Jorge Lara — OGILVIE

Jorge LaraSS DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 S/R 5'6" / 145 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.3 · 2032

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .311 / .343

PA166

HR3

K%23

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

30→30

SPD

60→60

EYE

60→60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.3peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.3	$32M	+$32M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.2	$32M	+$31M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+3.0	$31M	+$25M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.8	$30M	+$21M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+2.4	$27M	+$14M
Totals		$31M		$184M	+$154M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	161	140	30	6	0	2	13	25	6	18	3	.214	.308	.300	.608	.086	.243	16	8	.272	66	-6	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	62	49	8	1	0	1	6	21	6	4	3	.163	.328	.245	.573	.082	.250	34	10	.240	42	-4	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	196	165	39	8	2	1	23	32	6	23	3	.236	.351	.327	.678	.091	.284	16	12	.306	92	-2	+3	+0	+2	+6	1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	ARI	166	147	35	7	1	3	15	38	3	4	1	.238	.321	.361	.682	.122	.292	23	9	.299	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	ARI	243	214	52	10	2	5	23	53	4	6	1	.243	.328	.379	.706	.136	.295	22	9	.315	99	-0	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2028	22	MLB 28%	ARI	359	315	76	14	2	8	35	76	6	9	2	.241	.329	.375	.703	.133	.296	21	10	.322	105	+2	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.7
2029	23	MLB 48%	ARI	436	382	96	18	3	11	44	91	7	11	2	.251	.339	.401	.740	.149	.297	21	10	.328	109	+5	+1	+0	+5	+12	2.3
2030	24	MLB 62%	ARI	488	428	108	20	3	13	50	100	7	12	3	.252	.340	.404	.744	.152	.297	20	10	.332	112	+7	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.8
2031	25	MLB 80%	ARI	517	449	114	21	3	14	55	105	8	13	3	.254	.346	.408	.753	.154	.298	20	11	.335	115	+9	+1	+0	+6	+15	3.1
2032	26	MLB 94%	ARI	533	463	118	22	3	15	57	108	8	13	3	.255	.347	.413	.759	.158	.299	20	11	.337	116	+10	+1	+0	+6	+15	3.3
2033	27	MLB	ARI	539	468	119	22	3	15	58	110	8	13	2	.254	.346	.410	.757	.156	.299	20	11	.337	116	+10	+2	+0	+6	+15	3.3
2034	28	MLB	ARI	538	466	117	22	3	14	59	111	8	13	2	.251	.345	.401	.747	.150	.299	21	11	.336	116	+10	+2	-1	+6	+15	3.2
2035	29	MLB	ARI	530	459	115	21	3	14	58	111	8	12	2	.251	.345	.401	.746	.150	.298	21	11	.335	114	+8	+2	-1	+6	+15	3.0
2036	30	MLB	ARI	521	451	111	20	3	13	57	111	8	12	1	.246	.341	.390	.731	.144	.297	21	11	.332	112	+7	+2	-2	+6	+15	2.8
2037	31	MLB	ARI	508	439	109	20	3	13	56	110	8	10	1	.248	.344	.396	.740	.148	.296	22	11	.328	109	+5	+2	-3	+5	+14	2.4
2038	32	MLB	ARI	490	426	104	19	3	12	54	109	7	10	0	.244	.339	.387	.726	.143	.296	22	11	.324	106	+3	+2	-4	+5	+14	2.1
2039	33	MLB	ARI	461	401	96	17	2	11	50	105	7	9	0	.239	.334	.374	.708	.135	.295	23	11	.319	102	+1	+2	-4	+5	+13	1.7
2040	34	MLB	ARI	415	361	85	15	2	9	45	98	6	8	0	.235	.330	.363	.693	.127	.294	24	11	.313	97	-1	+2	-5	+4	+12	1.2
2041	35	MLB	ARI	361	314	71	12	2	7	39	89	5	7	0	.226	.321	.344	.665	.118	.293	25	11	.305	92	-3	+1	-6	+4	+10	0.7
2042	36	MLB	ARI	302	263	59	10	1	6	32	78	4	6	0	.224	.318	.338	.656	.114	.291	26	11	.297	86	-5	+1	-6	+3	+9	0.2
2043	37	MLB	ARI	238	208	44	7	1	4	25	64	3	5	0	.212	.305	.312	.618	.101	.288	27	11	.288	79	-6	+1	-7	+3	+7	-0.3
2044	38	MLB	ARI	170	149	31	5	1	2	17	47	2	4	0	.208	.298	.295	.593	.087	.284	28	10	.278	71	-6	+1	-8	+2	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8234	7157	1737	317	46	193	871	1792	135	222	32	.243	.336	.381	.717	.138	.296	22	11	.322	104	+41	+32	-46	+88	+233	35.5
