Seaver King — OGILVIE

Seaver KingSS Rochester Red Wings

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION484 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%25

BB%5

BABIP311

ISO100

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$9M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	78	23	1	3	0	9	13	1	10	1	295	375	385	760	90	343	14	10	337	114	+2	+2	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	357	326	76	13	2	3	23	74	3	18	3	233	290	313	603	80	290	21	6	271	70	-13	+2	—	—	+8	-0.3
2025	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	194	179	47	6	3	3	9	42	3	12	1	263	309	380	689	117	326	22	5	304	92	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	79	64	23	5	1	2	11	15	3	6	0	359	474	562	1.037	203	438	19	14	451	192	+9	+1	—	—	+2	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	82	22	1	2	0	5	18	1	10	1	268	318	329	647	61	320	20	6	289	82	-2	+2	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	22	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	357	333	72	13	2	2	16	91	3	18	3	216	259	285	544	69	282	25	4	242	50	-21	+2	—	—	+8	-1.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	194	182	40	5	3	2	6	59	3	12	1	220	257	313	570	93	302	30	3	246	53	-11	+2	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	82	22	1	2	0	5	18	1	10	1	268	318	329	647	61	333	20	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	78	23	1	3	0	9	13	1	10	1	295	375	385	760	90	343	14	10	337	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	587	128	20	5	5	25	171	9	36	4	218	261	295	556	77	296	27	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	630	569	146	24	6	8	43	131	9	36	4	257	319	362	681	105	317	21	7	304	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	84	22	1	2	0	5	18	1	10	1	262	318	321	640	60	320	20	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	591	128	20	5	5	25	171	9	36	4	217	261	293	554	76	289	27	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	84	22	1	2	0	5	18	1	10	1	262	318	321	640	60	320	20	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	591	128	20	5	5	25	171	9	36	4	217	261	293	554	76	289	27	4	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	WSH	—	484	439	117	19	5	14	32	128	9	15	8	267	329	428	757	162	342	26	7	325	106	+4	-0	+0	+5	+10	1.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	WSH	—	165	137	46	10	3	5	22	31	2	5	6	336	432	562	994	226	394	19	13	426	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA RAW	WSH	—	319	285	83	12	2	14	25	75	7	10	2	291	362	495	856	204	350	24	8	377	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AAA MLE	WSH	10%	8	8	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		314	25	0	301	90	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	23	MLB CTX	WSH	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						311	0	0	287	90	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	WSH	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	287	106	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	AAA MLE	WSH	—	492	447	118	19	5	14	32	130	9	15	8	264	326	423	749	159	339	26	7	325	106	+3	-0	-0	+5	+11	2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	35%	561	515	125	21	5	12	33	144	8	16	6	243	299	373	671	130	310	26	6	299	89	-8	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	46%	576	527	129	21	5	14	36	145	8	17	6	245	303	383	686	139	308	25	6	304	92	-6	+1	-4	+6	+12	1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	581	531	130	22	5	14	37	145	8	17	6	245	304	384	688	139	308	25	6	306	93	-5	+1	-4	+6	+13	1.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	580	529	130	22	5	14	38	145	8	17	6	246	306	386	692	140	307	25	7	306	93	-5	+1	-4	+6	+13	1.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	576	525	127	21	4	14	38	145	8	16	5	242	303	377	680	135	307	25	7	305	93	-5	+1	-5	+6	+12	1.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	568	517	125	21	4	14	38	144	8	14	5	242	304	379	683	137	306	25	7	304	92	-6	+1	-5	+6	+12	0.9
2033	30	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	560	509	122	20	4	13	38	144	8	13	4	240	303	371	674	132	305	26	7	301	90	-7	+1	-6	+6	+12	0.7
2034	31	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	502	456	109	18	4	11	34	130	7	10	3	239	302	368	670	129	303	26	7	297	87	-8	+1	-6	+5	+11	0.3
2035	32	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	484	443	102	17	3	10	32	127	6	8	3	230	291	350	641	120	301	26	7	292	84	-9	+0	-7	+5	+10	-0.0
2036	33	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	455	416	94	15	3	9	30	122	6	6	2	226	288	341	629	115	297	27	7	285	79	-11	+0	-7	+5	+10	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	35%	195	178	42	7	1	4	12	50	3	6	2	236	295	354	649	118	307	26	6	286	89	-3	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	46%	267	244	59	10	2	6	17	67	4	8	3	242	302	373	675	131	306	25	6	291	92	-3	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	301	275	66	11	2	7	19	75	4	9	3	240	299	371	670	131	306	25	6	293	93	-2	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	307	280	68	11	2	8	20	77	4	9	3	243	303	382	685	139	305	25	7	294	93	-2	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	309	281	67	11	2	7	21	78	4	8	3	238	301	367	667	128	305	25	7	293	93	-3	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	299	273	65	11	2	7	20	76	4	8	3	238	300	370	670	132	304	25	7	291	92	-3	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	292	266	64	11	2	7	20	75	4	7	2	241	303	376	679	135	303	26	7	289	90	-4	+1	-3	+3	+6	0.4
