.9	265/294/385	120	329	9	14	22%	3%	86	+0.5
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A	23	46→45	42→50	56→65	43	219/288/328	109	304	8	24	29%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/322	104	307	8	25	30%	6%	66	-0.6	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Alen Hanson 2016 · AAA	23	46→51	45→50	59→60	40	229/262/356	127	280	11	25	23%	4%	67	-0.5	241/276/370	129	291	11	28	21%	4%	77	+0.1	252/286/391	139	300	12	30	20%	4%	83	+0.4
✕Tito Polo 2018 · AA	23	47→50	42→45	57→60	39	226/279/334	108	306	9	29	28%	5%	69	-0.4	219/269/323	104	291	8	25	27%	5%	63	-0.9	205/253/302	97	261	8	34	24%	5%	47	-0.5
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2010 · AAA	23	42→51	44→45	54→55	42	209/265/325	116	263	11	22	25%	5%	62	-0.9	227/279/322	95	285	7	19	22%	6%	66	-0.6	246/297/360	113	317	9	13	24%	4%	82	+0.3
●Scott Kingery 2017 · AA	23	48→51	39→55	53→55	42	230/276/323	92	292	5	17	22%	5%	65	-0.7	234/278/372	138	296	13	18	25%	5%	79	+0.3	234/282/393	159	296	17	18	26%	5%	84	+0.6