/ 162G	—			650	565	137	25	4	15	69	141	11	18	3	.242	.337	.381	.717	.138	.295	22	11	.322	104	+3	+2	-4	+7	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	161	132	39	9	0	3	21	17	6	18	3	.295	.415	.432	.847	.136	.316	11	13	.381	149	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	62	47	11	1	0	1	8	14	6	4	3	.234	.410	.319	.729	.085	.303	23	13	.347	124	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	196	152	51	10	4	1	36	20	6	23	3	.336	.479	.474	.953	.138	.376	10	18	.426	184	+19	+3	—	—	+6	2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Lara (OGILVIE)	20	60	30	60	60	.230/.311/.343	.113	.292	3	4	23%	9%	87	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	49→56	38→45	51→55	52	.228/.309/.308	.080	.281	4	17	19%	9%	76	+0.1	.205/.295/.293	.088	.269	6	12	24%	10%	67	-0.5	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	48	36→40	54→60	50	.215/.310/.286	.072	.325	3	19	31%	11%	72	-0.2	.247/.324/.323	.076	.343	3	23	26%	9%	85	+0.7	.263/.336/.338	.075	.360	3	29	25%	9%	91	+0.5
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	51→58	41→45	47→50	51	.245/.310/.342	.096	.296	8	15	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.235/.303/.332	.097	.280	8	11	18%	9%	79	+0.3	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	50→45	49	.226/.306/.321	.095	.306	6	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	.222/.295/.296	.074	.304	5	6	26%	8%	67	-0.5	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→45	54→55	48	.224/.278/.312	.088	.269	4	13	18%	6%	63	-0.9	.222/.274/.287	.065	.277	3	16	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	51	40→45	50	56	.242/.330/.341	.100	.294	6	9	19%	11%	93	+1.3	.219/.290/.298	.079	.284	3	7	22%	8%	65	-0.7	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	50	.254/.323/.352	.098	.288	6	10	14%	7%	93	+1.3	.228/.295/.318	.090	.283	7	8	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.267/.344	.132	.272	16	8	27%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Edgar Munoz 2012 · A	20	54	37→30	47→55	51	.255/.324/.328	.073	.292	4	17	14%	7%	88	+0.9	.220/.280/.282	.062	.264	3	18	17%	6%	56	-1.3	.214/.266/.287	.073	.260	7	19	20%	6%	47	-0.6
✕Miguel Mendez 2013 · A	20	52	38→45	50→60	51	.243/.307/.332	.089	.266	4	11	10%	6%	81	+0.4	.238/.300/.313	.075	.277	2	18	14%	7%	73	-0.1	.256/.319/.327	.071	.294	0	32	12%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Manuel Guzman 2015 · A	20	48	35→45	50→55	51	.225/.291/.290	.064	.271	2	18	17%	8%	63	-0.9	.224/.290/.287	.063	.278	3	16	19%	8%	62	-0.9	.238/.306/.305	.068	.287	4	15	17%	9%	69	-0.2
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A	20	49→59	42→50	54→50	37	.235/.276/.347	.112	.314	8	11	27%	4%	72	-0.2	.221/.280/.325	.104	.331	8	12	33%	7%	68	-0.5	.262/.344/.424	.163	.366	16	16	30%	11%	115	+2.2
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
●Alexi Amarista 2009 · A	20	53→60	39→45	50→55	50	.250/.302/.341	.091	.281	6	17	14%	6%	80	+0.4	.259/.304/.359	.100	.300	4	18	14%	5%	85	+0.7	.260/.301/.361	.101	.302	4	19	15%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	51	.247/.325/.335	.088	.311	5	14	21%	9%	90	+1.0	.246/.316/.332	.086	.284	6	20	15%	8%	85	+0.7	.250/.305/.317	.067	.277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	50→56	39→50	49→50	51	.236/.311/.321	.085	.300	6	12	22%	9%	80	+0.4	.208/.268/.294	.086	.292	6	10	28%	7%	55	-1.4	.230/.309/.353	.123	.307	12	10	27%	10%	85	+0.6
●Wander Franco 2021 · A	20	54→57	45→55	47→55	53	.260/.315/.389	.128	.277	11	10	11%	7%	98	+1.6	.271/.327/.427	.156	.294	14	13	13%	7%	114	+2.7	.279/.339/.452	.173	.300	16	20	12%	8%	120	+2.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)