2034	31	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	260	237	56	9	2	6	17	67	4	5	2	236	298	367	666	131	301	26	7	285	87	-4	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.2
2035	32	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	250	228	52	9	1	5	17	66	3	4	1	228	290	342	632	114	299	26	7	280	84	-5	+0	-3	+3	+5	0.0
2036	33	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	235	214	49	8	1	5	16	63	3	3	1	229	292	346	638	117	295	27	7	274	79	-6	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2716	2477	588	98	17	62	179	694	37	67	23	237	299	366	664	128	303	26	7	288	85	-34	+4	-26	+29	+59	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	140	23	4	15	43	166	9	16	6	236	298	364	662	128	301	26	7	288	85	-8	+1	-6	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6171	5645	1344	219	49	130	384	1582	85	180	51	238	297	363	660	125	306	26	6	294	85	-68	+8	-51	+58	+118	6.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	142	23	5	14	40	167	9	19	5	239	297	365	661	126	306	26	6	294	85	-8	+1	-6	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.1	2,747	63	67	241	298	373	+29	-4	7.3	6.7
/162	664	15	16	+7.1	-1.0	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seaver King (OGILVIE)	23	30→46	40→45	60→66	30	242/297/372	129	314	7	10	26%	6%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo German 2016 · AAA	23	44→54	41→45	54→55	42	216/277/309	93	274	9	21	24%	5%	67	-1.1	255/294/342	87	336	6	27	25%	4%	80	-0.2	278/313/363	84	359	6	23	23%	4%	88	+0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→48	41→50	61→65	36	194/237/304	110	283	7	27	33%	5%	50	-2.3	210/250/334	124	301	10	22	32%	4%	62	-1.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A	23	42	38→40	58→60	41	198/263/275	77	278	5	25	29%	6%	54	-2.0	229/296/296	67	312	3	16	25%	8%	70	-0.8	240/310/292	52	324	2	16	24%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Christopher Bostick 2016 · AA	23	44→54	43→45	55	39	216/262/334	118	281	10	18	27%	5%	67	-1.1	227/276/328	101	300	7	11	25%	5%	70	-0.8	235/286/338	103	306	8	7	25%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Adam Engel 2015 · A	23	45→48	40→50	57→60	39	218/270/314	96	297	7	25	28%	5%	65	-1.2	203/261/303	100	293	7	30	31%	6%	59	-1.6	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2021 · A	23	37→47	41→45	53→65	43	182/258/286	104	274	8	22	34%	8%	55	-1.9	228/299/361	133	324	14	34	32%	8%	87	+0.4	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Darin Mastroianni 2009 · A	23	42→52	38→40	60	41	201/253/277	76	278	5	22	29%	6%	50	-2.3	248/313/323	75	316	3	35	21%	8%	82	+0.0	257/324/332	75	320	2	38	19%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Noel Cuevas 2015 · AA	23	45→51	42→45	54→55	40	219/261/326	107	279	9	16	24%	5%	64	-1.3	234/267/328	94	302	6	18	24%	3%	66	-1.1	251/284/358	107	311	8	12	22%	3%	77	-0.2
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	42→51	43→50	56→55	43	208/263/326	118	266	9	16	25%	6%	65	-1.2	209/282/325	116	264	11	24	24%	8%	73	-0.6	235/299/371	136	298	13	21	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2010 · AAA	23	42→52	43→45	54→55	43	208/269/321	112	265	10	22	25%	6%	67	-1.1	232/289/328	96	291	6	19	21%	6%	76	-0.4	256/307/372	117	325	9	13	23%	4%	91	+0.4
✕Kristopher Negrón 2009 · A	23	45→50	40→45	57→55	43	218/277/315	97	276	7	19	23%	6%	68	-1.0	223/282/319	96	288	8	20	24%	6%	71	-0.8	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	44	204/256/283	80	261	5	21	23%	6%	53	-2.1	242/303/317	75	307	4	31	21%	6%	78	-0.3	242/306/332	90	291	7	29	18%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	299	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	205/306/320	115	292	11	13	31%	10%	82	-0.0	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Michael A. Taylor 2014 · A	23	41→51	42→55	56→60	37	198/250/308	110	297	8	24	35%	6%	56	-1.9	225/281/358	133	331	15	26	34%	7%	80	-0.2	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Liover Peguero 2023 · AA	22	45→46	42→45	56→55	38	223/261/330	107	301	10	23	29%	4%	65	-1.2	218/265/340	122	287	13	18	28%	6%	69	-0.9	212/262/335	123	275	14	18	28%	6%	65	-1.0
✕Nick Ahmed 2013 · A	23	45→53	40→55	54→55	42	217/266/310	93	288	6	22	26%	6%	62	-1.4	223/266/310	87	271	6	17	19%	5%	62	-1.4	240/303/410	170	273	18	7	19%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Travis Witherspoon 2012 · A	23	42→47	43→45	56→55	37	207/252/311	104	292	11	22	32%	5%	57	-1.8	214/269/335	121	287	13	23	29%	7%	70	-0.9	209/269/335	126	275	14	25	28%	7%	67	-0.9
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Paulo Orlando 2009 · A	23	44→54	43→45	55	34	217/250/328	112	297	9	18	30%	3%	61	-1.5	230/268/335	105	297	8	19	24%	3%	69	-0.9	263/293/381	119	326	10	14	22%	3%	86	+0.2
✕Alen Hanson 2016 · AAA	23	48→52	42→50	59→60	41	233/268/349	116	286	8	25	22%	4%	72	-0.7	239/275/359	120	291	10	28	21%	5%	77	-0.3	246/282/378	132	296	11	30	20%	4%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps